New research in @intjepidemiol.bsky.social examines mortality across four influenza pandemics w. data from 48 populations. It shows how strongly mortality patterns vary across countries & pandemics, challenging simple assumptions about who is most at risk. www.demography.ox.ac.uk/news/rethink...

Emigration from Hungary reached a new record in 2024 and remained close to 40,000 in 2025. The number of Hungarians leaving the country in the last two years was more than double the pre-pandemic level, amounting to almost 0.5% of the total population each year. #demography #Hungary #migration

Hungary could lose nearly 4 million people by the end of the century if today’s extremely low fertility rate (1.3) persists. The population would shrink from 9.5 million to just 5.8 million by 2100. #demography #Hungary #fertility ourworldindata.org/population-s...

In 2024, 58% of children born in Vienna had a mother born abroad. For Austria as a whole, the figure was 36%. About half of foreign-born mothers came from the EU, especially from Germany and Romania. The rest came from non-EU countries (Syria, Bosnia, Turkey). #demography www.birthbarometer.at/en/

Foreign-born women still have higher fertility than native-born women in Austria, but the difference is narrowing. In 2024, their higher fertility of foreign-born women pushed Austria’s overall Total Fertility Rate up by about 0.1. #demography #Austria www.birthbarometer.at/en/download/...

The number of children that mothers give birth to is stable or even rising. But the proportion of women who have any children at all has fallen steeply in the past 15 years. #demograpy #fertility Excellent article: www.ft.com/content/fba3...

Higher temperatures increased mortality during the warmest months, but milder cold seasons reduced mortality even more, resulting in over 900,000 fewer deaths in Europe during 2015–2024 than under the climate conditions of 1950–1979. #demography #mortality doi.org/10.1016/j.eh...

How many siblings does a recently born child in China likely have? @demography.bsky.social etal have estimated global kinship by age since 1950 and can answer the question (and a million others). Check out their results as interactive heatmaps on demoscapes.org. demoscapes.org/collections/...

Across Europe, there’s loud talk about boosting fertility. But first, the decline needs to be stopped. #demography #fertility #Hungary #Poland #EU #Germany

While men used to have higher fertility than women globally, this has reversed, and women have and will have a higher fertility rate than men. Excellent research: www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even...

Every now and then, it is worth revisiting past projections. Five years on, the gap between our projection and the observed population in Hungary is just 0.4% in 2026. This is a strong signal that the long-term outlook of about 8.5 million by 2050 is on track. demografia.hu/kiadvanyokon...

Foreign-born residents now make up 14% of the EU27 population, up from 10% a decade ago. Luxembourg is in a league of its own (52%), followed by Malta (32%), Cyprus (28%), and Ireland (23%). The lowest shares are found in post-communist countries: Poland (3%), Bulgaria (4%), and Slovakia (4%).

The female surplus in Hungary has declined from 501K to 321K since 2010, falling from 5.0% to 3.4% of the total population. A narrowing life expectancy gap and selective migration likely play a role. #demography #population #Hungary #migration

Population increased in two-thirds of EU countries from 2024 to 2025. Hungary recorded the second-largest population decline (−0.5%). Overall, the EU’s population grew by 0.3%. #demography #population #EU #Poland #Hungary #Germany

Only 8.5% receive it. Among Hungarian households that need long-term care, just 8.5% receive professional home care services — the third-lowest rate in the EU. The EU average is 28.3%. #demography #Hungary #population

Despite later childbearing and the spread of IVF, the share of women aged 40–44 giving birth in Hungary has remained essentially unchanged over the past decade. #demography #population #fertility #Hungary

A longer interview with me about Hungary’s demographic prospects— particularly for those who understand Hungarian, or simply enjoy the melody of the language. #demograph #population #Hungary youtu.be/gidRUKZrCl4?...

Even with the “magical” 2.1 fertility rate, Hungary’s population would fall from 9.6M to 8.6M by 2050 (assuming unchanged life expectancy and zero migration). Why? Age structure: too few couples are in their reproductive ages. #demography #population #Hungary #fertility

The sex ratio at birth varies markedly across regions, most notably in Asia, where fertility policies combined with son preference have distorted the natural balance. #demography #fertility #Asia #Europe #population

Up to one-fifth of the population has been lost to net migration, the balance of immigration and emigration, in some newer EU member states over three decades. The Baltic countries and parts of the Balkans have been particularly hard hit. Source: doi.org/10.1111/padr... #demography #migration

While housing poverty affects some 2-3 million people in Hungary, 12.5 % of the total housing stock was vacant. It means that more than 570,000 dwellings were unoccupied. #demography #Hungary #poverty #housing Source: www.habitat.org/emea/newsroo...

While most European populations have continued to age, Germany has seen a modest but steady decline in its median age. Immigration may be one of the key drivers. #demography #Germany #France #population #Ageing

Life expectancy growth in Hungary has clearly slowed. Gains in the past decade were just one-third of those achieved in the previous decade. The deceleration was stronger among women, leading to a narrowing gender gap. #demography #Hungary #population #ageing

Births from in vitro fertilization (IVF) now account for 4% of all births in Hungary. That is more than 3,000 babies. #demography #population #fertilty #maternity #Hungary

Fertility rates in Poland have fallen in villages and cities alike. The long-term rural–urban convergence is remarkable. #demography #population #fertility #Poland #Cities

Hungary’s population fell to 9.49 million by January 1, 2026, the same level observed in 1952. #demography #population #Hungary

Hungary’s fertility rate fell from 1.51 to 1.31 in just two years. Births dropped sharply: from 85,000 in 2023 to 72,000 in 2025. #demography #population #fertility #Hungary

Child and youth psychiatric care in Hungary has doubled since 2011. Three factors may have contributed: (1) rising mental-health needs, (2) improved monitoring and diagnosis, and (3) greater use of specialist care. #Hungary #children #MentalHealthMatters

Births in Budapest declined sharply by nearly 25% over the past two years in the January–September period, far exceeding the already large 16% decline at the national level in Hungary. #demography #fertility #Budapest #Hungary

Suicide rates in Hungary remain alarmingly high above age 50. At the oldest ages, mortality is nearly 1.5× higher than in any regional peer. #demography #Hungary #Poland #Romania

Fathers tend to be 3–4 years older than mothers, a gap that has remained stable over the last decade in Hungary. Three decades ago, the average age at childbirth was about 26 for women and 29 for men; today it is roughly 31 and 34. #demography #fertility #motherhood #Hungary

An unforgettable moment discussing my research with James J. Heckman, Nobel Prize–winning economist, and Ronald Lee, co-author of the Lee–Carter model, a cornerstone of modern mortality forecasting. #demography #fertility youtu.be/KuhbmK98i38?...

It is a great honor to present my current research on population change at the Mini Conference organized by the Center for the Economics of Human Development at the University of Chicago, under the leadership of Nobel laureate James Heckman @heckmanequation.bsky.social. #demography

Births fluctuate, but over five decades fertility in the EU27 was remarkably similar: almost all countries had a total fertility rate between 1.5 and 1.9. Ireland was the exception, at 2.4. #demography #fertility #EU27 #Ireland #Poland #Germany

Thrilled to see the population-change decomposition method I developed now applied in the @EBRD Transition Report 2025–26, Brave New World.😃😃 EBRD report: www.ebrd.com/home/news-an... My publication: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/pa…

Hungary’s fertility rate fell to 1.31 in the first ten months of the year, down from 1.62 four years ago. Combined with a shrinking reproductive-age population, this meant 17 thousand fewer births than in 2021. #demography #population #Hungary #fertility #maternity

Sex ratio at birth hit a new record last year in Hungary. The number of newborn boys per 100 girls jumped above 107. While boys are the majority at birth, their share gradually declines, by the time people reach their 50s, women become the majority. #demography #population #fertility #birth

One in five people eligible to vote in next year’s Hungarian election was too young to vote in 2010. Nearly 2 million people have died since then, leading to a 20% turnover in the voting-age population between 2010 and 2026. #demography #population #Hungary #Election2026

The Baltic countries lost a quarter of their population between 1990 and 2020. While net migration was the main driver, below-replacement fertility reduced their populations by about one tenth. Details: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/... #demography #Population #Estonia #Lithuania #Latvia

The young age profile fully offset population losses from negative migration in Central and Eastern Europe between 1990 and 2020. Population Council just featured my Population and Development Review paper in a short summary! #demography #migration #Poland popcouncil.org/insight/driver…

South Korea’s dramatic fertility decline over the past 25 years has been driven mainly by falling birth rates among women aged 25–29. Since 2012, fertility among those aged 30–34 has also dropped sharply. #demography #fertility #SouthKorea #population

The age pattern of divorce among men has flattened over the past 25 years. Around the millennium, the risk of divorce fell sharply with age; today in Hungary, it’s nearly the same from 25 to 55. The same pattern holds for women. #demography #divorce #motherhood #Hungary #marriage

📢My paper is out in Population and Development Review.😀Central and Eastern Europe’s population change isn’t just about fertility, mortality, and migration — the age structure also an important factor. #demography #ageing #fertility #Hungary #Poland #Romania #migration doi.org/10.1111/padr...

White and Black Americans are hit harder by the US opioid crisis than Hispanics. In 2023, overdoses claimed 107,000 lives, over 75% tied to opioids. A new study says the surge is mainly supply-driven. #demography #US #America link.springer.com/article/10.1...

Over the last two decades, Romania, Czechia and Slovakia cut their life expectancy gap with the EU27. But Hungary, Poland and Bulgaria remain stuck — showing little convergence. #demography #lifespan #Poland #Hungary #Romania

Great honour to present my research at the Annual Conference of the British Society for Population Studies in Swansea — in the session with the undeniably sexy name: Innovations in Formal and Mathematical Demography. 🤓 #Demography #BSPS25 @bspsuk.bsky.social

Fertility boom in Kazakhstan should receive more attention: TFR increased from 1.9 to 3.3 over two decades. This seems to be an example of a reversed fertility transition, with rising progressions to higher-order births and little fertility postponement. link.springer.com/article/10.1... #fertility

Below-replacement fertility can have very different outcomes. With a TFR of about 1 (as in China or Malta), the third generation is only one-quarter the size of the first. With a TFR of about 1.7 (as in Bulgaria or Romania), it is three-quarters the size. #demography #fertility #population