Since launching the fundraising yesterday, we have raised around $125 over the past 24 hours, which is unfortunately far less than needed. I’m sharing this post again to gain more traction. Thank you for your support.

Our latest investigation into the supply of industrial equipment to Russia from Taiwan and Europe has been noticed in Taiwan, and we hope it will lead to actions. I am grateful to everyone who supports us, as our work would be impossible without your donations. Please consider supporting our efforts

Our team has recently published a major investigation into the expansion of Russian artillery production, with several more reports coming soon. To support our work, we are launching a small fundraiser for the coming month and invite you to support through donations: buymeacoffee.com/frontelligence

Russia’s war in Ukraine has increasingly become a war of drones, but artillery still plays a key role on the battlefield. Newly obtained documents from 2014 to 2025 show that Russia continues to modernize its artillery production using industrial machinery from Europe. 🧵Thread:

Reading English-language commentary on Japan’s recent elections is quite an amusing experience, as people often project American political issues onto a completely different country, focusing and debating on issues that are not even top-5 priorities to Japanese voters

You might have wondered whether our team has paused analytical updates. Absolutely not. We have been working on several major probes, and the first, looking at the growth of artillery production sites and showing strong reliance on Western machinery, will be published tomorrow

In today’s Vatnik Soup, made together with chef invité @martinlaineolen.bsky.social , we discuss the extensive links between pedophile sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein and Russian officials and intelligence operatives, and how Western politicians reinforced these links. 1/23

For years, an online meme phrase spread in the Ukrainian segment of internet, saying that a pedophile lobby was working against Ukraine. Seeing how many anti-Ukrainian figures show up in the Epstein files, from US elites to officials in Slovakia, it no longer feels like a joke

Forget politicians and billionaires being tied to a pedophile network, the real crisis and a reason for outrage is a guy kicking a taillight at a protest.

I know that when I say uncomfortable things about US actions, both toward allies and internally, I lose some support from conservative circles in the U.S. But that doesn’t matter to me, because being on the right side of history and standing with the Americans who stood with us is far more important

People who consistently ignore the Epstein files are suddenly very concerned about strict obedience to the law when it involves a man who shielded a woman who had just been pushed to the ground by an agent. Should we expect the same insistence on following the law when it comes to the Epstein files?

Residents of Greenland must be thrilled, dreaming of becoming part of a country where masked police shoot you.

For years, American conservatives have preached about the 2nd Amendment, open carry, and federal authority, yet when a US citizen is shot by federal law enforcement, they rush to conclusions before any investigation has even begun. It has always been about hollow partisanship

Tomorrow, the Russian invasion of Ukraine will reach 1,418 days, the exact same number of days as the German invasion of the Soviet Union, from the border crossing on June 22nd to the official proclamation of Victory on May 9th and capitulation of Berlin.

Saying this without judging religions or ideological beliefs as such, I find a dark amusement in watching millions who claim to be devout Christians and defenders of traditional family values cheer for the death of a woman, strip protections from the needy, separate families, and celebrate wars

DNI - Do Not Invite Tulsi Gabbard

I think it is also important for Greenlanders to stay cautious on their way to the doctor, as they might accidentally obstruct the work of a law enforcement agent and get shot

Reuters reports that U.S. officials have discussed offering lump sum payments of $10,000 to $100,000 to Greenland residents as an incentive to secede from Denmark. It might cover two or maybe even three hospital visits in the U.S., depending on coverage plan, networks, and luck

Regarding the seizure of Russian tankers, the Russians believed that flying the Russian flag and sending a submarine, would deter the US. I wish we still had the Biden administration’s support for Ukraine, combined with Trump’s resolve to act boldly in such situations. No nuclear war followed

Russia is slowly but steadily reducing itself to a regional power, closer to Pakistan than to any global peer. It is not there yet, given its nuclear triad and remaining leverage, but in the years ahead Russians will face a far less enviable geopolitical position

As American forces seized the sanctioned Russian-flagged tanker Marinera, formerly Bella 1, Putin’s bravado vanished. He has remained silent since his friend and ally Maduro was dragged out of his bedroom like a naughty toddler and deposited in a New York courtroom

After the Cold War, the US itself closed or sharply downsized many military facilities in Greenland, including Sondrestrom Air Base and early-warning radar sites. Denmark remained a loyal ally, and did not object to US presence. Claims of Danish security neglect are fallacious.

Few thoughts on the Greenland saga, summarized in a short thread. Some of these points have already sparked debate on X, but after Miller’s speech, I am even more convinced. 🧵Thread 1/ First and foremost, Denmark is not only a member of the EU, but also a founding member of NATO.

When I said last year that the average American MAGA supporter closely resembles a Russian vatnik in both mindset and ideology, I meant it seriously.

██████████████, ██████████████. Thank you for your attention to this matter. MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN! ███████████

Thank you to everyone who has donated. We were able to get close to our target, but we are still short of some funds. Please consider supporting us so we can put out more quality investigations in January.

For the past month, we have published 3 unique investigations, including exclusive data on Mi-8 production, Indian recruits in the Russian army, and desertions Much more is coming after the New Year. Meanwhile, we ask you to support our ongoing researches: buymeacoffee.com/frontelligence

NEW: US, Ukrainian, and European officials reportedly agreed on unspecified security guarantees for Ukraine during a peace negotiation meeting in Berlin on December 15. Read the full Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 15, 2025: isw.pub/UkrWar121525 More Key Takeaways ⬇️ (1/4)

For the past month, we have published 3 unique investigations, including exclusive data on Mi-8 production, Indian recruits in the Russian army, and desertions Much more is coming after the New Year. Meanwhile, we ask you to support our ongoing researches: buymeacoffee.com/frontelligence

Incredible operation: The Ukrainian Security Service (SSU) attacked a Russian Kilo-class submarine in the Novorossiysk seaport using an underwater drone known as “Sub Sea Baby.” According to the official SSU statement, the submarine sustained critical damage.

Merz sitting alongside the Ukrainian delegation during negotiations with American envoys is a great example of the role of individual personality in history. Imagine how different the situation might be if Scholz were still in power.

Have you noticed how “corruption” is a constant media buzzword in articles about Ukraine, yet rarely comes up when discussing the current administration? Many things the Trump administration did would be considered exorbitant even by today’s Ukrainian “corruption standards”.

At first, the Trump administration cut USAID and military aid to Ukraine, reducing existing programs to a minimum. Then it imposed tariffs on the EU. Now it acts surprised that it has little leverage in negotiations, as all sides ignore Trump’s sporadic demands and tantrums

Look at the latest DeepState map. Now look at what I said last month. Then look at the map again. Many people were shocked by my assessment at the time, but as often happens, it turned out to be correct.

Analysis: New Data Suggests Russia Is Sustaining Mi-8 Output Despite Wartime Losses According to non-public Russian procurement documents obtained and analyzed by the Frontelligence Insight team, current Mi-8 production appears sufficient to offset wartime losses. 🧵Thread:

Considering that I was largely correct about how the war in Ukraine would develop and where Europe would eventually find itself, I will allow myself to share a few thoughts on how I see things unfolding for us in the future:

After reading the 2025 U.S. National Security Strategy, seeing Scott Bessent say that the US remains an ally of China, and reading Musk call for dismantling the EU, I just want to scream into the void, because it feels like we are sliding back into late 19th century imperialism led by a kakistocrats

On November 29, 2025, UAVs from the GUR "Prymary" unit carried out strikes on radars and missile launchers in Donbas. The following assets were reportedly targeted: - A 9A83 launcher from an S-300V battery on combat duty - Two high-value 1L125 "Niobium-SV" radar stations

The Russian-flagged tanker MIDVOLGA-2, sailing from Russia to Georgia with a load of sunflower oil, reported that it was attacked 80 miles (130 km) off the Turkish coast, but its 13 crew members were unharmed, Turkey's maritime authority said on Tuesday.

a big deal on the geopolitics around Ukraine — we’ve found a Chinese drone supplier taking a stake in a Russian military supply company: www.ft.com/content/e907...

The official website of the President of Ukraine has published Presidential Decree №868/2025 on the dismissal of A. Yermak from the position of Head of the Presidential Office, dated 28 November 2025.

BREAKING: Andriy Yermak has submitted his resignation as Head of the Presidential Office. This was announced by Volodymyr Zelensky in his video address.

Ukraine’s National Anti-Corruption Bureau has confirmed on its Facebook page that it is conducting authorized searches involving the head of the Presidential Office, saying the actions are part of an active investigation.

Breaking: The Ukrainian outlet Ukrainska Pravda reports that NABU and SAP are conducting searches targeting Presidential Office head Andriy Yermak in the government district on the morning of 28 November

Many cite desertion figures to point at a crisis in the Ukrainian army. Our team, Frontelligence Insight, after consulting with mobilization officers and reviewing data, found that while desertions are high, the actual numbers are lower than quoted: frontelligence.substack.com/p/inside-ukr...

Most know Kirill Dmitriev as the Russian president’s envoy. But to more than 200 investors in Ukraine, he is known for taking part in a Kyiv real estate project that ended in a fraud and criminal case. Using articles from 2011, I was able to find more details. 🧵Thread:

Outdoor Live Rave Party. Novorossiisk, 2025

The video is claimed to be from Russia’s Krasnodar Krai (The location and timing have not been independently verified yet) Rate the accuracy of the air-defense fire and the safety of conducting such fire in densely populated urban areas

Most know Kirill Dmitriev as the Russian president’s envoy. But to more than 200 investors in Ukraine, he is known for taking part in a Kyiv real estate project that ended in a fraud and criminal case. Using articles from 2011, I was able to find more details. 🧵Thread:

The current mess in DC only signals to Beijing that the US lacks unity, organization, and strategic vision to handle an even larger conflict, as the Pacific region is likely to become. Bombing Iran after Israel's SEAD or running masculine army ads doesn’t compensate for it