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Thank you to everyone who has donated. We were able to get close to our target, but we are still short of some funds. Please consider supporting us so we can put out more quality investigations in January.

For the past month, we have published 3 unique investigations, including exclusive data on Mi-8 production, Indian recruits in the Russian army, and desertions Much more is coming after the New Year. Meanwhile, we ask you to support our ongoing researches: buymeacoffee.com/frontelligence

NEW: US, Ukrainian, and European officials reportedly agreed on unspecified security guarantees for Ukraine during a peace negotiation meeting in Berlin on December 15. Read the full Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 15, 2025: isw.pub/UkrWar121525 More Key Takeaways ⬇️ (1/4)

For the past month, we have published 3 unique investigations, including exclusive data on Mi-8 production, Indian recruits in the Russian army, and desertions Much more is coming after the New Year. Meanwhile, we ask you to support our ongoing researches: buymeacoffee.com/frontelligence

Incredible operation: The Ukrainian Security Service (SSU) attacked a Russian Kilo-class submarine in the Novorossiysk seaport using an underwater drone known as “Sub Sea Baby.” According to the official SSU statement, the submarine sustained critical damage.

Merz sitting alongside the Ukrainian delegation during negotiations with American envoys is a great example of the role of individual personality in history. Imagine how different the situation might be if Scholz were still in power.

Have you noticed how “corruption” is a constant media buzzword in articles about Ukraine, yet rarely comes up when discussing the current administration? Many things the Trump administration did would be considered exorbitant even by today’s Ukrainian “corruption standards”.

At first, the Trump administration cut USAID and military aid to Ukraine, reducing existing programs to a minimum. Then it imposed tariffs on the EU. Now it acts surprised that it has little leverage in negotiations, as all sides ignore Trump’s sporadic demands and tantrums

Look at the latest DeepState map. Now look at what I said last month. Then look at the map again. Many people were shocked by my assessment at the time, but as often happens, it turned out to be correct.

Analysis: New Data Suggests Russia Is Sustaining Mi-8 Output Despite Wartime Losses According to non-public Russian procurement documents obtained and analyzed by the Frontelligence Insight team, current Mi-8 production appears sufficient to offset wartime losses. 🧵Thread:

Considering that I was largely correct about how the war in Ukraine would develop and where Europe would eventually find itself, I will allow myself to share a few thoughts on how I see things unfolding for us in the future:

After reading the 2025 U.S. National Security Strategy, seeing Scott Bessent say that the US remains an ally of China, and reading Musk call for dismantling the EU, I just want to scream into the void, because it feels like we are sliding back into late 19th century imperialism led by a kakistocrats

On November 29, 2025, UAVs from the GUR "Prymary" unit carried out strikes on radars and missile launchers in Donbas. The following assets were reportedly targeted: - A 9A83 launcher from an S-300V battery on combat duty - Two high-value 1L125 "Niobium-SV" radar stations

The Russian-flagged tanker MIDVOLGA-2, sailing from Russia to Georgia with a load of sunflower oil, reported that it was attacked 80 miles (130 km) off the Turkish coast, but its 13 crew members were unharmed, Turkey's maritime authority said on Tuesday.

a big deal on the geopolitics around Ukraine — we’ve found a Chinese drone supplier taking a stake in a Russian military supply company: www.ft.com/content/e907...

The official website of the President of Ukraine has published Presidential Decree №868/2025 on the dismissal of A. Yermak from the position of Head of the Presidential Office, dated 28 November 2025.

BREAKING: Andriy Yermak has submitted his resignation as Head of the Presidential Office. This was announced by Volodymyr Zelensky in his video address.

Ukraine’s National Anti-Corruption Bureau has confirmed on its Facebook page that it is conducting authorized searches involving the head of the Presidential Office, saying the actions are part of an active investigation.

Breaking: The Ukrainian outlet Ukrainska Pravda reports that NABU and SAP are conducting searches targeting Presidential Office head Andriy Yermak in the government district on the morning of 28 November

Many cite desertion figures to point at a crisis in the Ukrainian army. Our team, Frontelligence Insight, after consulting with mobilization officers and reviewing data, found that while desertions are high, the actual numbers are lower than quoted: frontelligence.substack.com/p/inside-ukr...

Most know Kirill Dmitriev as the Russian president’s envoy. But to more than 200 investors in Ukraine, he is known for taking part in a Kyiv real estate project that ended in a fraud and criminal case. Using articles from 2011, I was able to find more details. 🧵Thread:

Outdoor Live Rave Party. Novorossiisk, 2025

The video is claimed to be from Russia’s Krasnodar Krai (The location and timing have not been independently verified yet) Rate the accuracy of the air-defense fire and the safety of conducting such fire in densely populated urban areas

Most know Kirill Dmitriev as the Russian president’s envoy. But to more than 200 investors in Ukraine, he is known for taking part in a Kyiv real estate project that ended in a fraud and criminal case. Using articles from 2011, I was able to find more details. 🧵Thread:

The current mess in DC only signals to Beijing that the US lacks unity, organization, and strategic vision to handle an even larger conflict, as the Pacific region is likely to become. Bombing Iran after Israel's SEAD or running masculine army ads doesn’t compensate for it

Bipolar Geopolitical ADHD map: making Canada a state, then annex Greenland, slapping tariffs on penguins in the McDonald Islands, calling Zelensky a dictator, threatening to bomb Mexico but bombing Iran, praising Zelensky, pressuring Russia, threatening Venezuela and Nigeria, appeasing Russia

24-Point Epstein Peace Plan

President Donald Trump this week approved a 28-point Russia-Ukraine peace plan that senior administration officials developed in recent weeks in consultation with Russian envoy Kirill Dmitriev and Ukrainian officials, a senior administration official told NBC News.

In November, the Indian Ministry of External Affairs reported that 44 Indian nationals were serving in the Russian army. Frontelligence Insight obtained and reviewed data that shows the real number is higher. At least 146 Indian citizens have signed contracts. 🧵Thread:

Thanks to your support, we’re starting to release our investigation findings and reports. First up: Indian citizens in the Russian army data, including names and KIA A quick reminder about our ongoing fundraiser: we’ve raised $1,663.38 of the $2,500 goal so far: buymeacoffee.com/frontelligence

This isn’t a scene from Mad Max: Furiosa - it’s more like Mad Maxim: Alcohosa, featuring Russian assault troops in Pokrovsk rolling in on hacked-up motorcycles and jery-rigged civilian trucks

A truly infernal video has surfaced from attack by Ukrainian forces yesterday, on the Tuapse seaport. The massive explosion points to a serious payload carried by an USV. Extra credit goes to the cameraman, who happened to be in the right place at the right time

As of the morning of November 9, photos and videos surfaced showing damage to the Voronezh Thermal Power Plant No. 1, hit by Ukrainian forces. According to local media, the facility is the main supplier of heating for homes and to more than a thousand businesses in Voronezh

Just wondering if there’s been any progress on Doge eliminating waste to stop debt growth, and if the U.S. has almost swapped income tax for tariff revenue yet? 🤭 👌

With a wave of new investigations and data expected in November and December, we’re currently running a fundraiser. So far, we’ve raised $863.67 of our $2,500 goal - about 35%. Please consider supporting our work via PayPal, Buy Me a Coffee, or BTC: buymeacoffee.com/frontelligence

On November 6, Ukrainian drones struck targets in Volgograd, causing a fire at Lukoil’s oil refinery. The refinery has suspended operations following the attack, according to sources cited by Reuters. Earlier, Reuters reported that oil operations in Tuapse had also been halted

With a wave of new investigations and data expected in November and December, we’re currently running a fundraiser. So far, we’ve raised $863.67 of our $2,500 goal - about 35%. Please consider supporting our work via PayPal, Buy Me a Coffee, or BTC: buymeacoffee.com/frontelligence

It’s 2025, and Angelina Jolie has been closer to the frontlines than Vladimir Putin ever was

Ukraine has launched a series of successful large-scale strikes across Russia tonight. As of November 6, multiple hits are confirmed. 🧵Thread: 1. A major fire was caught on video at the Kostromskaya thermal power plant in Volgorechensk, over 730 km from the Ukrainian border.

According to Russian milblogger Fighterbomber, who has a wide network within the Russian Air Force, an Il-76 was shot down in Sudan on November 4 by the Rapid Support Forces. According to him, the aircraft had been purchased in Kyrgyzstan a month and a half ago for $12 million The crew was Russian.

Over the past month, we’ve released exclusive investigations on foreign mercenaries from Africa in Russia, the planned bridge between Russia and North Korea, and Moscow’s tank production plans. We’re not stopping: more exclusives are coming this month, and we need your support:

Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence released a video compilation of combat operations in the Zaporizhzhia and Lyman sectors over the past week, showing a series of ambushes, assaults through wooded areas, the capture of prisoners, drone strikes, and other battlefield actions.

Another sleepless night for Russia, as Ukrainian forces continue their deep-strike campaign, now a new element of daily life in the country. Ukraine successfully hit multiple important targets tonight 🧵Thread: 1. Video showing the aftermath of the attack on the refinery in Kstovo, Nizhny Novgorod:

According to the Telegram channel Dossier of Spy, an attack on Tuapse’s Black Sea port using 12 UAVs destroyed the vessel Nord, ignited fires on 4 tankers, including Pollux (40000 tons) and Chai (56000 tons) of petroleum products, damaged port equipment and a transport pipeline:

For those who inquired, we’ve now added a PayPal donation option. Your support toward our goal for this month and early December would be deeply appreciated, as it will help us continue developing several major projects that require additional resources www.paypal.com/donate/?host...

Over the past month, we’ve released exclusive investigations on foreign mercenaries from Africa in Russia, the planned bridge between Russia and North Korea, and Moscow’s tank production plans. We’re not stopping: more exclusives are coming this month, and we need your support:

Russia and North Korea are set to complete their first road bridge next year, boosting economic and military ties. Read our full report on progress, impact, and potential traffic volume, with the latest satellite imagery: frontelligence.substack.com/p/russianort...

North Korea and Russia are rapidly building their first road bridge to enhance logistics and expand military and economic ties. Frontelligence Insight has analyzed satellite imagery and project documents to estimate its completion and potential impact. 🧵Thread:

Alongside dozens of videos showing the mass execution of civilians, including women, children, and medical staff, new satellite imagery analyzed for the 2nd consecutive day by HRL_YaleSPH reveals atrocities by Sudan’s Rapid Support Forces so extensive they are visible from orbit