Dick Cheney got sent to Lucifer, Zohran won the Mamdate, Latinos went dark woke, Pelosi retired, and Sandwich guy walks free. The Week of Woke 2 continues.

great day for the legal theory of "not guilty if it's funny enough"

If I’m a republican, the thing I would be worried about right now is whether Trump’s actions in the past year have done permanent damage to Latino voters, cause a 30-40 point swing in one year is a lot more than just a vibe shift.

A smallish nitpick I have is the idea that NYC is a uniquely far-left part of the country. And sure, there’s parts of the city that are as leftist as you’ll find anywhere in the country (see: Bushwick), but NYC is a big place! It’s bigger than most states! And there’s lots of moderates/republicans!

This entire election can be summarized with this one map. The Upper East Side and the incredibly wealthy 57th-79th street area voted **heavily** for Cuomo The further uptown you go, the lower the average income is. By the time you hit 96th street and East Harlem, you’re in Zohran territory.

Okay enough with the fun @chiosse.bsky.social time to announce the primary challenge

Mikie Sherrill improved over Kamala Harris’ margins in every single county. All of them. Every. Single. One.

Brad Lander is at the victory party and, folks, he has the custom one-of-one “GOOD FUCKING RIDDANCE” shirt.

Zohran

New map of the cool parts of NYC just dropped.

Woke 2: Electric Boogaloo

Most of the remaining vote in NYC looks pretty favorable to Zohran. The Mamdate seems likely to survive.

Sherrill might not be done yet. Most of the outstanding vote looks pretty favorable to her. She might expand her lead even further.

LETSGOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Septum piercings rise up

MIDDLESEX D+29?????dbjwl b Vsnskk

Cumtown for DNC Chair

Decision Desk predicting Eric Adams will NOT be the next mayor of NYC

The wine has been opened and poured

CAPE MAY R+1??????!!!!!!!???!!?!?!??

BERGEN D+21???!???!!!!!!???

SHERRILL

SURFS UP FAM

Virginia, plz

I am hearing that on his deathbed Dick Cheney received the light of Islam and unhesitatingly recited the Shahada.

This is the Avengers Endgame for bisexuals

I really can’t overstate how much of a flop the Bronx has been for Cuomo. Every other borough is on pace to hit 65%+ of ‘24 turnout, and the Bronx might not even get to 55%.

Really good sign for Mikie Sherrill in Somerset. Somerset indies leaned D in 2024 by 60/40 margins. Looking like Sherrill is up about 20 points here as of 10am. D+14 in ‘24.

First batch of E-Day check-ins. 190k votes through the first 3 hours. On pace for 1m E-Day votes. Very concerning turnout signs for Cuomo in Bronx/Staten Island, his strongest boroughs. They make up about 20% of NYC voters but only made up 15% of the early vote, and only 17% of E-Day thus far.

Polls close in 14 hours

LETSGOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Hate to make predictions but I feel this one in my bones: 🔵 SHERRILL - 57% 🔴 CIATARELLI - 43% Total Margin: D+300k Bergen the Bellwether (D+23 EV) tells no lies. Highly motivated Dem voters + low turnout conservative indies revert NJ back to 2020 margins.

Ciatarelli’s best path to victory requires 3 elements that each seem highly unlikely: 1. Win the early independent vote 65/35, which would narrow Sherrill’s EV margin to 200k (Trump won independents last year by only 60/40). 2. Get E-Day turnout of around 1m (only 1.2m voted on E-Day in ‘24).

Whoops, I lied. Another 136k votes dropped earlier today. This batch broke for Sherrill by 17%, increasing her total party ID lead to 290k. More bad news for Ciattarelli as the late EV turnout is not breaking in his favor.

Early voting in New Jersey has finished and it’s all good news for Mikie Sherrill. Last year, Dems had an 11-point margin in the early vote by party ID. This year, they walk into Election Day with a 22-point margin, and Sherrill has at least a 200k vote lead to work with.

Ciatarelli’s issues in the New Jersey early vote are three-fold: One, Sherrill is getting significantly better turnout margins by party-ID in both mail ballots and early in-person than Kamala did last year Two, independent voters (R-leaning in NJ) are making up a much smaller % of the electorate

Big shift happening in Hudson County, New Jersey. The county shifted from D+46 in ‘20 to D+28 in ‘24. Kamala won the total early vote here by 40 points. Right now, Sherrill has a 61-point advantage by party ID. Hudson County looks like it’s reverting back to 2020 margins.

Really good news for Mikie Sherrill in Bergen County, which swing from D+17 in ‘20 to D+4 in ‘24. Kamala won the early vote here by 7 points in ‘24. Currently a **D+25** margin by party ID. Even if the indie vote is breaking for Ciattarelli 60/40, he is lagging behind ‘24 margins by 13 points.

A big red flag for Ciattarelli here in Ocean County, the biggest GOP county by far in NJ. Trump won this county by 36 points in ‘24, and won the early in-person vote by 48 points. Ciattarelli needed to at least match these margins or better to have a realistic shot at winning the state.

A really good sign for @mikiesherrill.bsky.social. Dems were +1.5% in early vote turnout in 2024. Through the first weekend of 2025 they are +3.4% newjerseymonitor.com/briefs/nj-ea...

Each boroughs turnout on Day 1 of early voting as a % of their total 2021 early vote: Staten Island - 70.7% Queens - 54% Manhattan - 39.6% Bronx - 37.8% Brooklyn - 33.7% Interested to see how this shifts over the next week or so, but a wild day from Staten Island, albeit only 7% of the total.

Not enough of you believe me right now, but "Rebuild The White House" is going to become one of the most popular slogans in American political history

the president of the united states wants to use the american military to kill american citizens on american soil. that's the whole story!