And the freestyle causal inference top Play of the Week goes to the @economist.com Charlemagne piece on Europeans needing to work more

I have long puzzled about the AI investment boom. Here's a model for it: www.gojiberries.io/picks-shovel...

I wrote a whole paper about revisions! They are a statistical best practice but can erode public trust in institutions. Governments don't revise their data unless they're forced to - which is why revisions are more prevalent among democracies (see Ireland, Greece) www.iasmingoes.com/papers/Goes-...

just like buying a new empty notebook, switching todo apps will *definitely* make me more productive

This was a fun paper to write and we are very grateful for the recognition!

Asked ChatGPT how to expand a data frame with a categorical variable and count. Thought it was hallucinating when it suggested `uncount()`, but nope! It's a legit #tidyverse function. Reverse a count with grouped `uncount()`. Love it!

If you want to study 'TV news' (for which ideally you should get the images), here are the transcripts from archive.org github.com/notnews/arch...

Happy 25th anniversary to R 1.0.0! 📊👩‍💻⌨️🎉🍾

Yesterday brought 18°C in Cologne (DE), which is 3°C above the previous record temperature for a 24th of November. This made me revisit a map I made last year. Most of 2024 has been warmer than the long-term average for Germany from 1961-1990. #30DayMapChallenge Day 25 Heat #rstats #ClimateChange

Good morning colleagues. CSU Political Science is hiring in American Politics/Political Communication. App deadline is 9/8. Tell your friends. Here's the APSA eJobs listing: members.apsanet.org/CAREERS/eJobs/… Or direct to CSU: jobs.colostate.edu/postings/148354 Happy to answer questions.

Hey #polisky, we are hiring in American Politics at Colorado State! Great colleagues, wonderful state, 350 miles of bike lanes, and over 300 days of sunshine. We have a great group studying AP, behavior and CSS more generally. There also is an HPC available! jobs.colostate.edu/postings/148...

When oil revenue is high, Latin America has easier access to credit. You'd think states would seize this opportunity to borrow more. In a forthcoming World Development article that is open access until June 26, Stephen Kaplan and I show that they don't authors.elsevier.com/a/1j2gk,6yxD...

Polisky! In a new ISQ piece, Terry Chapman and I look at the effects of IMF surveillance on natural resource governance. We find that developing countries like Guyana are more likely to create natural resource funds when the IMF advises them to do so doi.org/10.1093/isq/...

#polisky Friends, I'm collecting job market resources for social science undergrads. I want to include examples of jobs that students can have with a social science BA, an intro stats course, and R coding skills. What are successful stories or job ads that I should include?

now tallying libraries used in replication files of **34** social science journals + support for python github.com/recite/softv... if stata mavens know how to tally imports in stata, let me know. (ssc install is not used frequently) w/ @danweitzel.net

Are you interested in democratic backsliding? With @honoratam.bsky.social and Joep van Lit we are organizing a workshop on "Early Signs of Democratic Recession in Established and Backsliding Democracies" Join us at the @ecpr.bsky.social joint sessions polisky ecpr.eu/Events/Event...

Polisky, check out this super cool resource: demscore.se "An innovative e-infrastructure providing free access to harmonized data from several of the world’s largest datasets on Democracy, Environment, Migration, Social Policy, Conflict, and Representation"

New Polisky working paper here: github.com/soodoku/part...

How much do Republicans and Democrats disagree about political facts? In the news, we can frequently find reports of large gaps in how partisans perceive the world. Wide and widening partisan gaps have serious implications for the functioning of our democratic systems! 1/7

Polisky people might be interested in this!

The design of threads here is absolutely amazing. This is so much better than at the bad place.

For #rstats users, {renv} now provides similar functionality to {groundhog}. With your script open in RStudio, simply call renv::embed() & a code snippet will be inserted at the top with the script's version-specific dependencies and the code to install them 🧪#stats rstudio.github.io/renv/referen...

If you don't use Netlify you can either change the DNS entry on the website of your Domain host or upload a txt file from the Bluesky settings (at Change handle) to your website.

Threads enabled ✅ Own domain as handle ✅

Hey polisky people, does anyone know about a recent summary of the frequency of methodological approaches used in comparative politics? Could be CP more broadly or what was published in CPS...

Excited to share this pre-print with the awesome Nicholas T. Davis here-long story short, the perceived legitimacy (diffuse support) for SCOTUS has durably sorted along party lines. Dobbs deepens a pre-existing trend. Other correlates of diffuse support have also sorted. Paper: psyarxiv.com/jq7fb

Which one are we going to do first? R vs Stata or the Linear Probability Model?