Econ Yap
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Your unfiltered look into the economy.
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Final US penny sets sold for $16.76 million at auction. Stackās Bowers Galleries sold 232 omega marked trios averaging $72,000. The US Mint lost $85.3 million making pennies in 2024 and halted production.
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A pretty penny: Last US cents sell for $16.7 million
The last circulating pennies sold for over $16.76 million in an auction on Thursday, according to Stackās Bowers Galleries.
https://abcnews.go.com/US/pretty-penny-us-cents-sell-167-million/story?id=128411587&cid=social_twitter_abcn&utm_social_post_id=624343884&utm_social_handle_id=28785486
about 8 hours ago
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President Trump will interview Fed Governor Christopher Waller on Wednesday as he weighs a new Fed chair. Trump already met Kevin Warsh and Kevin Hassett. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the President may decide in early January.
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Exclusive | Trump Set to Interview Fedās Christopher Waller for Chair
The president has indicated that Kevin Warsh and Kevin Hassett are the front-runners to succeed Jerome Powell next year.
https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/trump-set-to-interview-feds-christopher-waller-for-chair-a732faff
about 8 hours ago
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The Trump administration warned the EU it will retaliate over digital taxes on US tech. The Office of the US Trade Representative said it may hit firms like Accenture Plc, Siemens AG and Spotify Technology SA with fees.
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US Threatens to Retaliate Against EU Firms Over Digital Tax
The Trump administration threatened retaliation against the European Union in response to efforts to tax American tech companies, singling out prominent companies, including Accenture Plc, Siemens AG and Spotify Technology SA, as possible targets for new restrictions or fees.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-16/us-threatens-to-retaliate-against-eu-companies-over-digital-tax
about 9 hours ago
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Washington pauses a $40 billion Tech Prosperity Deal with Britain after concerns over UK digital rules and food standards. The pact agreed during President Trumpās state visit covers AI and quantum tech. The New York Times reports US frustration as talks drag on.
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US pauses implementation of $40 billion technology deal with Britain
The United States is stalling the implementation of a $40 billion technology agreement with Britain, officials said, following concerns in Washington over London's approach to digital regulation and food standards.
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/us-suspends-technology-deal-with-uk-ft-says-2025-12-16/
about 9 hours ago
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House Speaker Mike Johnson says he will not allow a vote to extend Affordable Care Act subsidies. The Covid era aid expires this month. Premiums will rise for millions next year. GOP leaders cite a $35 billion annual cost.
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House Republican leaders ditch vote on ACA funding, all but ensuring premiums will rise
Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., said Republicans worked on the issue throughout the weekend but could not come to an agreement with a group of members who want the funds extended.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/republicans-ditch-vote-obamacare-funding-premiums-rise-2026-rcna249521
about 9 hours ago
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Jonathan Levin argues the Fed is flying blind. He warns shutdown chaos warped US jobs data as unemployment rose to 4.6% and payrolls swung wildly. Levin says policymakers risk waiting too long as the labor market slips from weak to bad.
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The Fed Needs Clearer Jobs Data, ASAP
The US labor market may be moving from ānot greatā to āoutright bad.ā Unfortunately, a more definitive diagnosis will have to wait because the shutdown theatrics of the Washington political class have left us in a lingering data fog.
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-12-16/the-fed-needs-clearer-jobs-data-asap
about 9 hours ago
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Swiss Re Institute says global insured catastrophe losses hit $107 billion in 2025. Los Angeles Palisades Fire cost $40 billion. The US took 83% of losses. Swiss Re's Group Chief Economist JƩrƓme Jean Haegeli urges tighter underwriting as $100 billion losses persist.
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Global insured catastrophe losses set to hit $107 billion in 2025, report shows
Annual global insured losses from natural catastrophes are expected to hit $107 billion in 2025, driven by the Los Angeles wildfires and severe convective storms in parts of the United States, a Swiss Re Institute study showed on Tuesday.
https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/global-insured-catastrophe-losses-set-hit-107-billion-2025-report-shows-2025-12-16/
about 9 hours ago
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Citadel founder Ken Griffin says GOP tariff and immigration policies fuel inflation by shrinking the workforce, which pushes prices up. He says deregulation should boost productivity and cut inflation.
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Griffin Says GOP Policies on Tariffs, Immigration Fuel Inflation
The Republican party is grappling with policies on tariffs and immigration that are fueling inflation, but its emphasis on deregulation will ultimately help stem price increases, Citadel founder Ken Griffin said.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-16/griffin-says-gop-policies-on-tariffs-immigration-fuel-inflation
about 10 hours ago
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US business inventories rose 0.2% in September the Commerce Department said. Retail stocks rose 0.4% and auto inventories jumped 1.2%. Inventories likely boosted Q3 GDP.
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US business inventories increase slightly more than expected in September
U.S. business inventories increased slightly more than expected in September, suggesting inventories probably added to economic growth in the third quarter.
https://www.reuters.com/business/us-business-inventories-increase-slightly-more-than-expected-september-2025-12-16/
about 10 hours ago
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US business activity grew at the slowest pace in six months in December as price pressures surged to a three year high. Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said tariffs are pushing costs from manufacturing into services.
www.bloomberg.com/ne...
about 10 hours ago
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US importers scramble to protect refund rights as the Supreme Court reviews President Trump's tariffs. Importers paid $129 billion across 34 million entries. The Justice Department said it may recalculate and repay tariffs if the Supreme Court rules against the government.
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US Importers Weigh Legal Options for Possible Trump Tariff Refunds
The US high court has recessed for the holidays, signaling a ruling on tariffs no sooner than early January
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2025-12-16/supreme-court-and-trump-tariff-refunds
about 12 hours ago
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President Trump ordered the SEC to increase oversight of proxy advisory firms, including Institutional Shareholder Services and Glass Lewis. Analysts and attorneys warn the move could weaken shareholder rights, limit votes on CEO pay and boards, and shift power to executives.
about 12 hours ago
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Reuters finds 14 of the biggest US banks raised overdraft fee income 2% to $2.99 billion in nine months after Republicans killed a former President Joe Biden CFPB rule that would cap fees at $5.
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US overdraft fees jump at big banks amid regulatory, economic shifts
Fourteen of the largest U.S. retail banks posted jumps in the income they generated from overdraft and bounced-check fees during the first nine months of the year, while two big banks reported sharp declines, according to a Reuters analysis.
https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/boards-policy-regulation/us-overdraft-fees-jump-big-banks-amid-regulatory-economic-shifts-2025-12-16/
about 12 hours ago
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reposted by
Econ Yap
AmerEcona
about 13 hours ago
TOTAL BUSINESS SALES (SEPTEMBER) $1,947.5 BILLION MOM: 0.0% | YOY: +3.7% BUSINESS INVENTORIES (SEPTEMBER) $2,670.0 BILLION MOM: +0.2% | YOY: +1.2% INVENTORIES/SALES RATIO (SEPTEMBER) 1.37
www.census.gov/mtis/...
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Shadow banking surges. The Financial Stability Board says non banks now hold 51% of global assets or $256.8 trillion. The sector grew 9.4% last year, double banks. Regulators warn low transparency and weaker lending could threaten financial stability.
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'Shadow banking' growing at double the rate of traditional lenders, FSB says
The non-bank financial sector's share of global assets grew to 51%, or $256.8 trillion, last year and expanded at double the rate of the traditional banking industry, the Financial Stability Board said on Tuesday.
https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/boards-policy-regulation/shadow-banking-growing-double-rate-traditional-lenders-fsb-says-2025-12-16/
about 13 hours ago
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US employers added just 64,000 jobs in November, after payrolls fell 105,000 in October, BLS said. Unemployment rose to 4.6%, a four year high.
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US Payrolls Rise 64,000 After October Drop, Unemployment Up
US job growth remained sluggish in November and the unemployment rate rose to a four-year high, pointing to a continued cooling in the labor market after a weak October.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-16/us-payrolls-rise-64-000-after-october-drop-unemployment-rate-up?srnd=homepage-americas
about 14 hours ago
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reposted by
Econ Yap
AmerEcona
about 15 hours ago
RETAIL SALES (OCTOBER) $732.6 BILLION MOM: +0.0% | YOY: +3.5% CORE RETAIL SALES (OCTOBER) $595.4 BILLION MOM: +0.4% | YOY: +4.0%
www.census.gov/retai...
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reposted by
Econ Yap
AmerEcona
about 15 hours ago
NONFARM PAYROLLS (NOVERMBER) 64,000 UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (NOVERMBER) 4.6% LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION RATE (NOVERMBER) 62.5% AVERAGE HOURLY WAGES (NOVERMBER) $36.86 MOM: +0.1% | YOY: +3.5% AVERAGE WORKWEEK (NOVERMBER) 34.3 HOURS
www.bls.gov/news.rel...
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US unions shrink to 9.9% of workers, down from one third in the 1950s, per Bureau of Labor Statistics. Sharon Block of Harvard Law School says rising fear of corporate power revives labor. Veronique de Rugy of George Mason says unions now fail workers and keep declining.
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Can Labor Unions Recover? Two Experts Square Off
Sharon Block of Harvard Law School is optimistic about unionsā future. as a counterweight to corporations. Veronique de Rugy of George Mason says unions arenāt helping workers.
https://www.wsj.com/economy/jobs/labor-unions-experts-fdd21be5?mod=e2tw&utm_social_post_id=623879595&utm_social_handle_id=3108351
about 17 hours ago
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US energy bills jumped 13% in 2025 since President Trump took office, Climate Power reports using US Energy Information Administration data. The group links higher costs to canceled clean energy projects, rising data center demand, and Trumpās July spending bill.
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Energy bills in US have increased 13% since Trump took office, new report finds
The amount of money Americans are paying toward their energy bills has increased since President Donald Trump took office earlier this year, according to a new report.
https://abcnews.go.com/US/energy-bills-us-increased-13-trump-office-new/story?id=128346091&cid=social_twitter_abcn&utm_social_post_id=623811043&utm_social_handle_id=28785486
1 day ago
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US government launches US Tech Force to hire AI talent. OPM Director Scott Kupor plans to recruit 1,000 early career engineers and data scientists for a 2 year program. Salaries run $130,000 to $195,000 as President Trump pushes AI to modernize agencies.
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US government launches āTech Forceā to hire AI talent | CNN Business
The US government is launching an early career hiring and talent development program to bring more technology and artificial intelligence employees to the public sector, as part of the Trump administrationās efforts to modernize government systems and stay ahead in the global tech race.
https://www.cnn.com/2025/12/15/tech/government-tech-force-ai
1 day ago
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White House plans more historic mining deals. Jarrod Agen, executive director of the National Energy Dominance Council, says President Trump plans more equity stakes after MP Materials, Lithium Americas, and Trilogy Metals to boost U.S. critical minerals and cut China reliance.
1 day ago
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Kevin Hassett faces pushback as Federal Reserve chair pick. Sources say aides close to President Trump worry the National Economic Council director looks too close to Trump. Kalshi odds show Hassett at 41% down from 80%.
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Hassett's Fed chair candidacy received pushback from high-level people close to Trump, sources say
There's concern that the National Economic Council director is too close to the president.
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/15/hassetts-fed-chair-candidacy-received-pushback-from-high-level-people-close-to-trump-sources-say.html
1 day ago
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US homebuilder confidence rose in December as incentives spread. NAHB and Wells Fargo index hit the highest since April. 67% of builders used sales incentives and 40% cut prices. NAHB chief economist Robert Dietz warned high regulatory and material costs keep pressure on profits.
1 day ago
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EU Trade Commissioner Maros Sefcovic told Bloomberg the EU will not weaken tech rules under US pressure. He said Brussels protects tech sovereignty as the Trump administration ties steel and aluminum tariff relief to EU regulation changes.
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EU Trade Chief Defends Tech Rules Against US Pressure
EU trade chief Maros Sefcovic pushed back against US calls for the EU to water down tech rules
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2025-12-15/sefcovic-defends-eu-tech-regulation-in-us-trade-talks
1 day ago
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Supreme Court conservatives seem ready to back President Trump on firing FTC Commissioner Rebecca Slaughter, but they signal caution on the Federal Reserve. Trump fired Fed Governor Lisa Cook, sparking a January 21, 2026 showdown that tests Fed independence.
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With Fed independence in crosshairs, will Supreme Court back Trump again?
The court has cited what it calls unique qualities that distinguish the Federal Reserve from other agencies and leave it independent of direct presidential control.
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/with-fed-independence-crosshairs-will-supreme-court-back-trump-again-2025-12-13/
1 day ago
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Christmas shopping turns practical as inflation bites. Adobe Analytics data shows rising demand for essentials like appliances, clothing and cookware. Director of Adobe Digital Insights Vivek Pandya says shoppers buy necessities and cut back on traditional gifts.
www.washingtonpost.c...
1 day ago
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President Trump promised big tax refunds, but Adam Michel of the Cato Institute says most W-2 workers with no kids will see little change. Penn Wharton Budget Model finds middle income households gain about $650 while average refunds rise near $1,000 with higher earners capturing bigger deductions.
1 day ago
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Atlas Van Lines analyzed 107,000 interstate moves in 2025. Arkansas, Idaho and North Carolina led arrivals. Louisiana led exits again. Jack Griffin, CEO of Atlas World Group, says moves now skew toward lifestyle choices.
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Where people moved to (and from) in 2025
Hello, Arkansas ā goodbye, Louisiana.
https://www.axios.com/2025/12/15/moving-states-2025-map
1 day ago
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National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett said on Face the Nation that President Trump can offer advice on interest rates, but the Federal Reserve would decide rates independently.
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Hassett Says Trump Can Offer Fed Advice But Wonāt Set Its Action
National Economic Council head Kevin Hassett said heād consider President Donald Trumpās policy opinions if picked to lead the Federal Reserve, but that the central bankās interest rate decisions would remain independent.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-14/hassett-says-trump-would-be-free-to-offer-opinions-on-fed-policy
1 day ago
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reposted by
Econ Yap
AmerEcona
2 days ago
UPCOMING US ECONOMIC DATA (12/15-12/19) Monday: New York Fed Empire State Manufacturing Survey (Dec) NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (Dec)
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President Trump told The Wall Street Journal he cannot predict if Republicans keep the House. He says multibillion dollar U.S. investments have not kicked in yet as prices stay high. Trump says he can only do his job and hopes voters feel it by fall.
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Exclusive | Trump Isnāt Certain His Economic Policies Will Translate to Midterm Wins
In an interview, he said his efforts to secure investments in the U.S. havenāt fully taken effect and āI cannot tell you how thatās going to equate to the voter.ā
https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/trump-isnt-certain-his-economic-policies-will-translate-to-midterm-wins-455e0d46
2 days ago
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President Trump signed an April executive order to revive US shipbuilding, but China holds 53% of global output and 75% of 2025 orders. Peter Sand of Xeneta says foreign expertise is essential. US runs just eight shipyards versus Chinaās 300 plus.
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Trump wants the U.S. shipbuilding industry to be great again. Here's what it will take, and what's at stake
President Donald Trump is promising a U.S. shipbuilding renaissance to rival China, but it will not happen overnight and will require allies.
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/14/trump-america-shipbuilding-china-competition.html
2 days ago
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Reuters finds US freight rail emits more smog than coal power. Railroads produced 485,000 tons of nitrogen oxide in 2024 vs 452,000 from coal plants. BNSF Railway led with 161,500 tons as aging diesel fleets avoid replacement.
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How the US freight rail industry got dirtier than coal power plants
U.S. freight railroads are a major source of pollution, chuffing out more nitrogen oxide than all the nationās coal-fired power plants combined, according to a Reuters calculation.
https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/climate-energy/how-us-freight-rail-industry-got-dirtier-than-coal-power-plants-2025-12-14/
2 days ago
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US and Mexico settled a Rio Grande water dispute after President Trump threatened tariffs. Mexico will send 202,000 acre-feet starting December 15. US Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins warned tariffs remain if Mexico misses the 1944 treaty target of 1.75 million acre-feet.
2 days ago
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Attorneys general from 20 states sued the Trump administration to block a $100,000 H-1B visa fee. President Trump imposed it September 21st. California Attorney General Rob Bonta says it will damage tech, health care and education.
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Trumpās $100,000 H-1B Fee Faces Lawsuit
California and New York are among the states arguing that the Trump administrationās decision to charge that fee for skilled foreign workers is illegal.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/13/us/politics/states-lawsuit-h1b-visas.html
2 days ago
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The Trump administration paused a tech pledge with Britain after the May trade deal. Officials say the Keir Starmer government failed to cut digital and food trade barriers. The move stalls AI and nuclear cooperation tied to $40 billlion in US tech investment.
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U.S.-U.K. Trade Deal Hits Stumbling Block
The U.S. government has paused a tech-focused trade pledge with Britain over broader disagreements about Britainās digital regulations and food safety rules.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/13/business/economy/trump-uk-trade-deal-tariffs.html
2 days ago
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The US lifted sanctions on Belarus potash. President Trump ordered the move, said envoy John Coale in Minsk. Potash once drove Belarus FX. Alexander Lukashenko still faces EU bans, which block exports via Lithuania.
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US to End Sanctions on Belarus Potash, Belta Says Citing Envoy
The US will remove sanctions on Belarusian potash fertilizers, the key source of foreign-currency revenue for the Russia-aligned nation before Western restrictions stifled their flow.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-13/us-to-end-sanctions-on-belarus-potash-belta-says-citing-envoy
2 days ago
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US Ambassador Marc Knapper said Washington will deepen defense trade with Vietnam as trade talks drag on. Vietnam plans more US arms buys to cut a $123.5 billion trade surplus.
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US Seeks to Broaden Vietnam Defense Ties as Trade Talks Drag On
The US seeks to expand and deepen its defense relationship with Vietnam, according to Washingtonās top envoy to the nation, as the two sides continue to hammer out details of a trade deal.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-13/us-seeks-to-broaden-vietnam-defense-ties-as-trade-talks-drag-on
2 days ago
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Bipartisan US lawmakers move to lock down biotech data. Senators Tom Cotton, Maggie Hassan and Ted Budd, plus Reps Warren Davidson and Chrissy Houlahan, push licenses for exporting synthetic DNA to China and Russia.
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Bipartisan group of US lawmakers calls for export controls on synthetic DNA sequences
A bipartisan group of U.S. lawmakers this week introduced bills that would require U.S. firms to obtain a license before exporting sequences of synthetic DNA.
https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/boards-policy-regulation/bipartisan-group-us-lawmakers-calls-export-controls-synthetic-dna-sequences-2025-12-12/
2 days ago
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Big firms cash in on Trump tax cuts. Walmart, Amazon, Verizon and Eli Lilly report lower near term taxes. AT&T, Inc. says it saves up to $2 billion this year. Treasury data shows corporate tax revenue fell about 33% or $52 billion from July to November.
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Businesses Are Cashing In on Trumpās Tax Cuts
Corporate tax revenue has quickly dipped since Republicans passed tax cuts this summer. But economists think these tax breaks might be worth it.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/12/us/politics/trumps-corporate-tax-cuts-economy.html
3 days ago
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President Trump told The Wall Street Journal he leans toward former Fed governor Kevin Warsh or National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett as Fed chair. Trump wants interest rates cut to 1% or lower and says the new Fed chair should consult with him.
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Exclusive | Trump Says He Is Leaning Toward Warsh or Hassett to Lead the Fed
In an interview with The Wall Street Journal, the president said the next Fed chair should consult with him on interest rates.
https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/trump-says-he-is-leaning-toward-warsh-or-hassett-to-lead-the-fed-34a200e5
3 days ago
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Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy warned New York he will freeze $73 million and decertify its trucker program. DOT found 53% of 200 non domiciled CDLs unlawful. Duffy told Governor Kathy Hochul to revoke licenses within 30 days or lose highway funds.
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Trump administration threatens to take $73 million and all trucker licenses from NY
Federal officials say the state failed to check visa status, allowing illegal drivers on the road.
https://www.axios.com/2025/12/12/trump-duffy-truck-drivers-license-revoked-new-york
4 days ago
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US bank regulator moves on crypto. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency conditionally approved Circle, Ripple, BitGo, Fidelity Digital Assets and Paxos for national trust bank charters. Comptroller of the Currency Jonathan Gould says new entrants boost competition.
4 days ago
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President Trump ordered agencies to sue states and cut AI laws, but legal hurdles loom. Courts may block tying $42B BEAD funds to AI rules. Digital Progress Institute head Joel Thayer says the administration lacks legal authority. Former W.H. official Dean Ball gives it a 30 to 35% legal chance.
4 days ago
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Federal Reserve governors voted unanimously to reappoint 11 reserve bank presidents to new five year terms starting March 1, 2026.
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Fed Board Votes Unanimously to Reappoint Reserve Bank Presidents
The reappointment process had always been an under-the-radar administrative process that didnāt attract attentionāuntil this year.
https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/fed-board-votes-unanimously-to-reappoint-reserve-bank-presidents-56fb08a3
4 days ago
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reposted by
Econ Yap
AmerEcona
5 days ago
WHOLESALE SALES (SEPTEMBER) $708.2 BILLION MOM: -0.2% | YOY: +4.8% WHOLESALE INVENTORIES (SEPTEMBER) $911.5 BILLION MOM: +0.5% | YOY: +1.8% WHOLESALE INVENTORIES/SALES RATIO (SEPTEMBER) 1.29
www.census.gov/whole...
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Shev Dalal-Dheini of the American Immigration Lawyers Association warns courts could kill President Trump's new a Gold Card immigration program, revoke citizenship, and wipe out applicantsā money.
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Why Trump's newly launched immigration program could mean legal chaos ahead
The Trump administration is now accepting applications for the gold card.
https://www.axios.com/2025/12/12/trump-gold-card-visa-website-h1b?utm_social_handle_id=800707492346925056&utm_social_post_id=620472363
5 days ago
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President Trump presses for deeper cuts after White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt says he welcomed the Fedās 25 bps cut this week but wants the Federal Reserve to drive rates even lower.
www.reuters.com/sust...
5 days ago
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Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick told CNBC that the US must stop taking ābelow-averageā immigrants after President Trump cut the gold card visa price to $1 million. Lutnick said average green card holders earn one-third less and urged the US to bring in the best.
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U.S. has to stop taking in 'below-average' immigrants who won't help economy, says Lutnick
The White House is rolling out its gold card visa.
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/11/lutnick-economy-gold-card-trump.html
5 days ago
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