AmerEcona
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Connecting you to America's economy.
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US to lower tariffs on South Korean autos to 15% effective Nov 1, Lutnick says - Reuters
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US to lower tariffs on South Korean autos to 15% effective Nov 1, Lutnick says
The U.S. will lower import duties on South Korean autos to 15% effective retroactively to November 1 and match the reciprocal tariffs imposed on Japan and the EU, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said on Tuesday.
https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/us-lower-tariffs-south-korean-autos-15-effective-nov-1-lutnick-says-2025-12-01/
about 3 hours ago
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Fed Flags Risks Tied to Office Space, Capital Planning - Bloomberg
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Fed Flags Potential Risks Tied to Office Space, Capital Planning
The Federal Reserve said it was monitoring community and regional banksâ commercial real estate loan portfolios amid concerns over âelevated interest rates, tighter underwriting standards, and lower commercial property values.â
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-01/fed-flags-potential-risks-tied-to-office-space-capital-planning
about 6 hours ago
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US announces zero tariff pharmaceutical deal with Britain - Reuters
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US announces zero tariff pharmaceutical deal with Britain
The United States and Britain announced a deal on Monday to securezero tariffs on British pharmaceutical products and medical technology in return for Britain spending more on medicines and overhauling how it values drugs.
https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/us-uk-agree-zero-tariffs-pharmaceuticals-announcement-expected-sources-say-2025-12-01/
about 6 hours ago
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US Factory Activity Shrinks by the Most in Four Months - Bloomberg
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US Factory Activity Shrinks by the Most in Four Months
US factory activity shrank in November by the most in four months as orders weakened, indicating manufacturers are struggling to break free from an extended period of malaise.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-01/us-factory-activity-shrinks-most-in-four-months-as-orders-fall
about 9 hours ago
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Atlanta Fed GDPNow Estimate for Q3 2025: +3.9%
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GDPNow
GDPNow forecasting model provides a
https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow
about 9 hours ago
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US manufacturing slump deepens in November - Reuters
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US manufacturing slump deepens in November
U.S. manufacturing contracted for the ninth straight month in November, with factories facing slumping orders and higher prices for inputs as the drag from import tariffs persisted.
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-manufacturing-slump-deepens-november-2025-12-01/
about 9 hours ago
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Trump says he's picked who he wants to lead the Fed - Axios
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Trump says he's picked who he wants to lead the Fed
After reporters asked if it's Kevin Hassett, a smiling Trump said: "I'm not telling you."
https://www.axios.com/2025/12/01/trump-fed-chair-replace-powell-pick-hassett-front-runner
about 9 hours ago
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Income taxes could be eliminated soon due to tariffs, Trump says - Axios
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Income taxes could be eliminated soon due to tariffs, Trump says
The government's individual income tax revenue last fiscal year was nearly 14 times its tariff revenue.
https://www.axios.com/2025/11/28/trump-tariffs-income-taxes
3 days ago
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Trump says he'll "permanently pause migration from all Third World Countries" - Axios
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Trump says he'll "permanently pause migration from all Third World Countries"
He's stepped up his hardline immigration crackdown since an Afghan national was named the suspect in this week's deadly D.C. attack.
https://www.axios.com/2025/11/28/trump-third-world-countries-immigration-pause-permanent
4 days ago
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States ramp up 2025 housing reforms as Montana, California and others cut parking minimums, streamline subdivisions and open factory-built and single-staircase homes to speed construction and ease persistent housing shortages.
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States look for clogs in the housing pipeline | Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
As they seek to lower their residentsâ housing costs, states are tweaking land use laws and other regulatory frameworks
https://www.minneapolisfed.org/article/2025/states-look-for-clogs-in-the-housing-pipeline
5 days ago
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Top earners lifted their share of consumption from 53% to 57% over 30 years, yet models show this shift adds little economic fragility as asset and labor shocks still produce only modest changes in aggregate spending.
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Consumption concentration may be up, adding slightly to economic fragility
Analysts have taken notice of the large share of total U.S. spending attributable to the very highest earners. The concerns are that the emergence of K-shaped growthâbifurcated activity at an elevated rate among high earners and much more restrained among most othersâmay put the U.S. in greater economic peril.
https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2025/1125-yang-consume
5 days ago
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Atlanta Fed GDPNow Estimate for Q3 2025: +3.9%
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GDPNow
GDPNow forecasting model provides a
https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow
5 days ago
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US extends tariff exclusions related to China tech transfer probe - Reuters
www.reuters.com/worl...
5 days ago
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Trump says he would 'rather not' extend Obamacare tax credits 'at all' - NBC News
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Trump says he would 'rather not' extend Obamacare tax credits 'at all'
The president said he prefers to let the Affordable Care Act subsidies expire on schedule at the end of December, saying that if anything, he wants the money to go to "the people directly."
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-says-rather-not-extend-obamacare-tax-credits-rcna245998
5 days ago
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Trump Says Xi âPretty Muchâ Agreed to Expand Agricultural Buys - Bloomberg
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Trump Says Xi âPretty Muchâ Agreed to Expand Agricultural Buys
US President Donald Trump said he urged Chinese President Xi Jinping to increase the speed and size of agricultural purchases and said Beijing had âmore or less agreedâ to do so.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-26/trump-says-xi-pretty-much-agreed-to-expand-agricultural-buys?taid=69264c91d2047800011b769c
5 days ago
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Durable Goods Orders (September) $314.0 Billion MoM: +0.5% Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation (September) $202.9 Billion MoM: +0.6% Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense (September) $290.6 Billion MoM: +0.1%
www.census.gov/manuf...
5 days ago
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Initial Jobless Claims 216,000 (-6,000 from previous week) Continuing Jobless Claims 1,960,000 (+7,000 from previous week)
dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
5 days ago
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Pending Sales of US Existing Homes Rise by More Than Forecast - Bloomberg
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Pending Sales of US Existing Homes Rise by More Than Forecast
Pending sales of previously owned US homes rose in October by more than forecast as buyers took advantage of a decline in mortgage rates.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-25/pending-sales-of-us-existing-homes-rise-by-more-than-forecast
6 days ago
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US retail sales growth slows in September; energy prices boost producer inflation - Reuters
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US retail sales growth cools; consumer sentiment sags amid job market worries
U.S. retail sales increased less than expected in September, suggesting consumer fatigue amid higher prices because of tariffs, though the moderation did not dampen economists' expectations for solid economic growth in the third quarter.
https://www.reuters.com/business/retail-consumer/us-retail-sales-miss-expectations-september-2025-11-25/
6 days ago
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Consumer confidence hits lowest point since April as job worries grow - CNBC
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Consumer confidence hits lowest point since April as job worries grow
The board's Consumer Confidence Index slumped to 88.7, a drop of 6.8 points from the prior month for its lowest reading in seven months.
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/25/consumer-confidence-lowest-point-since-april.html
6 days ago
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Total Business Sales (August) $1,950.9 Billion MoM: +0.2% | YoY: +4.4% Business Inventories (August) $2,663.7 Billion MoM: +0.0% | YoY: +1.1% Inventories/Sales Ratio (August) 1.37
www.census.gov/mtis/...
6 days ago
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Retail Sales (September) $733.3 Billion MoM: +0.2% | YoY: +4.3% Core Retail Sales (September) $594.0 Billion MoM: +0.3% | YoY: +4.1%
www.census.gov/retai...
6 days ago
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PPI (September) MoM: +0.3% | YoY: +2.7% Core PPI (September) MoM: +0.1% | YoY: +2.6%
www.bls.gov/news.rel...
6 days ago
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Bessent says thereâs a âvery good chanceâ Trump names new Fed chair before Christmas - CNBC
www.cnbc.com/2025/11...
7 days ago
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Japan faces steep losses on its $550 billion U.S. investment pledge as estimates show it losing $127 billion to $191 billion. U.S. gains $423 billion to $487 billion at no cost.
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Analyzing Japanâs $550 Billion Pledge to Invest in the U.S.
Japanâs pledge to invest $550 billion in the U.S. may end up being costly for the Asian country when the dealâs present value and hypothetical investment returns are considered.
https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2025/nov/analyzing-japan-550-billion-pledge-invest-us
7 days ago
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The Fedâs Tool for Calming Short-Term Funding Markets Is Being Tested - WSJ
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The Fedâs Tool for Calming Short-Term Funding Markets Is Being Tested
Some banks have been concerned about the appearance of using the standing repo facility, despite the Fedâs assurances.
https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/the-feds-tool-for-calming-short-term-funding-markets-is-being-tested-63a32795
7 days ago
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Young college grads face slower job-finding as their exit rate drops to 37.1%, helping shrink the unemployment gap with high school peers to 2.5 points, the lowest since the late 1970s.
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Are Young College Graduates Losing Their Edge in the Job Market?
High school graduates in their twenties have consistently experienced a higher unemployment rate than college graduates in the same age range. However, the unemployment gap between the two education groups has recently narrowed, reaching its lowest level since the late 1970s. This Economic Commentary shows that this narrowing coincides with a decades-long decline, one that began around 2000, in the job-finding rate among young college graduates.
https://www.clevelandfed.org/publications/economic-commentary/ec-202514-are-young-college-graduates-losing-their-edge-in-the-job-market
7 days ago
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Fedâs Daly Backs December Rate Cut, Citing Vulnerable Labor Market - WSJ
www.wsj.com/economy/...
7 days ago
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US BEA cancels advance third-quarter GDP estimate - Reuters
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US BEA cancels advance third-quarter GDP estimate
The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis said on Monday it had canceled the release of the advance gross domestic product estimate for the third quarter because of the recently ended government shutdown.
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-bea-cancels-advance-third-quarter-gdp-estimate-2025-11-24/
7 days ago
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Fed's Waller: December cut appropriate, but January action more uncertain - Fox Business - Reuters
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Fed's Waller: December cut appropriate, but January action more uncertain - Fox Business
Available data indicate the U.S. job market remains weak enough to warrant another quarter-point rate interest rate cut at the U.S. Federal Reserve's Dec. 9-10 meeting, though action beyond that will depend on an upcoming "flood" of data as U.S. statistical agencies catch up with work delayed by the government shutdown, Fed Governor Christopher Waller said on Monday.
https://www.reuters.com/business/feds-waller-december-cut-is-appropriate-action-january-more-uncertain-given-2025-11-24/?taid=6924b1152b51bd0001bd766d
7 days ago
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Deals on farmer aid, Chinese soy purchases coming within weeks, USDA chief says - Reuters
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Deals on farmer aid, Chinese soy purchases coming within weeks, USDA chief says
The Trump administration expects to announce an aid package for U.S. farmers within two weeks and a deal on Chinese soybean purchases, U.S. Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins said on Monday without providing further details.
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/deals-farmer-aid-chinese-soybean-purchases-coming-within-weeks-usda-chief-says-2025-11-24/?taid=6924aec1d2047800011b4bd0
7 days ago
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Data show high school grads faced unemployment rates at least 2.3 points above college grads from 2000â2025, with the gap jumping to about 7.8 points in the Great Recession.
fredblog.stlouisfed....
7 days ago
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Trump Weighing Advanced Nvidia Chip Sales to China, Lutnick Says - Bloomberg
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Trump Weighing Advanced Nvidia Chip Sales to China, Lutnick Says
President Donald Trump is weighing whether to allow Nvidia Corp. to sell advanced artificial intelligence chips to China and will be the one to make a final decision on the matter, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-24/trump-weighing-advanced-nvidia-chip-sales-to-china-lutnick-says
7 days ago
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US demands 'balanced' EU digital rules before it cuts steel tariffs - Reuters
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US demands 'balanced' EU digital rules before it cuts steel tariffs
The United States on Monday demanded that the European Union make its regulation of the tech sector more "balanced" in exchange for a reduction of U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminium imports from the bloc.
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/eu-urge-us-apply-more-july-trade-deal-including-cutting-steel-tariffs-2025-11-24/
7 days ago
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Net migration plunges to about 500,000 in 2025 from 2.2 million in 2024, failing to offset a 740,000 drop in native working-age adults. Analysts say the slowdown cuts 2025 prime-age labor force growth by 0.8 percentage point.
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Immigration and Changes in Labor Force Demographics - San Francisco Fed
Recent shifts in immigration flows have lowered the estimates of net international migration into the United States. New data indicate that net migration will be close to half a million people in 2025, down from 2.2 million in 2024. Estimates based on these data and on past trends for the U.S.-born population suggest that this could lead to a decrease in the working-age population and slower growth in the prime-age labor force. Continued low levels of immigration would lead to decreases in the total prime-age labor force.
https://www.frbsf.org/research-and-insights/publications/economic-letter/2025/11/immigration-and-changes-in-labor-force-demographics/
7 days ago
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Interviews show many firms raise prices less than costs. One manufacturer lifted prices 2.5% after 4% cost jumps to protect volume, while strong demand let others lift prices beyond costs. Competitorsâ moves and elastic demand steer every pricing choice.
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How Businesses Set PricesâIn Their Own Words - Liberty Street Economics
A look at the factors that businesses consider when adjusting their prices in response to various shocks.
https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2025/11/how-businesses-set-prices-in-their-own-words/
7 days ago
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Older Americans push the labor force shortfall as their participation runs nearly 3 points below prepandemic levels, leaving about 1.7 million workers missing and pointing to further declines as the population ages.
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The Aftermath of the Pandemic Retirement Boom
A Policy Hub: Macroblog post examines the impact of changing retirement patterns and demographics on the labor force participation rate of older Americans.
https://www.atlantafed.org/blogs/macroblog/2025/11/20/aftermath-of-pandemic-retirement-boom
7 days ago
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US government to shed 317,000 workers this year, Trump's HR chief says - Reuters
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US government to shed 317,000 workers this year, Trump's HR chief says
The Trump administration will shed about 317,000 employees this year, its human resources chief said in a statement late Friday.
https://www.reuters.com/legal/litigation/us-government-shed-317000-workers-this-year-trumps-hr-chief-says-2025-11-24/
7 days ago
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Trump Claims Tariff Income Will âSkyrocketâ Soon As Pre-Tariff Stockpiles Are Running âThinâ - Forbes
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Trump Claims Tariff Income Will âSkyrocketâ Soon As Pre-Tariff Stockpiles Are Running âThinâ
The president said buyers who stocked up on inventory before the levies went into effect are running thin and they will soon have to pay tariffs on their new purchases.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/siladityaray/2025/11/24/trump-claims-tariff-income-will-skyrocket-soon-as-pre-tariff-stockpiles-are-running-thin/
8 days ago
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US tariff cut to 15% for Switzerland could take effect early December, says economy minister - Reuters
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US tariff cut to 15% for Switzerland could take effect early December, says economy minister
The United States' general tariff of 39% on imports from Switzerland could be cut to 15% from early December, Swiss Economy Minister Guy Parmelin told the broadcaster SRF in an interview aired on Saturday.
https://www.reuters.com/business/us-tariff-cut-15-switzerland-could-take-effect-early-december-says-economy-2025-11-22/
8 days ago
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UPCOMING US ECONOMIC DATA (11/23-11/29) Tuesday: Retail Sales (Sep) PPI (Sep) S&P Global Case-Shiller Home Price Index (Sep) Business Sales & Inventories (Aug) The Conference Board Consumer Confidence (Nov) NAR Pending Home Sales (Oct) Wednesday: Initial Jobless Claims Durable Goods (Sep)
8 days ago
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No recession risk for US economy as a whole, Bessent tells NBC - Reuters
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No recession risk for US economy as a whole after $11 billion shutdown hit, Bessent says
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Sunday said the 43-day government shutdown caused an $11 billion permanent hit to the U.S. economy, but he was optimistic about growth prospects next year given easing interest rates and tax cuts.
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/no-recession-risk-us-economy-whole-bessent-tells-nbc-2025-11-23/
8 days ago
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Bessent Says Health-Care Announcement Coming This Week - Bloomberg
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Bessent Says Health-Care Announcement Coming This Week
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the Trump administration is working on bringing down US health-care costs and an announcement to address the issue is planned for this week.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-23/bessent-says-health-care-announcement-coming-this-week?srnd=phx-economics-v2
8 days ago
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Canada says it will resume US trade talks 'when appropriate' - Reuters
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Canada says it will resume US trade talks 'when appropriate'
Canada will resume trade discussions with the United States "when it's appropriate," Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said on Sunday, noting he did not have a pressing issue to address with President Donald Trump.
https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/canada-says-it-will-resume-us-trade-talks-when-appropriate-2025-11-23/
8 days ago
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BLS Axes October CPI Report, Sets Dec. 18 for November Data - Bloomberg
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BLS Cancels US October CPI Report, Will Publish Some Data Later
The Bureau of Labor Statistics canceled its October consumer price index report, saying it was unable to retroactively obtain some data that wasnât collected during the US government shutdown.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-21/bls-cancels-us-october-cpi-report-will-publish-some-data-later
8 days ago
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Trump's not cutting off NYC, top economic advisor says - Axios
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Trump's not cutting off NYC, White House economic advisor says
Before the election, Trump threatened to block federal funds for NYC if Mamdani won.
https://www.axios.com/2025/11/23/trump-mamdani-nyc-funding
8 days ago
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Fed's Collins leans against December rate cut in CNBC interview - Reuters
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Fed's Collins leans against December rate cut in CNBC interview
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said on Friday that monetary policy is in the right place amid a resilient economy, in comments that suggest she remains skeptical of the need to cut interest rates again at next monthâs monetary policy meeting.
https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/boards-policy-regulation/feds-collins-leans-against-december-rate-cut-cnbc-interview-2025-11-21/
10 days ago
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Trump tariff relief leaves 22% of Brazil's shipments still hit - Reuters
www.reuters.com/worl...
10 days ago
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Americans With Four-Year Degrees Now Comprise a Record 25% of Unemployed Workers - Bloomberg
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Americans With Four-Year Degrees Now Comprise a Record 25% of Unemployed Workers
Americans with four-year college degrees now comprise a record 25% of total unemployment, underscoring a sharp slowdown in white-collar hiring this year.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-21/americans-with-four-year-degrees-now-comprise-a-record-25-of-unemployed-workers
10 days ago
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Wholesale Sales (August) $711.1 Billion MoM: +0.1% | YoY: +6.1% Wholesale Inventories (August) $907.9 Billion MoM: +0.0% | YoY: +1.1% Wholesale Inventories/Sales Ratio (August) 1.28
www.census.gov/whole...
10 days ago
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