Terence Lee, Ph.D.
@terenceleepols.bsky.social
📤 175
đź“Ą 342
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SEAsian politics, civ-mil relations, int'l security. Moving away from @terenceleepols
reposted by
Terence Lee, Ph.D.
Armed Forces & Society Journal
6 months ago
Check out this article from our Afghanistan war symposium: Reflecting on America’s Withdrawal from Afghanistan: The View From Southeast Asia - Terence Lee (
@terenceleepols.bsky.social
), 2023
#OpenAccess
#SpecialIssue
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
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www.bbc.com/news/article...
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Israel is accused of the gravest war crimes in Gaza
Distinguished lawyers, senior humanitarians and diplomats tell Jeremy Bowen why they are increasingly concerned about the catastrophe inside Gaza.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c0r1xl5wgnko
7 months ago
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I offered comments on ex-military officers and politics in Singapore.
www.channelnewsasia.com/singapore/ge...
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GE2025: Military officers bring leadership to political arena but have to learn ground dynamics, say analysts
There have been historically close links between Singapore’s military and its ruling party, with senior officers continuing to serve in public life after retiring, said experts.
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/singapore/ge2025-military-politics-generals-army-saf-pap-5022866
10 months ago
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American Foreign Policy Is Being Run by the Dumbest Motherfuckers Alive
open.substack.com/pub/danieldr...
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American Foreign Policy Is Being Run by the Dumbest Motherfuckers Alive
The fuckwittery on display right now by Trump's foreign policy team boggles the mind.
https://open.substack.com/pub/danieldrezner/p/american-foreign-policy-is-being?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
10 months ago
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This was brazen and shocking but not unexpected. In my recent Medium piece, I argued Donald Trump expects fealty of a “liege man of life and limb”. Zelensky didn't come to DC groveling. He is a war-time leader and didn't need to. Rightly so.
www.bbc.com/news/article...
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How the Trump-Zelensky talks collapsed in 10 fiery minutes
There were major flashpoints throughout their meeting - here are four of the most animated.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c2erwgwy8vgo
10 months ago
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About month ago, I wrote this but it wasn't picked up at any venue. It used the measures of personalism developed by Geddes et al. to think about what Trump 2.0 is evolving into. For your kind consideration.
medium.com/@tcllee1972/...
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Saying the Quiet Part Out Loud: The Personalistic Politics of Trump 2.0
American exceptionalism inhibits a full understanding of what is unfolding as Donald Trump returns to the White House. Personalistic rule…
https://medium.com/@tcllee1972/saying-the-quiet-part-out-loud-the-personalistic-politics-of-trump-2-0-b619ea41feca
10 months ago
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TLDR version of the JCSEAS article.
eastasiaforum.org/2025/01/21/s...
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Southeast Asian elites resist a China-led regional order
Southeast Asian elites are rejecting China's bid for regional leadership in favour of an ASEAN-led order.
https://eastasiaforum.org/2025/01/21/southeast-asian-elites-resist-a-china-led-regional-order/
11 months ago
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SCMP did a review of our recent Journal of Current Southeast Asia article (link below). Selina Ho provided additional context + comments.
www.scmp.com/week-asia/po...
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Southeast Asia admits China’s sway, but South China Sea stress sows distrust: study
Southeast Asian elites prefer an Asean-led regional order, despite acknowledging China’s growing influence, but the bloc faces its own challenges.
https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/politics/article/3287581/southeast-asia-acknowledges-chinas-influence-south-china-sea-tensions-sow-distrust-study?utm_source=copy-link&utm_campaign=3287581&utm_medium=share_widget
11 months ago
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How do Southeast Asian elite perceive a China-led regional order? Selina Ho and I find that although most elites view China as influential + cultural affinity, they do not perceive China as having the authority to preside over SEA's regional order.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
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Elite Perceptions of a China-Led Regional Order in Southeast Asia - Selina Ho, Terence Lee, 2024
How do Southeast Asian states perceive a China-led regional order? To answer this question, we conducted a survey of elites from Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philip...
https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/18681034241294093
11 months ago
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I developed a concept to describe the ties between militaries in Southeast Asia and the region's minority Chinese businesses. Find out more about the 'Chinese Business Military Complex" in the edited volume from Carnegie below.
carnegieendowment.org/research/202...
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The Military and Private Business Actors in the Global South: The Politics of Market Access
The interaction of national armed forces and private business sectors offers a useful lens for viewing the politics of numerous countries of the so-called Global South. A rising trend of military poli...
https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2024/08/the-military-and-private-business-actors-in-the-global-south-the-politics-of-market-access?lang=en#the-chinese-businessmilitary-complex-and-weak-democratic-civilian-control-in-southeast-asia-
11 months ago
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An old piece written in 2015. At that time, the piece probably came across as unnecessarily pessimistic and even foolish as the Tatmadaw respected the NLD's 2015 victory and allowed a civilian government to take power.
news.nus.edu.sg/assuaging-th...
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Assuaging the armed forces in Myanmar
Assoc Prof Terence Lee from the Dept of Political Science at NUS Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences discussed the decisive electoral victory by National League for Democracy and opined that the key t...
https://news.nus.edu.sg/assuaging-the-armed-forces-in-myanmar/
11 months ago
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I wrote about the domestic sources of hedging in Singapore’s foreign policy. "... this article demonstrates how the domestic imperative of legitimizing the political dominance of the ruling People’s Action Party shapes ... hedging strategy. "https://bookshop.iseas.edu.sg/component/get/22840
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https://bookshop.iseas.edu.sg/component/get/22840
11 months ago
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How does Singapore navigate the US-China competition? I argued Singapore has probably greater latitude than most other Southeast Asian states due to the political dominance of the ruling PAP since 1959.
www.usip.org/publications...
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A Small State Heavyweight? How Singapore Handles U.S.-China Rivalry
Alice Ba pertinently observes in her introductory essay to this series that Southeast Asia has become a key arena in the ongoing U.S.-China rivalry; regional countries are under growing pressure to ch...
https://www.usip.org/publications/2024/04/small-state-heavyweight-how-singapore-handles-us-china-rivalry
11 months ago
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I wrote about how we could assess the Tatmadaw battlefield defeats and argued that it is not synonymous with regime collapse.
rsis.edu.sg/rsis-publica...
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IP24018 | Assessing the Myanmar Junta’s Grip on Power
Although rebel groups in Myanmar have made considerable gains on the battlefield, they face significant obstacles challenging the military junta. COMMENTARY February 2024 marks three years since Myanm...
https://rsis.edu.sg/rsis-publication/idss/ip24018-assessing-the-myanmar-juntas-grip-on-power/
11 months ago
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John McBeth, Asia’s Longest Serving Foreign Correspondent, Dies at 79 @Diplomat_APAC
thediplomat.com/2023/12/john-m…
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John McBeth, Asia’s Longest Serving Foreign Correspondent, Dies at 79
McBeth was a standard bearer for big stories, honest and fair reportage.
https://thediplomat.com/2023/12/john-mcbeth-asias-longest-serving-foreign-correspondent-dies-at-79/
about 2 years ago
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Lost in the salacious morass.
straitstimes.com/singapore/hiri…
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Auditor-General flags lapses in govt agencies, including transfer of official funds to personal bank accounts
The PA, PSD, MCI and CAAS were among the agencies flagged for lapses and weaknesses. Read more at straitstimes.com.
https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/hiring-debarred-contractors-transferring-official-funds-to-personal-bank-accounts-among-lapses-flagged-by-auditor-general
over 2 years ago
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The soon to be acting Speaker of Singapore's parliament is not exactly Mr Scandal-free either.
straitstimes.com/singapore/cour…
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Lawyer and MP Christopher de Souza found guilty of professional misconduct, denies charge
He did not make full and frank disclosure to Court when he was aware that a client had breached conditions of a search order. Read more at straitstimes.com.
https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/courts-crime/lawyer-and-mp-christopher-de-souza-found-guilty-of-professional-misconduct-over-clients-suppression-of-evidence
over 2 years ago
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A week is too long in Singapore politics. Discuss.
over 2 years ago
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12 July 2023: PM & CPIB - Iswaran being investigated. 12 July 2023: DPM Lawrence Wong, “We will be upfront and transparent; we will not sweep anything under the carpet, even if they are potentially embarrassing or damaging to the PAP.” 13 July 2023: PMO - Iswaran can't leave SG
over 2 years ago
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Here we go again
x.com/SaksithCNA/sta…
over 2 years ago
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Why do PAP MPs make these unparliamentary gaffes?
over 2 years ago
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Speaker Tan Chuan-Jin apologises to WP's Jamus Lim for using 'unparliamentary language' caught on hot mic
todayonline.com/singapore/tan-…
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Speaker Tan Chuan-Jin apologises to WP's Jamus Lim for using 'unparliamentary language' caught on hot mic
SINGAPORE — Speaker of Parliament Tan Chuan-Jin on Tuesday (July 11) apologised for using "unparliamentary language" in his reaction to a speech made by Workers' Party Member of Parliament (MP) Jamus Lim.
https://www.todayonline.com/singapore/tan-chuan-jin-apologises-jamus-lim-2208791
over 2 years ago
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Not widely reported but Min Transport said the quiet part out loud → it's not the govt's fault if you don't have $$ and can't afford a car.
over 2 years ago
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New from @gerardtmccarthy and me. Fracturing the Monolith: Could Military Defections End the Dictatorship in Myanmar?
doi.org/10.1007/978-98…
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Fracturing the Monolith: Could Military Defections End the Dictatorshi
Past episodes of mass uprising and successful transitions from dictatorial rule in Asia and the Middle East and North Africa offer several important lessons for Myanmar. Following weeks and months of popular demonstrations, the fall of presidents Ferdinand Marcos in...
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-9357-2_11
over 2 years ago
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Telling the truth - what a single round from an AR-15 does. Weapons of war have no place in civilized society.
washingtonpost.com/nation/interac…
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The Blast Effect: How bullets from an AR-15 blow the body apart
The Washington Post examined autopsy and postmortem reports from nearly a hundred victims of past mass shootings that involved an AR-15 style rifle.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/interactive/2023/ar-15-damage-to-human-body/?tid=ss_tw
almost 3 years ago
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3 Navy Warships, FBI Now Hunting for Wreckage of Chinese Spy Balloon off South Carolina
shar.es/afAUXv
almost 3 years ago
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"… deals that the DDI has entered into … including State-owned companies … from Italy and (then) West Germany, Singapore, Israel, South Korea, North Korea, China and Ukraine…
x.com/SpecialCouncil…
almost 3 years ago
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Simple ques: Would you trust a news organization that manipulates its circulation numbers?
todayonline.com/singapore/sgx-…
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SGX reviewing SPH Media circulation information; investor watchdog urges 'no let up' if market deliberately misled
SINGAPORE — The regulator and operator of Singapore's stock market, the Singapore Exchange (SGX) Group, is reviewing SPH Media’s circulation information, following news that the organisation inflated the circulation numbers of its publications by 10 to 12 per cent.
https://www.todayonline.com/singapore/sgx-review-sph-media-circulation-watchdog-urges-no-let-2086546
almost 3 years ago
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facebook.com/sudhir.vadaket…
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Sudhir Thomas Vadaketh
SPH Media, your "trusted source of news", to which up to $900m of your tax dollars has been pledged, today announced...
https://www.facebook.com/sudhir.vadaketh/posts/pfbid0svtQ4xb1TbP9bbT7MAjbhKKrkCbW4Kw6n48wTQeozMqML9TUFjH4DDKxdGaHfPGBl
almost 3 years ago
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🧵 Not new. Longstanding rot ...
todayonline.com/singapore/sph-…
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SPH Media circulation numbers found to be inflated by 10-12%; senior staff taken to task, Govt probe underway
SINGAPORE — The daily circulation numbers of SPH Media titles, which include The Straits Times and Lianhe Zaobao, were found to have been inflated by between 85,000 and 95,000, including instances where copies were printed, counted for circulation and then destroyed.
https://www.todayonline.com/singapore/sph-media-circulation-numbers-inflated-senior-staff-taken-task-2086266
almost 3 years ago
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The most powerful rockets since the Saturn V finally lifts off to the Moon.
x.com/NASA/status/15…
about 3 years ago
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De-escalates but still tragic it occurred.
x.com/AP/status/1592…
about 3 years ago
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Was Lavrov cornered? Did the Polish missile strike make his presence untenable? Or both?
cnn.id/874258
cnnindonesia.com/internasional/…
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Menlu Rusia Cabut dari Bali Jelang Deklarasi G20, Diganti Menkeu
Menlu Rusia Sergei Lavrov meninggalkan Bali dan digantikan Menkeu Anton Siluanov jelang deklarasi G20 Bali.
https://www.cnnindonesia.com/internasional/20221116030304-106-874258/menlu-rusia-cabut-dari-bali-jelang-deklarasi-g20-diganti-menkeu
about 3 years ago
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No more news on Trump please. This is more significant.
nytimes.com/live/2022/11/1…
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Russia-Ukraine War: Explosion in Poland Kills Two Near Border With Ukraine (Published 2022)
Poland indicates that a Russian-made missile was to blame for the explosion, while the Kremlin denies involvement.
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/11/14/world/russia-ukraine-war-news-g20?smid=tw-share
about 3 years ago
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These norms are meritocracy, elitism and multiracialism. As PAP has governed SG uninterrupted for 6 decades, through active and conscientious promulgation, these dogmas are weaved into SG's national narrative.
about 3 years ago
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Still wondering if SG's PAP will democratize? SG cannot have it both ways - wanting more opposition but also effective PAP govt
straitstimes.com/singapore/s-po…
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S’poreans cannot have it both ways – more opposition MPs but also effective PAP govt: PM Lee
He said whether voters give the new Govt a strong or weak mandate makes "a very big difference". Read more at straitstimes.com.
https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/s-poreans-cannot-have-it-both-ways-wanting-more-opposition-mps-but-also-an-effective-pap-govt-pm-lee
about 3 years ago
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Interesting thread
x.com/heatherchen_/s…
about 3 years ago
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What a read!
theatlantic.com/politics/archi…
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The Inevitable Indictment of Donald Trump
Merrick Garland hasn’t tipped his hand, but it’s clear to me that he will bring charges against the former president.
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2022/10/merrick-garland-donald-trump-investigation-indictment/671683/
about 3 years ago
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Deciding sovereignty on the fly.
x.com/maxseddon/stat…
over 3 years ago
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Nazi salute vibes at Trump rally.
x.com/atrupar/status…
over 3 years ago
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Why do Indonesian retired officers remain politically active after the end of authoritarian rule? @EvanLaksmana and I explore this blog based on original data of Akabri graduates.
blogs.lse.ac.uk/seac/2022/09/1…
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Not Fading Away: Retired Military Officers in Post-Authoritarian Indonesia
Why do Indonesian retired officers remain politically active after the end of authoritarian rule? Drawing from the INDOMAG (Indonesian Military Academy Graduates) dataset we find that politicised r…
http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/seac/2022/09/15/not-fading-away-retired-military-officers-in-post-authoritarian-indonesia/
over 3 years ago
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Good reminder
x.com/davidfrum/stat…
over 3 years ago
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To Support and Defend: Principles of Civilian Control and Best Practices of Civil-Military Relations @WarOnTheRocks
warontherocks.com/2022/09/to-sup…
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To Support and Defend: Principles of Civilian Control and Best Practices of Civil-Military Relations - War on the Rocks
We are in an exceptionally challenging civil-military environment. Many of the factors that shape civil-military relations have undergone extreme strain
https://warontherocks.com/2022/09/to-support-and-defend-principles-of-civilian-control-and-best-practices-of-civil-military-relations/
over 3 years ago
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Pretty cool trolling from the White House
x.com/WhiteHouse46/s…
over 3 years ago
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New article from me & Teo Kay Key from @IPS_sg. Using data from the Asian Barometer Survey and Levi's 'contingent consent,' we explain the PAP's legitimacy.
taylorfrancis.com/chapters/edit/…
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A Refined Model of Contingent Consent | 10 | Explaining Popular Suppor
Singapore’s ruling People’s Action Party (PAP) has been called a competitive authoritarian regime that uses repressive laws to maintain its grip on power.
https://www.taylorfrancis.com/chapters/edit/10.4324/9781003271055-10/refined-model-contingent-consent-terence-lee-kay-key-teo
over 3 years ago
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New article. Recapping the little impact America's withdrawal from Afghanistan had on Southeast Asia.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.117…
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Reflecting on America’s Withdrawal from Afghanistan: The View From Southeast Asia - Terence Lee, 2023
This essay reflects on the broad contours of the war in Afghanistan from Southeast Asia’s perspective. While the United States’ withdrawal from Kabul was calami...
https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/0095327X221102475#.Ys0rq44Hg1c.twitter
over 3 years ago
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Shinzo Abe: A compassionate statesman, strategist and husband | The Japan Times
japantimes.co.jp/opinion/2022/0…
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Shinzo Abe: A compassionate statesman, strategist and husband
A former adviser reflects on his days serving the late prime minister.
https://www.japantimes.co.jp/opinion/2022/07/09/commentary/japan-commentary/shinzo-abe-statesman-strategist-and-husband/
over 3 years ago
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RIP
x.com/HowardMortman/…
over 3 years ago
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Four years ago today.
over 3 years ago
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Shocking scenes for Japan.
x.com/ssiguman/statu…
over 3 years ago
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