Mid-Week Dynasty Baseball Pickups - 4/16/26

Top 5 players by Win Probability Added to the #Yankees so far this year: 1. Jordan Romano - +1.70 WPA 2. José Caballero - +1.52 WPA 3. Mark Leiter Jr. - +0.76 WPA 4. Aaron Judge - +0.71 WPA 5. Tim Hill - +0.69 WPA

Avery Owusu-Asiedu breaks up the no-no with a no-doubter! EV: 107 mph Dist.: 401 ft The #DBacks prospect is now slashing .265/.342/.588 with 2 HR & 3 SB through his first nine games with High-A Hillsboro.

Jackson Merrill has a .095 batting average against pitches 93 MPH or harder this season in MLB

Artemis II may be back on Earth, but Adames II is still going strong.

Mid-Week Dynasty Baseball Pickups - 4/9/26

Through 10 games, the #BlueJays bullpen has allowed a .371 BABIP. The next highest team is the Yankees with a .329 BABIP, and the league average is .285. Performance-wise it’s been one of the worst bullpens in baseball, but based on BABIP alone it’s expected to positively regress significantly.

ICYMI, this season I’ll be writing weekly articles on dynasty baseball pickup recommendations for Prospects Live! My first article came out today, here it is:

Logan Allen is starting for Columbus vs Indianapolis today at 6:15 PM ET. Logan Allen is starting for Oklahoma City at Las Vegas today at 9:05 PM ET. There may be two Logan Allens, but I choose to believe it’s just one guy that accidentally double-booked and has to find a way to make both starts.

Michael Soroka of the #DBacks just threw the first immaculate inning of the year! Only one of the 9 strikes was fouled off; he got 4 whiffs and 4 called strikes. So far today he’s pitched 5 scoreless innings, allowing four hits and a walk, with 10 strikeouts.

On this week's pod, @sonny108.bsky.social and I are joined by @rajmehta.ca to react to opening weekend, discuss tons of news, analyze this year’s potential class of impact rookies, predict season awards, and answer a listener email. www.prospectslive.com/dynasty-base...

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Now that the Yankees' lineup is out, here's how their lineup is projected to perform against Logan Webb.

Currently calculating expected stats for Spring Training (along with a few others) and found this interesting: Max Muncy (LAD): .338/.428/.675 xSlash, 20.5% K%, 13.6% BB%, 51.7% HardHit%, 112.7 mph max EV Max Muncy (ATH): .331/.423/.661 xSlash, 22.4% K%, 13.8% BB%, 54.1% HardHit%, 112.0 mph max EV

Interestingly, Yordan Alvarez’s extension with the Astros was also 6 yrs & $115M. Yordan’s deal started in his 1st year of arb as well, but Yordan wasn’t Super 2, so it bought out 3 yrs of FA vs 2 for PCA. Two players that are complete opposite profiles, but the overall WAR value is similar.

Milwaukee #Brewers Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

With the amount of off days the #Yankees have to start the year, they can get away with a 4-man rotation for the first couple weeks. Assuming they don’t want anybody pitching on short rest, they don’t have to introduce a 5th starter until the 11th at Tampa Bay. Here’s how it would shake out:

Philadelphia #Phillies Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

Toronto #BlueJays Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

New York #Yankees Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

Number of batted balls by Brandon Lockridge over 110 mph: MLB career: 0 (111 BBE) 2026 ST: 3 (26 BBE) Lockridge has added power this offseason, and as a result has raked so far this spring (182 wRC+). He’s earned his spot on the #Brewers Opening Day roster, and could break out for them this year.

Los Angeles #Dodgers Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

Chicago #Cubs Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

Seattle #Mariners Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

San Diego #Padres Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

Boston #RedSox Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

Cleveland #Guardians Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

Detroit #Tigers Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

Houston #Astros Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

Cincinnati #Reds Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

If Mexico beats Italy tomorrow, then: 🇺🇸 11 RA in 18 IP 🇮🇹 6 RA in 18 IP (incl. IP vs MEX) 🇲🇽 5 RA in 17 IP (incl. IP vs ITA) USA advances if MEX scores 5 R or more* ITA advances if ITA scores 6 R or more OR MEX scores 4 R or less MEX advances if ITA scores 5 R or less OR MEX scores 5 R or more

New York #Mets Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

Kansas City #Royals Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

San Francisco #Giants Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

🧵 With Taiwan beating Korea and Australia set to face Japan in a couple hours, the only way for Korea to advance is to hope for Japan to beat Australia, then to later beat Australia themselves, which would force a 3-way tie. Here’s a breakdown of the tiebreaker, and what each team needs to advance:

Texas #Rangers Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

Arizona #Diamondbacks Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

Miami #Marlins Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

St. Louis #Cardinals Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

🧵 With the Profar news, the #Braves are gonna need another bat, ideally one that’s good vs RHP so they can platoon him with Sean Murphy at DH. The Twins have a ton of outfielders on their depth chart (with top prospects Walker Jenkins & Emmanuel Rodriguez on the way) & could move one for prospects.

Tampa Bay #Rays Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

#Athletics Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

Atlanta #Braves Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

#WhiteSox prospect Sam Antonacci has been in 6 games so far this spring. In those games he’s received 18 PA and has seen 68 pitches. Here’s his stats from those games: - 13 balls in play - 7 hard-hit balls - 4 hits - 3 walks (+2 HBP) - 2 home runs - 1 WHIFF He’s yet to strike out. Unbelievable.

Based on the data, Spencer Strider’s release point on his fastball today was most similar to 2024 & 2025. Even though his fastball shape appears to be back (17.5” iVB), that’s a product of him not throwing as hard; he only sat at 93. I’d expect the iVB to come down once Strider ramps up velo-wise.

Baltimore #Orioles Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

Los Angeles #Angels Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

Big fan of Trent Harris of the #Giants. He had a sub-2 ERA & FIP at AA, and while he struggled at AAA he was still above average. Great strikeout & walk rates (27% K%, 8% BB%), and has a nice mix that features a cutter, slider, curveball and splitter. Pitch plot from today’s outing below:

Pittsburgh #Pirates Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown

Minnesota #Twins Preview - 2026 Opening Day Countdown