Quite a reversal on the betting odds of a democratic house in 2026. electionbettingodds.com/House-Contro...

When my "dark" traits get the better of me, I ✔️the state of science @statmodeling.bsky.social "as long as this sort of research gets shoved into the world’s most prestigious scientific journals ... [and] gets uncritical press coverage, we’ll keep seeing more of it." tinyurl.com/4f2yhwtx Oh well

Today, Russia has a population roughly similar to that of the United States in the 1940s. Russia has lost roughly twice as many soldiers in its invasion of Ukraine as the United States did in World War II. www.economist.com/interactive/...

It took 15 years for the Nasdaq to return to .com peak after the bubble burst. Another ~10.5 years to grow 4.5 X. But this time is different, right? ...Right?

Great reporting on the market and consumer aspects of legacy coal power on Here and Now. Probably a much better spear point than climate. @tatecurtis.bsky.social does a great job on these issues as usual. 💡🔌 🏛️ www.wbur.org/hereandnow/2...

I wonder if something like this could ever happen here. It's not just Sarkozy, but many of his co-conspirators who have been punished for their crimes. www.nytimes.com/2025/09/25/w...

"Democrats should begin making it loud and clear that if and when MAGA is dethroned, those who broke the law, those who corrupted our democracy out of deference to Trump will be held accountable." open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug... Trump is weaker than he lets on. Stop the cowardice.

This story begs for more than "he said, she said" journalism. Explain the evidence, what's compelling, what's not, and what's required to go from correlation to causation. How, precisely, did Dr. Baccarelli supposedly cherry pick? Do better @nytimes.com www.nytimes.com/2025/09/23/h...

There he goes projecting again. Every attack is a confession. ‘Your Countries Are Going to Hell’: Trump Airs His Grievances at the U.N. www.nytimes.com/2025/09/23/u...

Jimmy Kimmel and other late-night comedians have certainly said things about me that I found offensive, even outrageous. It never crossed my mind to call up the networks and say, "Hey, get rid of this guy." Because that's not how America works. play.prx.org/listen?ge=pr...

Vertical rows are the agrivoltaic winner! “The vertical panels produce slightly less electricity—but with higher value, as generation peaks coincide with morning and late afternoon demand…The crops don't seem to mind the presence of solar panels and they like the wind protection they provide.”

USDA ends data collection on food insecurity and BLS delays a report on consumer expenditures without explanation Meanwhile, free speech for misinformers but not for anyone who criticizes Trump—that’s illegal now, says the King. They will find the crime. open.substack.com/pub/heatherc...

I didn't realize all of this increasingly destructive media consolidation stems from the Telecommunications Act of 1996. On Jimmy Kimmel: It's Time to Destroy the Censorship Machine and Repeal the Telecommunications Act of 1996 www.thebignewsletter.com/p/on-jimmy-k...

"it's time for Democrats .. to .. 1) acknowledge that American men are having real problems; 2) state clearly that MAGA has no solutions & is exploiting their distress for political ends; & 3) advocate for effective policies to help them, as well as promising responsible stewardship of the economy."

From things I've seen recently, I think many people would benefit from reading this. It's short, and it's free. 👉 rdcu.be/dbFbB

I am actually sad to have to say this since I have admired much about Disney CEO Bob Iger over the years, but what a profoundly quisling move this is by someone who knows better. It’s shameful and he has tarnished his once proud reputation.

Cancelling Paramount didn't hurt so bad. But the six year old (and maybe even the 14 year old) are going to be bummed about cancelling the Disney+ subscription.

The Clean Water Act improved water quality dramatically, except for agricultural nutrient runoff. Most US water quality problems come from fertilizer on corn. Is it driving higher cancer rates in Iowa? Nice to see Bloomberg put a spotlight on this important issue. tinyurl.com/yt3cjta8

Don't miss this: Paul Krugman discusses the book "Science Under Siege" with authors @peterhotezmdphd.bsky.social and @michaelemann.bsky.social Misinformation and attacks on science come from a coordinated effort by fossil fuel and supplement-shilling industries. open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...

Krugman asks why Republicans support such obviously destructive things. Great examples in his column. But his essential answer is in the quote. "https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/why-does-the-right-reject-progress.

Hawaii’s health insurers say they will cover COVID vaccinations for anyone older than six months, despite new FDA guidance that says children and healthy adults don’t need the shots.

As the world crumbles, we'll at least be entertained by watching Donald's head explode as long-term rates rise even as his subservient Fed lowers rates. open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...

Neither financial markets, mainstream media, nor the general public seem to any idea of the grave monetary crises that the Trump's actions could induce. The world's best international macroeconomists are scared. You should be too. open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...

1/9 Here's a nerdy 🧵 on bias stemming from measurement error. It can matter *a lot* in assessing impacts of climate change (and its precursor, CO2). The question here: How are higher CO2 concentrations affecting crop yields? 🌽

Nice graph. Notice the scale: TWh/month. Usually folks post capacity, which is usually misleading. Question: do you really think cancelling IRA will make a difference in larger scheme of things?

Fancy new synthetic control methods could probably do a reasonably good job of this. Better: post a solid, Abadie, Athey, and Imbens approved metric, and develop a betting market for how many kids die according to that metric. It's Grotesque. But, in the end, it might save lives.

someone should put together a "kennedy death count" for everyone who dies of a preventable disease and just plaster it everywhere www.statnews.com/2025/08/28/c...

1/9 Here's a nerdy 🧵 on bias stemming from measurement error. It can matter *a lot* in assessing impacts of climate change (and its precursor, CO2). The question here: How are higher CO2 concentrations affecting crop yields? 🌽

Paul Krguman: Decline and Fall of the American Empire. I wonder if Pax Americana always vulnerable to a despot. open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...

This. It is not good. Same with business success depending on putting effort into navigating ways to get around the rocks you've dumped in your harbours - a waste of resources that could have been spent making people better off.

Marzulla Law LLC, which has conservative ties and represents opponents of offshore wind, is demanding that Brown University retract research linking the fossil fuel industry to anti-wind groups. Otherwise, they're going to cry to Brown's funders, including the DOE, NSF, and the Mellon Foundation.

stop calling everything a distraction youtube.com/shorts/yyFjN...

To borrow another example, taken from the `dbreg` README: github.com/grantmcdermo... Here I am running a fixed-effects regression on 180 million(!) row parquet dataset... and it completes **< 2 seconds**... on my laptop 🤯 This is powered by @duckdb.org under the hood. #rstats #econsky

One Biden policy the Trump administration: requiring charging station to eventually report status and availability in real time. Andrew Campbell explains how this could speed EV adoption. energyathaas.wordpress.com/2025/08/25/r...

Even energy economists rarely acknowledge a critical fact: large commercial and industrial electricity and natural gas customers are often implicitly subsidized by residential customers. Data centers will co-locate with industry & utility friendly PUCs. open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...

@tnorris.bsky.social is one of the most insightful and creative people thinking about the impact of data centers on the grid these days. His work suggests that this is a very solvable problem, primarily through demand flexibility. www.powerpolicy.net/p/the-puzzle...

Breathtaking economic and environmental destruction. No rationale, except that's what the King wants. It's not as bad as civil rights violations, but emblematic of unfettered authoritarianism. It's also really dumb. Which is why I hope this won't last. www.nytimes.com/2025/08/07/c...

An especially apt analogy. Cluelessness and evil, are they compensating differentials? Let's hope so. The Emperor’s New Trade Deal open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...

Yes, of course. But we should look deeper. Boys and men are facing real challenges. The manosphere came about from exploiting their challenges and underlying insecurities for profit and power. Let’s try to understand why boys and men are failing and help them be better people.

No, he's using the sharpie to fire the data analysts when they report inconvenient numbers. www.nytimes.com/live/2025/07...

The government employs thousands of data analysts, our statistical agencies collect millions of data points, conference rooms full of trade economists spend decades studying how to make sense of it all, and he's inside the residence scribbling numbers with a sharpie, isn't he.

How I wish America’s congestion-obsessed transportation engineers understood Paul Krugman’s point here paulkrugman.substack.com/p/the-limits...

Motherfucking wind farms…

I grew up listening Tom Lehrer. We need his kind of humor today to both lighten the load and challenge the hypocrisy of our times. If you haven't heard of him, you can find all his classics on You Tube.

Up is down -- Russ Vought claims "the patience that the president has demonstrated toward Chairman Powell is in fact a defense of Fed independence"

Why do some say marine protected areas are just “paper parks”? And are industrial fishers actually staying out of these no-fishing zones? New in @science.org: We used AI + satellite radar to find out. doi.org/10.1126/scie... #ScienceResearch #OceanConservation #OceanTransparency #30x30 #Fisheries

This is so sad. Not for Colbert, but for CBS. Now I'll try to avoid watching Paramount Global. But I'll look forward to following whatever Colbert does next. Aside: One of my greatest regrets was turning down a chance to be on The Colbert Report in 2012. www.nytimes.com/2025/07/17/b...

Trump & Republicans: It's not just the abject cruelty, and the stupidity of giving the future to China. In a better world, the US-China rivalry would foster competition for the betterment of all humanity. www.nytimes.com/2025/07/17/o...

These funds could sustain the National Science Foundation for 17 years and make the US a great country. Instead, they'll be used to terrorize people in the US.

The world could use a little more Woody Guthrie today. www.nytimes.com/2025/07/14/a...