Reviving a junkyard car runs on one mantra: don't get it right, just get it running. I've come to think this is also the strategy to rebuild democracy after Trump. New piece: newsletter.aprogressiveway.com/just-get-it-...

@bradyharan.bsky.social -- I've enjoyed Numberphile for years now. I came across this guy recently. Thought it might be interesting to see some tangible math. Most folks would never think arctangents would come up in welding. Good amout of trig in his videos. www.youtube.com/watch?v=liMZ...

Just how many fake assassination attempts can one president pull together?

Does Trump want control of Spirit Airlines to have an ICE Airways?

Trump threatens the Pope? Made me think of this. Shouldn't mess around with being cast into darkness... youtu.be/NRt2cKvJLlE?...

Reasons for Melania's presser on Epstein 1} The Iran 'distract from Epstein' War is going so poorly that the move is now Epstein 'distract from Iran' Files? 2) A reporter called for comments. Perhaps the Epstein files made it into the wild, unredacted, and are being parsed like the Panama Papers.

The Iran War must be going horribly wrong if Trump wants people to talk about Epstein and Melania. Ironic, don't you think?

What I cannot understand is who thought a J.D. Vance visit would be helpful to Orban? Something else must be afoot. www.newsweek.com/viktor-orban...

A 25th amendment exit is chaos—up to 21 days playing "who's president?" And if Trump catches a whiff beforehand, he fires the cabinet, ending the process before it can start. Impeachment is easier—and a clearer path. #Iran newsletter.aprogressiveway.com/the-25th-cannot-help-us-only-impeachment-can/

Trump has a bad day at SCOTUS and, of course, fires Pam Bondi.

No Kings today in Takoma Park. Maryland.

No Kings Day protests feel good. They build lists, train activists, and reduce anxiety. But they do nothing about the nearly 50 year old social problem that drove Trump into office--Twice. Here's what we're missing. newsletter.aprogressiveway.com/everyone-a-s...

So much for Trump's surprise talk the other day. www.theguardian.com/world/live/2...

Iran is a starfish, not a snake. The U.S. cut off Venezuela's head on Jan. 3—Maduro is in a Brooklyn cell. Iran offers no such target. Kill a leader, it regrows the arm and keeps going. That's the structural difference. #Iran #Trump #IranWar

At some point soon, some countries will facilitate some meetings somewhere in Switzerland. Trump gets his peace-with-honor participation trophy. Iran's regime survives—hard-line as ever. https://twp.ai/4ixLNd #Iran #ProgressiveConjecture

Iran's strategy: pure rope-a-dope. Absorb the hits. Blockade the Strait of Hormuz. Drain the world oil supply. Hold out until economic pain forces Trump to fold. Ali beat Foreman this way in Zaire. Iran is betting it works on capitalism.

Trump hit Anthropic with a supply chain risk label meant for foreign adversaries — because they wouldn't let Claude be used for mass surveillance. I updated my piece on AI and power. The fight isn't new. It goes back to 1980s. newsletter.aprogressiveway.com/fault-not-in-ai-but-capitalism/

In 2024, Noem told the story of killing her dog Cricket in a gravel pit to impress Trump--and then became Homeland Security Secretary. In 2026 Trump decided she was Cricket. The Horror of Kristi Noem — updated. newsletter.aprogressiveway.com/the-horror-of-kristi-noem/

Everyone says AI will take your job. History says something different. For decades, computer automation has stripped workers of discretion and power. We already live in The Electronic Sweatshop. AI has nothing to do with this. New essay:

Everyone says AI will take your job. History says something different. For decades, computer automation has stripped workers of discretion and power. We already live in The Electronic Sweatshop. AI has nothing to do with this. New essay:

The real threat is not artificial intelligence. It is the economic system deciding how intelligence gets deployed. From fast-food fry timers to enterprise software to AI. The Electronic Sweatshop is not new.

AI may lower the barrier to building expert systems. But we have been living under expert systems for decades telling workers what to do. The question is not what AI does. It is who it serves.

Deer's looking at you.

In 1988, Barbara Garson described the "electronic sweatshop." Workers' expertise was mined and embedded into computer systems that later constrained future workers. How many times have you heard "the computer won't let me?" Today's AI is not the problem--it's capitalism.

Everyone says AI will take your job. History says something different. We already live in an Electronic Sweatshop, as Barbara Garson said--since the 1980s. AI has nothing to do with this. Paris Marx Hamilton Nolan Ed Zitron

Everyone says AI will take your job. History says something different.We already live in an Electronic Sweatshop, as Barbara Garson said--since the 1980s AI has nothing to do with this. @hagenblix.bsky.social @bcmerchant.bsky.social twp.ai/4ivjXX

Everyone says AI will take your job. History says something different. For decades, computer automation has stripped workers of discretion and power. We already live in The Electronic Sweatshop. AI has nothing to do with this. New essay: twp.ai/4ivjXX

Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor was arrested February 19 on suspicion of sharing confidential trade envoy reports with Epstein. Four emails, three threads — all within his 2001–2011 trade envoy window. My @Progressive Conjecture analysis of our 3,000 email sample turned up an interesting thread. 1/5

A day in the life, modeled from a random sample: admin logistics, exploitation logistics, and the banality of evil in short directives. https://twp.ai/4iwCaW #EpsteinFiles

79 emails per day. Typical length: 3 words. The content is mostly terse, but when viewed statistically, it tells you what Epstein did everyday to commit crimes against humanity.

France just opened 2 Epstein investigations. 5% of the emails in my statistical research sample touch France — every name now under scrutiny is in the data. Brunel. Lang. Aidan. Siad. Here's what a random sample of 3,000 files reveals. newsletter.aprogressiveway.com/a-day-in-the-life-of-epstein/

What did Jeffrey Epstein’s day look like in email? A random sample from DOJ Data Set 9 suggests volume, brevity, and a machinery of coordination. No Bond villainy, just banal emails made this evil possible

What did Jeffrey Epstein’s day look like in email? A random sample from DOJ Data Set 9 suggests volume, brevity, and a machinery of coordination. https://twp.ai/4iwCac #DataJournalism

No mustache twirling villainy. No grand planning. A statistical sample of Epstein's emails shows how Crimes Against Humanity can be administered through routine messages.

79 emails a day. Typical length: 3 boring words. A random DOJ sample shows what it actually took to build and run Epstein's Island. Read the data-driven breakdown: newsletter.aprogressiveway.com/a-day-in-the-life-of-epstein/

Epstein didn't write much in all those emails. 20% of his emails are 1 word long. More on this later at Progressive Conjecture...

This analysis exists because DHS won't document its own workforce. Congressional staff and journalists: full dataset available on request. Trump purpose-build ICE for violence.

The compound failure: 66.5% have no LE background. Academy attrition collapsed (4.2% vs 12.2%). Supervision degraded 73%. Undertrained + unfiltered + under-supervised.

This analysis exists because DHS won't document its own workforce. ICE built by Trump for Violence. Congressional staff and journalists: full dataset available on request.

Series complete. Part 1: 66.5% inexperienced (vs 85% claimed). Part 2: Academy filtering collapsed. Part 3: 73% supervision degradation. All data from OPM.

Best practice is a 6:1 supervisor ratio. ICE had 6.4:1. February 2025 now it is 12 agents to 1 supervisor. No pipeline exists for more supervisors. Violence and malpractice more likely.

2006 Border Patrol surge: 20% washout + stable supervision = 144 corruption arrests. 2025 ICE: 4.2% washout + 73% supervision degradation. How much worse will it be with ICE

It's not just more agents per supervisor — it's who is being supervised. Feb 2025: 3% had <1yr experience. Nov 2025: 25.9%. One in four agents are rookies and that is growing.

CANADA: Labour movement to Parliament: it’s time to put workers at the centre of Canada’s trade strategy canadianlabour.ca/labour-movem...

ICE promoted 37 agents to supervisor in Nov. Result: Still down 22 for the year and the supervisory ratio is climbing. Worse: 58% were retirement-eligible when promoted. The pipeline for new supervisors is designed to keep field agents from being supervised. @JasmineCrockett

Billionaire status should be like the speed of light...no one gets there.

In one year, ICE ERO first-line supervision collapsed from ~6 agents per supervisor to ~12 — while 1 in 3 agents are now rookies. Combined with other absent recruiting and training safeguards, ICE is intentionally designed for violence. @AOC @JasmineCrockett @JamieRaskin

Unsupervised ICE: Built for Violence. A data-driven investigation into how safeguards were stripped away to promote violence in the field.

ICE hired thousands of new agents, stopped filtering them, and then stopped supervising them. The outcome was not accidental. Part 3 Progressive Conjecture at 10:15 Unsupervised ICE:Built for Violence.

I believe Europe is beginning to mount an offensive against Trumpism... www.theguardian.com/technology/2...