Some notes from a recent trip to Türkiye, open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Trump’s Ukraine peace process is going nowhere - the Emperor has no clothes. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Need more Turkiye - UK defence cooperation to counter Russia. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Europe found its balls in Davos but China was the ultimate winner. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

I look at whether the EU’s €90 billion for Ukraine is enough? timothyash.substack.com/p/ukraine-do...

Great to speak on Ukraine financing with Anders Aslund and Phil Zelikow. Thanks to the U.S. - Ukraine Foundation for facilitating. youtu.be/ipDZSUs1Mrg

Trump is set to Wag the Husky Dog next in Greenland. Has Denmark got a defence? Perhaps open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Some bigger picture out-takes on events in Venezuela. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Putin is actually the problem, open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

I wrote for TRT World on the geopolitical outturns for Turkiye in 25’. www.trtworld.com/article/9722...

Have British bankers got any balls? open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Trump’s peace talks on Ukraine are about him, not peace. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

I spoke with Times Radio about Putin’s trip to India, youtu.be/UdG4zXAI4h8?...

Utterly staggering document. This is effectively a declaration of war by Trump on the EU and mainstream European politics. www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/u...

Ukraine - CBR asset issue update, open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

My thoughts on the US - Russia peace plan for Ukraine. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Türkiye - last man standing in Europe. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Europe immobilised on CBR assets - hopefully not for long. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

I spoke to Times Radio about the fuel crisis in Russia, the success of Ukrainian Deep Strike drones, sanctions and immobilised CBR assets, youtu.be/sbLJpjHa4Tg

Turkiye - Sept inflation print should be a wake up call. Mistakes were made. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

The Ukraine was could be approaching a turning point. timothyash.substack.com/p/ukraine-in...

Having dragged out the war from giving Russia time to adapt, escalation management has increased the cost of the war, while the US has cut support. Good discussion here how in the EU, that is forcing the seized Central Bank of Russia assets issue to fund Ukraine's defense 👇🏼

"If we do not fund Ukraine adequately it is at risk of losing this war...Imagine tens of millions of Ukrainians moving West, think then of the social, economic and political impact of that. Think then of the...need...for Europe to massively increase defence spending...immediately."

"What has been happening is that Western politicians have in effect been prioritising the defence of Russian tax payer assets at the expense of their own tax payer dollars, euros or pounds. This should be an absolute scandal."

My fools guide to the whole frozen Russian asset debate. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Ukraine is now the key to Europe’s defence, Europe needs to harness its defence tech innovation. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

My thoughts on the Trump - Erdogan WH summit, open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

U.S. pivots back to Latam, timothyash.substack.com/p/the-us-gri...

Deciphering Trump’s UNGA speech, open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

The IMF admitted their programme for Ukraine is undergunded by $65bn - Europe cannot write that cheque without resort to using immobilised CBR assets. timothyash.substack.com/p/ukraine-an...

Russia is going to be made to pay! open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

We are making progress in the push to seize CBR assets - youtu.be/bRU4xfE4onI?...

The IMF needs to plan for a long war scenario in Ukraine. Here is why and how. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Europe has no choice now but to seize CBR assets. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...