I'm leaving Twitter/X – and moving my posts here required a new account. Follow @ivobantel.bsky.social for an eclectic mix of own (nonacademic) analyses, polisci/polisky retweets & non-random thoughts, mostly about democracy, polarization & the Radical Right, EU politics, and some climate topics.

New book by @saengler.bsky.social on Centrist anti-establishment parties (think IT's M5S or CZ's ANO). It highlights these parties' immense success, survival strategies and concludes that, in the long run, ideology remains key! Looks amazing, looking forward to a fascinating read!

Our team at POLITICO is hiring. If you want to do fascinating research work and are looking for an amazing team (& want to enjoy Berlin summers), please consider applying and reach out ([email protected])! Equally, do get in touch if you have questions, will happily talk you into applying! ;)

Polish elections, despite favoring PiS, yielded an opposition majority. But a core tenet of democracy isn't certain: peaceful power transfer! This excellent (pre-election) analysis outlines how PiS might prevent power transfer and should now caution against early celebrations: tinyurl.com/verfblpol

PhD position in an amazing project, outstanding department, and (not to be neglected!) great city!

Richten wir uns mal ein in unserem neuen Wohnzimmer 🛋️ 👉 Wie finde ich alte Follower? 👉 Gibt es "Tweetdeck" noch? 👉 Wie erstelle ich "Listen"? 👉 Und wie werd ich Trolle & Spammer los? Eine kleine und hoffentlich hilfreiche Übersicht für den Start auf Bluesky 🧵 ohne Anspruch auf Vollständigkeit!

🗳️ 🇪🇺 What if the European Parliament election were held today? Once a month, I take a closer look at the polling trends from across the 27 EU countries based on POLITICO Poll of Polls data and the POLITICO Research & Analysis Division report. Here are my 5 takeaways:🧵

In Bavaria and Hessen, the AfD has been strongest among middle-aged voters. However, the party could make large gains among very young voters too, especially in Bavaria. Only people older than 70 still show relatively low support for the far-right. Among the oldest, the CDU and CSU still dominate.

Come join our @delorsberlin.bsky.social team! We have a very exciting vacancy for Policy Fellow for EU Democracy. If you are fascinated by Spitzenkandidaten, electoral reform and other 🇪🇺 institutional questions, this position is for you: hertie-school.dvinci-easy.com/en/p/en/jobs... Deadline 15.10.!

Check out this new special issue in Electoral Studies: www.sciencedirect.com/journal/elec... It contains 7 cool articles on the nature and causes of AP - using observational and experimental data, focusing on measurement, elites and ideology, and an important theoretical piece as well.