Known worries and unknown unknowns 😬 www.tker.co/p/known-risk...

A brief 9-point guide to how everything affects earnings 📋 www.tker.co/p/how-news-a...

Is it easier to become a stock picker in a stock picker's market?🕵 www.tker.co/p/is-it-ever...

The hardest part of valuing a company 🔮🧮 www.tker.co/p/the-hardes...

🍻"Bars in Greater Boston also saw a marked uptick in beer sales, which they attributed to the World Cup." - Boston Fed

Craziest idea I've ever heard in my life

The SEC got ratio'd into oblivion

Retail sales +0.2% June +1.9% Online +1.9% Cars, parts +1.3% Sporting, hobby, music, books +0.8% Electronics +0.1% Building mats, garden +0.1% Dept stores +0.1% Restaurants, bars 0.0% Furniture -0.3% Clothes -0.4% Grocery -0.8% Health, personal care -5.3% Gas stations www.census.gov/retail/marts...

“.. Gulf allies’ leaders, meanwhile, were working frantically to get Trump on the phone in time to talk him out of the idea altogether ..” @cnn.com www.cnn.com/2026/07/14/p...

#Inflation cools, but upside risks remain 📈 #CPI -0.4% m/m in June ✅Core -0.02% 🍲Food +0.2% ⛽️Energy -5.7%: Gas -9.7% ⚠️ ✅Core gds -0.1% 🚗New -0% 🚘Used -0.2% 👕Apparel -0.6% ✅Core svc +0% 🏘️Shelter +0.1% 🏡Rent +0.1% 🏠OER +0.2% 🏨Hotel -2.8% 🏥Med -0.1% 🛫Air +0.2% 📜Car insur -2%

Deutsche Bank has an "Oasis" index, which is the price of 5 beers and 2 packs of cigarettes

A brief 9-point guide to how everything affects earnings 📋 www.tker.co/p/how-news-a...

Is it easier to become a stock picker in a stock picker's market?🕵 www.tker.co/p/is-it-ever...

"Total debt of nonfinancial businesses and households as a fraction of GDP continued to edge down over the first half of 2026 and currently stands at its lowest level since the early 2000s"

One's cash outflow is another's cash inflow www.semafor.com/newsletter/0...

Bernanke to Anthropic, via Ed Ludlow

"Core goods price inflation had risen relative to a year earlier, which the staff judged as largely reflecting the effects of tariffs and AI-related price pressures."

Magnificent Seven P/E Ratio Premium to S&P 493 - Morgan Stanley

Proportion of the S&P 500 made up by top 5 names by size - DB www.dbresearch.com/PROD/IE-PROD...

3 ways the U.S. stock market is and isn't like the rest of the world🌎 www.tker.co/p/us-stock-m...

The first half of 2026 confirmed a valuable stock market lesson 🤔 www.tker.co/p/stock-mark...

“We maintain our initially launched S&P 500 2026 year-end target of 7100” - BofA

Old stuff dominates fresh original content on the streaming platforms sherwood.news/culture/holl...

Apple and Xbox are raising prices. Here's one thing you can do about it. 💻🎮 www.tker.co/p/apple-xbox...

Burying your head in the sand works for some investors, but it's not the best advice 🫣 www.tker.co/p/investors-...

"Unlike France or Germany, the US has never had a bout of hyperinflation in its history, with its currency maintaining its value comparatively well. Meanwhile, the US’ long-term equity performance has also been very strong." - DB

🚨Alphabet set to join the Dow Jones Industrial Average, replacing Verizon www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/doc...

The hardest part of valuing a company 🔮🧮 www.tker.co/p/the-hardes...

Cash on the sidelines!

“We estimate $20B of equity inflows from Trump Accounts starting in July. $20B won't be a structural driver of stocks, but it will be price-insensitive flows concentrated in large caps (i.e., Tech) that occur mostly in 3Q.” - Wells Fargo’s Kwon

@nytimes.com seeks a reporter to cover artificial intelligence: talkingbiznews.com/biz-news-hel...

Federal Reserve notes with deep sadness the passing of Alan Greenspan: www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/p... Photos of Chairman Greenspan: www.flickr.com/photos/federalreserve/albums/72157638354027213

"Ultimately, Earnings Remain the Primary Driver of this Bull Market…" - Morgan Stanley's Wilson

Alan Greenspan, the influential economist who steered U.S. monetary policy during his five terms as chairman of the Federal Reserve under four presidents, has died Monday, his wife said in a statement. He was 100. Read more: nbcnews.to/4enj73x

“We expect the Fed to hike by 75bp this year, starting in Sep. Sticky inflation will likely keep policy on hold next year.” -BofA

I was on Bloomberg's Odd Lots podcast with writers who won't be replaced by machines 🎙️ www.tker.co/p/bloomberg-...

"Overall, there are 12,840 ratings on stocks in the S&P 500. Of these ratings, 59.4% are Buy ratings, 35.7% are Hold ratings, and 4.9% are Sell ratings" @factset.com

"I think financial markets perform best when they react to incoming data. I think the financial markets work less efficiently when they ask a question, 'How will the Federal Reserve react to that incoming information?'" - Warsh

That's a short FOMC statement

Does the stock market test new Fed chairs? 🏛️ www.tker.co/p/does-stock...

🏛️"...a new Fed Chair rarely dictates the market narrative. Instead, they often find themselves hostages to broader economic currents, whether positive or negative." - DB

Retail sales +0.9% in May +3.4% gas stations +1.5% online +1.2% cars, parts +1.0% furniture +0.6% health, personal care +0.3% clothes +0.3% sporting, hobby, music, books 0.0% building mats, garden 0.0% grocery -0.1% restaurants, bars -0.3% dept stores -0.5% electronics

"... early trends suggest that young workers could adapt more flexibly than older workers to AI disruption by reorienting their skills toward areas of growing labor demand." - Goldman Sachs

if there's a better way, we should try to find it!

Maybe it's time to rethink how the S&P 500 is constructed 🤯 www.tker.co/p/stock-mark...

Ok. Gonna start a chart

"As Iran Conflict Continues, Inflation Increasingly Seen as Greater Risk to Consumers than Unemployment" - UMich consumer sentiment survey www.sca.isr.umich.edu

Some thoughts on mega IPOs and market indices...🚀 www.tker.co/p/thoughts-o...

"South Korea surprised our model by winning 2-1 against Czechia, resulting in slight upgrade to South Korea's expected performance over the rest of the tournament." - Goldman Sachs

Rieder on CPI: "...we think the Fed, even with a new Chairman, will continue to be persistent in its view of keeping rates high (or higher) in order to try to moderate this above-target inflation condition today."