I don’t. 💀

Probability for beginners. 😂

Voting intentions…

Morning! (Still dark out…)

Back to Sunday Runday after a couple of weekends off. How’s your December training going? Advent motivation?!

Brilliant flu thread from the excellent Prof Pagel. Contrast this with the “tsunami” hyperbole from the opportunistic Mr Streeting. 🤧 🦠 😷

Hospitals currently have a lot more people admitted with flu than at the same time in recent years. It remains to be seen how the peak will compare to previous years. (Half the IFS healthcare team are also currently laid low with it...) www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/c6...

Flu news. Grim. 🦠 🤧 💀 I expect @actuarybyday.bsky.social or @chrischirp.bsky.social will have some analytics…

Isn't this just gambling?

"PPF to apply indexation to payments if it is clear the member’s scheme had promised this, but also if it was unclear" well then...!

I agree with Jo on this - the last six words really grate and are unnecessary.

FFS… 😡

We're looking for case studies! 📢 The @suttontrust.bsky.social and @smfthinktank.bsky.social are researching school based nurseries - and we're looking far and wide for schools and early years settings with strong partnerships....

The pre age 25 vs post age 64 differential here is quite something… 🎄 🎅

Meanwhile in pensions land…

This is very cool. @susanabernethy2.bsky.social @curatorkate.bsky.social

I think I agree with the 53% here…

Quotes of the day so far (and it’s not even 8 o’clock yet): 1) “four shots? that’s a lot of coffee” - server at Starbucks 2) “we’ve been joined by the revenue protection team” - train conductor

Because AI i) cannot do maths in any meaningful sense and ii) turns the best written advice into average boilerplate, I find this… surprising…

Overall, the combination of tax rises and giveaways since last year’s Budget is progressive. Incomes for households in the bottom half of the distribution have increased by 1.0 per cent and incomes for households in the top half fell by 0.7 per cent.

Sensible business strategy.

Excellent stuff. What can YOU do to help?

We both know you won't be able to resist this article... Runaway nuns banned from social media! Top class stuff.

I mean it’s not resoundingly positive…

Facts.

Neat Budget summary from @resolutionfoundation.org.

Do OBR stands for: “Oh blast!! Recall?!?”

When people say “technical error” they mean “human error”, right, or even just… you know… “error”?

Agreed - excellent news re the two child cap. 😃

Free apprenticeship training for under 25s for SMEs is brill (and hopefully will help encourage the creation of more opportunities)

Pensions news hot off the Budget press… though not as hot as the OBR’s press releases… 🔥

"The Parliamentary Labour Party is sprawling and naïve" one government figure says… presumably thinking this is a sensible comment to make that will win friends and influence people?

You’ve got to love a nice cathedral on a chilly morning!! Anyone recognise this one?! @curatorkate.bsky.social @susanabernethy2.bsky.social

😂

tell your mates. and get yourselves checked, gents. be like Dave. x

We need to STOP BURNING STUFF. 🌍 🔥 ♻️

There is hazelnut yogurt in the fridge. What did I do to deserve this? 🤢

“Do as I say and not as I do”… as my Mum used to say! Excellent pensions reporting in today’s FT from @marymcd.bsky.social.

Keep sharing and repeating this… @annadixonmp.bsky.social

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

And the answer to this (albeit rhetorical) question is “NOBODY KNOWS… not even the government…” So worth tuning in then.

This would be quite a niche interview question. Can I be a fly on this pensions wall?

Pensions in the @ftweekend.com… 😱

Local news. 🎅 🎄

Super exciting #medieval arrival from @blackwells.bsky.social! Will put this away to go under the Christmas tree, @susanabernethy2.bsky.social!

Fabulous stuff! “Before LLMs, a good cover letter signalled both candidate quality and commitment. After LLMs it signalled neither.” Basically we have prospective employees using AI to respond to an AI generated recruitment process and everyone becomes average. Real people optional!

You put your left wing in You put your left wing out In out, in out, you shake the OBR about…

Gilt market live feed…

It’s late and I read this as “gifts” not “gilts” and felt a bit sorry for Andy…

Banx nails it again in today’s FT. 😂