I dug through the polling on Trump's Venezuela plan (as much as there is one), and the data is not good for him. www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...

What's old is new again, and that includes ... executions and measles. I look at five striking charts from last year: www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...

The 2028 primaries are just two years away. No better time to look at the very early field of Dems who could run. www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Democrats could be at risk of locking themselves out of California’s governor’s mansion. How's that possible? Here’s how. www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Supreme Court to decide on the constitutionality of the Constitution

Why does the president pardon a turkey? I dug through decades of data on this strange tradition and unearthed a lot of even stranger lore about the U.S. A light column for Thanksgiving week: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

I reported about this trend back in August. Good to see major outlets finally noticing it. www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

AI companies are playing edgelord with your livelihood. My latest column shows just how out of touch those companies—and their valuations—are in our current moment. www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

"Pity the Cuomosexual, for their hero has fallen so far." www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Raids inside day cares had been off limits until this year, when, on his first day in office, President Donald Trump removed that protection. The arrest reportedly took place in front of children. 19thnews.org/2025/11/chil...

Trump just hit his lowest net job approval in his second term, per Nate Silver

New data finds that Americans think life in the U.S. is getting worse, confirming a trend I looked at last month in my column. www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Only 60% of Americans say witches *don't* exist—and it gets even weirder from there in my latest column: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Why hasn't the U.S. broken the glass ceiling when so many peer countries have? The reasons run deeper than sexism. I dig deep in my latest column: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

new polls website just dropped fiftyplusone.news

Trump's approval rating is falling, and some polling suggests his free-speech crackdown could be driving it. I dive into the numbers: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

this_is_fine_dog.jpg www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Why are executions up this year? I dig into the data for my latest column: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

I ran the numbers on Trump's new favorite phrase and was pretty shocked by the results. Check out my latest column to see. Thank you for your attention to this matter! www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

New polling on Israel/Palestine and Trump's climate-killing EPA, as well as a dive into the mirror world of right-wing pollsters. My latest "Survey Says" column: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Trump's approval polls, they're bad. Historically bad. My latest Survey Says column: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

📣 Survey Says ... JD Vance wants you to have more babies—for America! Meanwhile, Americans are like: “Sure, right after I find $13,000 lying around for daycare and a health care system that doesn’t kill me during childbirth.” www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

So much digital ink was spilled last year about America's anti-immigration turn ... when, in reality, it was just basic thermostatic politics. New Gallup data reveals Americans are suddenly more supportive of immigration after they've seen a few months of Trump's crackdown.

Elon Musk has an extremely naive view of the party system in America. Three weeks ago, I dove into that and why the main planks of Democratic Party’s platform are supported by a decisive majority of Americans. www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Republican support for same-sex marriage is tumbling. I dive into why in my latest Survey Says column: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

My latest Survey Says column is on the totally uncontroversial topic of Biden's reported cognitive decline—and why it unfortunately matters to Democrats' future. www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

"President Donald Trump is waging a war on your fridge—in more ways than one. And he’s doing so with strong voter opposition." I look at some exclusive polling from Civiqs: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

I scraped data for every Walmart store in the country to find that the company's tariff-induced price hike will disproportionately hit states that Trump won last year. My latest: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

If House Republicans successfully slash Medicaid, they'll hurt 1 in 5 of those who live in their district (on average). My latest Survey Says column: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Turns out Americans really, really don't like when things cost more. My latest: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Democrats need to gain just three seats on net in next year’s midterms. That just so happens to be the number of GOP-held House districts that Harris won last year. My latest, with a hat tip to @the-downballot.com for the data:

AOC 2028? I look at the very, very, very early numbers: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Thermostatic public opinion strikes again

"Americans are less 👊🇺🇸🔥 about the leak, and more 🤬." – @mangan.bsky.social

47% of Americans think people are ruder in public now than before the COVID-19 pandemic. Big question is, what world are the other 53% living in? My latest Survey Says column: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Just a reminder that all the data FiveThirtyEight collected—polls, election results, and much more—is available for download (for now) on our GitHub page. github.com/fivethirtyei...

Sometimes folks treat 538 as synonymous with the forecast models, but a) the polling data they compiled was a huge undertaking that underpinned *so much other work* both inside and outside b) they did a phenomenal amount of nuanced, thoughtful writing about politics and public opinion

ABC News is killing off 538, which is incredibly stupid but means there will be a lot of really exceptional people on the job market.

Americans claim to be more anti-immigration than they have been in a long time. However, early data suggests they won't be able to stomach the ugly truth of mass deportations. My latest Survey Says column: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Great new edition of Survey Says from @alexsamuelsx5.bsky.social! We made *a lot* of graphics for this one. www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Daily Kos' own @owillis.bsky.social seems to have spurred The New York Times into correcting a story. A+ www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

Stock up on some handy stats about the wild world we live in thanks to @mangan.bsky.social’s insightful dive into the data…

Despite what Trump and his MAGA minions want you to believe, @mangan.bsky.social shows that facts and figures still matter in @dailykos.com’s weekly dive into the data…

I am *thrilled* to share that @mangan.bsky.social and I will write a weekly polling column for @dailykos.com titled “Survey Says.” This is our first piece, which reviewed why the GOP suddenly thinks the economy is doing OK and who supports Trump’s price-raising tariffs, among other things.

Want to dig a little deeper into the data and trends driving the news? @dailykos.com has you covered! Check out this great new series from @alexsamuelsx5.bsky.social and @mangan.bsky.social!

Obviously, Canada won’t become a state in our lifetimes. But how bad would it be for Republicans if it did? My latest: www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...

I edited this story nearly two years ago. Surreal to see it now published. abcnews.go.com/538/jimmy-ca...

Great story by @mangan.bsky.social www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...