Andrew Mangan
@mangan.bsky.social
š¤ 8954
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Writer, editor. Currently: Daily Kos. Formerly: FiveThirtyEight, Data for Progress. andrewmangan.com
www.natesilver.net/p/disney-era...
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Disney erased FiveThirtyEight
Nothing on the internet lasts forever. But Disneyās 10-year mismanagement of FiveThirtyEight is its own story.
https://www.natesilver.net/p/disney-erased-fivethirtyeight
6 days ago
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Buried in the latest NYT/Siena poll is this interesting finding: When it comes to which party voters personally identify with, they lean toward the Democratic Party by 6 points now. In January, it was by just 1 point.
7 days ago
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In the short term, Democrats face a huge disadvantage in fighting Republicans' gerrymandering. But there is hope.
www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
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How extreme could gerrymandering get?
Lo, the era of gerrymaxxing is upon us.
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/5/17/800039569/series/gerrymandering-supreme-court-texas-california-minnesota-house-districts/
7 days ago
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Sign up now for a free six-month subscription to Daily Kos!
www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
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Enjoy a free 6-month Daily Kos subscription on us!
Everyone gets a free six-month Daily Kos subscription!
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/5/14/800038396/daily-kos/free-6-month-daily-kos-subscription/
10 days ago
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reposted by
Andrew Mangan
Nathaniel Rakich
10 days ago
ABC News has now taken all FiveThirtyEight articles completely offline. They now redirect to abcnews dot com.politics. A needless erasure of thousands of pages of knowledge.
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Sometimes there is good news too. My latest:
www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
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These Democrats shouldnāt have a shot at winningābut they do
Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend thatās driving politics or culture. In Iowaā¦
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/5/10/800034482/news/these-democrats-shouldnt-have-a-shot-at-winning-but-they-do/
14 days ago
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There are over 500 comments on my column from yesterday, andājust take it from meāevery single one of them likes my opinion and agrees wholeheartedly.
www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
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Kamala Harris might run again. Hereās why she shouldnāt.
Third timeās a charm, right? The former vice president seems to think so.
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/5/3/800029628/series/kamala-harris-2028-case-against/
21 days ago
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Trump's approval rating is clearly dragging down Republicans' performance on the generic ballot, though it's not as 1:1 as you might expect. (Data collated from Silver Bulletin.)
27 days ago
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Gallup finds that 19.1% of American adults report having or being treated for depressionāa higher rate than just a few years ago. Last September, seeing that trend in earlier data, I dove into the reasons why that might be:
www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...
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The new Great Depression is more than economic
Most Americans reject Trumpās policies and political violence amid growing national malaise. Explore public sentiment on key U.S. issues.
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2025/9/14/2342794/news/The-new-Great-Depression-is-more-than-economic/
about 1 month ago
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Actually, Democrats should do more gerrymandering.
www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
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Why Democrats should gerrymander
Virginia is for loversāof democracy.
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/4/19/800022091/series/case-for-gerrymandering-democrats/
about 1 month ago
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Despite the numerous crises facing his administration, Trump is increasingly focused on construction projects, like the new White House ballroom, The Washington Post finds. Hereās me from last week on what that means:
www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
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Trump canāt escape his real estate pastāand neither can we
At his core, President Donald Trump is a real estate guy who happens to run a country. That makes for a very chaotic fit, as this past weekās most popular stories on Daily Kos have shown.
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/4/18/800021506/series/trump-cant-escape-his-real-estate-past-and-neither-can-we/
about 1 month ago
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In California's governor's race, two Republicans lead the pack, according to an average of polls conducted since Jan. 1. The highest-performing Democrat narrowly trails them. The catch? It's Swalwell. My latest look into Democrats' danger in the Golden State:
www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
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Democrats in California governor race may be saved by ā¦ Trump?
Itās a question nobody wants to hear: Will a billionaire save Democrats from themselves in California?
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/4/17/800022053/elections/california-governor-democrat-republican-trump/
about 1 month ago
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The California Democratic Party now says it's too late to remove Eric Swalwell's nameāor any otherāfrom the ballot, meaning that we're edging ever closer to something I warned about in December: a Republican governor in the Golden State.
www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...
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A Republican governor in California? Itās possible.
Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend thatās driving politics or culture. Democrats ...
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2025/12/14/2357626/-A-Republican-governor-in-California-It-s-possible
about 1 month ago
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Trump's attack on the pope and his "I am Jesus" Truth Social post definitely won't help his approval among Christians, which has been deteriorating since he took office.
www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
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White evangelicals are souring on Trumpābut thereās a catch
Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend thatās driving politics or culture. He is risen! ...
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/4/5/2375870/-White-evangelicals-are-souring-on-Trump-but-there-s-a-catch
about 1 month ago
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Voters are sour on the Democratic Party ... and yet they are much more likely to trust it in comparison to the GOP. For instance, of 17 policy areas where one party has a clear advantage, the Democratic Party has an edge on 14. Read more in my latest:
www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
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Americans are down on Democratsāuntil the alternative is the GOP
Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend thatās driving politics or culture. You may have ...
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/4/12/2375559/-Americans-are-down-on-Democrats-until-the-alternative-is-the-GOP
about 1 month ago
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You know the Trump admin is in a bad place when a pollās graph hides the percentage that agrees with the adminās talking points because that share is so small
about 2 months ago
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I tracked down a dozen competitive House districts that have seen measles outbreaks, including oneāNY-17āthat is currently considered a toss-up. More here:
www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
2 months ago
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Good to see the New York Times finally covering the rise in executions in 2025, something I tackled last August:
www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...
2 months ago
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www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
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Iranian school was on U.S. target list, may have been mistaken as military site
The strike on an Iranian elementary school killed at least 175, many of them children, raising questions as to whether the militaryās use of AI-enabled targeting was a factor.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2026/03/11/us-strike-iran-elementary-school-ai-target-list/
2 months ago
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www.axios.com/2026/03/10/w...
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Scoop: White House tells House Republicans to stop talking about mass deportations
Blair delivered the message during a policy listening session with House Republicans at their annual retreat in Doral, Florida.
https://www.axios.com/2026/03/10/white-house-house-republicans-mass-deportations
3 months ago
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reposted by
Andrew Mangan
Daily Kos is hiring a staff reporter!
www.dailykos.com/jobs#job-sta...
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Career Opportunities
careers page for Daily Kos
https://www.dailykos.com/jobs/#job-staff-reporter-6rjj
3 months ago
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There is no modern precedent for a war as unpopular as Trump's war on Iran. Here's just how bad the polling is ā¬ļø
www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
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Trumpās uniquely unpopular war on Iran
Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend thatās driving politics or culture. You almost couldnāt...
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/3/8/2371462/-Trump-s-uniquely-unpopular-war-on-Iran
3 months ago
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Gas prices are up over 60 cents from one month ago, per AAA. And prices have increased in every state, with purple Arizona getting the worst of it.
3 months ago
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You almost gotta respect how much Trafalgar puts its thumb on the scale. Question wording talks about the Iran war in the past tense, as if it's over. Prematurely claims major victories. Says "ally troops" instead of the more divisive "Isreal." Great stuff.
3 months ago
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Trump has signed more executive orders at this point in his second term than any president since World War II. More shocking data in my latest:
www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
3 months ago
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apnews.com/article/paki...
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At least 22 people killed in Pakistan as protesters try to storm US Consulate
Authorities say at least 22 people were killed and more than 120 wounded in clashes with police on Sunday after protesters tried to storm the U.S.
https://apnews.com/article/pakistan-protesters-attacked-us-consulate-karachi-iran-a3cc0c3c6f126cc54a657f61d312a203
3 months ago
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www.nytimes.com/2026/02/28/u...
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Only 21% of Americans Support the United States Initiating an Attack on Iran
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/28/us/politics/poll-americans-support-iran-attack.html
3 months ago
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apnews.com/article/aust...
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Suspect in Texas shooting wore 'Property of Allah' clothing and Iranian flag emblem, AP source says
A law enforcement official tells The Associated Press that the gunman who killed two people at a bar in Texas early Sunday was wearing a sweatshirt that said āProperty of Allah,ā and another shirt wit...
https://apnews.com/article/austin-texas-bar-shooting-7690f931ba00f950c1828cef25399bb6?utm_source=onesignal&utm_medium=push&utm_campaign=2026-03-01-Breaking+News
3 months ago
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Trump very frequently posts links to a news website you've probably never heard of. Here's my deep dive into his connection to the site's founder.
www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
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Trump's second-favorite news site will make you go: Huh?
Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend thatās driving politics or culture. President ...
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/2/22/2369313/-Trump-s-second-favorite-news-site-will-make-you-go-Huh
3 months ago
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Trump is obsessed with his own name, but his voters? Not so much.
www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
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Trump wants his name on everything. Trump voters donāt.
Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend thatās driving politics or culture. President ...
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/2/15/2368294/-Trump-wants-his-name-on-everything-Trump-voters-don-t
3 months ago
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Daily Kos is hiring a staff reporter!
www.dailykos.com/jobs#job-sta...
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Career Opportunities
careers page for Daily Kos
https://www.dailykos.com/jobs/#job-staff-reporter-6rjj
3 months ago
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A huge loss
thehill.com/homenews/med...
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https://thehill.com/homenews/media/5733236-gallup-stops-presidential-approval-ratings-polls/
3 months ago
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Trump grasps the political power of football in Americaāand he now sees that it could be used against him.
www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
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The NFL's political powerāand how Trump fumbled it
Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend thatās driving politics or culture. President ...
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/2/8/2367231/-The-NFL-s-political-power-and-how-Trump-fumbled-it
4 months ago
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Immigration regularly ranks as a top "problem" in the U.S.ābut it's not a problem at all. My latest column digs into why:
www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
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Immigration is not a real problem
Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend thatās driving politics or culture. Federal ...
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/2/1/2366024/-Immigration-is-not-a-real-problem
4 months ago
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www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2026/...
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Two federal agents involved in Alex Pretti shooting placed on administrative leave
The development comes a day after DHS provided the first official timeline of the deadly encounter, stating that two federal officers had fired at Pretti.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2026/01/28/trump-pretti-shooting-minneapolis-officers-leave/
4 months ago
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apnews.com/article/ilha...
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Man tackled to ground after spraying unknown substance on Rep. Ilhan Omar at Minneapolis town hall
A man wearing a black jacket has been tackled to the ground after spraying an unknown substance on U.S. Rep. Ilhan Omar.
https://apnews.com/article/ilhan-omar-town-hall-sprayed-7f6ad0b9ece2ae8804b2efe5badd2991?utm_source=onesignal&utm_medium=push&utm_campaign=2026-01-27-Breaking+News
4 months ago
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American public rejects just about every aspect of Trump's Greenland-takeover gambit.
www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
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Trump's Greenland plot has the public seeing red
Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend thatās driving politics or culture. Initially it ...
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/1/25/2364673/-Trump-s-Greenland-plot-has-the-public-seeing-red
4 months ago
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reposted by
Andrew Mangan
Ken Vogel
4 months ago
A
@nytimes.com
video analysis shows that after agents restrained Alex Jeffrey Pretti & removed his gun from the skirmish, an agent appears to fire 4 shots at Petri. That agent & another then fire 6 more shots at Pretti while he lies motionless on the ground.
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Timeline: How the Shooting of Alex Jeffrey Pretti Unfolded (Gift Article)
A moment-by-moment analysis of video from the scene shows that Mr. Pretti was already restrained when fatal shots were fired, which appears to contradict the federal governmentās account of the event.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/01/24/us/minneapolis-shooting-alex-pretti-timeline.html?unlocked_article_code=1.HFA.tKGK.vMJfCBZkmC8m&smid=url-share
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www.washingtonpost.com/investigatio...
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Federal agent secured gun from Minn. man before fatal shooting, videos show
A Post analysis of videos sheds light on the encounter that left 37-year-old Alex Pretti dead.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/investigations/2026/01/25/minneapolis-shooting-video-gun/
4 months ago
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reposted by
Andrew Mangan
Minnesota Star Tribune
4 months ago
Man shot by federal agent in south Minneapolis
www.startribune.com/ice-raids-mi...
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www.startribune.com/preschooler-...
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Preschooler and three other students detained by ICE, school district leader says
The detentions of Columbia Heights students come after weeks of heightened concern and enforcement presence near and on Twin Cities school property.
https://www.startribune.com/preschooler-and-three-other-students-detained-by-ice-school-district-leader-says/601568045
4 months ago
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Great article from
@kaleighrogers.bsky.social
www.poynter.org/ethics-trust...
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In 2020, FiveThirtyEight published a chart that was weaponized to spread election disinformation. It still haunts me. - Poynter
How a simple chart was stripped of context and turned into a symbol of fraud that outlived the news site that published it.
https://www.poynter.org/ethics-trust/2026/wisconsin-election-fraud-chart-fivethirtyeight/
4 months ago
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www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
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āAbolish ICEā hits record-high support
Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend thatās driving politics or culture. Abolish ICE, ...
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/1/18/2363282/-Abolish-ICE-hits-record-high-support
4 months ago
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I dug through the polling on Trump's Venezuela plan (as much as there is one), and the data is not good for him.
www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
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America isnāt on board with Trumpās murky plan for Venezuela
Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend thatās driving politics or culture. On the third ...
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/1/11/2361846/-America-isn-t-on-board-with-Trump-s-murky-plan-for-Venezuela
4 months ago
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What's old is new again, and that includes ... executions and measles. I look at five striking charts from last year:
www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
5 months ago
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The 2028 primaries are just two years away. No better time to look at the very early field of Dems who could run.
www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...
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Who's the top 2028 Democratic contender?
Amid the waking hell of the second Trump administration, itās hard not to pine for 2028. And the Democratic presidential primaries are just over two years away, so itās a great time to take ...
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2025/12/28/2354469/-Who-s-the-top-2028-Democratic-contender
5 months ago
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Democrats could be at risk of locking themselves out of Californiaās governorās mansion. How's that possible? Hereās how.
www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...
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A Republican governor in California? Itās possible.
Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend thatās driving politics or culture. Democrats ...
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2025/12/14/2357626/-A-Republican-governor-in-California-It-s-possible
5 months ago
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Supreme Court to decide on the constitutionality of the Constitution
add a skeleton here at some point
6 months ago
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Why does the president pardon a turkey? I dug through decades of data on this strange tradition and unearthed a lot of even stranger lore about the U.S. A light column for Thanksgiving week:
www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...
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Why the flock do presidents pardon turkeys?
Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend thatās driving politics or culture. In the ...
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2025/11/23/2353441/-Why-the-flock-do-presidents-pardon-turkeys
6 months ago
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I reported about this trend back in August. Good to see major outlets finally noticing it.
www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...
add a skeleton here at some point
6 months ago
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