A high end June heatwave is looking increasingly likely to impact western-central Europe next week. I am monitoring the potential for this heat to impact SE UK in 2nd half of next week. The hot air mass will be very near... (1/2)

After a shocker of a Thursday the week ends on a much sweeter note. Become a patron to not miss out, benefits from 'Weather Apprentice' tier include personalised forecasts and community chats. www.patreon.com/TheSnowDream...

Shockingly poor 12C at lunchtime with pouring rain in London this just 10 days from summer solstice. Some better news it does seem rain is moving out several hours earlier than predicted. But it will remain cloudy.

Another day in paradise…. #ukweather

Hitting rock bottom tomorrow… Widespread persistent rain, and pretty woeful temperatures the rain will fade out heading into evening. Cloudy.

A cooler night the first below average night of June. Low of 8.8C at LHR average min for date is 11.5C.

London Heathrow slightly surpassed its entire total spring (March-May) rainfall 6 days into June.

Last rain moving through London a brighter clearance slowly moving in. Expect a nice end to afternoon in what otherwise has been a very poor day.

Fairly heavy steady rain associated with cold front pushing into region. I expect this will have cleared east by lunchtime.

Something’s brewing The ECM op on left was one of hottest model forecast within its ensemble. Pushing temps to mid 30s into following week exceptional heatwave for early summer, considered unlucky right now. But there’s been a significant increase in support for v warm spell.

Cool oceanic air mass over UK/NW Europe this coming Thursday to a hot continental one on Saturday a dramatic shift within 48 hours. We leap to heat much faster nowadays no need for a build up. I can see this suddenness in heat being a feature of this summer.

Oh hello! ☀️😎🔥 Growing cross model agreement now of a major warm up and pattern change later next week with weather steadily improving from Friday. Another remarkable turnaround in the offing? There’s real potential for a #heatwave to develop… (1/2)

New blog on the #WeekAhead we could see a dramatic change in fortune once more. It might feel autumnal at times next week, but I am monitoring the potential for settled and hot weather to develop next weekend. Orientation of high pressure is key. www.patreon.com/posts/week-a...

Relatively cold polar maritime air over UK & Ireland early next week. Cold blob in Atlantic aiding that. It’s what contributed to a cool summer in 2015. Not suggesting a repeat at all. Expect some cooler nights too these have been absent so far... (1/2)

Been a cool autumnal feeling day the high 16.6C at LHR peaked early in afternoon before rain set in, so roughly 4C below average. The wind making it feel cooler. It’s not anywhere exceptionally cool on this day in 1989 the high was 12.4C far from any record.

Feeling like October right now… What ECMWF offers this evening reminds me of last month and how quickly the weather shifted. Potential for large improvement next Friday into weekend. Still needs to be firmed up, but it does look south at least will see return of a warmer high pressure influence.

Strongest #ElNino for this date in history the warming of sea surface temperatures in Pacific normally peaks in December. I’d say we are clearing heading for a once-in-a-century super El Niño. There’s no evidence climate change is increasing the frequency or intensity of El Niño events.

15C and lashing it down with a gusty SW’ly wind… 15 days until summer solstice the longest day!

As I expected, at 67.4mm and rising, I’ve now recorded more rainfall in the first 5.5 days of June than I recorded in the WHOLE of spring (March-May). #Dorset Crossposted with @openvibe.social

I’m surprised a yellow wind warning has not been issued for tomorrow 50mph+ gusts in exposed locations in far SW and quite strong winds along south coast and funnelling through Bristol Channel. Some big swell through English Channel. Rare to see in summer.

Today was first day to fail to reach 20C in London the max 18.9C at Heathrow, not been cool despite rainy weather, a bit warmer than average even. More so at night. While we’ve seen some quite unpleasant weather we often have seen sunny spells and strong sunshine has resulted in short spikes. (1/2)

Warm summery weather has gone well to E of Europe and N to Arctic Scandinavia! I’ve definitely observed increasing regularity to these warm/dry spells at these high latitudes of Europe in recent years. If jet stream is becoming more meridional by climate change that’s not conducive to… (1/2)

Some late sunny weather on way ☀️ advantage of long days…

Spring 2026 was a sunny one a total of 590 hours of sunshine this is 117% of 1991-2020 average. I make it the 7th sunniest spring on record at London Heathrow sunshine record started 69 years ago.

Here's forecast as we move to the latter stages of this week. Friday night into Saturday it will turn unsettled and increasingly windy especially in far southwest. It's not all glum, become a patron to discover more and better plan your outdoor activities. www.patreon.com/posts/160161...

These opening days to June have been unsettled the wettest in 27 years (1999) at #London Heathrow.

June monsoon weather! #London

Current expectation is for this changeable and cooler W’ly pattern to persist a little longer than originally thought. An underwhelming opening third to June. Reasonably good confidence of greater HP influence from second half of next week with more seasonable temperatures. North-south split?

Definitely blowy in last hour London Heathrow had a 40mph gust rather unseasonable for early June. Despite late afternoon sunshine and late rally in temperature to 20.8C hardly feels summery in these windy conditions.

I was not expecting to see this but Spring 2026 was not only the warmest spring on record at Heathrow, but it was also the driest on record with only 36.4mm of rain. This site has seen 27mm in last 24 hours, hello summer! Only after 2025 became the driest spring last year, that's absolutely wild!

I can confirm Spring 2026 was the warmest spring on near 80-year record at #London Heathrow. The average temperature of 12.7C is +1.9C above recent 30-year average and +3.4C above older 1961-1990 climate baseline.... (1/2)

May 2026 was also exceptionally dry with only 4.2mm of rain, following only 4.8mm in April. Individual months not breaking dry records, but when we factor these 2 months together (April-May), it is record breaker only 9mm in 2026, former driest held by 1957 and 2011 with 27mm.

#London Heathrow experienced its warmest May on record a large +2.7C above 1991-2020 average. The record was only broken last year, well it tied with May 1992. The extreme heat in the final third of month meant it was done with ease, 0.6C above 2nd warmest May.... (1/2)

It’s turned out to be a very wet day locally here in SE London without consuming much of day. A nice contrast with current clear blue skies this evening. Proper weather day but not very summery! Here in Rotherhithe just over 25mm since midnight that’s already more than than all of June 2025(1/2)

In case you didn’t catch it, I released my summer forecast yesterday the key idea is a more mixed summer. This is accessible to all, no gimmicks, just click. Keen to hear your thoughts!

Looks like another line of downpours incoming!

Very lively downpours some thundery are knocking at the door. Will be with west London shortly passing through all of London. #weatheraware

18mm rain overnight at Heathrow, makes it the wettest day since 6th July 2025. And more rainfall than April and May combined. We was crying out for it.

A novel experience 15mm overnight makes it one of wettest days of year. Much needed moisture #London

Some much needed “proper rain” slowly edging eastwards into our region. A soggy night is expected which we’ve been very unfamiliar to in recent months.

I would expect a comment like this on twatter. Disappointed.

I'm happy to share my Summer 2026 forecast with you all. I have added some more details since the prior release - please check it out and consider supporting my work on Patreon. #ukweather #summer #Europe www.patreon.com/posts/159550...

You know something really notable has happened when you need to extend y-axis significantly. Plotted is each May from 1949 to 2026 absolute max temperature at #London Heathrow, in May 1962 the highest temperature was 18.3C how much has changed. #climate

New blog for patrons on #WeekAhead this coming week sees a very different pattern with a more changeable and showery regime. The first significant rainfall since March is possible over next 48 hours. Weather is expected to improve into next weekend. www.patreon.com/posts/week-a...

Summer has not even started yet and with 30.1C earlier at Heathrow, that already makes 5 days above 30C until 2026 the most pre-summer was 1 day. We have already matched the 1991-2020 annual average of 4.9 days above 30C. Where will 2026 end up, will it come for 1976?

Special early access to my UK & Europe 2026 Summer Forecast blog is live for patrons. If you aren't, it can be unlocked for a small fee otherwise you will need to wait till Monday, 1st June. 😀 www.patreon.com/posts/159550...

Forecast models did not show anywhere reaching 30C today and yet we’ve done it, at least rounded at Kew. Let’s not forgot until this heatwave we last saw 30C in capital in 2005. It’s rare.

The last very warm day of this historic warm spell. I’m anticipating the high twenties later in London. Much cooler tomorrow for all with a breezy westerly wind…

This cannot be explained by natural variability the fact spring 2026 has a chance of being third spring in a row to break record for warmest spring. Irrefutable evidence of climate change.… (1/2)

Yes two years it happened in May and that was in 1965 and 1978 both with around 27C as highest max. It just seems unthinkable now.