Clash of seasons this afternoon in NW Europe Unbroken sunshine and 18C in Paris whilst a grey 8C in London with some drizzly rain in the air.

March may have started very mild, but we shouldn’t forget we’re still relatively early in year. The weather will become blustery and more unsettled next week, quietening down towards end of week. Seeing high risk of widespread frosts next weekend as winds slacken w/colder polar maritime air aloft.

Focusing on just rainfall from January-February a total of 190mm, last year it took until 27th August to surpass that total. #London

24 hour change quite a big tumble e.g. 18C and sunny in Cambridge this time yesterday afternoon and now 7C with steady rain pushing up from south. A late spring to mid winter temperature swing….

More insight on Saharan Dust in my latest blog for patrons. The end of week also looks to feature further reduced visibility from fog, early Sunday especially, could see widespread dense fog. www.patreon.com/posts/end-of...

A record daily high maximum for March 5th was broken today in #London the high of 18.3C at London Heathrow earlier comfortably exceeds previous record in 1961 with 16.9C. St James’s Park which has been operational a lot longer sadly remains offline 17.8C in 1928, we’ll never know.

Pale blue sky - #SaharanDust #London

Quite the springlike diurnal range at Northolt, W London it was rather cold first thing 1C low has crept up to 19C. Warm for early March! A good 9C above average.

Air pollution levels are expected to become very high overnight and through Friday morning across swathes of SE and East Anglia. Hazardous air for vulnerable groups. A combination of pollution from mainland Europe and Saharan dust. Cleaner N winds will arrive later in the day

Hayfever season has started early due to unseasonably mild temperatures. All from tree pollen the heavy hitters are Cypress, Alder, Poplar and Hazel. 🤧

March has started notably mild, we can see spring flowers/blossoms well ahead of normal. The average high close to 5C above average in London need to verify but likely will be warmest opening week on record, and this might stretch to first half of March. (1/2)

Looked more like November in #TunbridgeWells this morning!

Complete forecast bust locally here in London Docklands, briefly cleared around 2pm for just over an hour then North Sea/Thames Estuary sea fog rolled back in. Parts of Kent and EA have been under low ☁️ all day and much cooler than elsewhere. Southend at 8C while S/SW of London is sunny and 16C.

Weather apps disconnected with ground truth.

Impressive Saharan dust plume heading to SE UK later this week. Friday looks cloudy with possible rain so likely some will be deposited. If you end up with a dirty car you’ll know why!

Staying largely settled and springlike over 7 days the EPS suggests unlike last year, it will not be sustained. Atlantic trough which has been a large feature over winter becoming more of a dominant feature into next week.… (1/2)

What’s it like where you are? Another very pleasant springlike day in London. Today’s and yesterday’s sunshine will be more than all of first half of Feb. It’s feast or famine.

As well as February being very mild, it was also notably dull and wet. In fact the published 35.4 sunshine hours makes it the dullest in 50 years. #London I think if we repeated the summer of 1976 people would be more forgiving......

Winter 2025-26 was tied 8th warmest on record at London Heathrow, finishing +1.2C above already warmer 1991-2020 average. If not for a cooler January, we would have been rivalling the warmest.

The winter ended very mild in #London with average temp in February 2026 of 8.1C +2.3C above 1991-2020 avg. 2026 becomes the tied 3rd warmest February on record, it has now been 8 years since our last below average Feb. This streak back to 2018 is shared by March and is longest of all months.

Spring bursting to life in London….

The power of strengthening sunshine Euro model depicted a high of 14C in London area, 17C observed in Northolt in last hour.

Have you got that spring feeling?

A relatively warm opening week to meteorological spring with temps often 5-8C above average on mainland Europe. The weather behaves 6 weeks ahead. Anomalous positive anomalies are also seen in US & Asia there is a lack of avg weather. Extreme cold also occupies parts of Russia, Canada and Alaska.

It’s the first day of March and therefore first day of spring. Despite the largely cloudy skies, mildest start to March since 2012. A high temperature of 13.9C on this day in 2018 it got to 0.3C with light snow after a low of -5.1C #London

Meteorological spring has arrived and this coming week features plenty of pleasant springlike weather. Not typical for early March. Find out more by becoming a patron, membership starts from as little as just over £1.50/month. www.patreon.com/posts/week-a...

For a change, after weakening the signal for a major sudden stratospheric warming event a couple of days ago, ECMWF's model has strengthened it in the two updates since. Looks very likely to occur now, however guidance tools suggest at least mid-March before any surface impacts.

A poor winter for frosts with 11 air frost days at LHR nearly half of 1991-2020 normal. And 9 of them happened in January! The winter essentially lasted for 2.5 weeks around Christmas to January 10th. 6 winters had less... 1989/90 = 3 2013/14 = 4 1974/75 = 7 2019/20 = 8 1970/71 = 9 2015/16 = 10

Last hours of meteorological winter and there's not much evidence the cold has been extinguished from all of Europe. A rounded 20C in Berlin 🇩🇪 earlier which is at least 13C above the average.

28th February 2018 ❄️❄️❄️ Disturbing this was 8 years ago at height of Beast from the East. London Docklands felt like it was transported into a snow ball. The afternoon high was -3C just a totally remarkable event on eve of spring, something I’ll never forget.

There have been nearly 80 winters at #London Heathrow site, and this winter 2025-26 ranks as 4th wettest on record. It's been a notably wet winter, but 2013/14 winter stands tall over. A preliminary total of 239mm 150% of 1991-2020 avg and 166% of older 1961-1990 baseline. The trends are clear....

Farewell winter 2025-26 you won’t be missed 👍

Liking the milder temperatures? Well further unseasonable warm air will visit us next week with a peak expected on Thursday, we could see high teens locally. Next week offers more pleasant spring weather more widely across UK, dry and bright days likely resulting in cooler nights… (1/2)

Have you noticed the lack of frost? February 2026 will become the only third February in near 80-year record to fail to see a single air frost <0C. It joins 1961 and 2014 #Heathrow #London

Remembering this day 7 years ago where a new national record for February highest temperature was set. Kew Gardens, London reached absurd 21.2C (70F) more typical of June. Until this remarkable late winter warm spell the highest February temperature at this site was 18.8C in 1998. Historic.

A look at the weekend weather for patrons. A fairly uninspiring picture, but expectation of improvement into next week with high pressure building more extensively across UK. Running an end of winter sale use code: ABB6F to get 50% off your first month. www.patreon.com/posts/end-of...

The difference a day makes…

False spring? Mild and dry conditions are expected over next week, but there are hints of heights going further north and cool E flows into second week of March. A rapid deceleration in zonal wind as expected would make that more likely than usual.

London City Airport is reporting 19C (66F). Not an official station but likely accurate certainly a warm feel in the ☀️ On this day in 2019 it was even warmer, we broke 20C in London for the first time in national record during meteorological winter. And day after Kew Gardens would see 21.2C! (1/2)

Northolt in W London is up to 16.8C at 1pm. Defo seems we will reach 18C this is the average high in May not February! Normal now would be borderline 10C.

A stunning late winter (???) afternoon across most of England 🌞

Rapid daylight gains. Every day we’re gaining 3 minutes 52 seconds of daylight in London and therefore ~28 minutes every week. Not far away from max rate which is 3 minutes 58 seconds through mid March.

Strong reversal in stratospheric zonal wind well signposted early next week. Indicating a major SSW. Where was this in midwinter? Intrigued to see how it will influence the wider spring. Definitely a wildcard.

Outrageous temperatures this afternoon, during what is still winter in parts of north coast of Spain and SW France. Downslope warming from Pyrenees ect spurred by near record breaking warm air mass. Locally close to 30C this is 16C above average. Records for highest February temperature broken.

Amazing what a bit of sunshine does for the soul 🙏🌞 begone winter you was miserable….

Feels like spring has sprung London City Airport reporting 16C in last hour ☺️

Forecast highs tomorrow spot 18C on Cambridgeshire-Suffolk border. In February! The Euro model tends to be at least 1C too cool on warm, sunny days. So high teens potentially quite extensive.

Wet weather appears increasingly confined to W UK the outlook has generally grown more settled. Large parts of mainland Europe running dry into meteorological spring a much needed break from excessive winter rainfall. France has endured one of its wettest spells of all-time.

It looks like we are heading for an early collapse in polar vortex into March, these events tend to result in a spring season with more dynamism. A spring like last year has just become even less likely.

First taste of widespread European warmth in coming days. Winter is missing. Highs may nudge 20C in Paris this Wednesday with extensive area seeing temps more than 10C above average.