Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul's request to dissolve parliament has been granted. An election will be held within 45-60 days. A look at what brought us here and where we stand: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/anutin-ret...

I've written up an analysis of where Thailand's main parties stand on the eve of an election campaign, based on the results of a wave of NIDA regional polling. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/where-the-...

The Chart Thai Party and its reincarnation could be considered Thailand's second-oldest surviving party. Yet it now appears to be closing up shop. I take a look at the party's history and why its leaders has decided not to bet on its future: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/the-death-...

Authorities both local and central have come under fire for their response to the catastrophic floods in Southern Thailand. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/floods-ove...

Bhumjaithai's nomination of two "outsider" technocrats as prime minister candidates signals a major party rebrand. Pheu Thai, on the other hand, might double-down on its family-first image. Some thoughts on a tale of two election strategies. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/bhumjaitha...

The Anutin government may face a vote of no confidence before the end of the year. But as the party that made this government possible, how will the People's Party react? My piece on the unenviable position the PP finds itself in: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/no-confide...

All Thai university students now have free access to Google AI Pro. This prompted some reflection on how politicians need to also think carefully about how to prevent "cognitive offloading": www.coffeeparliament.com/p/ai-and-the...

Anutin made his debut on the international stage last week at the ASEAN and APEC summits. A summary of his diplomatic efforts: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/anutins-in...

Thailand now finds itself in a situation where virtually all the major parties have entered into toxic alliances with supposed enemies. fulcrum.sg/grand-compro...

King Rama IX was once asked by a journalist why he does not usually smile. Gesturing to Queen Sirikit, he said: “She is my smile.” The King and Queen stood side by side through a reign that transformed Thailand. A tribute to the late Queen Mother: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/she-is-my-...

If PM Anutin wants to keep his job after the next election, Bhumjaithai will likely need to double its seats. I take a look at what Bhumjaithai's playbook may be and whether they're on track to achieve their goals: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/can-anutin...

After a 6-year hiatus, former prime minister Abhisit Vejjajiva made a comeback as the leader of the Democrat Party. Can he reverse the fortunes of an almost 80-year old party in what had looked like terminal decline? www.coffeeparliament.com/p/the-democr...

The new government has proposed holding a referendum on MOUs 43 and 44, highly technical agreements with Cambodia on demarcating the border. This has triggered controversy over whether such a vote would be wise. My overview: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/a-national...

In his policy declaration, PM Anutin made a clear break with the previous Pheu Thai government, demonstrating that he didn't intend to be just a lame duck carrying out policy continuity. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/not-a-lame...

We have some of the first polling results since Bhumjaithai took power, showing a big slump for the People's Party and a major boost for Anutin. Analysis of how the numbers have moved: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/analyzing-...

The agreement between Bhumjaithai and the People's Party requires that Prime Minister Anutin begins the process of creating a new constitution. What does this entail? A summary here: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/the-road-t...

Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul's cabinet was formally announced today. Some observations: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/the-anutin...

This week, the Coffee Parliament examines some major changes in the United Thai Nation and Democrat parties, which could impact Bhumjaithai's opportunity for growth. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/rupture-an...

Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul has unveiled several "outsider appointments" to his prospective cabinet. In this newsletter, I look at the historical context of cabinet technocrats in Thailand and unpack Bhumjaithai's strategy: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/bhumjaitha...

Thailand has a new prime minister. My profile of Anutin Charnvirakul, recently elected as Thailand's 32nd PM, and his Bhumjaithai Party. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/anutin-cha...

With a vote to select the next prime minister of Thailand scheduled for tomorrow, it looks like Pheu Thai may now be out of cards. Barring a last minute shock, Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul increasingly looks like an inevitability. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/out-of-cards

Anutin Charnvirakul is almost Thailand's 32nd prime minister. In a bid to stop him, Pheu Thai has requested a dissolution of parliament, sparking a constitutional crisis. We're entering uncharted waters in Thai politics. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/anutin-is-...

What is Pheu Thai doing with Chaikasem Nitisiri? When will the People's Party announce their decision? Will Phumtham dissolve parliament? Are we about to see a knight in shining armor? Today's Coffee Parliament update: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/government...

Today's update: Pheu Thai has also accepted all of the People's Party conditions for a confidence and supply arrangement. But it looks like they're facing an uphill task to form a new government. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/pheu-thai-...

An alternative coalition led by Bhumjaithai has emerged. It's a political innovation: fueled by renegade factions and likely dependent on a confidence and supply agreement with the People's Party. We've never seen a coalition like this in Thailand. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/bhumjaitha...

Paetongtarn Shinawatra has been removed by the Constitutional Court. Here, I lay out four potential scenarios on what comes next. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/paetongtar...

Pheu Thai first promised a 20 baht flat rail transit fare in Bangkok in 2011. It's now 2025: will it ever happen? www.coffeeparliament.com/p/will-twent...

There's been a lot of speculation recently that Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra could resign before the Constitutional Court issues a ruling on her ethics case. Will she stay or will she go? www.coffeeparliament.com/p/will-she-s...

The Coffee Parliament today takes a look at how one big segment of Thailand's electorate currently lacks any party that meets their needs. Where will Thailand's conservatives go at the next election? www.coffeeparliament.com/p/filling-th...

In today's newsletter, I look at the three court cases that the Shinawatras are facing, all of which could be game-changers for Thai politics. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/the-walls-...

A Thai constitutional clause regulating how legislators can influence spending led to the Deputy Speaker being removed last week. This same clause could also lead to the removal of most of Thailand's parliamentarians: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/can-sectio...

Thailand and Cambodia has agreed to a ceasefire. Some preliminary thoughts here: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/thailand-a...

Ceasefire talks scheduled between Acting Thai PM Phumtham and Cambodian PM Hun Manet in Malaysia: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/ceasefire-...

Some are seeking to explain the origins of the Thai-Cambodia clash by invoking domestic rivalries in Thai politics. My thoughts on why this theory makes little sense, and why the conflict is far better explained by an international family feud: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/on-the-dom...

Today, open conflict broke out between Thailand and Cambodia, with Thai civilian areas coming under bombardment. My recap: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/military-c...

In recent months, "Sor Tor Ror" ("meddling in everything") has emerged as an increasingly popular nickname for Thaksin Shinawatra. But what has this meddling produced so far? www.coffeeparliament.com/p/meddling-i...

In Thailand, a calm before the storm: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/calm-befor...

I wrote about how the political dominance of Pheu Thai may now be in terminal decline, creating opportunities for new alliances in Thailand's tripolar political order. asialink.unimelb.edu.au/diplomacy/de...

Speculation of a potential comeback by former prime minister Prayut Chan-o-cha is rising, given Paetongtarn Shinawatra's dire situation. I take a look at the possibility of a third Prayut government here: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/is-a-prayu...

Quick analysis: Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra is temporarily suspended pending final court verdict www.coffeeparliament.com/p/paetongtar...

Pheu Thai's numbers in the latest NIDA poll is dire: for the first time it is in third place. The Hun Sen voice call leaks appear to have a real impact on voters' calculations. My analysis of the polling results: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/pheu-thais...

My recap of some of this week's latest updates in Thai politics: the rumored final cabinet reshuffle lineup, Hun Sen's continued attacks on the Shinawatras, and Chaikasem Nitisiri's positioning. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/cabinet-re...

In this newsletter, I discuss the upcoming legal cases and street demonstrations against PM Paetongtarn. She's very much still in the danger zone. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/why-paeton...

The coalition led by Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra has, against the odds, survived for now. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/paetongtar...

My summary of today's state of play: the United Thai Nation Party is taking a gamble and asking PM Paetongtarn Shinawatra to quit. Chaikasem Nitisiri and Pirapan Salirathavibhaga are the only two viable coalition candidates. Will Pheu Thai accept? www.coffeeparliament.com/p/united-tha...

In a dramatic day in Thai politics, Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra's leaked phone call with Hun Sen has brought her government to the brink of collapse. A new, uncertain era beckons. Full analysis here: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/prime-mini...

Bhumjaithai reportedly received an ultimatum: relinquish the Interior Ministry. What are the party's options now, and could this lead to the collapse of the Pheu Thai coalition? www.coffeeparliament.com/p/bhumjaitha...

My article on how Thailand's grand compromise is cracking under pressure is the lead article on East Asia Forum this week. eastasiaforum.org/2025/06/15/t...

We're currently watching two major conflicts within the cabinet: one clash between Pheu Thai and Bhumjaithai over the Interior Ministry, and another intra-party dispute in the United Thai Nation Party. A summary: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/two-civil-...

Although the border conflict with Cambodia has de-escalated for now, Pheu Thai clearly failed to win over the public amid a surge in nationalist sentiment. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/thai-gover...