Tim Marshall
@skytwitius.bsky.social
📤 233
đź“Ą 1
đź“ť 59
Artist still known as Itwitius on the other side.
The USA & Venezuela.
open.substack.com/pub/timjohnm...
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The USA & Venezuela.
The Monroe Doctrine comes back into focus.
https://open.substack.com/pub/timjohnmarshall/p/the-usa-and-venezuela?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
23 days ago
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Gaza: Phase 2
open.substack.com/pub/timjohnm...
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Gaza: Phase 2
Phase 2 is close, but peace is not.
https://open.substack.com/pub/timjohnmarshall/p/gaza-phase-2?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
26 days ago
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Ukraine Peace Plan.
open.substack.com/pub/timjohnm...
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Ukraine Peace Plan.
Peace in our time or a pit stop on the road to Kyiv and Warsaw?
https://open.substack.com/pub/timjohnmarshall/p/ukraine-peace-plan?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
about 1 month ago
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Drones: Proof that Geography still matters in Modern Warfare.
open.substack.com/pub/timjohnm...
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Drones: Proof that Geography still matters in Modern Warfare.
The geography of distance has always been a fundamental part of each technological era of warfare.
https://open.substack.com/pub/timjohnmarshall/p/drones-proof-that-geography-still?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
2 months ago
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Drones: Proof that Geography still matters in Modern Warfare.
open.substack.com/pub/timjohnm...
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Drones: Proof that Geography still matters in Modern Warfare.
The geography of distance has always been a fundamental part of each technological era of warfare.
https://open.substack.com/pub/timjohnmarshall/p/drones-proof-that-geography-still?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
2 months ago
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Trumpian Peace, Pipelines, and Power Plays in the Caucuses.
open.substack.com/pub/timjohnm...
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Trumpian Peace, Pipelines, and Power Plays in the Caucuses.
TRIPPing in the Zangezur Corridor.
https://open.substack.com/pub/timjohnmarshall/p/trumpian-peace-pipelines-and-power?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email
2 months ago
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Cease! Fire! Cease! Fire!
open.substack.com/pub/timjohnm...
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Cease! Fire! Cease! Fire!
Or, alternatively for Gaza - Cease! Build!
https://open.substack.com/pub/timjohnmarshall/p/cease-fire-cease-fire?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
3 months ago
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Bow Before the Orange Sun King!
open.substack.com/pub/timjohnm...
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Bow Before the Orange Sun King!
Smarm El Sheik's Gaza Conference.
https://open.substack.com/pub/timjohnmarshall/p/bow-before-the-orange-sun-king?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
3 months ago
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The Darien Gap.
open.substack.com/pub/timjohnm...
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The Darien Gap.
One of the world's most dangerous routes for migrants.
https://open.substack.com/pub/timjohnmarshall/p/the-darien-gap?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
3 months ago
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Gaza Talks. Mind the Gap.
open.substack.com/pub/timjohnm...
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Gaza Talks. Mind the Gap.
What to look for at the Sharm el-Sheik talks.
https://open.substack.com/pub/timjohnmarshall/p/gaza-talks-mind-the-gap?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
3 months ago
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Show Us Your Sisu!
open.substack.com/pub/timjohnm...
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Show Us Your Sisu!
What we can learn from the Finnish character as Russia steps up grey zone hybrid warfare.
https://open.substack.com/pub/timjohnmarshall/p/show-us-your-sisu?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email
3 months ago
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SAUDI TROOPS IN GAZA?
substack.com/@itwitius/no...
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SAUDI TROOPS IN GAZA?
After this week's meeting with Trump at the UN - it's possible.
https://substack.com/@itwitius/note/p-174612771?utm_source=notes-share-action&r=ewm0i
3 months ago
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Poland Vaults Towards 1st Place.
open.substack.com/pub/timjohnm...
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Poland Vaults Towards 1st Place.
Poland's President is in the White House, its troops are on exercise.
https://open.substack.com/pub/timjohnmarshall/p/poland-vaults-towards-1st-place?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email
4 months ago
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Starmer’s move to recognise Palestine overshadowed a more consequential Arab League announcement
www.reaction.life/p/starmers-m...
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Starmer’s move to recognise Palestine overshadowed a more consequential Arab League announcement
The shift in position from the 22-member Arab League could do more to keep the window open for a two-state solution than western moves on Palestinian statehood.
https://www.reaction.life/p/starmers-move-to-recognise-palestine?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
5 months ago
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Countries across the globe are toughening their stance on migration
www.reaction.life/p/countries-...
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Countries across the globe are toughening their stance on migration
No country’s approach is the exact same, but a more hostile environment for migrants than during previous decades is a common theme.
https://www.reaction.life/p/countries-across-the-globe-are-toughening?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
5 months ago
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Syria's minorities will continue to live in fear
www.reaction.life/p/syrias-min...
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Syria's minorities will continue to live in fear
Renewed violence in Syria raises questions over President al-Sharaa’s commitment to leaving his jihadist past behind him, and the degree of control he wields over his own forces.
https://www.reaction.life/p/syrias-minorities-will-continue-to?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
6 months ago
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The Ayatollah’s masterclass in how to back yourself into a corner
www.reaction.life/p/the-ayatol...
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The Ayatollah’s masterclass in how to back yourself into a corner
The Iranian regime has severely overplayed a weak hand.
https://www.reaction.life/p/the-ayatollahs-masterclass-in-how?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
7 months ago
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www.reaction.life/p/israel-can...
#Iran
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Israel can damage Iran’s nuclear sites but it can’t destroy them - without the US
Only the US has the air capability to get into the most heavily fortified Iranian nuclear sites.
https://www.reaction.life/p/israel-can-damage-irans-nuclear-sites
7 months ago
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Israel can damage Iran’s nuclear sites but it can’t destroy them - without the US
www.reaction.life/p/israel-can...
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Israel can damage Iran’s nuclear sites but it can’t destroy them - without the US
Only the US has the air capability to get into the most heavily fortified Iranian nuclear sites.
https://www.reaction.life/p/israel-can-damage-irans-nuclear-sites?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
7 months ago
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Germany is no longer reluctant to be a leading military power
www.reaction.life/p/germany-is...
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Germany is no longer reluctant to be a leading military power
Friedrich Merz looks as if he’s making good on his pre-election pledge to be more assertive against Russia’s aggression.
https://www.reaction.life/p/germany-is-no-longer-reluctant-to?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
7 months ago
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Threat of nuclear war brought India and Pakistan back from the brink
www.reaction.life/p/threat-of-...
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Threat of nuclear war brought India and Pakistan back from the brink
The four days of fighting was the first time two nuclear powers have attacked each other with a combination of drones, air strikes, cruise missiles and ballistic missiles.
https://www.reaction.life/p/threat-of-nuclear-war-brought-india?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
8 months ago
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www.reaction.life/p/putin-will...
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Putin will put Europe’s shared values under sustained pressure
Even if a deal is forced upon Kyiv, it would be beyond careless to sigh with relief and go back to the old ways of doing things.
https://www.reaction.life/p/putin-will-put-europes-shared-values
8 months ago
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The outlines of a Russia-Ukraine peace deal are emerging
www.reaction.life/p/the-outlin...
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The outlines of a Russia-Ukraine peace deal are emerging
While most of the American pressure to make concessions is on Kyiv, the Russians don’t get it all their own way.
https://www.reaction.life/p/the-outlines-of-a-russia-ukraine?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
8 months ago
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It’s too soon to proclaim the death of the West
www.reaction.life/p/its-too-so...
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It’s too soon to proclaim the death of the West
The ties that bind may be fraying but they have not come apart yet.
https://www.reaction.life/p/its-too-soon-to-proclaim-the-death?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
9 months ago
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Ist round over - but here's background (paywall) Iran has been severely weakened - no wonder it's prepared to talk to the US
www.reaction.life/p/iran-has-b...
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Iran has been severely weakened - no wonder it's prepared to talk to the US
Reaching a deal won't be easy though.
https://www.reaction.life/p/iran-has-been-severely-weakened-no?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
9 months ago
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Gaza’s anti-Hamas protests deserve much more attention
www.reaction.life/p/gazas-anti...
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Gaza’s anti-Hamas protests deserve much more attention
Where are the denunciations for the recent murder of a 22-year old Gazan by Hamas, for protesting against the group?
https://www.reaction.life/p/gazas-anti-hamas-protests-deserve?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
9 months ago
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Welcome to the Worst Wing
www.reaction.life/p/welcome-to...
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Welcome to the Worst Wing
EXCLUSIVE: Reaction has obtained highly classified material leaked from a Trump administration Signal chat. It has been reproduced here in full.
https://www.reaction.life/p/welcome-to-the-worst-wing?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
9 months ago
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Trump’s geopolitical gambit to restore relations with Russia
www.reaction.life/p/trumps-geo...
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Trump’s geopolitical gambit to restore relations with Russia
The MAGA foreign policy elite fantasises about prising Putin’s Russia away from its alliance with China, but there’s a long way to go before that could become possible.
https://www.reaction.life/p/trumps-geopolitical-gambit-to-restore?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
10 months ago
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If Putin strings Trump along, Washington has cards to play
www.reaction.life/p/if-putin-s...
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If Putin strings Trump along, Washington has cards to play
President Biden drip-fed sanctions, Trump could unleash a torrent.
https://www.reaction.life/p/if-putin-strings-trump-along-washington?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
10 months ago
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In Panama and Ukraine, Trump is getting his way
www.reaction.life/p/in-panama-...
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In Panama and Ukraine, Trump is getting his way
Trump wants the Ukraine “problem” out of the way so that he can focus on China.
https://www.reaction.life/p/in-panama-and-ukraine-trump-is-getting?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
10 months ago
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Why a second-place AfD could be the real winner in Germany’s election
www.reaction.life/p/why-a-seco...
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Why a second-place AfD could be the real winner in Germany’s election
A CDU-led coalition government, from which the AfD is excluded, would allow the hard-right party to portray itself as the opposition.
https://www.reaction.life/p/why-a-second-place-afd-could-be-the?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
11 months ago
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The perils of a “temporary peace through weakness” strategy in Ukraine
www.reaction.life/p/the-perils...
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The perils of a “temporary peace through weakness” strategy in Ukraine
European nations must raise taxes to boost defence budgets.
https://www.reaction.life/p/the-perils-of-a-temporary-peace-through?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
11 months ago
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Trump shares Roosevelt’s capacity to disrupt
www.reaction.life/p/trump-shar...
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Trump shares Roosevelt’s capacity to disrupt
Many of Trump’s targets are different to his predecessor's, notably on culture, but the aims are similar: to shatter orthodoxy and impose a new order.
https://www.reaction.life/p/trump-shares-roosevelts-capacity?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
11 months ago
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Netanyahu's Phase 2 ceasefire dilemma: defy Trump or collapse his government
www.reaction.life/p/netanyahus...
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Netanyahu's Phase 2 ceasefire dilemma: defy Trump or collapse his government
Trump wants to move onto the next stage of the Gaza ceasefire deal. That gives Netanyahu a big problem.
https://www.reaction.life/p/netanyahus-phase-2-ceasefire-dilemma?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
11 months ago
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Trump's "peace through strength" policy could get Putin to the negotiating table
www.reaction.life/p/trumps-pea...
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Trump's "peace through strength" policy could get Putin to the negotiating table
When it comes to his promises to end the war in Ukraine, we should take Trump seriously, but not literally.
https://www.reaction.life/p/trumps-peace-through-strength-policy?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
11 months ago
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Was its a bigly day re-upping the leak of the Trump speech I got -
www.reaction.life/p/world-excl...
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World exclusive: Trump's leaked inauguration speech in full
Reaction cannot verify the contents of this speech. Please check against delivery on Monday.
https://www.reaction.life/p/world-exclusive-trumps-leaked-inauguration?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
12 months ago
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World exclusive: Trump's leaked inauguration speech in full
open.substack.com/pub/reaction...
. Because you can't be serious ALL the time...
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World exclusive: Trump's leaked inauguration speech in full
Reaction cannot verify the contents of this speech. Please check against delivery on Monday.
https://open.substack.com/pub/reactionpolitics/p/world-exclusive-trumps-leaked-inauguration?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email
12 months ago
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The US and Greenland would both gain plenty from closer ties
www.reaction.life/p/the-us-and...
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The US and Greenland would both gain plenty from closer ties
Trump isn't the first US president to try and buy Greenland. And he has even more reason to covet it than Truman did.
https://www.reaction.life/p/the-us-and-greenland-would-both-gain?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
12 months ago
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What to prepare for in 2025
www.reaction.life/p/what-to-pr...
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What to prepare for in 2025
Reaction writers and friends look ahead.
https://www.reaction.life/p/what-to-prepare-for-in-2025?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
about 1 year ago
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Why the outrage at Israeli - but not Turkish - occupation of Syria?
www.reaction.life/p/why-the-ou...
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Why the outrage at Israeli - but not Turkish - occupation of Syria?
Turkey - which has thousands of troops stationed across 3,500 square miles of Syria - has some nerve to accuse Israel of displaying an “occupation mentality”.
https://www.reaction.life/p/why-the-outrage-at-israeli-but-not?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
about 1 year ago
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PA forces have been fighting in Jenin/West Bank for 4 days trying to root out Hamas. Checkpoints set up around city. Several fatalities so far. UN says human rights violations occured. Nothing in media, but its prob PA trying to establish itself ahead of end of Gaza war.
#Gaza
#Westbank
about 1 year ago
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US government considers banning Chinese TP-Link internet routers in case they enable cyberattacks. Microsoft report says a cyber campaign targetting defence companies/law firms used TP-Link routers to gain entry. TP is biggest seller in US inc to govmnt agencies. Decision expected Jan/Feb.
about 1 year ago
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Did al-Jolani convert on the long road to Damascus?
www.reaction.life/p/did-al-jol...
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Did al-Jolani convert on the long road to Damascus?
There are reasons to hope that the change is real, and reasons to fear it is not.
https://www.reaction.life/p/did-al-jolani-convert-on-the-long?r=ewm0i&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
about 1 year ago
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Kurdish SDF withdraw fm Deir el-Zour as new ruling forces take control of the city seized by Kurds during Assad's fall. Some Turkish backed groups say they'll push SDF further back. US forces in Syria may have to stand between them. But it Trump pulls them all out in Jan....
about 1 year ago
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There are many angles to the
#Syria
story, one is that Iran's supply corridor to the Med, and Hezbollah, has been severed.
about 1 year ago
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A Gaza ceasefire may finally be close
www.reaction.life/p/a-gaza-cea...
about 1 year ago
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Scramble to shore up Ukraine ahead of Trump 2.0 continues. Germany's Scholz in Kyiv pledging €650 million of arms before end of year. His 1st trip there in 2 1/2 years. Moscow announced it has trained another 300,000 reservist for deployment next year.
about 1 year ago
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Ceasefire between Hezbollah and Israel looking possible as early as tomorrow. Still some loose ends to be tied up this afternoon. Israel wants Lebanese Army to deploy near its border to try and ensure Hezbollah doesn't return.
about 1 year ago
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Article I wrote for Reaction.Life
www.reaction.life/p/call-that-...
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Call that a long-range missile? This is a long-range missile!
Putin's nuclear threats are no laughing matter
https://www.reaction.life/p/call-that-a-long-range-missile-this
about 1 year ago
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A pedant writes... a ballistic missile launched from an ATACMS is not a long range ballistic missile.
#ATACMS
about 1 year ago
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