When Will The Shutdown End? The shutdown will end when Democrats and Republicans decide the Kabuki of the shutdown, and the intentional infliction of economic distress on various constituencies, has gone on long enough. Read the full article.👇

Powell Proves (Again) That He Ignores The Data Powell is changing his tune on interest rates, but it is not because of the data. It can’t be—the data literally has not changed. Read more about it.👇 newsletter.allfactsmatter.us/p/powell-pro...

China’s Bold Trade Move Could Backfire Big China just fired a massive shot in the global trade war, and this time, it's not just aimed at the US. Is this a gambit for a better trade deal, or a self-inflicted wound? Read the full article.👇 allfacstmatter.substack.com/p/chinas-bol...

Democrats Fought for a Shutdown. They Got One. Now What? Both Democrats and Republicans wanted this fight. Now the fight is here, and the Democrats' policy position remains astonishingly weak. Read the full article.👇

From Whimper to Scream: ADP Report Shows US Losing Jobs Private employers just shed 32,000 jobs in September. The US labor market isn't just slowing down; it's actively deteriorating—and faster than we thought. Read the full article.👇

Not With A Bang But A Whimper American labor markets are deteriorating. American labor markets have been deteriorating for some time, and that has accelerated in recent months. Read more about it.👇

No Golden Age: Inflation is Back, But Your Paycheck Isn't If this is a Golden Age, why does it still feel like survival mode? We’re not headed for collapse — but we’re not building strength either. Read the full article.👇

Speech Or Silence: Can Free Speech Survive? If even one group abandons the ideal that Free Speech is the moral imperative for everyone, Free Speech is eliminated for everyone. Read more about it.👇 newsletter.allfactsmatter.us/p/speech-or-...

"Too Late" Powell Has Too Little Clue, And Wall Street Knows It “Too Late” Powell proved once again he has too little clue about the US economy to make good decisions on interest rates or anything else. Read more about it.👇

"Too Late" Powell Is Sure To Live Down To His Trumpian Moniker Wall Street does not see Jay Powell even thinking about a dramatic rate cut, and we are not likely to see a dramatic rate cut. Read more about it.👇

Economy at a Crossroads: Boom or Bust Ahead? August’s inflation numbers aren’t just “hot” — they’re messy, uneven, and raising real questions about where the U.S. economy goes from here. Read the full article.👇

Speech Or Silence: RIP Charlie Kirk By killing Charlie Kirk, the progressives have guaranteed their own eventual defeat on every battlefield—and that is simply a stupid thing for anyone to do. Read more about it.👇

The Media Just Noticed The Labor Crash. We’ve Been Living In It. The BLS just revised March’s job numbers down by 911,000. Last year, it was 818,000. The jobs recession didn’t start last week. It started in 2023. Read more about it.👇

August Employment Data: A Truth That Hurts The August jobs report paints a grim picture. From questionable data quality to manufacturing losses, the numbers point to a continuing jobs recession, not an economic boom. Read the full article.👇

No Golden Age Yet The JOLTS data is the latest data set showing that rising joblessness rather than rising wages are the reality for more workers than the Trump Administration will admit. Read more about it.👇

An Inflation Report That Satisfies Nobody The inflation data is clear on this much: this has not been a good summer for the US economy, and is not shaping up to have a very good fall and winter either. Read the full article.👇

The NYT Wants “Proof” Of Lisa Cook's Guilt? Here It Is. Lisa Cook has never come out and said: “I did not sign any such loan applications”. That's a problem, and a big one. Read the full article.👇

Everybody's Wrong About US Labor Markets The reality presented by the data is that Donald Trump is just as wrong about the state of the economy as the media pundits and “experts”. Read more about it.👇

Speech Or Silence: Trump’s Flag Crackdown Misses the Mark Has President Trump’s reach exceeded Constitutional limits with this Executive Order banning flag burning? Yes, it has. Read more about it.👇

The Media Is (Still) Lying To You The facts are out there. They are the only things you should ever trust. Media narratives are the things you should never trust. Read the full article.👇

Producer Prices Just Blew Up. Consumer Prices Are Next This was not a good producer price report. This report advanced nobody’s economic narrative. Read the full article.👇

Inflation Data Show Trump Is Wrong on the Economy — But Right About the Fed By undercutting President Trump on the economy, the July Consumer Price Index report positively kneecaps Jay Powell on interest rates. Read more about it.👇

It’s Not Just Texas. The Democrats Are at War with America Kathy Hochul is right. The Democrats are at war against the United States. They are at war against the American electorate. They are at war against reality. Read more about it.👇

Oops, Another ‘Conspiracy Theory’ Just Came True If the BLS jobs data is sound, Trump is right about Jay Powell being "too late" on interest rates. If the BLS jobs data is not sound, Trump is right about the economy booming. Read more about it.👇

President Trump Says Jobs Numbers Are "Rigged"—Is He Right? Dr. Erika McEntarfer failed as head of the BLS. Her job was to ensure that the BLS would producing quality reports and quality data sets. She clearly did not do that. Read the full article.👇

July Was Another Jobs Recession Month The BLS said the jobs outlook was “little changed”. The reality is that it was demonstrably worse. That is not a “little change.” Read more about it.👇

Rising Prices, Falling Paychecks: June Was Not A Good Month Incomes are not growing as they should, and certainly not as workers need them to be. Prices rose while investment fell. This is the outlook we have for June. Read the full article.👇

Jay Powell Has One Job. He Blew It Jerome Powell had the perfect opportunity to do something that would actually fulfill the Fed’s full-employment mission. Instead of making use of that opportunity, he missed it completely. Read the full article.👇

JOLTS Shows Job Markets Are Not OK. The Fed Pretends They Are The June JOLTS data is but the latest data set to show conclusively that the US economy is nowhere near full employment, and that much more job growth is needed. Read the full article.👇

Trump Gets Another Win — This One From The Job Market This week’s unemployment numbers are good, and while there is reason to suspect the numbers will not remain good, we still do well to acknowledge the good data while it lasts. Read more about it.👇

Obama’s Lie to Sink Trump: The Truth Comes Out The fabric of corruption makes “Obamagate” not just historical fact but present reality. The “years long coup” is still ongoing. Read the full article.👇

Trump’s Tariffs Didn’t Spike Prices—Here’s What Did We should not be surprised that corporate media blamed June's inflation on Trump’s tariffs. We should also not be surprised that corporate media was provably wrong. Read the full article.👇

Obama's Criminal Plot To Oust President Trump Tulsi Gabbard has alleged that former President Barack Obama attempted a “years-long coup” against President Trump almost from the moment he first won the White House in 2016. Read the full article.👇

No Pink Slips? No Paychecks Either The jobs recession is not going away, and possibly got even worse this past week. Read more about it.👇

Producer Prices Say Don't Panic June was a setback on inflation. Yet if producer prices are any sort of leading indicator, June is likely to be just a setback on inflation, and not the start of a new inflation cycle. Read more about it.👇

June Data Shows Prices Rising, Wages Losing Ground Regardless of why prices rose, the reality of June is that prices rose, and rose more than wages. Read the full article.👇

Biden Admits: I Didn’t OK Every Pardon The Biden Administration established categories for clemency grants, and Biden’s staff decided who fit within those categories. That is not how the Constitution frames the pardon power. Read more about it.👇

Workers Likely To Lose Ground To Inflation In June Inflation is rising just enough to prevent earnings and wages from finally and fully catching up with the price increases since January 2021. Read more about it.👇

Dr. O’Connor’s Silence Fuels Suspicions About Biden’s Declining Health The Democrats are trapped with Joe Biden. As Dr. O’Connor proved once again, they cannot talk about Biden and so they cannot defend Biden. Read more about it.👇

CIA Tradecraft Review: Once Again, "I Told You So." I said at the time the 2016 ICA was a political document and “Fake News.” Now DCI Ratcliffe is saying the 2016 ICA was a political document and “Fake News.” I told you so. Read more about it.👇

Labor Stumbles Despite Cheery Jobs Numbers The June Employment Situation Summary does not show the US economy doing well. Read the full article.👇

The Declaration Of Independence: Words Which Matter The truths Jefferson celebrated in the Declaration of Independence were self-evident because they were true. No matter how flawed Jefferson was, the words he wrote were true. Read more about it.👇

The One Big Beautiful Bill Passes While I am not persuaded of the One Big Beautiful Bill’s virtues, I do give credit to President Trump for achieving a legislative victory and not merely an executive one. Read more about it.👇

Warning Sign: Key Report Shows US Lost Jobs Last Month The June ADP National Employment Report suggests that tomorrow’s June Employment Situation Summary will have even more bad jobs news for the United States. Read more about it.👇

Lots of Fake Job Openings. Not Enough Actual Jobs. The May JOLTS report delivers more confirmation that the jobs recession in this country got worse in May. Read more about it.👇

"One Big Beautiful Bill" Is Already One Big Ugly Failure Every government spending item it is not justified until it is explicitly justified. That is the essence of Zero-Based Budgeting. Read the full article.👇

Economy Sends Warning: Prices Up, Spending Down in May Will there be more inflation throughout the summer? That is definitely a possibility. Read the full article.👇

Another Win Coming for Trump On Inflation? Will PCE inflation come in low year on year? There is, of course, no way to say with certainty but one has to like the odds! Read more about it.👇

Neera Tanden's Testimony Sparks Constitutional Alarm Neera Tanden, the White House secretary in charge of the infamous autopen, does not know who authorized it to be used. Read more about it.👇

The War Ends. Now What? How does what President Trump has named the “Twelve Day War” change the trajectory of events in the Middle East? What global impacts might the ending of the war have? Read the full article.👇