On Jan. 2, our Economic News Index was projecting Q4 2025 real #GDP growth of 1.1% at an annual rate. The “nowcast” draws from key monthly data releases to forecast GDP growth. Learn more: https://bit.ly/4q2ZTDA #EconSky #Economy

Did you know the U.S. is a net exporter of services? An economic analysis traces this positive trade balance in the services sector since the 1970s and identifies the country’s top services export categories by value: https://bit.ly/4j8BUAi

For 2026, professional forecasters expect 1.9% growth in U.S. GDP and a 2.9% increase in the consumer price index. Read more about next year’s economic outlook: https://bit.ly/4j4dmIR #EconSky #Economy

Probably the most famous U.S. building and loan is fictional: the Bailey Bros. Building & Loan in “It’s a Wonderful Life.” If the movie sparked your curiosity about thrift institutions, our blog has answers about why they were important in the first few decades of the 1900s https://bit.ly/4oIIAq9

Every December, retailers hire a large number of extra workers to keep up with holiday demand. The FRED Blog looks at the hiring trends and changes in wages for the retail trade https://bit.ly/4atkOLl

Thank you to our outgoing directors. Head-office and branch boards contribute to the Fed’s overall understanding of the #economy: https://bit.ly/493dJPc

St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem participated in a roundtable discussion today with southwestern Illinois business, community and government leaders. Meetings like this help him learn about real-time economic conditions in the District we serve

Housing was the most commonly cited reason why remote workers moved to a different U.S. state, according to this analysis of census data. Why? https://bit.ly/4rTrqsm #EconSky #Economy

St. Louis Fed economist Chuck Gascon talks with KSDK News about recent rate cuts and what changes in prices and spending trends mean for consumers. Watch the full clip here: https://bit.ly/48GDFkJ

Interested in recent research about bank failures? Our blog recaps some of the papers presented at the 2025 Community Banking Research Conference. Read more: https://bit.ly/48YIll0

The Beveridge curve, which plots the relationship between job openings and unemployment, has shifted in ways that make it difficult to interpret labor market tightness. What might this mean for policymakers assessing inflation risks? https://bit.ly/3KI7YhM

Gross domestic product and disposable personal income usually move in lockstep. Why did they diverge during the COVID-19 pandemic? https://bit.ly/4p8xuvn #Economy #GDP #EconSky

A declining share of agricultural employment signals a country’s transition from stagnation to growth. Read “On the transition to sustained growth…” by St. Louis Fed economists B. Ravikumar and G. Vandenbroucke, in Review of Economic Dynamics https://bit.ly/3KpQ2Z5

We are thankful for everyone we connected with in 2025. Whether you joined an event, shared perspectives on the economy, or engaged with us online, thank you for your time and insights. We’re grateful to serve the Eighth Federal Reserve District in pursuit of a strong and resilient economy for all.

The September #JobsReport, just out today, shows the unemployment rate rose to 4.4% in September. That’s up from 4.3% in August. Our #FlashReport examines the flow of people moving into and out of unemployment to help explain this uptick https://bit.ly/48dAHTr

St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem recently traveled to Evansville, Ind., and Louisville, Ky., where he met with local business and community leaders. President Musalem regularly visits communities around our region to hear from stakeholders https://bit.ly/4pdyoq3

St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem participated today in an event hosted by the Evansville Regional Economic Partnership at the University of Evansville. He discussed the economic outlook and the Fed’s role. #Economy #EconSky #Economics

During a Nov. 10 @bloomberg.com TV interview, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem shared his views on inflation, the labor market, monetary policy and the outlook for the U.S. economy: bit.ly/47AlUTH

St. Louis Fed economist Yu-Ting Chiang and coauthors analyze government equity injections to financial institutions financed by debt issuance, capturing essential features of bailout policies during financial crises https://bit.ly/480olPs #EconSky #Economy

During a Q&A session at a Fixed Income Analysts Society Inc. event in New York yesterday, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem discussed the economic outlook, inflation and monetary policy. The session was moderated by Joyce Chang of J.P. Morgan 

Daily spot prices for Brent and West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose to $65.79 and $61.79 per barrel, respectively, as of Nov. 3. Interested in tracking these or other spot prices from @EIAgov? See FRED: https://bit.ly/3LhpY2u

Economists expect generative AI to boost U.S. productivity. As more workers adopt this technology, how might it affect the future labor market? https://bit.ly/4o137GG

St. Louis Fed senior researcher Liz Deichmann talks with St. Louis On Air about the barriers St. Louisans face in accessing credit and the innovations that can help them https://bit.ly/4hAXDjr #EconSky #economy #credit

Credit crisis, debt ceiling, rate cuts, potential tariffs… St. Louis Fed researchers analyzed the use of “risk terms” in corporate communication to track increasing economic risk https://bit.ly/4qt13Jr #EconSky #Research

On Oct. 24, our Economic News Index was projecting Q3 real #GDP growth of 0.6% at an annual rate, up from 0.4% a week earlier. Our “nowcast” draws from key monthly data releases to forecast GDP growth. Learn more: https://bit.ly/4o05qtC #EconSky #Economy

From the #FRED Blog: Economists use the #consumer price index (CPI) to adjust dollar values over time: from retail sales to credit card debt. But the Social Security Administration uses something a little different to adjust the benefits it pays https://bit.ly/46V4HE1 #EconSky #Economy

Having an idea of where the #economy might be headed can help people make better decisions about what to do today. Hear an economist’s perspective on forecasting the economy: https://bit.ly/47bzMlQ #EconSky

St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem shared his views on the U.S. economy and monetary policy in a Q&A with Michael McKee of Bloomberg TV. The discussion took place during an Institute of International Finance event today in Washington, D.C. #Economy #MonetaryPolicy

Forecasting the Economy: For our blog, an economist discusses challenges in creating economic forecasts, whether some indicators are easier to forecast than others, how “nowcasts” are useful and why economic forecasting matters https://bit.ly/4nMYCiZ

Want economic data for your U.S. region? FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) makes it easy to find. Get info for your state, county or MSA: https://t.co/uMwLo6jQeC #EconSky #Economy #Data

On Oct. 10, our Fed Economic News Index was projecting Q3 real #GDP growth of 0.4% at an annual rate, up from 0.2% a week earlier. Our “nowcast” draws from key monthly data releases to forecast GDP growth. Learn more: https://bit.ly/3J37y4x

Where can #FRED take you? With a new look and improved accessibility features, FRED's new design offers enhanced elements for a first-class user experience. Want to learn more? Check out our "How to Use FRED" YouTube playlist for tutorial videos and more: bit.ly/48mCpUa #EconSky #Economy

On Oct. 3, our Economic News Index was projecting Q3 real #GDP growth of 0.2% at an annual rate, down slightly from a week earlier. Our “nowcast” draws from key monthly data releases to forecast GDP growth. Learn more: https://bit.ly/4gZEaJg #Economy #EconSky

How often does the U.S. labor market experience monthly job losses during an #economic expansion? This analysis of job losses during U.S. economic expansions finds periodic declines are a regular occurrence bit.ly/46OZaha #Economy #Jobs #EconSky

Did you know #FRED has the latest job openings and labor turnover data from August? See FRED for the latest from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: bit.ly/3IJtdi0

What’s driving the degree to which U.S. inflation expectations are anchored to the Fed’s 2% target? An analysis looks at two datasets to understand. Read more: bit.ly/3KpJ99P #Inflation #EconSky

Want the latest research from the Fed’s 12 Reserve banks? Each digest delivers full-text links to new working papers on topics like inflation expectations, human capital and supply chain networks. Subscribe today: https://bit.ly/3BSRJJT #Research #EconSky

Curious about long-term #inflation? New research shows how market indicators help predict it. St. Louis Fed economist Julian Kozlowski’s technical paper explains bit.ly/46jrbyj #EconSky #Economy

On Sept. 19, our #Economic News Index was projecting Q3 real #GDP growth of 0.05% at an annual rate, down from the previous week’s projection of 0.17%. The index uses economic content from key monthly data releases to estimate GDP growth https://bit.ly/4n9Hnb8 #EconSky #Economy

Have you met FRED®? Everyone's favorite economics data tool, #FRED goes beyond simply providing data: It helps users better understand it. We hosted an interactive presentation to help users get to know FRED a little bit better. Don't be shy, check it out: bit.ly/3Is3FG8 #EconSky #Data

Did you know you can find average price data in FRED—from the cost of #eggs and electricity, to ground beef and #gasoline? Check those prices and more t.co/QOmTi8VT44 #EconSky #FRED

Torn, worn, ripped money: What happens to currency no longer fit for circulation? What is the Federal Reserve's role? Here's your guide on what to do. bit.ly/3Vcm8cw #Economy #EconSky

Each of the 12 Federal Reserve banks is overseen by a nine-member independent board of directors. Who are they? What is their role? Our Blog has the answers: bit.ly/46tAkEh #EconSky #FederalReserveSystem

The U.S. #JobsReport shows unemployment rose to 4.3% in August from 4.2% in July. Our #FlashReport examines the flow of people moving into and out of unemployment to help explain this uptick https://bit.ly/4lYzx2Z

Why might #economists look at the percentage of people switching employers or the fraction of those holding more than one job? Our blog post explains the insights that can be gained from those statistics: bit.ly/46m4Xvs #EconSky

Did you know #FRED has the latest #data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on job openings, hires and separations? Explore our online database for the latest in your census region or sector: bit.ly/46jatyO #Economy #EconSky

Did you know you can use FRED to track trends in labor force participation rates? Use our online database to explore https://t.co/Fa9XV3lBl8 #Economy #EconSky

Why were corporate profits up last quarter (after a first quarter slump)? Economist Ricardo Marto speaks with Marketplace about factors affecting 2025 profits: https://bit.ly/4p6vAMr

Second #GDP estimate from the Second estimate from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis: U.S. real #GDP increased at an annual rate of 3.3% in the second quarter of 2025, up from the 3.0 increase reported last month in the advance estimate bit.ly/45Prlfi

St. Louis Fed economist Max Dvorkin spoke live to @stlpublicradio.bsky.social’s St. Louis on the Air about his research on the impact of #tariff hikes in 2018-19 and now on the U.S. #economy. Listen here: ow.ly/Y2mO50WLAWs #EconSky