New Year's Eve Fondue

I will be adding this to my extensive collection of non-significant excuses / significant near-misses : " ...lagged values of Padding Time fall just shy of having a statistically significant impact on Minutes Late at Arrival with a p-value of 0.102." From: doi.org/10.1080/0003...

Sad to hear of the passing of Danny Thompson. First heard him with Alexis Korner's Blues Incorporated in the 1960s, followed by Pentangle. It was only couple of weeks ago that I listened again to the BBC recordings of his trio with John McLaughlin from 1967.

Back in the Netherlands, for September. 1st beer of the trip.

Plum and apple tarte tatin for Sunday meal with the whole family before we decamp to the Nethrrlands for a month.

In Würenlos (CH) with friends from Basel for a long weekend.

Lunch at The Pig at Bridge.

Pre-Friday Night Ex-Pfizer Cricketers curry. Otter Ale.

Wild Beer? Too true, 13%.

Didn't expect to see them this morning !!

Plum Tarte Tatin with Star Anise for Spring Bank Holday supper.

Waiting for Kurt Elling, Charlie Hunter and Superblue to start at Ronnie Scott's

Pleasant cycle ride in Overijssel, NL. Looks beautiful, but there is a cold wind blowing from the far North.

Start the Week on BBC Radio 4 with @adamjkucharski.bsky.social talking p-values and "Proof"

Schipol early morning flight.

Back in the Netherlands -

I'm never quite sure how to react to psychologists when they talk about statistics and statisticians. But I rather like this passage from "The Little Back Room" by the author and psychologist Nigel Balchin:

My copy of @adamjkucharski.bsky.social's book arrived late last night. Looking forward to reading it.

Just opened my newly arrived copy of Csaba Szabo's "unreliable". Somewhat surprised, therefore, that the 1st sentence in the preface contains the phrase "... the American biostatistician John Ioannidis". Can only hope the rest of the book is more reliable!

Just need to prepare the Crème Anglaise to accompany this apple Tarte Tatin for tonight's supper.

Five fearless footballers, including a future Deputy Governor of the Bank of England in 1970. I WISH it was taken in colour. Our shirts were a beautiful mixture of pink and chocolate, a legacy of flower power and the swinging sixties !!

Recently there were data shared on Blue Sky on the success rates of either individual clinical trials, or drug development program, not sure which for the top 20 pharma companies. I can't find it can anyone help me with the source. Thanks.

I am re-reading Harry Collins book Changing Order which seems relevant to contemporary discussions about replication in Science.

A belated Christmas Present from Springer, a book chapter published on Christmas Eve. link.springer.com/chapter/10.1...

Grandson, Finn, and I on a Gruffalo hunt

I found this the other day in a reference unread in a while: "The power and beauty of science do not rest upon infallibility, which it has not, but on corrigibility, without which it is nothing." Howard E Gruber, The Origin of the Origin of the Species, 1979. www.nytimes.com/1979/07/22/a...

The feelin on leaving Basel at the end of a "klein aber fein" long weekend.

It's well on the way to Christmas in Basel.

Arrived at my intellectual home city

In the British Airways Lounge at Heathrow Terminal 5 waiting for a flight to my intellectual home city. Any guesses?

Just been invited to contribute an article to Eurasip Journal on Wireless Communications and Networking for a special issue covering Resilience in Wireless Networks. Wow, I'm impressed in my knowledge !!

Preparing the 1st cheese fondue of the winter season.

Early view of a paper in Pharmaceutical Statistics investigating properties of pre-posterior distributions and their uses in drug development. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...

Sunset over the Royal Cinque Ports golf course, Deal, UK.

x.com/eslmaher/sta... Veteran ?

In the midst of the "meta-science wars" and the replication crisis, I'm reminded of W.H. Auden's exhortation: " . . . Thou shalt not sit/With statisticians nor commit/a social science." From Under Which Lyre

Looking forward to speaking tomorrow at the Bayes Business School www.meetup.com/bayesian-mix... together with Tom Chivers, author of www.weidenfeldandnicolson.co.uk/titles/tom-c...

Tge French Riviera? No,. Dover, the gateway to the UK.

Early morning on the beach in Deal, UK.

A sociologist's view of the statistics profession.

A beautiful Indian Summer in rural England.

Kalenberg, Overijssel, NL. Peaceful.

At a christening in Greece. This is the Alpha beer. Three first.

Enjoying a dark greek beer in Loutraki, in a fine restaurant overlooking the Gulf of Corinth.

Local bluebell wood in bloom.