@4paulmcardle.bsky.social
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📥 32
📝 35
Yesterday and today via
@wattclarity.bsky.social
, Dan Lee published Parts 1+2 of deeper dive into
#CapacityInvestmentScheme
Part 1 =
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
Part 2 =
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
Also today, Giles wrote about the same situation:
reneweconomy.com.au/regulator-sa...
16 days ago
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Yesterday (15th Sept) was day 1 of the CEC
#QCES2025
... with a couple speakers brought more sobering perspectives. Now some are shared here via
@wattclarity.bsky.social
:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
Bring on the afternoon session for day 2!
26 days ago
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This
@wattclarity.bsky.social
article worth highlighting for a few reasons: (a) speaks to (what seems to be) one growing cause of frequency imbalance/weakness; (b) some have suggested others read.
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
Interested in your thoughts?
about 1 month ago
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Others might have titled this article from Linton Corbet as 'Primary Frequency Response (PFR) saves the day!'
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
... but
@wattclarity.bsky.social
readers will recall I'm not a fan of such framing. The story has more nuances, so stay tuned for part 2 and so on...
about 1 month ago
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This week (on Tue 19th Aug 2025) there was a pretty significant frequency spike in the NEM. Via
@wattclarity.bsky.social
already we've written 3 articles about this, progressively exploring what happened: (a) Causes (and implications) (b) What 'saved the day'
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
about 2 months ago
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Large spike in system frequency across the NEM on Tuesday 19th August 2025: (a) as high as 50.2Hz (b) lasting about a half hour (c) in the middle of the day. A first article by Linton is already
@wattclarity.bsky.social
:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
... more to come.
about 2 months ago
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Second rumble today (with the 1st being earthquake felt in South-East QLD). This one being Basslink unplanned outage and loss of 292MW of 'Market Demand' in Tasmania on Saturday afternoon 16th August 2025:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
via
@wattclarity.bsky.social
about 2 months ago
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8 days after Tim Nelson spoke at
#ACES2025
(and 1 day after my wrap on @WattClarity) the draft report of the
#NelsonReview
panel is out:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
Starters gun has sounded, 6 weeks until submissions close...
2 months ago
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It's my 2nd day back in the office after a long break. Here's a list on
@wattclarity.bsky.social
about events, actions, comings and goings in the NEM over the past month or so:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
... includes
#ACES2025
As the title asks, what (else) did I miss?
2 months ago
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Am looking forward to catching up with friends, colleagues and clients at
#ACES2025
in Sydney this week … might see you there? Last Friday on
@wattclarity.bsky.social
Dan Lee penned these ‘Four questions ...’:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
3 months ago
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Two articles (somewhat related?) this morning on
@wattclarity.bsky.social
: 1) Record NEMwide wind production overnight:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
2) But then forecast load shedding in South Australia next Monday 30th June 2025:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
4 months ago
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I won't be at
#AustralianEnergyWeek
this week in Melbourne, but expect there will be discussion of the news overnight in relation to the blackout on the Iberian Peninsula from back in April 2025:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
via
@wattclarity.bsky.social
4 months ago
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Following yesterday evening's volatility (Wed 11th June 2025) across all regions in the NEM (quite rare that happens) we take a quick initial look at bidding behaviour across all units:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
via
@wattclarity.bsky.social
for your perusal.
4 months ago
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Yes indeed, there was a new record for NEM-wide wind production overnight (Mon 26th May 2025) ... up ~10% on the prior all-time record set almost exactly a year earlier: Details via
@wattclarity.bsky.social
here:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
5 months ago
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There's been a large (i.e. 582MW) drop in demand in the Victorian region about half-hour ago this morning (Thu 10th April 2025). It appears real (there was a coincident rapid spike in frequency). Initial note here:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
via
@wattclarity.bsky.social
with more to come.
6 months ago
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via
@wattclarity.bsky.social
Josh Boegheim differentiates between: (a) Modelling storage (simplistically) with perfect foresight; and (b) Considering imperfect foresight (more like real world)
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
... originally presented at CAEEPR in Nov 2024
6 months ago
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Some
@wattclarity.bsky.social
articles re the (problems associated with the) delay in receipt of Dispatch Targets ... and one option being considered that some see as a 'solution' (but with respect to which we have concerns):
wattclarity.com.au/market-refor...
6 months ago
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Am listening into the AEMO briefing on 'observed outcomes of NFO for FPP' today ... so thought it was worth sharing two diagrams that summed up my growing understanding of what the Frequency Performance Payments changes mean:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
via
@wattclarity.bsky.social
today.
7 months ago
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Tying together 4 articles
@wattclarity.bsky.social
(+ the presentation by Linton and Dan to the
@cleanenergycouncil.bsky.social
audience on Monday, thanks to Christiaan for organising). References analysis completed by Jack Fox at ETSI with respect to NFO data:
wattclarity.com.au/market-refor...
7 months ago
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It's 12 weeks to go, until the transition to AEMO's new 'Frequency Performance Payments' process. Jack Fox from ETSI has been looking through early data since Dec 2024 and posts his first
@wattclarity.bsky.social
article highlighting some Winners and Losers:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
7 months ago
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Worth also noting this here:
home.global-roam.com/examples/202...
Key points: 1) Our software and data services should be seamless. 2) Maybe some delays on other things (e.g. articles on
@wattclarity.bsky.social
and so on).
7 months ago
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~2 weeks ago, the
#AER
published 'Compliance Bulletin' for Semi-Scheduled Gens (i.e. VRE), clarifying requirements in a few areas - importantly including: (a) The use of MaxAvail; and (b) Use of Self-Forecasting. We posted on
@wattclarity.bsky.social
:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
8 months ago
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Valued guest author on
@wattclarity.bsky.social
, Allan O'Neil has fallen down a rabbit hole in providing us this wonderful explanation:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
... why the spot price is *not* simply just the highest-price bid dispatched!
8 months ago
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Wow. The bottom has crashed out of the 'minimum demand' point for NSW on Sunday 16th February 2025, as noted via
@wattclarity.bsky.social
:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
8 months ago
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Wednesday 12th February 2025 in SA was: (a) Very high demand; and (b) Very tight supplies. In this
@wattclarity.bsky.social
article we start to unpick:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
... plenty of questions emerge from this Part 1.
8 months ago
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One of a number of articles via
@wattclarity.bsky.social
today - with a subset of these focused on South Australia and the *very* tight supply-demand situation unfolding on Wednesday evening 12th February 2025:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
8 months ago
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Amongst articles published yesterday via
@wattclarity.bsky.social
, a note to say that the
#GSD2024
is now released, and waiting for clients to download:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
Now in its 7th annual incarnation: (a) printed copy at ~1,350 pages (b) PDF (c) Data Extract optional extra
8 months ago
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Some quite notable peak demand outcomes recorded in this article for Monday 3rd February 2025:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
... for Victoria, South Australia and NEM-wide.
@wattclarity.bsky.social
8 months ago
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A quick article via
@wattclarity.bsky.social
about a large (and somewhat mysterious) apparent drop in NSW 'Market Demand' on Friday afternoon 31st January 2025:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
If you know what happened (or have theories) please feel free to let me know?
8 months ago
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Whilst we wait to see what unfolds today (Fri 24th Jan re peak demand etc), worth reflecting on contributions from various technology types in QLD on Wednesday 22nd Jan 2025, which saw a new all-time record for electricity demand:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
via
@wattclarity.bsky.social
9 months ago
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More to come later (in subsequent articles via WattClarity ) ... but uncanny to note that ... (a) exactly a year on from 22nd Jan 2024 (when QLD blew the lid off its prior 'all time maximum' for demand (b) it's gone >100MW bigger on 22nd Jan 2025:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
9 months ago
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It’s not often you pass the ’25 years of service’ milestone, so we thought we’d invest some time to provide this reflection on our 25th year of service in 'making complexity understandable' in Australia's National Electricity Market:
home.global-roam.com/examples/202...
9 months ago
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Not long into the new year and we're already seeing 'forecast LOR2' warnings from the AEMO looking at NSW on next Monday 6th January 2025, as noted via WattClarity here:
wattclarity.com.au/articles/202...
... one more reason we'll be watching NSW on Monday next week.
9 months ago
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