Interesting new paper on the development of probabilistic reasoning. While young kids seem to rely on different heuristic strategies to solve probability problems (like urn tasks), older ones (around 5y) calculate proportions. Methodological message: control for alternative reasoning strategies.

New paper in Psychological Review! In "Causation, Meaning, and Communication" Ari Beller (cicl.stanford.edu/member/ari_b...) develops a computational model of how people use & understand expressions like "caused", "enabled", and "affected". 📃 osf.io/preprints/ps... 📎 github.com/cicl-stanfor... 🧵

New paper in Psych Science led by Clara Colombatto in which we show that, contra expectations of policymakers, vaccine nationalism actually decreases trust in leaders. Redistributive leaders are trusted more than nationalistic leaders —even by more nationalistic participants.