I projected Derwin James at $25.4M/yr. He just signed at $25.2M/yr. Three years, $75.6M — almost exactly what my model had. Where I missed: the guaranteed money. I had $35M, the deal protects $57.5M. Overpay or fair value?

Post-Memorial day 2027 Recruiting Rankings update: Hello, Florida.

Hadjar just got the same penalty for a weave that Verstappen got for intentionally crashing into someone last year. What a sport.

Antonelli and Russell are pushing each other to the limit here. One mistake would be massive for Verstappen and Ferrari.

North Carolina and Northwestern were on a collision course all season to play in the national title game. I thought North Carolina was the better team on paper but home field advantage in the national championship is quite nice and ultimately, Northwestern prevailed.

North Carolina melting down here in the national title game. Ten minutes ago I thought they might run away with it...now they're losing.

Here is what I project for Jack Campbell:

Need to see those Jack Campbell extension numbers. Going to be very interesting for the linebacker market.

Wemby hitting 28 footers because why not?

The sports have been good tonight.

NCAA Softball Tournament Odds: - Oklahoma (shockingly) leads the way but Texas isn't too far behind - UCLA and Arkansas are legit threats as well - My model is much lower on Texas Tech than I'd like

Been doing some contract projection work and it's in the very early stages but here is what I had for De'Von Achane:

Mid-May 2027 Recruiting Snapshot - Florida and Oklahoma having a nice start - A bunch of usual foes except... - UCLA has a top-10 class right now

Hans Zimmer playlist on. Code running. Spreadsheets open. Let's get to work.

NCAA Women's Lacrosse Tournament Odds: - 7 of my model's Top-8 are in the quarterfinals (#9 made it instead) - Would be quite the upset if we didn't see North Carolina vs. Northwestern in the finals

NCAA Men's Lacrosse Tournament Odds: - A wide open field sees six teams with a 10% chance and another just a tad below that - Princeton and Penn State should be fantastic

I can’t take the Fever seriously with how they play defense.

NCAA Women's Lacrosse Tournament Odds: - Still UNC and Northwestern and then everyone else

NFL Roster rankings are up! - Rams or Seahawks for the top spot? - Are the Bills, Chiefs, and Eagles still in good shape? - Unfortunately, half the league has a quarterback problem Free to read here: www.nytimes.com/athletic/725...

NCAA Women's Lacrosse Game Projections: Who is getting upset? Who do I have too high or too low?

NCAA Women's Lacrosse Title Odds: - North Carolina and Northwestern are a step ahead of everyone else - Maryland, Stony Brook, and Johns Hopkins the next best

NCAA Men's Lacrosse Title Odds: - Princeton leads the way - Notre Dame and Virginia the next from a strong ACC

NCAA Women's Lacrosse Title Odds: - North Carolina and Northwestern are a step ahead of everyone else - Maryland, Stony Brook, and Johns Hopkins the next best

It's been a thought in my head for some time but I was thwarted into action by @tejfbanalytics.bsky.social thoughts the other day. I'm going to try and build out a NFL prospect model based on college data and combine metrics.

Ok when is the Giannis for Jaylen Brown trade happening? Can we fast forward to that?

Why did Boston challenge this?

SGA gets all the crap but Joel Embiid is less enjoyable to watch play.

My 2026 NFL Draft grades are live — and these are based on the consensus board and surplus value And as I’m a tough grader, all draft classes are graded relative to their peers…which means there are some F’s. Winners and losers, read here: www.nytimes.com/athletic/724...

In the mail today…

The Penguins were down ~1.2 xG entering the third period. They managed to end up top at 3.6-3.2. Lose 1-0.

Penguins dominate the first 10 minutes, you know how this ends…

This Flyers OT winner is going to be so painful…I’m ready to die.

A few thoughts as the post-NFL Draft clarity is coming through… - I find it very interesting that the league will take RBs high but not S. - Everyone is — rightfully — talking about the Jags draft being a disaster but I think the Texans should be in that conversation as well.

My take on the consensus board hate is that it’s basically analytics” so that naturally makes a lot of people mad.

Well, took one pick into the second round to have the first major reach. Stribling ranked 71st on our consensus big board.

The morning after Round 1 thoughts: The thing that surprised me the most was Ty Simpson going 13th. I thought Simpson would go in the first but 13th and to the Rams was not on my bingo card. Also, Caleb Banks.

The last Super Bowl team to select a first round running back in the following draft...the Kansas City Chiefs when they selected Clyde Edwards-Helaire in 2020. Let's hope Jadarian Price works out better for the Seahawks.

My immediate reaction is that the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft was electric. Chaos, trades, guys falling, reaches. Bills and 49ers trading back out of the first round. Just a fun time...and in less than three hours!

Best options for Seattle here by my model... If we want to move on from McCoy because of medicals, Terrell and Hood are the other CB options.

Tennessee's best option here by my model...

New York Jets' best options here by my model...

San Francisco's best options here by my model...

Kansas City's best options here by my model...

New England's best option here by my model...

Buffalo's best option here by my model...

Miami's best option here by my model...

Houston best options here by my model...

Bang bang

Selecting a running back third overall when you have no quarterback and no offensive line is a choice that sets your franchise back for a handful of years. Jeremiyah Love will likely be good but unfortunately, I don't know if the Cardinals have the roster to maximize his value.

My projections for the first overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft: