🌀 There remains some risk of tropical development in the western Gulf this week. The disturbance that initially failed to develop and moved into #Mexico is currently inland, but will slowly migrate into south #Texas over the next couple of days as a weak cold front approaches from the north.

Following up, we are seeing model consolidation toward less storm activity in the Gulf this week, w/ physics-based models backing off from earlier aggression. Remaining low risk is associated w/ the remnants of TS Cristina potentially crossing Central America into the Bay of Campeche this weekend

Tropical Depression Two-E has formed just south of Guerrero, #Mexico. The storm is expected to quickly move inland on Monday, bringing heavy rains, flash flooding, and mudslide hazards to the region.

The Eastern Pacific is waking up, with two tropical cyclones expected to develop near the coastlines of #Mexico and #CentralAmerica over the next couple days, bringing primarily heavy rainfall and flash flooding hazards to the region.

🧵(1/5) Some possibility of tropical activity in the Gulf exists beginning late next week. The Central American monsoon is becoming active as multiple equatorial waves (MJO, Kelvin, Rossby) overlap next week near 90W longitude.

🌀 The 2026 hurricane season officially begins on Monday. Here's my top-level discussion on what to expect throughout the season and over the next couple weeks. www.youtube.com/watch?v=f3l-...

🌀 Monday video update on catastrophic Category 5 Hurricane #Melissa, nearing its final approach to #Jamaica. Hoping everyone in the path finds shelter and stays safe. www.youtube.com/watch?v=avcz...

Saturday video update on Hurricane #Melissa, poised to rapidly intensify and directly strike #Jamaica, with life-threatening conditions also expected in #Hispaniola, #Cuba, and portions of the #Bahamas during the next several days. Everyone please stay safe. www.youtube.com/watch?v=WeUG...

🌀 Friday video update on Tropical Storm #Melissa, now beginning its intensification run toward hurricane status, and bringing life-threatening hazards to multiple Caribbean countries: www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Ucu...

🌀 Monday video discussion on Invest #98L, expected to develop into a tropical storm in the Caribbean Sea this week and raise flooding risks in the region. www.youtube.com/watch?v=mLgo...

🌀 Saturday video update on newly-formed Tropical Depression 9 (#TD9; to be named #Imelda later) and Major Hurricane #Humberto 🌀 TD9 is expected to bring hazardous weather to the #Bahamas and possibly eastern #Florida, #Georgia, #SouthCarolina, & #NorthCarolina. www.youtube.com/watch?v=aEt5...

🌀 Friday (long!) video update on Hurricane #Humberto and Invest #94L (likely to develop and be named #Imelda) 🌀 While uncertainty in this complex forecast remains elevated, risk of life-threatening impacts to the southeastern US continues to increase. Have a plan! www.youtube.com/watch?v=pjDQ...

🌀 Thursday video update on Tropical Storm #Humberto and Invest #94L (would be named #Imelda if it develops). 🌀 These two storms are raising risks to the #TurksAndCaicos, #Bahamas, southeastern US, and #Bermuda this weekend and next week, though uncertainty is high. www.youtube.com/watch?v=lPmM...

🌀 Wednesday video update on two tropical systems expected to develop and bring impacts to the southwestern Atlantic region this week and next week: www.youtube.com/watch?v=whSp...

🌀 Monday video update on Major Hurricane #Erin, which will spread dangerous coastal hazards along the U.S. eastern seaboard and the western Atlantic region this week www.youtube.com/watch?v=2MoA...

🌀 Friday video update on Hurricane #Erin, strengthening in the central Atlantic youtu.be/thRZQXd5Spc

🌀 Tuesday video discussion on Tropical Storm #Erin, moving westward across the eastern Atlantic. 🌀 Erin's track takes it north of but fairly close to the Leeward Islands of the NE Caribbean. This region should monitor the forecast & be prepared for potential impacts www.youtube.com/watch?v=uoHC...

🌀 Tuesday video update on Invest #93L near #Florida that will be monitored for potential development as it crosses into the northern Gulf. 🌀 Regardless of development, heavy rains spreading along the north gulf coast will raise flash flooding risks in the region. www.youtube.com/watch?v=MUum...

Tropical Storm #Andrea has formed over the North Atlantic, the first of the Atlantic season. Andrea is already moving into cold waters and will be short-lived, expected to dissipate over the next 24 hours. Andrea is not a threat to any populated areas.

The Eastern Pacific is getting going with their first Tropical Storm of the season, named #Alvin 🐿️ The NHC predicts a track northward towards northern Mexico, but fortunately, Alvin will hit some cold water on its way there, likely causing it to mostly dissipate prior to arrival.

🌀 The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season approaches 🌀 This video provides a brief overview of current expectations for how active the season will be 🌀 The best thing you can do is be prepared. Know your local vulnerability and have a plan. Everyone stay safe this season! youtu.be/ZoJXfZVleak?...

A great wrong has been done here. Unidata's technologies, training materials, and standards, down to the NetCDF data format itself, are the backbone of the meteorological field.

Probationary employees across @NOAA and the @NWS are being terminated today, including those in mission-essential roles. My own wife is among them, essential to the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center's 24/7 critical mission of seismic monitoring and tsunami prediction to protect the public.

A statement I must make: