I've put together a collection of approaches and models from some of the most influential thinkers in the fields of risk and complexity. My goal is to expand this over the coming weeks, creating a reference database I can consult and learn from. So far, I've included insights from:

This will boost your crisisi management skills by 100% and it is available 24/7, when you need it. You copy and paste a prompt. Get a saucy scenario. Next, you enter the voice mode, for an interactive crisis communication interview with an aggressive journalist. In the language of your choice.

Spain lost 15 GW of electricity in 5 seconds. No cyberattack. No operator error. Just a tightly coupled, interactively complex system reaching its limits. This sequence was a textbook “normal accident” scenario: multiple failures occurring nearly simultaneously and feeding back on each other.

The recent blackout in Spain and Portugal is a textbook case of what Perrow described. Failure in the transmission grid → cascade → regional collapse within minutes. Exactly the kind of tightly coupled, complex system I outlined above. No circuit breakers = no buffer.

As long as you measure the wrong thing, you'll always get a wrong sense of security. Or if you give more meaning to a measurement than there is. Yesterday, I saw a post about the SAIDI score. 𝗦𝗔𝗜𝗗𝗜 = 𝗦𝘆𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗺 𝗔𝘃𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗜𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗿𝘂𝗽𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗗𝘂𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗜𝗻𝗱𝗲𝘅.

I finally tossed my unused COVID stockpiles—just in time to start hoarding for the tariff crisis.

There are basically 3 options in response to Tariffs: - changing suppliers, - pushing business partners to share the burden - raising prices for Americans.