x5ms2
@x5ms2.bsky.social
π€ 201
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π 1003
I play poker to finance baseball cards. website: bbcardstats.com
bbcardstats.com/got-a-distin...
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Got a distinctive loss function? The mWAR Estimator is here to help! - BB Cards & Stats
One cool element of the βmWAR Estimatorβ is that it is customizable to user preferences. Say the user were one who was trying to decide whether to retain or hire a new manager. What preferences might ...
https://bbcardstats.com/got-a-distinctive-loss-function-the-mwar-estimator-is-here-to-help/
14 days ago
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Bayesball tells us that Vogt is one of the greatest mangers of all time!
#Guardians
bbcardstats.com/stephen-vogt...
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Stephen Vogt: manager of the year-again (introducing w162p) - BB Cards & Stats
Hereβs one fun feature of the manager-value estimator tools feature in the βMonkeys vs. Earl Weaverβ paper: they use different instruments for measuring season-by-season performance, on the one hand, ...
https://bbcardstats.com/stephen-vogt-manager-of-the-year-again-introducing-w162p/
about 2 months ago
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bbcardstats.com/monkey-mange...
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Monkey mangers have evolved ... a lot! New paper on Bayesian manager-value estimator - BB Cards & Stats
Well,Β this sure took a lot longer than expected! And now that Iβm here, I can see that Iβm not even there yetβ¦.Β But here you goβthe monkeys took a break from Strato-o-Matic and pounded on typewriters...
https://bbcardstats.com/monkey-mangers-have-evolved-a-lot-new-paper-on-bayesian-manager-value-estimator/
about 2 months ago
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bbcardstats.com/good-enough-...
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Good enough for cows, good enough for managers: mBLUP! (Measuring managers part 5) - BB Cards & Stats
Heyβyou remember Mr. BLUP, right? Also known as the βbest linear unbiased predictor,β Mr. BLUP supplied a cool benchmark in our study of the performance of park-factor adjusted estimators of βtrueβ or...
https://bbcardstats.com/good-enough-for-cows-good-enough-for-managers-mblup-measuring-managers-part-5/
4 months ago
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reposted by
x5ms2
Baseball Harmony βΎοΈπ
4 months ago
@thesmallhallpod.bsky.social
@baseballhappypants.bsky.social
@thewarmonger.bsky.social
@bballhist.bsky.social
@cira.bsky.social
@yonxzype.bsky.social
@therealtommy2tone.bsky.social
@kickysam49.com
@bloggertubbs.bsky.social
@adarowski.bsky.social
@x5ms2.bsky.social
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WAR breaks out on planet of the monkey manager apes!
bbcardstats.com/strat-o-mati...
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Strat-o-Matic-playing monkeys go to mWAR (measuring managers part 4) - BB Cards & Stats
Okay, letβs continue our examination of manager WAR or MWAR. As explained last time, MWAR is a career-level measure of manager-value added to (or subtracted from) team performance. Itβs measured, appr...
https://bbcardstats.com/strat-o-matic-playing-monkeys-go-to-mwar-measuring-managers-part-4/
5 months ago
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monkey free... for now
bbcardstats.com/mwar-empiric...
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mWAR: empirically measuring managers part 3 - BB Cards & Stats
So having recovered from our exciting adventure with Horowitzβs PH, weβre ready for another manager-value measure. This one weβll call Manager War or MWAR. Weβll call it that for two related reasons. ...
https://bbcardstats.com/mwar-empirically-measuring-managers-part-3/
5 months ago
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The monkeys with strat-o-matic boards are back!
bbcardstats.com/monkeys-play...
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Monkeys play Bayesball! Measuring managers part 2 - BB Cards & Stats
So last time, we were on the verge of concluding that our featured managersβ Horowitz PHs were just a pile of monkey poop. The Monte Carlo Monkeys Playing Strat-o-matic (MC-MPS) simulation had created...
https://bbcardstats.com/monkeys-play-bayesball-measuring-managers-part-2/
5 months ago
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5 months ago
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5 months ago
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5 months ago
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5 months ago
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5 months ago
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5 months ago
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5 months ago
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Can a room full of monkeys replaying 131,000 seasons on strat-o-matic help us figure out if manager skill really exists/matters?
bbcardstats.com/is-aaron-boo...
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Is Aaron Boone the best manager of all time?! Measuring managers part 1 - BB Cards & Stats
The answer depends on what you think of the validity of a measure of managerial value weβll callΒ Horowitzβs PH, which was invented by the late business professor Ira Horowitz. Now you might be inclin...
https://bbcardstats.com/is-aaron-boone-the-best-manager-of-all-time-measuring-managers-part-1/
5 months ago
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bbcardstats.com/new-paper-em...
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New paper: Empirical study of MLB park factors - BB Cards & Stats
Iβve emerged. . . . New paper is treasure collected during immersion in the park-factor rabbit hole. Featured studiesβconsecutive stints (with Ms. Sim and Mr. BLUP), home park vs. away, and quasi-expe...
https://bbcardstats.com/new-paper-empirical-study-of-mlb-park-factors/
5 months ago
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reposted by
x5ms2
Baseball Harmony βΎοΈπ
6 months ago
Of players with 10K+ PA, six have fewer than 600 Extra Base Hits. Of those six: Five were caught stealing 100+ times Four have fewer than 800 RBI Three have more than 30.0 dWAR Two have an OPS+ above 100 One has more than 4000 Times on Base Who are they? βΎοΈπ
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6 months ago
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6 months ago
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6 months ago
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6 months ago
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bbcardstats.com/meet-ms-sim-...
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Meet Ms. Sim and Mr. BLUP: empirically examining park factors part VI - BB Cards & Stats
Iβm not dead yet (as far as I can tell)! Just deep, deep down (way more than 6β²) inside the park factor rabbit hole.Β .Β . . In this installment of my reports, I will tell you about another empirical st...
https://bbcardstats.com/meet-ms-sim-and-mr-blup-empirically-examining-park-factors-part-vii/
6 months ago
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6 months ago
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6 months ago
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6 months ago
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6 months ago
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6 months ago
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reposted by
x5ms2
EidMar
6 months ago
#cardsky
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6 months ago
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6 months ago
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6 months ago
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remember this one?
6 months ago
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6 months ago
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reposted by
x5ms2
Baseball Harmony βΎοΈπ
7 months ago
Top 30, All-Star Break, Power Ball Harmony, the Harmony of BB, HR, and RBI. β‘οΈβΎοΈπ
#MLB
#baseball
#harmony
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reposted by
x5ms2
EidMar
7 months ago
#cardsky
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7 months ago
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