x5ms2
@x5ms2.bsky.social
📤 203
📥 148
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I play poker to finance baseball cards. website: bbcardstats.com
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about 9 hours ago
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🥳🎂🎁🤖
#tigers
#charliegehringer
about 9 hours ago
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1 day ago
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🥳🎂🎁🔫
2 days ago
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🥳🎂🎁👨⚖️
3 days ago
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3 days ago
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🥳🎂🎁🤹♂️
3 days ago
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4 days ago
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🥳🎂🎁👨⚖️
5 days ago
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6 days ago
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🥳🎂🎁🧛
6 days ago
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8 days ago
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🎂🥳🎁🕵️
8 days ago
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🥳🎂🎁🐶
8 days ago
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reposted by
x5ms2
9 days ago
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reposted by
x5ms2
Allen Lewis
9 days ago
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🥳🎂🎁👻
9 days ago
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🥳🎂🎁🐊
9 days ago
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bbcardstats.com/fangraphs-fi...
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FanGraphs' FIP boner - BB Cards & Stats
I’m returning to pitcher estimators, and in reviewing FanGraphs’ WAR calculation discovered a truly cringe-worthy glitch. FanGraphs uses a variant of FIP—fielding independent pitching—to determine the...
https://bbcardstats.com/fangraphs-fip-boner/
11 days ago
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🥳🎁🎂🧔
12 days ago
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🥳🎂🎁👻
14 days ago
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14 days ago
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🥳🎂🎁🚚
15 days ago
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🥳🎂🎈🥳
15 days ago
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bbcardstats.com/get-your-mwa...
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Get your mWAR preprint now, before it sells out on newstands! - BB Cards & Stats
Great news: mWAR paper has been accepted by Journal of Sport Analytics! Will make second site paper (other being Fielding After Baseball’s Great Transformation) to be published. There have been ot...
https://bbcardstats.com/get-your-mwar-preprint-now-before-it-sells-out-on-newstands/
15 days ago
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🎁🥳🎈🎂
18 days ago
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w/ Honus Wagner out of pirate lineup, this could be their yr
#thehobby
#baseballcards
#tigers
21 days ago
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reposted by
x5ms2
Baseball Harmony ⚾️💙
about 2 months ago
Willie was well under 4.0, too. Willie could smash. ⚾🩵
#MLB
#baseball
#WillieMcCovey
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bbcardstats.com/pythagorean-...
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Pythagorean benchmarking: Don't - BB Cards & Stats
Been a while—but here’s a new paper! Synthesizes and extends some of the material from the last few posts on using Pythagorean Expectation formula as benchmark for identifying elements of team composi...
https://bbcardstats.com/pythagorean-benchmarking-dont/
25 days ago
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bbcardstats.com/does-team-sl...
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Does team slugging predict deviation from Pythagorean Expectation? Seems doubtful - BB Cards & Stats
Here’s a strange one: does team slugging percentage predicted deviation from a team’s Pythagorean Expectation Formula (PEF() winning percentage? There’s absolutely zero reason to believe it would in t...
https://bbcardstats.com/does-team-slugging-predicted-deviation-from-pythagorean-expectation-seems-doubtful/
about 2 months ago
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bbcardstats.com/do-bullpens-...
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Do bullpens really help teams "beat" their Pythagorean expecatations? - BB Cards & Stats
Having examined the value of the Pythagorean Expectation Formula (PEF) as a benchmark for assessing manger value, I thought it would be interesting to extend the analysis and see if PEF can be used to...
https://bbcardstats.com/do-bullpens-really-help-teams-beat-their-pythagorean-expecatations/
2 months ago
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bbcardstats.com/from-the-you...
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From the "You knew this, but still" dep't: the evolution of pitcher useage - BB Cards & Stats
Not news but the data picture is still–to me, at least–pretty mind blowing! Compiled this in connection with some additional analyses on the statistical validity of using teams’ Pythagorean Expectatio...
https://bbcardstats.com/from-the-you-knew-this-but-still-dept-the-evolution-of-pitcher-useage/
3 months ago
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bbcardstats.com/got-a-distin...
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Got a distinctive loss function? The mWAR Estimator is here to help! - BB Cards & Stats
One cool element of the “mWAR Estimator” is that it is customizable to user preferences. Say the user were one who was trying to decide whether to retain or hire a new manager. What preferences might ...
https://bbcardstats.com/got-a-distinctive-loss-function-the-mwar-estimator-is-here-to-help/
4 months ago
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Bayesball tells us that Vogt is one of the greatest mangers of all time!
#Guardians
bbcardstats.com/stephen-vogt...
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Stephen Vogt: manager of the year-again (introducing w162p) - BB Cards & Stats
Here’s one fun feature of the manager-value estimator tools feature in the “Monkeys vs. Earl Weaver” paper: they use different instruments for measuring season-by-season performance, on the one hand, ...
https://bbcardstats.com/stephen-vogt-manager-of-the-year-again-introducing-w162p/
5 months ago
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bbcardstats.com/monkey-mange...
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Monkey mangers have evolved ... a lot! New paper on Bayesian manager-value estimator - BB Cards & Stats
Well, this sure took a lot longer than expected! And now that I’m here, I can see that I’m not even there yet…. But here you go–the monkeys took a break from Strato-o-Matic and pounded on typewriters...
https://bbcardstats.com/monkey-mangers-have-evolved-a-lot-new-paper-on-bayesian-manager-value-estimator/
5 months ago
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bbcardstats.com/good-enough-...
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Good enough for cows, good enough for managers: mBLUP! (Measuring managers part 5) - BB Cards & Stats
Hey—you remember Mr. BLUP, right? Also known as the “best linear unbiased predictor,” Mr. BLUP supplied a cool benchmark in our study of the performance of park-factor adjusted estimators of “true” or...
https://bbcardstats.com/good-enough-for-cows-good-enough-for-managers-mblup-measuring-managers-part-5/
8 months ago
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reposted by
x5ms2
Baseball Harmony ⚾️💙
8 months ago
@thesmallhallpod.bsky.social
@baseballhappypants.bsky.social
@thewarmonger.bsky.social
@bballhist.bsky.social
@cira.bsky.social
@yonxzype.bsky.social
@therealtommy2tone.bsky.social
@kickysam49.com
@bloggertubbs.bsky.social
@adarowski.bsky.social
@x5ms2.bsky.social
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WAR breaks out on planet of the monkey manager apes!
bbcardstats.com/strat-o-mati...
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Strat-o-Matic-playing monkeys go to mWAR (measuring managers part 4) - BB Cards & Stats
Okay, let’s continue our examination of manager WAR or MWAR. As explained last time, MWAR is a career-level measure of manager-value added to (or subtracted from) team performance. It’s measured, appr...
https://bbcardstats.com/strat-o-matic-playing-monkeys-go-to-mwar-measuring-managers-part-4/
8 months ago
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monkey free... for now
bbcardstats.com/mwar-empiric...
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mWAR: empirically measuring managers part 3 - BB Cards & Stats
So having recovered from our exciting adventure with Horowitz’s PH, we’re ready for another manager-value measure. This one we’ll call Manager War or MWAR. We’ll call it that for two related reasons. ...
https://bbcardstats.com/mwar-empirically-measuring-managers-part-3/
8 months ago
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The monkeys with strat-o-matic boards are back!
bbcardstats.com/monkeys-play...
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Monkeys play Bayesball! Measuring managers part 2 - BB Cards & Stats
So last time, we were on the verge of concluding that our featured managers’ Horowitz PHs were just a pile of monkey poop. The Monte Carlo Monkeys Playing Strat-o-matic (MC-MPS) simulation had created...
https://bbcardstats.com/monkeys-play-bayesball-measuring-managers-part-2/
9 months ago
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🥳🎂🎁🍺🍿
9 months ago
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9 months ago
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🥳🎂🎁👩🚀
9 months ago
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🥳🎂🎁🏇
9 months ago
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🥳🥳🎁🎂🎂
9 months ago
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🥳🎂🎁🥤
9 months ago
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9 months ago
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9 months ago
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9 months ago
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9 months ago
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