#MSCreport is out! Trump’s buried post-CW consensus. US engagement will be much more selective, prioritizing China and Western hemi, neglecting Europe and multilateralism. Next 4 years will show whether selectively-engaged US fuels or reduces disorder. securityconference.org/publikatione...

A new economic order is nascent: call it securitized globalization. In 'Economics: Trade Off' for new Munich Security Report 2024, I analyse the costs and benefits of new economic security agenda: securityconference.org/publikatione...

New polling data: Germans are aware of Russian threat but less and less willing to provide greater support to Ukraine. Fatal dissonance in light of massive Russian build-up, US wavering, and prospect of long war. New piece:  (tagesspiegel.de)