RT @ercovey:

RT @MattKleinOnline:

I’ve seen enough: Matt Van Epps (R) defeats Aftyn Behn (D) in the #TN07 special election.

Behn (D) may be ahead on early votes, but signs overall still pointing to a single digit Van Epps (R) win. #TN07

RT @amyewalter:

RT @SteveKornacki:

New @CookPolitical: Could the White House's redistricting war backfire? Three GOP seats at severe risk if VA joins CA in adopting a Dem gerrymander: #VA01 Rob Wittman (R) #VA02 Jen Kiggans (R) #VA05 John McGuire (R) My full analysis, w/ maps: www.cookpolitical.com/a…

NEW @CookPolitical House rating changes: #NJ07 Kean, Jr. (R) - Lean R to Toss Up #VA01 Wittman (R) - Likely R to Lean R #VA02 Kiggans (R) - Lean R to Toss Up #VA10 Subramanyam (D) - Likely D to Solid D Full analysis by @ercovey: www.cookpolitical.com/a…

Talk about backfire: if the new ruling blocking TX Republicans' map is upheld, Dems would be on track to come out *ahead* by ~3 seats in the redistricting wars - w/ FL, LA & VA the biggest remaining variables.

New @CookPolitical: new court-ordered Utah map moves #UT01 from Solid R to Solid D. Full analysis by @ercovey: www.cookpolitical.com/a…

RT @JakeSherman:

If you score remap shifts between safe/competitive seats as +/-0.5, here's how the count looks today, to my eye: CA: Dem +4.5 MO: GOP +1 NC: GOP +0.5 OH: GOP +0.5 TX: GOP +4 UT: Dem +1 That leaves Republicans ahead by half a seat, w/ FL, IN & VA the biggest remaining variables.

Between OH, KS, CA, VA and now this huge win in UT, Democrats have quietly strung together an impressive streak of victories over the past few weeks that have, surprisingly, pushed the mid-decade redistricting war closer to a draw.

Dems score huge redistricting victory in Utah, as judge overrules GOP legislature and orders a map w/ a new Harris +24 #UT01, guaranteeing Dems a one seat pickup. www.nbcnews.com/politic…

Big blue wave? I went on @beerocracyus (w/ pumpkin ale in hand) to talk about what Tuesday’s election results really mean. open.spotify.com/episod…

RT @grace_panetta:

RT @CookPolitical:

RT @SteveKornacki:

RT @amyewalter:

If there's a consolation for Republicans, it's that they're on track to hold all the Trump 5-10 districts in VA (if narrowly in some cases), meaning the bottom didn't entirely drop out.

Update: this has happened. Dems on track to win at least 64 (!) VA House of Delegates seats, w/ two races still outstanding. Massive Dem night.

I'm honored to be working at the @NBCNews decision desk tonight, which means that just like midterms & presidential nights, I won't be live-calling races on here. That said, I think the only real questions tonight are the margins. Be sure to tune into @NBCNews for the latest.

I'm honored to be working at the @NBCNews decision desk tonight, which means that just like midterms & presidential nights, I won't be live-calling races on here. That said, I think the only real questions tonight are the margins. Be sure to tune into @NBCNews for the latest.

Admin note: The bot is currently experiencing intermittent issues with posting threads. I'm investigating the issue.

Here are the eight GOP-held VA HoD seats won by Harris in '24 that Dems have a great chance to flip: #HD22 Lovejoy (R) #HD57 Owen (R) #HD71 Batten (R) #HD73 Earley (R) #HD75 Coyner (R) #HD82 Taylor (R) #HD86 Cordoza (R) #HD89 OPEN (R)

By comparison, today there are three House GOP members in Harris districts, 12 in districts that voted for Trump by 0-5 pts and 14 in districts that voted for Trump by 5-10 pts (though these numbers will change a bit when redistricting dust settles).

ICYMI, here's @CookPolitical's guide for what to watch tonight in CA, NJ and VA: www.cookpolitical.com/a…

RT @SteveKornacki:

RT @allymutnick:

New @CookPolitical: How many more seats could Florida Republicans squeeze out of the Sunshine State? Full analysis on why Reps. Darren Soto (D), Jared Moskowitz (D) and Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D) are at risk: www.cookpolitical.com/a…

Headed on @FoxNews shortly to discuss the latest state of play in the redistricting wars.

An important analysis by @Nate_Cohn on the VRA districts in the South that could be dismantled if SCOTUS strikes down Section 2 in Louisiana v. Callais, handing a durable advantage in the House to the GOP: www.nytimes.com/2025/10…

RT @amyewalter:

New @CookPolitical: good news for Democrats as “Yes” on CA Prop 50 redistricting ballot measure leads, but lots of undecided voters remain. Full analysis of our poll by @amyewalter: www.cookpolitical.com/a…

RT @CookPolitical:

RT @ZacharyDonnini:

New @CookPolitical: the battle over Missouri's new congressional map is just beginning. Analysis by @MattKleinOnline: www.cookpolitical.com/a…

New @CookPolitical: our rundown of redistricting possibilities in each state, by @ercovey. Bottom line: a GOP net gain of 5-8 seats from new maps seems most likely, with CA & FL the biggest variables. www.cookpolitical.com/a…

RT @cspanwj:

RT @ShaneGoldmacher:

RT @CookPolitical:

RT @CookPolitical:

I'll be on @CNN @smerconish shortly to discuss the potential for a gerrymandering apocalypse/arms race.

RT @jmart:

RT @kyledcheney:

NEW: as expected, TX Republicans unveil a 30R-8D gerrymander (up from 25R-13D today) that puts Reps. Henry Cuellar (D) and Vicente Gonzalez (D) in double-digit Trump districts and axes one Dem seat each in DFW, Houston & Austin/San Antonio.

RT @patrickdmarley:

RT @cam_joseph:

New @CookPolitical: Just how many more seats could Republicans squeeze out of Texas? Possibly up to five, shifting the map from 25R-13D to 30R-8D (below). But not without a VRA lawsuit and disruption to existing GOP seats. Full analysis: www.cookpolitical.com/a…

NEW @CookPolitical: Echoes of 2018? Dems are well-positioned to take back House control in 2026 owing to a partisan intensity gap, but the underlying factors (economy, party images) are different this time. www.cookpolitical.com/a…