How the #Falklands Took Over the World Cup. Today’s ☕️Cafecito dives into why Argentina-England has become a rivalry about memory, nationalism and unfinished history. Plus today's LatAm Intel briefing sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/england-ar...

How the #Falklands Took Over the World Cup. Today’s ☕️Cafecito dives into why Argentina-England has become a rivalry about memory, nationalism and unfinished history. Plus today's LatAm Intel briefing sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/england-ar...

Today’s Latin America Intel: 🇨🇺 Cuba’s blackout-era gamble and shrinking diplomatic support 🇻🇪 Venezuela’s post-quake government reshuffle plus 🇨🇴 Colombia, 🇭🇹 Haiti and 🇦🇷 Argentina in brief. sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/cuba-marke...

#Colombia is becoming the first real test of Trump’s revived hemispheric doctrine. Today’s Cafecito looks at what that shift means for security, coalition politics, fiscal capacity, and the risk of renewed displacement. sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/colombia-d...

🇻🇪 In theory, Marco Rubio’s three-stage roadmap for #Venezuela makes logical sense. But in practice, its focus has been entirely misplaced. What could a credible roadmap back to democracy actually look like? sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/venezuela-...

🇻🇪 #Venezuela’s earthquakes have laid bare the limits of state capacity, the weight of the economic cost, and the scale of dependence on international aid. Could this disaster also open a narrow path toward democratic change? sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/venezuela-...

🇻🇪 #Venezuela’s earthquakes have laid bare the limits of state capacity, the weight of the economic cost, and the scale of dependence on international aid. Could this disaster also open a narrow path toward democratic change? sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/venezuela-...

🇻🇪 #Venezuela’s earthquakes have killed at least 589 and injured thousands. They also handed Washington a geopolitical moment. What does the earthquake response tell us about the #DonroeDoctrine — and the cold logic driving US power in the hemisphere? sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/venezuelas...

🇻🇪 #Venezuela’s earthquakes have killed at least 589 and injured thousands. They also handed Washington a geopolitical moment. What does the earthquake response tell us about the #DonroeDoctrine — and the cold logic driving US power in the hemisphere? sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/venezuelas...

🇨🇴 #Colombia just handed the presidency to an ultra-right showman. But delivering his "Patria Milagro" will require a literal political miracle. sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/colombia-e...

🇨🇴 #Colombia just handed the presidency to an ultra-right showman. But delivering his "Patria Milagro" will require a literal political miracle. sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/colombia-e...

Our take on Colombian politics and the six lessons we learnt from the on-going 2026 presidential election campaign. Our analysis ⚡️#Colombia sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/colombia-e...

Our take on Colombian politics and the six lessons we learnt from the on-going 2026 presidential election campaign. Our analysis ⚡️#Colombia sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/colombia-e...

#Bolivia, #Cuba, #Peru and #Ecuador are all states under tremendous pressure. The latest geopolitical, economic & societal pressure points in our mid-week Cafecito ☕️ including Rubio’s Cuba deal. Out now! sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/states-und...

One in three Latin Americans now plans to emigrate — up from 1 in 5 twenty years ago. UNDP links it directly to democratic failure. Not poverty alone. Not violence alone. States that people no longer believe will deliver. sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/elected-un...

One in three Latin Americans now plans to emigrate — up from 1 in 5 twenty years ago. UNDP links it directly to democratic failure. Not poverty alone. Not violence alone. States that people no longer believe will deliver. sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/elected-un...

This week we published a two-part series explaining why #socialjustice in #LatinAmerica can’t be achieved in the way it’s been done in Europe — through #taxation and #redistribution. 👉 Part 1: sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/latin-amer...

Our round up of the week that was in #LatinAmerica, covering #Colombia’s presidential elections, scenarios for #Cuba’s future, #Venezuela’s non-transition, #Mexico-US relations, #Argentina’s Milei troubles and organised crime in the Amazon. sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/cafecito-6...

Our round up of the week that was in #LatinAmerica, covering #Colombia’s presidential elections, scenarios for #Cuba’s future, #Venezuela’s non-transition, #Mexico-US relations, #Argentina’s Milei troubles and organised crime in the Amazon. sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/cafecito-6...

#Mexico's homicide rate is down 44%. The government is celebrating. But the murder miracle is more complicated than it looks 👇 sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/mexico-hom...

#Mexico's homicide rate is down 44%. The government is celebrating. But the murder miracle is more complicated than it looks 👇 sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/mexico-hom...

This week we published a two-part series explaining why #socialjustice in #LatinAmerica can’t be achieved in the way it’s been done in Europe — through #taxation and #redistribution. 👉 Part 1: sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/latin-amer...

Delivering #socialjustice in #LatinAmerica through redistribution is extremely difficult as people distrust the state they would have to trust to fix the huge inequalities they see every day. sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/latin-amer...

#Venezuela’s revolution is for sale. Lula is protecting a Chinese carmaker. #Cuba is negotiating in secret. Eight stories from a hemisphere where the forms of democracy are intact — and the substance is up for grabs. sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/the-revolu...

#Venezuela’s revolution is for sale. Lula is protecting a Chinese carmaker. #Cuba is negotiating in secret. Eight stories from a hemisphere where the forms of democracy are intact — and the substance is up for grabs. sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/the-revolu...

Four Forces Reshaping #LatinAmerica — and What Three Major Reports Say About All of Them: A Region Squeezed by Debt, Stagnant on Prosperity, and Running Out of Time on its Development Commitments. sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/squeezed-s... #LAC2026 #IMF #SDGs #FiscalPolicy

#Iran’s war is not #LatinAmerica’s war — but the ripple effects are real. Here’s how higher energy prices, pricier food and fertilisers, and tighter financial conditions are creating winners, losers, and a vulnerable middle. sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/iran-war-l...

The war in Iran is not #LatinAmerica’s war, but its effects are already being felt across the region. This is not a uniform shock. Some countries stand to benefit while others are likely to absorb most of the pain. sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/iran-war-l...

Four Forces Reshaping #LatinAmerica — and What Three Major Reports Say About All of Them: A Region Squeezed by Debt, Stagnant on Prosperity, and Running Out of Time on its Development Commitments. sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/squeezed-s... #LAC2026 #IMF #SDGs #FiscalPolicy

#Iran’s war is not #LatinAmerica’s war — but the ripple effects are real. Here’s how higher energy prices, pricier food and fertilisers, and tighter financial conditions are creating winners, losers, and a vulnerable middle. sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/iran-war-l...

🌎 🇵🇪 #Peru’s fractured first round, #Cuba’s energy crisis and an Andean tariff fight all point to the same thing: Latin America’s 2026 story is being written under weak growth, rising insecurity and heavier U.S. pressure. ☕️ New Cafecito out now 👇 sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/peru-fragm...?

🌎 🇵🇪 #Peru’s fractured first round, #Cuba’s energy crisis and an Andean tariff fight all point to the same thing: Latin America’s 2026 story is being written under weak growth, rising insecurity and heavier U.S. pressure. ☕️ New Cafecito out now 👇 sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/peru-fragm...?

🇨🇺The Final Act: Three Roads from #Havana Cuba’s endgame is no longer a theory, but a choice between three stark realities. My analysis of the narrowing window of options for the U.S. administration as the island’s energy grid faces total dissolution #Cuba sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/cuba-energ...

🇨🇺The Final Act: Three Roads from #Havana Cuba’s endgame is no longer a theory, but a choice between three stark realities. My analysis of the narrowing window of options for the U.S. administration as the island’s energy grid faces total dissolution #Cuba sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/cuba-energ...

The stories shaping #LatinAmerica in this week's Cafecito☕️ 🇻🇪 #Venezuela: Purges & the oil "buzz" 🇨🇺 #Cuba Watch: Blackouts and Back-Channels 🌎 The Geopolitics of the #Lithium Triangle 💥 Homicide RoundUp #HumanRights #Geopolitics #ResourceWars sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/sovereignt...

Is #LatinAmerica being rewired? 🌎 #Washington’s new "Doctrine of Control" is here—from purging #China tech in #Chile to brokering gold deals in a "grey zone" #Venezuela.  The price of alignment is high, and the rules are no longer being written home. sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/price-of-a...

The VC has planned to cut 400 jobs, close the Southend campus, demolish the Essex Pathways (foundation year) department, and decimate other departments like language & linguistics, maths & stats and business. She met us for an all-staff meeting on Thursday. It was... fascinating! Let's fact-check.

#LatinAmerica is first and foremost a security theatre for the US administration. Find out what this means in our week's review of the stories shaping the hemisphere #Trump #CubaLibre #VenezuelaLibre #Mexicocartel #Nicaragua #Ecuador #Colombia sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/trump-lati...

Our ☕️Cafecito captures the week in #LatinAmerica: 🇨🇺 #Cuba Blacks Out as 🇻🇪 #Venezuela Brightens Up 🇲🇽 #Mexico hides a 200% disappearance surge 🇧🇷 #Brazil's Lula vanishes taxes for votes 🇨🇳 #China's crime dragon strips #LatAm sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/cuba-black...

Everyone’s asking whether Trump is going for regime change in #Cuba. He isn’t. His Cuba play is about 3 things: 1️⃣ Stopping a new migration wave 2️⃣ Forcing out Chinese & Russian intel 3️⃣ Opening parts of the economy on US terms New piece here ⬇️ sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/why-washin...

#Venezuela first, #Cuba next? Trump and Rubio say they want to “liberate” Cuba. After Maduro’s capture and an oil blockade, Washington suddenly has unprecedented leverage, but not a free hand. Why Washington won’t impose regime change 👇 sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/venezuela-...

The Five Forces shaping #LatinAmerica in my latest long-form deep dive, and the question becomes: what kind of actor does the region want to be? sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/latin-amer...

#Venezuela just announced a general amnesty for all political prisoners. The regime didn't have a change of heart. It ran out of leverage. This is Chapter 1 of Trump's new Latin American order, explained here👇 sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/from-rodri...

#Spain just did what no other major Western democracy will: ➡️ Regularise 500,000+ undocumented migrants ➡️ Around 70% are from #LatinAmerica A huge moment for Latin American workers. We unpack the numbers, the politics and the risks ⬇️ sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/spain-regu...

🌎 Político reports today that “the #Trump administration is considering a total blockade on oil imports to #Cuba to drive regime change”. This wouldn’t be surprising. The raid on #Caracas and the capture of #Maduro is destabilising #LatinAmerica This week’s ☕️Cafecito 👇

The week in #LatinAmerica tracked in our ☕️Cafecito: 🇻🇪 #Venezuela’s compliant regime 🇨🇺 #Cuba’s vulnerability 🇲🇽 #Mexico’s squeeze 🇬🇹 #Guatemala gang violence 🇨🇴 #Colombia’s jobless/informality trap 🇪🇨🇨🇴 #Ecuador - Colombia trade war 🇧🇷 #Brazil's rare earth minerals sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/remote-con...

This week in #LatinAmerica -- tracking U.S. progress towards #DemocraticTransition in #Venezuela 🇻🇪 and its impact on #Mexico and #Colombia 🇲🇽🇨🇴 Plus #CostaRica prepares for its 2026 presidential elections 🇨🇷 sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/venezuela-...

This week in #LatinAmerica -- tracking U.S. progress towards #DemocraticTransition in #Venezuela 🇻🇪 and its impact on #Mexico and #Colombia 🇲🇽🇨🇴 Plus #CostaRica prepares for its 2026 presidential elections 🇨🇷 sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/venezuela-...

#LatinAmerica’s #multilatinas aren’t “second tier” anymore. They’re outcompeting Western rivals in the very markets those rivals find hardest – from infrastructure to fintech and digital services.​ They turned weak institutions into an edge ⬇️ sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/how-multil...

#Venezuela after Maduro isn’t a “transition” – it’s an illusion of control. A president without her own security forces, criminal groups recalculating, a diaspora under pressure, and an oil gambit that may destabilise the region. #Maduro #Trump 🔗 sinfiltroya.substack.com/p/venezuela-...