POLAND TAKING NO CHANCES Poland is to reverse laws that granted power to the EU and NATO, now allowing it to shoot down Russian drones and missiles over enemy territory if deemed appropriate by Polish authorities. The law was enacted in 2022 but is seen as no longer being in Poland’s interest.

This is how UK newspaper media sees Trump. Are they wrong? Even the Russian media is relentlessly taking the piss now, laughing and lambasting his unserious behaviour and nonsensical statements. One even said he’s dangerously unpredictable.

TRUMP: HAS HE CHANGED POLICY ON UKRAINE? Marco Rubio and JD Vance have both echoed the same sentiment: That Trump lost patience with Russian intransigence over ending the war and that he recognises it’s hurting Russia. The phrasing of that approach interesting because it shows Trump’s concern is

TRUMP IS A VINDICTIVE LITTLE MAN

RUSSIA HAS NO INTENTION OF ENDING THE WAR At a recent conference attended by Defence Minister Belusov, several issues were discussed about how to manage the war going forward. They realise that the bonus and recruitment system is deeply flawed but have no idea how to replace it without mobilising

RUSSIAN WOMEN MARRYING SOLDIERS DOR THE DEATH BENEFITS According to Russian state TV there is a widespread phenomena of Russian women marrying men and then persuading them to enlist so that they’re killed in Ukraine - they then claim the death benefits. Onestating that when women see

FACT - in 114 days the Russian invasion of Ukraine will have lasted longer than the entire war against Nazi Germany in WW2. That ran from June 22nd 1941 to May 9th 1945.

THE US HAS STARTED BUILDING THE FIRST F-47 Boeing and the USAF announced that construction on the first F-47 sixth generation fighter has gotten underway. The first is expected to fly in 2028. This puts it slightly behind the UK-Japan-Italian Tempest project and years ahead of the remarkably slow

ASIAS RICHEST MAN AT CENTRE OF FUNDING RUSSIAN WAR MACHINE Makesh Ambani is worth $100 billion, and is the richest man on the Asian continent. The Indian owns Reliance Industries whose portfolio includes most of India’s oil refineries. Reliance has purchased $33 billion in Russian discounted oil

RUSSIAN & CHINESE SUBMARINE EXERCISE Russia & China have concluded their first exercises using joint submarine patrols in the Pacific. They used two Kilo class diesel submarines - Russia exported them to China so they both had the same tech and equipment. While that’s practical it’s also clearly

DEFENDING NATO AIR SPACE The wheels take time to move but the post Article-4 roundup is an interesting one. Following Russias invasion of Estonian air space the country invoked Article-4 which requires discussion between members on what to do when an aggressive incursion like this happens. Türkiye

RUSSIA WANTS SANCTIONS ON AIRCRAFT PARTS LIFTED Having stolen hundreds of leased aircraft from western owners in 2022, and then having its entire aviation industry sanctioned from obtaining parts from Boeing and Airbus, all following its invasion of Ukraine, Russia is demanding the UN insists the

TRUMP MAKES POSITIVE UKRAINE STATEMENT WHILE RUSSIA CONTINUES TO LIE Following a meeting with President Zelensky at the UN General Assembly, Trump Expressed his confidence that Ukraine would one day regain all of its occupied territories. What inspired this sudden turn around, who knows? It’s

LATEST OECD RUSSIAN INDUSTRY CONFIDENCE DATA The latest chart shows Russian business & industry confidence has plunged and is only just above the three crises of 1992, 2008 and 2020. Its trajectory appears to be downward suggesting that internally Russia is fast reaching its worst point ever, at

LARGE RECON DRONES OVER. COPENHAGEN As many as three large drones have been causing mayhem over Copenhagen airport In Denmark causing all flights to be cancelled in or out. The drones have not been identified but it would be no surprise if they had something to do with Russian intimidation,

RUSSIA TRYING TO PRESSURE US INTO NEW ARMS CONTROL NEGOTIATIONS With the Russian economy pushed to the limit the last thing Moscow needs is a nuclear arms race when the START treaty ends on February 26 next year. Putin announced that Russia would adhere to the existing treaty for another year if

UKRAINE PUMMELS AIR DEFENCE NETWORKS Ukrainian drones, HIMARS, and aircraft have been lummeli h Russian air defences, both at the tactical and strategic level, almost across the entire front line. From Crimea to Kursk fixed radars, large node radars that network multiple launch sites, tactical

Corruption is endemic in Russia's military. The FSB uses it to further Putin's own ends and ensure his survival.

US NAVY TEST FIRES A MODIFIED TRIDENT-II A UGM-133 Trident II D5 Submarine-Launched Ballistic Missile (SLBM) was fired in the North Atlantic on September 21, 2025. The missile test carried a "hypersonic glide vehicle/unusual payload”. The missile was fired from the North Atlantic test range south.

AN EXTRACT FROM A RUSSIAN WHO BLOGS ON ECONOMIC ISSUES: Things it seems, are not going so well….

RUSSIA BUILDS UP A RESERVE OF NEW RECRUITS The Russian army has been keeping its new recruits back from the frontline - apparently in order to train them in the art of infiltration warfare and survival behind Ukrainian lines. Recruitment levels have plummeted this year with what were monthly levels

UKRAINE BLOWS UP THREE MAJOR WEAPONS DUMPS three of the forward Donetsk bases including the key base at Selydove that supplies the Pokrovsk front, detonated and cooked off after Ukrainian drone strikes. Some 500 tons of ammo have been destroyed.

❗️The Czech President called for shooting down Russian aircraft that violate NATO airspace. "I must call this [Russian MiG-31K fighter jets intrude into Estonian airspace] extremely irresponsible behavior, because violating airspace is a pretext for activating defense mechanisms and,

DEMOCRACY SUNDAY

DEMOCRACY SUNDAY The way Trump has been getting away with bullying corporate media into submission is both shocking and pathetic at the same time. We all know the first people authoritarian leaders go for is comedians, but that it’s become almost a matter of will power over corporate stamina is

HOW TRUE, EVEN NOW!

ESTONIAN DATA ON THE RUSSIAN INFRACTION

OTHER THINGS THAT HAPPENED THIS WEEK: Trump declined to send $400m in authorised aid to Taiwan saying they should pay for their own weapons and they can afford it. They can, but Parliament is stuffed with pro-Chinese opposition who actually cut the defence budget. Another small win for China in

PROVOCATIONS TOO FAR Russia has sent aircraft into Estonia for 12 minutes. 3 Mig-31’s. They chose Estonia because it’s right on the edge of Russian and NATO air space next to St Petersburg. It makes it seem it was possibly accidental when we know it was not. A few years ago the Turkish air force

RUSSIA IS PUSHING ITS LUCK WITH NATO Three Mig-31’s entering NATO airspace over Estonia for 12 minutes is deliberate, provocative and dangerous. Any more of these incidents and the Russians need to be told shoot to kill orders will be issued. No ifs and no buts. Lessons need to be taught.

Z-BLOGGERS STARTING TO REALISE THE REALITY OF THEIR WAR Just been watching Kalashnikov and a couple of others. Talk about watch the penny drop. They’re finally understanding the war is lost, they are never going to win, but perhaps most extraordinary of all, that if they try to carry on the

OH THE IRONY… You probably remember the start of the war with Russia’s invasion back in 24 Feb 2022. The European powers faced hideous disruptions to their gas and oil supply as prices soared. Governments paid subsidies to every household (at least in the UK they did), as prices spiked and Russia

GASOLINE SALES IN RUSSIA PLUMMET AS REFINERY DESTRUCTION HITS HOME Russian figures show a 25% reduction in retail sales of gasoline. That’s a massive figure. It also impacts state revenues hugely because Russia has a complex tax system on gasoline and diesel.

REFINERY STRIKES CONTINUE The strategy is working - this is in Bashkortistan and the strike is so accurate it’s hit the cracking tower that’s used for separating the various fuel types. Without the tower the plant is effectively useless. Recent aerial images show the Russians have placed repaired

RUSSIANS FAIL TO LEARN LESSONS FROM HISTORY This is a new Shaheed drone launching site just 35km from Bryansk. It probably cost several millions of dollars. Germany built sites like this for the V-1 and even more elaborate sites for the V-2. La Coupole in France is an extraordinary building that

IS THE RUSSIAN SSBN BASE IN KAMCHATKA EVEN STILL THERE? The endless numbers of earthquakes - including powerful 7.8’s that have triggered further Tsunami warnings listed in the screenshots. Whatever was there must be wrecked by now.

A RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE IS COMING The pieces are now in place or very nearly. For months now Russian forces have been amassing between 80-100,000 men in the Pokrovsk area and preparing for a major offensive, that one analyst describes as likely to be their biggest of the war. What are they waiting for

AMERICAN MEDIA IS COWARDICE PERSONIFIED Disney owned ABC took the Jimmy Kimmel show off air yesterday over his comments about the death of right wing extremist Charlie Kirk and Trumps response to it. Free speech and comment is now dead in America. This follows the cancellation of Steven Colbert’s

FUEL SUPPLY & ECONOMIC IMPACT ARE NOW TOP LEVEL WORRIES IN RUSSIA The Russian business elites at every level are now panicking about the fuel supply situation. They are seeing sales of retail fuel drop by 20% - because there’s insufficient to buy. Russia’s leading business magazine is warning that

TRUMPS LIES PASS 2000 Yes indeed Trump has managed no less than 21 lies per day since retuning to office. To celebrate his arrival in the UK where only 22% approve of him and 44% don’t want him here at all with 40% saying it was a necessary evil, Channel 4 is broadcasting over three hours of non-

THE BOTTOM LINE

OIL REFINERY BINGO! Not far from a full set… Ukraine’s persistent attacks are the strategy that wins this war along with shutting down exports and production.

ITS GETTING WORSE IN RUSSIA Zapad 25 wound down in Belarus, overseen by Putin (or the double). Russia won of course. The 65 Indian troops that took part, in some kind of effort to understand modern tactics have contributed to a distinct chilling of relations between the West and a country that was

RUSSIA ASKS TO BUY BACK TURKEY’S S-400’s Turkey originally purchased the export version of the system for some $2 billion. They did so even though it cost them industrial involvement in manufacturing F-35 and the aircraft for their own air force. Erdogan refused to back down and the sale went

Russian's are feeling the impact of Ukraine's strategic strikes, the oil industry is in a mess and Russia increasingly desperate to stop the situation getting out of control.

LOVE THIS - and they attacked right after Belusov visited!

ZAPAD-25 UNDERWAY The Russians and their stooges in Belarus are busy demonstrating their lessons learned from the war in Ukraine in joint military exercises. The point seems to be to intimidate NATO border states as usual. While they may have learned a good deal from their war experience, caution

WOW! UKRAINE’S DRONE ATTACKS ON MOSCOW/STP’BURG Just catching up on the massive strikes Ukraine carried out over the last few days. Some of the damage is extraordinary. Add the incursion into Kursk undermining the Russian operations along the whole sector. Russians apparently seriously upset the

GOOD EVENING! 1) Yes it was an awesome vacation and yes we’re stuck in traffic but our driver is taking the strain! Not such good news was my father died two days in but we’d agreed not to be informed if it happened. So please bear in mind I’ll have that on the go. We’ve discussed the relationship

SIGNING OFF UNTIL SEPTEMBER 16TH Well my wonderful followers and fighters for democracy and Ukraine, it’s time to sign off for the annual vacation. The flight departs in short order! Please have a read if you’re a first timer or re-read some of the articles from my blog, themilitaryanalyst.com