W3 professorship “Economics, especially Empirical Microeconomics” #Econsky

Super interesting! "Harnessing artificial intelligence for monitoring financial markets" by Matteo Aquilina, Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo, Gaston Gelos, Taejin Park, and Fernando Perez-Cruz. www.bis.org/publ/work129...

Great global system: problems? Moi?

Good moment in class while discussing government yields and price and exchange rate expectations: Me: Based on these data, which country is more likely to see government default, France or the US? Student: Italy!

75 years ago today: a missed opportunity to collect even more rubble in Teufelsberg and have a bigger hill in the city. www.bz-berlin.de/berlin/teufe...

Fantastic end of summer day in Berlin today. Bring it on!

Free speech from "free speech" 🤷‍♂️

@sleepernfl.bsky.social spicying up everyone's Wednesday!

Happy Econ 101 day to all who celebrate

Too many points or too many letters?

Snakes and ladders gone wild

Happy three-time dishwasher day to everyone who celebrates

Me: Macro is very complex and difficult. 5 minutes later The economy is a restaurant. We don't increase prices until we are full. That's it.

If a game ends in a draw during a league stage, both teams get zero points. If it happens in an elimination game, both teams are eliminated.

Yes, TNF needs even more Al Michaels telling us this week's game is lame.

Lots of exogenous variation going on in this year's Vuelta between shortened stages and uncertain finish lines. www.cyclingnews.com/news/we-are-...

The last episode was December 9th. I guess this is how it feels when the bridge breaks and no one comes to fix it.

The president of the United States is a mashup between 1993 Jerry Seinfeld and Fabrizio Romano.

5 minutes later, everything burned

Scorigami?

Interesting strategy from Portugal to play this game with exactly one defender #HunPor

New School Year, everybody!

Berlin's hottest club. This place has everything.

Eurobasket 👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀

Reminder not to try to teach monetary economics/liquidity traps/misallocation with my fantasy league again this year.

A reminder that NFL fantasy draft with snake disproportionately rewards the first movers compared to 3rd round reversal (data from @sleepernfl.bsky.social) We do auction, which explains my pre-season remorse, as usual.

Transitivity: Susan Collins is very disappointed in Putin

Transfer deadline day: "record fees" everywhere. After Covid inflation, I thought we’d moved past confusing nominal with real variables.

It's back to school!

La Décapitation de saint Georges, Bernat Martorell, 1430

This paper simulates the number of points needed to qualify pre-draw. According to one of the authors, post-draw it seems that 16 points is even more likely to qualify directly. arxiv.org/html/2508.20...

Maybe the problem is that there’s only one of them in this picture.

The state of it all

Thinking of proposing a Master in Policy Marketing: a program to teach policy makers to convince politicians and the public to follow evidence-based policies.

Maybe it is stupid

Do I have to clean up the kids' toys before playing with my new toy?

Academics once loved Twitter—but in the age of X they’ve abandoned it in droves. www.wired.com/story/bluesk...

Theoretically, this is the way: strong teams at home / weaker teams away

I guess the only way to make this place a real alternative to X is to share more the type content you’d like to read. Will try that going forward.

This evening is the UEFA Champions League Draw. Since 2024 it follows a Swiss model: 1 table with 36 teams but only 8 matches per team. I actually enjoyed the chaos last year, but here is your friendly reminder that most Swiss-system tournaments are unfair. 1/ www.uefa.com/uefachampion...

A lot of analysis of Trump's trade policy asks: “Don’t they see tariffs hurt the US?” That assumes Trump administration cares about absolute payoffs. But if the goal is relative standing (zero-sum petty Trump preferences), self-harm can be consistent with the objective. #Econsky 1/

Mourinho tonight www.adidas.com/us/rolling-l...

>> The patent is called "fuel reforming system for vehicle," which does almost nothing to describe the magic going on here. Mazda's engineers describe it as a way to recover carbon, improve thermal efficiency, and give you a car that runs carbon-neutral. << #1/3 carbuzz.com/mazda-6-stro...

Today's wilderness on my commute

Neemias Queta led Portugal to a win in their EuroBasket opener. Monster game for Queta: 23 points on 11-for-15 shooting 18 rebounds 2 steals 4 blocks He was easily the best player on the floor.

First time? carbuzz.com/mazda-6-stro...

8h flight from Frankfurt, lol

Alesina Perotti for communism: Republicans don't just get away with deficits without repercussions they also get away with [checks notes] ownership of the means of production.

Wow, zerozerogami!