Cowboys have a football analytics internship opening ⬇️⬇️⬇️

[Schefter] Ravens director of football strategy/assistant quarterbacks coach Daniel Stern is leaving Baltimore to accept a job with the Seattle Seahawks, possibly as their pass-game strategist. But he is off to Seattle. twitter.com/AdamSchefter...

Cade is the best, you always want to hear him on the draft. Ron is at least medium.

Early 2026 predictions from our crew of analysts. Super Bowl, MVP and more! www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/...

the final and official darnold meter chart of super bowl LX darnold-meter.com

Yes, this was the big error. And surprising because of how obvious it was to go for it. Down 12, 4th and 1 in the 3rd quarter? Shouldn't even have to think about it.

There was not a single 4th down go in the Super Bowl!

Super Bowl QBRs Sam Darnold: 53.0 Drake Maye: 16.3

Devon Witherspoon: Two sacks, one forced fumble (returned for a TD), ZERO targets in 33 coverage snaps. GIVE HIM THE MVP!!!!

see sometimes we say kick!!

Sorry deleted several times but we had 2 point decision as being right on the edge. 5.4% WP either way.

What could go wrong

trust at an all-time high

That's an extremely obvious error by Mike Vrabel. Needed a 42% chance of converting to justify going for it. We estimated they had a 67% chance of conversion. Even if the model knew it was a long 1 to go, it still would have been miles ahead of the 42%.

gotta go for this!

Darnold's been great at turning would-be sacks into incompletions or short gains with his legs, but he's left some throws on the field. The long scramble drill throw to JSN, the post to JSN that Gonzalez was able to catch up to before half, and on that third-down out versus the blitz.

Patriots recorded a 46% pass block win rate in the first half. If that held, it would be their worst PBWR game of the season.

Our live page with updates from tons of analysts: www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/...

new watch party addition

darnold-meter.com was getting overloaded but i paid some more server money and now it should be better :)

This is hilarious and amazing

darnold confidence dropped last series 😬

darnold-meter.com is super bowl ready. new "since kickoff" button added

This line moved down to 16.5 (shaded over)!!

pretty large swings in darnold confidence over the last four hours. a preview of tomorrow???? darnold-meter.com

Spent some time this week modeling these fun Next Gen Stats-based props for the Super Bowl. And, if I’m right, we found some values! www.espn.com/espn/betting...

My favorite Super Bowl prop: Stefon Diggs fastest ball carrier speed under 18.5 MPH (-160) at DraftKings. Diggs has 96 touches this season and went over that speed as a ball carrier on *one* of them. www.espn.com/espn/betting...

It really is absurd that in a year when JSN and Puka Nacua had truly monster seasons and Myles Garrett *literally broke the single-season sack record* that Christian McCaffrey was the lone non-QB to be an MVP finalist.

my practice report from Seattle today. the big news- Seahawks rookie Nick Emmanwori left practice early after hurting his ankle. Mike Macdonald: "We brought him in to look at it, and we'll kind of go from here and figure out what are the next steps?"

Anxious to read about the cultural and societal implications of this deal for the Wizards

confidence is currently sky-high! darnold-meter.com

Even for the Super Bowl, some sort of basic props that I am surprised don't exist (or I haven't seen) are: targets (subjective, but so are tackles!) per carry/per reception metrics. Like, rush yards per carry.

I like how the picture choice makes it look like he’s hearing the news

good read

The brief low-point of confidence in Sam Darnold at 5 a.m. ET Saturday has thawed. darnold-meter.com

The Jets are hiring a senior data scientist (in football ops) www.teamworkonline.com/football-job... and a football analytics seasonal intern www.teamworkonline.com/football-job...

Highest rush yards over expected per carry among RBs with at least 100 carries this season? Rhamondre Stevenson, +1.2. (NFL Next Gen Stats)

The five defensive tackles double-teamed at the highest rate when pass rushing this season. Alignment is a big factor in double team rate, which is why you'll often see nose tackles here. But not always! Big threats -- like Leonard Williams -- show up, too.

Sam Darnold had the highest turnover rate (3.5%) of all QBR-qualifying quarterbacks this regular season. Unlike the rest of his stats, it wasn't a first half-second half thing. He just played so well in all other areas early that he still led QBR through Week 10, despite the turnovers.

This is one of the challenges BUT! Think about this year. Brady Cook is not going to be the Jets starting QB next year whether they have the 1 or 2 pick. Best thing for his career would be to have a good game in a big spot! Same probably true for Geno/O'Connell.

I know there are logistical challenges to this but also: it would rule so, so much.

I’ve had a bunch of folks ask about a Winter Olympics starter pack. So here’s one: go.bsky.app/H39APXB

Point No. 1 is extremely fair. Not only because the players didn't pan out but because of the decisions: most notably the trade-up for Dallas Turner, which was terrible process no matter what kind of player Turner became. Points 2 and 3 are hilarious.

I trust him right now but I'm not sure how I'll feel tomorrow. The good news is you can vote every 5 minutes. I'm so excited for SAM DARNOLD NEEDLE WATCH darnold-meter.com

gonna have this tab open during the super bowl just to watch the needle move

Drake Maye did not practice today due to illness and shoulder, per Mike Vrabel.

Reminder that Darnold got only $7.5M fully guaranteed more than Justin Fields on the open market last offseason. That’s the league telling you what it thought.

I can't wait to have the Sam Darnold needle up during the Super Bowl. I feel bad for Seattle fans, but this will be tremendous content.

i trust darnold MORE with each passing minute darnold-meter.com