Motion report through Week 3, pre-MNF! (One note: we've moved this from manual tracking to player-tracking derived this season). Column on left is motion at the snap, right is all motion.

Abdul Carter has been aligned off the line of scrimmage on 41 of his 148 defensive snaps this season.

the cumulative separation between the ball and the nearest giants receiver on that final series was truly impressive

Bucs 5th-round pick Elijah Roberts got a lot more playing time (35 snaps, 56%) with Calijah Kancey out and Logan Hall banged up during game. Roberts (95) responded with a strong 27% pass rush win rate.

a rapid prediction market on whether the giants will play Jaxson Dart in the third quarter would be fun right now

Nick Herbig has 13 pass rush wins this season, tied for fifth-most among all players. He missed Week 1!!

39-year-old Calais Campbell ranks 6th in pass rush win rate at defensive tackle this season.

Left: flagged Right: play after, not flagged Obviously don’t have ideal angle but looks pretty similar to me!

Was Jawaan Taylor even in a legal formation on third-and-17 (play immediately after flag)? would have loved a down the line look because didn't look like it!

I do feel like it's Shanahan's destiny to treat FG range as binary and get overly conservative leading to missed FG

Throwing was the right call there on 3rd and 9 for Arizona, imo. You complete a pass you win the game. Run the ball and you're just giving highest probability of handing ball back to opponent with just under 2 mins left.

2025 Calais Campbell: big WPA guy

unbelievable throw from Herbert. NGS completion probability: 17%.

Good decision by Sean Payton. This is one where it's important to remember how far from a sure thing the field goal attempt would be.

Four outside corners in the early window played at least 25 coverage snaps and allowed 0 or negative yards as as the nearest defender, per NGS: Tremon Smith Byron Murphy Jamel Dean L'Jarius Sneed Dean, of course, had the pick-6. Also one penalty against him. Sneed had two penalties against him.

Mason Graham recorded a 43% pass rush win rate against the Packers today. Average for a defensive tackle is 9%.

Cowboys decide against covering Cole Kmet up the seam

Feel like Egbuka caught that?

Jordan Davis' 18.59 MPH on his game-winning field goal block and touchdown run is the fastest speed by a 330+ pound player in an NFL game since Week 4 of 2016 (Pat Sims), per NFL Next Gen Stats.

18.59 MPH PER NEXT GEN STATS

Rams +3.5 what an unbelievably bad beat

If Browns score here they should go for 2. One of the only teams that might consider it!

i made a 250-1 bet on Nick Herbig to lead the league in sacks and have convinced myself it now has a 100% chance to win

NICK HERBIG IS ELITE

There's more time on the clock this time, but considering Coen's attitude toward going up 6 last week I'm surprised he kicked on 4th-and-1 to go up 13 now. (Our 4th down numbers are down rn, will post when they go back up)

robert spillane wide open here

Jamel Dean pick-six off Tyrod Taylor, dots!

Vikings currently have an 86% pass rush win rate against the Bengals, lol

this is apropos of nothing currently happening but I somehow did not realize Mahomes is rocking a -10% CPOE this season

model concurs!!

Wrote about Watt vs. Moses in the first item here: www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/...

RESPECT

didn't work but

falcons to younghoe koo

I like it when the dots look smug, tell me Dot Kenny Moore doesn't look smug as hell here

Guessing my Chris Rodriguez fantasy experience was fairly common: 1. thought I was so smart drafting him after that preseason start, going so far after Bill 2. realized I was wrong, dropped him 3. Week 3, ah

!!!

Kenny Moore pick-six off Cam Ward, dots!!

Week 3 preview: analysis from NFL nation, stats to know, bold predictions, fantasy nuggets and game picks! www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/...

Week 3 best bets with Matt Bowen. Added a bunch of tackle and sack props late last night! www.espn.com/espn/betting...

A few defensive props have started to go up for Week 3. This is, in my model’s opinion, an excellent line currently available at ESPN BET. I doubt it will last long! www.espn.com/espn/betting...

Last-minute prep for NFL Week 3: stats to watch Sunday, fantasy sleepers, upset picks and more. www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/...

Teamed up with Matt Bowen for best bets this week. Defensive props aren't up yet -- I'll add them whenever those lines are posted. But there are some offensive player props in here for now! As always, story includes my record. Happy with the start! www.espn.com/espn/betting...

The 10 tackles with the worst pass block win rates so far this season.

Earlier this week on ESPN BET Live I recommended a 250-1 longshot for Offensive Rookie of the Year: Jets OT Armand Membou.

T.J. Watt has a pass rush win rate of 7% through two games this year. Yes, he's getting chipped a ton. But league average for an edge rusher is 16%. Watt's career average at edge is 24%. This week is a bounceback spot though: he faces Morgan Moses, who has the lowest PBWR among tackles (75%).

Going on ESPN BET Live in just a minute here — including talking about a 250-1 award bet I think worth considering!!

Milton Williams currently leads the NFL in pass rush win rate at defensive tackle at 23%. No other player is even at 17%. I was very skeptical of the price New England paid for Williams in the offseason but two games that's a very, very strong number.

In light of the QB injuries around the league, I ranked the 12 best backup quarterbacks in the NFL right now: www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/...