Delayed, but: Sean McVay failed the down 8 test ❌❌❌

Tune into tonight's game on ESPN2 for the Playbook Altcast! All-22! Real-time dynamic and predictive metrics! Field Yates, Dan Orlovsky and Luke Kuechly breaking down the game! And Brian Burke as decision analyst!

Updated draft forecast! Same caveat: does not account for possibility of resting starters in Week 18.

Updated NFL playoff seeding forecast!

final play of an unbelievably good game, dots!

it's a go but relatively close!

Drake Maye recorded a 99.8 QBR today. That's the highest QBR game in the metric's history, back to 2006. www.espn.com/nfl/qbr/_/vi...

Usually prefer PAT in this spot but in favor of going for 2 here given: Bills offense, blocked kick earlier, weather, lack of time remaining.

Waiting to see what our numbers have for that Jaguars 4th down. Would not be surprised if they preferred punt!

I retract my critique because of this! Good point!

Dave Canales failed the down 8 test ❌❌❌

That’s ball don’t lie for kicking PAT down 4

Betting column taking the week off (at least for me). It’s resting up for the stretch run!

Pro Bowl snubs! And who they should replace! From @benjaminsolak.bsky.social and me: www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/...

the Niners 👀

Yep! The advantage begins roughly halfway through the third quarter.

Shane Steichen failed the down 8 test ❌❌❌

This has been a good watch so far. Now we just need the offenses to stop playing so well so we can get some 4th down decisions.

Reminder!!

You had me at all-22

MNF Tonight: Watch the alternate broadcast on ESPN2! There will be an All-22 view! Dynamic pre-snap forecasting metrics! @fieldyates.bsky.social, Dan Orlovsky and Luke Kuechly breaking down the game! And Brian Burke as a decision analyst to talk through 4th down and 2 point!

NFL Playoff Projections! This page will update live for the rest of the season. www.espn.com/espn/feature...

Updated NFC playoff seeding forecast!

Updated AFC playoff forecast! FPI makes the Patriots No. 1 seed favorites, but I would put a large asterisks on that because: A. FPI is almost certainly overrating the Chiefs (Broncos W17 opponent) right now, even knowing QB situation. And B...

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Kalif Raymond 27-yard touchdown on 4th down, dots! (NFL Next Gen Stats)

Ooof, this was a bad one

With Raiders currently leading it's almost a three-way tie in terms of chance to earn No. 1 overall pick at this moment

Jaguars up to a 23% chance to earn the No. 1 seed

yeah i don't know maybe the jaguars shouldn't have run the ball on 1st and 10 at the plus-48 with 43 seconds left with one timeout they then didn't call

Despite losing to the Panthers today, our live numbers still narrowly favor Tampa Bay over Carolina to win the NFC South.

right on the edge for us espnanalytics.com/decision

Shedeur Sanders has averaged 1.3 air yards per attempt thus far today, per NGS.

Bryce Young eludes pressure then hits Ja'Tavion Sanders for the go-ahead touchdown, dots! (NFL Next Gen Stats)

feel like getting a whole slate at half at the same time almost never happens!

Just an FYI looks like there's a data issue on the Giants 4th-and-5 just now, so espnanalytics.com/decision doesn't have real numbers for that decision

My sacks model gives Myles Garrett a 49% chance to tie the single-season record today and a 21% chance to break it.

Week 16 betting column with @benjaminsolak.bsky.social and Matt Bowen. My sacks and tackle props went up earlier this morning! www.espn.com/espn/betting...

Was just talking with Burke about this: this is on the edge of where it's normally OK to go for 2 but Bears should do it right now because: the wind. PAT chance much lower than normal.

Updated NFC seeding forecast from ESPN Analytics after Seattle's win last night!

how much of matthew stafford's MVP chances hinge on whether the seahawks convert this

oh my god

This is such a high leverage regular season game that I can literally say, according to ESPN Analytics numbers: Sean McVay's decision to take a delay of game instead of going for reduced the Rams chance to win the Super Bowl by 0.16%.

Most YAC over expectation allowed, per NFL Next Gen Stats 1. Bengals +533 ... 2. Commanders +335 3. Titans +315 4. Bucs +314 5. Cardinals +276

How will the rest of the regular season shake out? We asked FPI for the chalkiest combination of playoff teams and exact 1-7 seeds. This is simulation No. 5,002 -- the most likely playoff field around. www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/...

Extremely fired up about this. Some very cool live, dynamically updating predictive information will be on screen. The analysts are great, we're going to learn a ton. And Brian Burke or I will be on as analytics/decision specialists. espnpressroom.com/us/press-rel...

Tua would make sense as a candidate for a more extreme version of the Brock Osweiler trade. Due $55M in cash next year per OTC and Dolphins are a team that needs cap space. Dealing a pick to get rid of Tagovailoa's contract is an option.

just in time for steelers stretch run

New Ringer NFL Show with @sethwalder.bsky.social! Three numbers that explain: * The MVP race * The Micah Parsons injury * What's at stake in Seahawks/Rams open.spotify.com/episode/2a9Y...