Latest NMME continues to show a robust signal for above average precip potential across much of the Southwest July-August. It has, however, trended drier in the Four Corners next month and broadly across the region in June. Not good as the core of fire season looms. #nmwx

In wake of yesterday’s strong cold front, our weather station measured the 2nd highest MSLP (mean sea-level pressure) since October 1st. Values at/above 1035mb aren’t necessarily rare but they are not always observed every cool season to include last year. #nmwx

Latest 7-day mean anomalies of precipitation from the ECMWF sub-seasonal range ensemble. Rare shades of green showing up in the 8-14 day period and the week after. #nmwx

Snowpack conditions in the Sandias around the Vernal Equinox for the past three years. This year was even worse than 2025’s dismal winter and in stark contrast to the last El Niño season 2023-24. #nmwx

First 70+ degree day of the year at Sandia Crest… at ~10,300’. Typically this doesn’t occur until May. #nmwx Data courtesy of holfuy.com/en/weather/954

Davis Vantage Pro2 weather station recorded a maximum temperature of 84F at 6,850’ this afternoon. Nearly 45-degree diurnal temperature range. #nmwx

Today’s updated NOAA CPC monthly and seasonal outlooks continue to trend favorably for parts of the Southwest late spring into monsoon season. Following this incredibly historic early season heat wave that may not substantially break until late next week, a much needed bit of positive news. #nmwx

👀🥵 Modeled 700mb (~10kft if not slightly higher) temps at ABQ this Saturday range from 16-17°C. Temps are routinely sampled by wx balloons. They have never been that warm at that level at ABQ during March or April since daily upper-air obs began in 1948! #nmwx

Meanwhile, an absolute brutal heat dome is modeled to build over the Interior West/SW next week. Temps are expected to average 15-25 degrees above average or 2+ standard deviations above the mean. Off the charts! Not good for NM ski resorts trying to make it through spring break. #nmwx

Welp, the interesting wx pattern hinted at by the Euro ensemble a couple of weeks ago is now relegated to southern tier of the SW Region next 24-36 hours. At least we have a closed low in the vicinity. #nmwx

Large-scale pattern trends more active beginning next week but it’s the 2nd week of March that could be especially interesting. #nmwx

Central NM got the wind, but nice to see respectable snowfall totals for the northern high country including 6”+ at TSV! #NMwx 📷: tsvweather.brownrice.com/webcams.php

71 mph gust at Sandia Crest near the top of the tram. #nmwx

#NMwx pattern change gets underway in a couple days and extends into next week! GEFS signaling what could be the most neg PNA index since 1st week of Jan if not earlier. Classic -PNA pattern strongly favors an increased storm cycle for much of the West, including NM esp along/west of the Divide.

👀 Back above 50F at Sandia Crest (10,298’ MSL) for the first time this month. Crazy late winter warmth. #nmwx Courtesy of www.sandiasoaring.org/site-guides/...

The ECMWF Ensemble Prediction Service’s weeklies continue to favor the 2nd week of February for active winter weather across the SWUS. Similar trends in the GEFS with early signs of a welcomed pattern change in a couple of weeks. #nmwx

Recent snowfall in the Sandias has brought the snow depth at this location at ~9,400’ to 8-10”. Marginally better than a year ago but still well below where it should be — probably 50-60% below average. #nmwx

We ended up with 4.5” total snowfall and 0.67” liquid equiv. Period of freezing rain/sleet early Sat likely reduced our snowfall by ~3”. Shallow arctic air undercutting a relatively milder and moist air stream is tricky business. Grateful for the precip during an otherwise dry winter. #nmwx

9” at Taos Ski Valley. 6” at Sandia Peak Ski Area. 2-3” at our location near Sandia Park where occasional sleet and a brief period of freezing rain was observed. #nmwx 🌨️

Let’s go! #nmwx 📷: webcams.sandiapeak.com

😍 Don’t see this too often around our parts. 100% probabilities for close to 24-hours!

It’s about 1000 miles between Albuquerque and Memphis along Interstate 40. Latest (12Z) HRRR showing high-impact if not crippling #snow accumulations along virtually the entire 1000 mile stretch next 36-48 hours. The transportation disruption will have far reaching impacts #MajorWinterStorm #nmwx

The latest weeklies courtesy of the European model ensemble (EPS) show an encouraging trend for early February. Also, watching late next week for a more active storm track.

First measurable snow in over a month! Just under 2” but it’s the much colder wave tonight-Friday that continues to look promising.

Although nearly saturated, there is still a little room for “wet bulb” cooling at 6,800’ as precipitation becomes steadier and heavier this evening. A few key high resolution models are showing light snowfall accumulations in the East Mountains, with 00Z HRRR particularly bullish. #nmwx

Incredible shot of Mt Rainier from the International Space Station. Puget Sound in the upper right. 📸NASA

Tragic story out of Colorado. I’ve yet to cross paths with a mountain lion during my almost daily solo hikes but I’m told by wildlife experts they’ve probably seen me. Definitely gives me pause. 😳 apnews.com/article/moun...

Looking forward to a change in the #nmwx pattern mid to late next week. Medium range models still exhibiting a lot of run-to-run variability but like the large-scale trend.

And what little snow remains continues to dwindle in the Sandias. It’s the poorest end of December snowpack since 2017-18… probably longer. #nmwx

Our total precipitation in 2025 was 19.24”, which was around 3” above the estimated 30-year average thanks to a very wet late spring and September. Only two other CY’s have been wetter since 2012. #NMwx

Sandia Mountain snowpack near the 10K trailhead is worse off than this time last year. Not surprising given the anomalously warm/dry pattern past two weeks but unsettling given little to no snow modeled through end of month. #nmwx

Dang… Max temperature of 50°F at 10,200’ is not helpful.

Got a lap in on our local mountain but it’s getting thin up top.

Latest AIFS run offers some encouragement for precip across parts of NM the week of Christmas. Until then… no bueño. #NMwx

Winds have been steadily gusting to 40-45mph at Sandia Crest early this morning creating wind chill readings in the single digits. Be prepared for brisk conditions if you are heading up to enjoy the fresh snow later today. #NMwx #Sandias

Love all seasons in the #Sandia Mountains but there’s nothing better than fresh pow this time of year. #seasonschange

Enjoying a total of 26.5 cm (10.4”) of fluffy snow in the East Mountains. Our 5th biggest 24-hour total since we started tracking at this location in 2012. Thank you cold, low-level upslope flow. #NMwx

Around 4” so far east of Sandia Park. Elev. 6850’. #nmwx

Finally… decent sized snowflakes surviving and sticking down to 6,800’ and probably even lower.

A comparison of the 12Z GFS & 12Z ECMWF total predicted snowfall ending 12/4, initialized yesterday (11/29) and 7 days ago (11/22). ABQ has not seen more than 24” of snowfall in a season since 2006-07 and in a calendar year since 1973. Things change.

A different take on fall colors.

What’s the most significant advice you received from a teacher? I had a Geology prof who always said “have strong opinions, loosely held” Be passionate, assess alternatives with conviction, take sides. But don’t fall so in love with your opinions that you can’t change them with better data.

Snow accumulation levels lowered to around 8,200’ in the Sandias with a slushy inch or so at the base of the ski area. #nmwx

First measurable #snow of the season at Sandia Crest… finally! #nmwx Webcam courtesy of Sandia Peak Tram. webcams.sandiapeak.com/images/cams/...

There should be snow on those peaks. #WheelerPeak #NM

Incredibly warm at 10,000 feet in central NM. Max temperatures in the lower 50s at Sandia Crest past two days. Minimum temperatures didn’t even drop below 40F this morning. Ready for the pattern change!

See an update on the West’s #snowpack and an explanation of how Milankovitch cycles shape the Earth’s climate from journalist Mitch Tobin coyotegulch.blog/2025/11/12/s...

And now for #Aurora pillars? Pretty wild viewing in the 87047!

Spied Quantas’ longest nonstop Airbus 380-800 service, Flight 7, Sydney to DFW, as it cruised over central NM at 39K feet this morning. It landed about 75 minutes after my pics below. My pics were a bit too late to capture the quad engines but it was pretty cool to see. #AvGeek