Interesting paper by bright young scholar. Notes IMEC implementation assumes Israel-Saudi normalization, which may not be in the cards for a while. In my view, the wide embrace of new Syrian regime is also a threat to Israel's central role in conceived regional corridors. orfme.org/expert-speak...

this is the most successful a CIA officer has been at toppling a government in years.

New article by my talented FPRI intern, Brandon Fey of Gettsyburg College! www.fpri.org/article/2025...

Very interesting, makes sense, that tempers expectations that things are going to shape up soon. This is what happens when you spend two years not planning. www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...

A lot of domestic political posturing in performative delay to sign the deal, which Minister himself ballyhooed when signed. B ase is not sure about Egypt (potential leverage?), or about exporting gas rather than holding on to it. Potential for tension w US. www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_ent...

So for all the Trump-whisperers and Trump-splainers and pro-Bibi spinners, lets take the man at his own words: time.com/7327689/trum...

You know, unimportant things like bombing iran, leak... This they can keep secret. More complete destruction than at Fordow

You know things are utterly FUBAR in the US when @bellingcat.com is doing satellite imagery analysis of the White House.

So he is a liberal Jew of color ("the farthest thing from a Nazi")?

Almost last of the national security ldrshp of 7/10 is gone (Head of Mossad is still around - the least responsible for failure vis-a-vis Hamas, and the most responsible for success in Lebanon and Iran). The only one still around, is "head of the fish"- Bibi. www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_ent...

My social media community: I am looking for a senior practitioner in private sector/corporate intelligence who can give a 60-90 minute Zoom lecture on private sector inte in my NYU graduate course on intelligence in November. Please reach out to me if you have suggestions.

Quoted a lot here. www.wsj.com/world/middle...

I won't comment. I just urge anyone interested in foreign policy and Middle East politics, to read through this whole thing and not skip anything. This is the most powerful man in the world, and the one who is trying to bring order to the Middle East. share.google/Lm4ttn2aQ6w2...

But there are still supporters of Bibi who present this as a one-sided Israeli victory... Witkoff and Kushner met directly with Hamas leaders last week to seal deal - report www.timesofisrael.com/witkoff-and-...

I'm orthodox: Hard to believe our shrimp-eating PM couldn't find a rabbi who would permit him to take part in a global peace conference on holiday. He could also have gone b4 the holiday and not violated the precepts while there. But coalition politics over all! www.timesofisrael.com/netanyahu-tu...

G-d uses surprising and flawed tools. Donald Trump has ensured his place in heaven, for now, having enabled/compelled the release of 50 (30 in January February, and 20 now) Israeli hostages (and hopefully ended the war), a mission that was beyond the capability of our own government for two years.

Oil shipments thru Iraq-Turkey pipeline & Ceyhan port- shut down by Ankara in 3/23 due to legal conflicts- resumed last week: Iraqi Kurds had lost billions in revenue. One major Kurdish customer, Israel, will prob no longer be taking, as the exports are now responsbility of the Iraqi government.

Quoted here: themedialine.org/top-stories/...

Recording of my talk for FPRI, on 5 years to the Abraham Accords and 2 years to October 7th. Middle East Briefing with Joshua Krasna - FPRI Events share.google/bXxf4bihzwFe...

Very interesting, from Israel's most dependable polls (in 9/25). 64%: Bibi should take responsibility for 7/10 and resign (45% immediately, 19% "after the war"). 72% of Jews surveyed think Palestinians don't have right to their own state, increase of 11% from '24. en.idi.org.il/articles/61845

Just in case anyone misses it, in my view, "the hard way" for Netanyahu is negotiations.

I've said this before: it's hard to think of ways that an Administration run by actual Russian agents would handle national security issues differently. www.nytimes.com/2025/09/26/u...

This photo of Bibi’s apology call to Qatar’s ruler is one for the ages. The corded phone in Trump’s lap, the script on Bibi’s, Trump’s perturbation.

Netanyahu looks terrible. Looks like he realizes it's all catching up with him and he's going down. Despite how his minions are spinning it, this would not be happening without the misguided strike in Qatar, which was assuredly not a master stroke: this is NOT what he wanted.

Ben Caspit: So Netanyahu apologized to the King of Jordan (after Mashaal), to Erdogan (after the Marmara), and to the Emir of Qatar (after the Israeli strike). The only ones he hasn't apologized to are the Israeli people.

Feel free to join on October 8th! Middle East Briefing with Joshua Krasna - FPRI Events share.google/QonuN41tQylp...

"Nearly a year later, those hotels remain unopened and the marina has no yachts docked, according to Marine Traffic data reviewed by AGBI" www.agbi.com/analysis/gig...

unfortunately, Churchill did not say this quote wildly attributed to him " the best Argument against democracy is a five minute conversation with the average voter". (I still love it, and deeply believe it). www.snopes.com/fact-check/c...

What's sad here is that if this is the plan, could have been presented and implemented in '24. All elements have been obvious since the beginning, including the fact that there is no realistic Palestinian partner apart from a reformed Palestinian Authority. www.timesofisrael.com/revealed-us-...

Important development. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

"Around the UN": 35 mile radius around the UN much of the tri-state area. The drama is extremely misleading. www.timesofisrael.com/us-dismantle...

Quoted extensively here, on how I assess the Gulf seas Israel's activity www.timesofisrael.com/as-abraham-a...

Quoted here: www.wsj.com/world/middle...

To assist US law enforcement, there is a picture of three of the leaders of antifa ...

Good, and sobering, analysis. "Trust is hard to win and easy to lose". www.agbi.com/opinion/oil-...

Bizarre. Why is he mentioning China as one of the countries waging social media information warfare against Israel? Do we need more enemies? Or is this just some sort of a way to carry favor with Americans? www.timesofisrael.com/netanyahu-ad...

This is the biggest story in America right now. Coffee up 20.9% year-over-year Steaks up 16.6% Apples up 9.6% Bananas, 6.6%. www.axios.com/2025/09/11/t...

Remembering that horrible day, and admiring all those who stepped up to serve in its aftermath, and the fact that there are still those who labor in obscurity to complete the human legacy of that day. share.google/kiRIvOz7cZqL...

I have to say, I really love the "went missing" here. The passive voice is working hard...

Good news ! Israeli-Russian graduate student Elizabeth Tsurkov freed from captivity in Iraq | The Times of Israel share.google/DZgK8N0yYYKx...

Would be very interested in hearing from people how much money can be actually made by publishing regularly on substack?

This is very good, though a little too short. I think the whole tariffs issue, as well as the president compelling other states to invest in the US economy, is one of the issues where there's going to be fundamental disagreement within these groups

A. This is the alumni association, which I hope is still not lethal. B. Is being proud of being the most lethal force in the world a thing? C. I have the feeling that there are some other armies, who could certainly argue about superior lethality...

Poll of Palestinian opinion by Zogby. Please note -The universal revulsion towards Hamas in Gaza (92% hold them responsible for the "situation") -Low support for armed struggle (only 4% in Gaza) -Low support for "one democratic state" - around 13% institute.global/insights/geo...

too bad I'm not in Abu Dhabi these days. This sounds fascinating!

en.politis.com.cy/economy/9545...

Dubai's population doubled since 2011, rose 5.5% in past 12 months. Student pop grew by >16,000 last year to over 387,000. Leads to traffic, housing, and teacher hiring pressure. Not surprising prices rising in some northern Emirates. www.agbi.com/real-estate/... www.agbi.com/analysis/rea...