"How, exactly, could AI take over by 2027?" Introducing AI 2027: a deeply researched scenario forecast I wrote with Daniel Kokoatjlo, Scott Alexander, and others. The scenario: ai-2027.com PDF version: ai-2027.com/scenario.pdf

Is AGI just around the corner or is AI scaling hitting a wall? To make this discourse more concrete, I've created a survey for forecasting concrete AI capabilities by the end of 2025. Fill it out and share your predictions by end of year! bit.ly/ai-2025