A failed demo means the tech is real enough to break. A perfect video means nothing.

Colin Powell warned Bush: “You break it, you bought it.” That’s the real rule of AI. Deploy it in your workflows, and you inherit every hallucination, bias, and failure. The vendors can walk away. You can’t.

Kennedy wasn’t cut down by the Soviets or the mob. He was cut down by a drifter with a rifle. That fragility is unbearable - so we invent cabals to feel safe. www.theindex.media/p/the-random...

Apple survived Steve Jobs. Microsoft thrived after Gates. If Tesla can’t survive Musk, maybe it deserves its decline. www.theindex.media/p/a-trillion...

Freemium is broken. Obsidian shows a better way: give the burger away, sell the fries. The base app is complete. The business is optional services. Trust compounds. Adoption explodes. Everyone wins. www.theindex.media/p/the-fries-...

AI browsers are like indie bands. Loved by enthusiasts. Ignored by the masses. And they don’t move the charts. www.theindex.media/p/the-ai-bro...

Around 2010, culture stopped being made for people. It started being made for algorithms. A short history of how the feed rewired art 🧵 www.theindex.media/p/why-pop-cu...

Every aggregator promised neutrality. Google: relevance. Amazon: convenience. Apple: curation. Facebook: reach. Once scale is won, neutrality collapses into extraction. That collapse = the end of the aggregator illusion. www.theindex.media/p/aggregatio...

Swift has cultural gravity. Kelce has America’s biggest sport. Instagram has global distribution. Put them together → orders of scale the rest of us can’t imagine. www.theindex.media/p/notes-on-s...

Critics hope a bubble burst means the end of AI. History says otherwise. Bubbles kill firms, not technologies. www.theindex.media/p/why-ai-wil...

The gravitational pull of network effects has intensified at the top. The comfortable middle, the natural landing place for products with a loyal but non-universal audience, is being squeezed out of existence. www.theindex.media/p/the-collap...

Perplexity offering $34.5 billion for Chrome is like showing up at to an auction for the Biltmore Estate with Chuck E. Cheese tokens and an IOU. www.theindex.media/p/perplexity...

Copilot is the crown jewel. GitHub is the distribution channel. Developers are the training data. www.theindex.media/p/github-s-n...

You can argue with data. You can question methods. But when the government starts firing people for publishing inconvenient truths, it’s no longer about statistics. It’s about power. www.theindex.media/p/the-future...

We tend to think of bureaucrats as bit players. But a nation with no credible statistics cannot know itself. It drifts. It improvises. It guesses. Over time, it forgets how to tell the difference between measurement and mood. www.theindex.media/p/the-future...

Winston Churchill, after being outmaneuvered at Yalta, warned that feeding the crocodile does not guarantee it will eat you last. In the current case, the EU has fed the crocodile and called it diplomacy. www.theindex.media/p/the-crocod...

This is Trump's conundrum: Once people become convinced that something is being hidden, evidence to the contrary simply confirms the concealment. The logic becomes circular: any lack of evidence is the evidence. www.theindex.media/p/jeffrey-ep...

The problem isn’t just that Jubilee fails to change minds. It’s that it convinces people they are learning, when what they are actually doing is binge-watching ideologies collide. www.theindex.media/p/jubilee-is...

The Jacobins began by purging monarchists. Then they purged Girondins. Then they purged their own. Robespierre, the architect of the Terror, died by the same guillotine he praised. Because once you've built a political project on the righteousness of purity, you're next.

There is a reason liberty requires courage. Because it forces you to inhabit a world in which you are not always in control. Where your deepest convictions can be mocked, your values criticized, your institutions doubted. Some interpret this as a bug. Some, as a feature. The feature.

The loudest critics of liberal democracy are often the safest inside it: they have strong passports, secure accounts, and protected dissent. That’s how we get TikToks praising Stalin, monarchy-core YouTubers, and fascist subreddits thirsting for uniforms and vibes.

You can’t enforce purity at scale without turning discourse into a punishment machine. You stop building coalitions and start building inquisitions. And because scale requires strangers, and strangers always disagree about something, your coalition collapses under the weight of its expectations.

You can't claim your non-vote was a 'meaningful political statement' and then insist it bears no responsibility for the outcome. Either your vote matters or it doesn't. There is no moral authority without moral responsibility.

You don’t have to love Biden. But pretending Trump and Biden are the same is like saying a smoke alarm and a house fire are “both annoying.”

Remember when saying "Democrats and Republicans are identical" made you sound smart at parties? Pepperidge Farm remembers. So does everyone watching Trump's purges.

No one rules the world cleanly. And anyone who tells you otherwise is either lying. Or campaigning.

Most institutional failures aren't conspiracies; they're emergent properties of incentive structures where no individual is acting irrationally, yet the collective outcome is insane.

If you can sell a Substack about how broken the system is, that’s the system working.

To be born in a liberal democracy is to inherit a paradox: the freedom to denounce the very system that grants you the freedom to denounce it.

Nobody has more contempt for liberal democracy than people who've never lived without it.

The West cycles through figures like Obama, Macron, Trudeau etc as if auditioning them for the role of secular messiah. We elevate them, then punish them for being what we always should have known they would be: Flawed.

Conservatism once meant preserving a hearth. Now it means preserving a hedge fund.

You will never understand American politics if you think “freedom” means the same thing to everyone. To some, it’s liberty. To others, it’s impunity.

John McCain was the last Republican who understood politics as tragedy, not grievance.

Modern democracies want a secular messiah. What they get is a manager of damage. This episode explains why leadership always curdles into compromise - and why the moral work that matters is smaller than you think.

Every ‘red line’ in geopolitics is just a line someone hasn’t crossed yet. We keep being surprised when the line moves. Maybe the surprise is the constant.

The moral figure rarely makes it to the inner circle. The ones who do can keep a secret, take a hit, and smile for the cameras.

Presidents rarely govern from principle. They govern from pressure. The moral calculus changes when the briefings start.

War is not a morality play. It is not written in the language of heroes and villains. It is a deplorable bureaucratic process, a strategic wager, and a human disaster. Iran may not be Iraq. But America, still, may be America. And that’s what should worry you most.

Prediction markets gave Democrats a 55% chance in 2022. Pollsters said 40%. The polls were wrong. The bets were right. www.theindex.media/p/what-if-th...

The American state survives on three things: • The dollar (still trusted) • The myth (still sacred) • The interface (still responsive) None of those require actual state capacity. Just the simulation of it. www.theindex.media/america-is-a...

We have arrived at a moment where the description of cruelty is more controversial than the cruelty itself. This is not a neutral imbalance. It is a structural one. And it is being exploited. www.theindex.media/theres-no-ci...

The climate crisis has become a narrative crisis. We reach for redemption arcs: breakthroughs, prodigies, miraculous fungi. But this is not a story with a hero. It’s a system with no brakes. www.theindex.media/the-climate-...

You didn’t “burn out.” You adapted. To a political system that treats belief like a consumable and optimism like a liability.

The collapse of trust in modern governance didn’t happen because people stopped caring. It happened because they did care - for decades - and saw how little it mattered. Cynicism isn’t an attitude. It’s a scar.

The more public health works, the more people think they don’t need it. That’s how anti-vaxx became a luxury belief: Safety becomes ambient, and ambience invites sabotage. www.theindex.media/the-herd-imm...

Air raid sirens over Kyiv. Bodies in Odesa. Trump delays tariffs, talks about tanks, shrugs at Putin. American deterrence, reduced to vibes and vanity.

Ross Douthat turned “Interesting Times” into a complimentary transcription service for fascism. When your “interview” reads like a campaign brochure, you’re not a journalist—you’re a publicist. www.theindex.media/the-soft-sel...

It’s not just that Trump officials don’t know how government works. It’s that they think you are the fool for expecting them to. www.theindex.media/the-unlearni...

Trump uses antisemitism the way he uses religion, patriotism, and the law: To silence his critics and empower his base. Nothing more.