Here is the preseason top 25 at EvanMiya.com!

CBB preseason projections are live at EvanMiya.com! You'll find: 🏀 Team and player projections 💪 MVP and Most Indispensable player rankings 📈 Roster strength rankings, player skill grades, and much more Here are the top 10 teams and players ⬇️

A new "Roster Outlook" tool is up at EvanMiya.com! You can input any set of players to see how that roster would typically rank in the preseason. Here are the outlooks for one team from each of the major conferences ⤵️ blog.evanmiya.com/p/five-team-...

Mid-majors are struggling more than ever to find sustainable success year-over-year. In the modern NIL era, how can these programs keep up? I conducted a study to find the best roster construction strategies for mid-majors. Here are the results ⤵️ blog.evanmiya.com/p/mid-major-...

My official bracket is done. Here's my analysis of all my picks:

New Mexico has some real potential to make a deep run in this tournament. Outside of Florida, no team is better at playing up to elite competition. New Mexico puts their best on display in big games, so they've got a shot to make some real noise as an underdog.

Houston having to potentially play Gonzaga in the 2nd round is so unfair. Houston's chances of making a Final Four are 43%. If the 8 seed in their region was Mississippi State, not Gonzaga, their probability of making a Final Four would be up at 52%.

I'm torn on St. John's for this reason: They play much better against their toughest opponents ✅ But they haven't played any team inside the top 20 at EvanMiya.com this year ❌ Florida, Texas Tech, Maryland, and even Kansas are ranked higher than any team in the Big East.

I love UC San Diego's ability to move the ball. The Tritons have four players in the 93rd percentile or better in Playmaking Score at EvanMiya.com, which accounts for assists and turnovers. The only other team with as many as 4 is Wisconsin.

Here are the tournament teams that play up to competition the most, according to the Opponent Strength Adjustment at EvanMiya.com. They play their best ball against top opposition: 1. Florida 2. New Mexico 3. Memphis 4. Drake 5. Wisconsin 6. St. John's 7. Grand Canyon

Several weeks ago I was ready to go all in on Texas Tech in the tournament. They were a top 6 team at EvanMiya.com at the time, and have incredible shooters and a dominant big man in JT Toppin. They aren't in quite as favorable a spot now, but I'm still rolling with them in my Final Four.

I really like Maryland's path to a Sweet 16, if not further. If they beat GCU, they would face either Memphis or Colorado State, both of which they would be favored to beat by 6 points according to EvanMiya.com. They are the strongest 4-seed in the tourney and could give Florida a test.

Here are the tourney teams with the biggest injury adjustment at EvanMiya.com due to players who are either questionable or unable to play in the first round: 1. Iowa State 2. Duke 3. Texas Tech 4. Kentucky 5. Arkansas

The "Kill Shot": Tracking 10-0 scoring runs for tournament teams! The graph shows how many 10-0 runs a team has per game and how many runs they concede, adjusted for competition 👇

Here is how every tournament team stacks up based on their team strength compared to their seed, using ratings at EvanMiya.com. Teams way better than typical for their seed are "underseeded" and advance 59% further than normal. There are 12 teams this year 👇

There are only five teams I'd feel comfortable picking as the winner in my bracket. Digging into the efficiency numbers here, including some tough paths for a few teams 👇

There is a 68% chance a 1-seed wins the tournament this year, using tourney odds at EvanMiya.com. Duke - 24.7% Houston - 15.4% Florida - 15.1% Auburn - 13.1%

Here is the March Madness efficiency landscape, comparing each team's predicted offensive and defensive efficiency at EvanMiya.com, adjusted for current injuries:

The EvanMiya.com bracket primer is here! In this bracket deep-dive, I cover: - Who are the true title favorites? - Which teams have the most value? - Who are the cinderellas? - What can the "Kill Shot" tell us? And much more 👇 blog.evanmiya.com/p/the-evanmi...

On a first pass, it seems like the selection committee paid a lot of attention to Wins Above Bubble for selection and seeding. Last four in: Texas - 46 Xavier - 49 SDSU - 44 UNC - 43 First Four out: West Virginia - 42(?) IU - 48 Ohio St. - 55 Boise St. - 53

Tomorrow I'll be putting up the official EvanMiya bracket primer. It will include all the big graphics and what to learn from them, including: Predicted Efficiency Landscape Title Favorites Underseeded/Overseeded Teams The Kill Shot™️ Stay tuned 👇 blog.evanmiya.com

Official bracket simulations are officially live on the Bracket Sims page at EvanMiya.com! This is the most fun way to fill out your bracket. Just press "Run New Simulation" and go to town.

This year's 8 seeds are better than 5 seeds. 5-seed team rankings at EvanMiya.com: 22. Clemson 31. Michigan 37. Oregon 40. Memphis 8-seed team rankings: 9. Gonzaga 18. Louisville 21. UConn 35. Mississippi State

Official March Madness Tournament Probabilities, according to EvanMiya.com! These simulations account for current injuries. Region-specific probabilities in 🧵

For those filling out brackets, the Matchup Preview tool at EvanMiya.com is a game changer. It lets you analyze any potential matchup in the tournament, showing predicted score, injury adjustments, stats, and more. Here's a possible Florida vs UConn 2nd round matchup

UC San Diego would be one of the best 12 seeds we've ever seen if they get put on that line. They are ranked 42nd at EvanMiya.com, better than 6-7 other teams that will be in as at-larges.

Between Cooper Flagg’s injury and Auburn dropping 3 of 4, the national title suddenly feels a LOT more wide open than it did a week ago.

Final: Duke 74, North Carolina 71 A remarkable comeback from North Carolina falls JUST short against Duke. I think they deserve to be in the field, but we will see how the committee judges their resume. They were 37th in Resume Quality entering today.

Here are the hottest teams in the country based on improvement in the last 30 days at EvanMiya.com! Ranking teams who could be in the tournament: 1. Colorado State 2. BYU 3. Omaha 4. Robert Morris 5. Clemson 6. High Point 7. Duke 8. Troy 9. UNC 10. UC San Diego

I'm using the Matchup Preview tool at EvanMiya.com to look at some spicy potential 2nd round tournament games. 2-seed Tennessee vs 7-seed BYU would be very fun. The Vols stifling defense against the hottest offensive team in the country right now in BYU. Vols only predicted to win by 3 👀

Final: Arizona 88, Kansas 77 The development of Henri Veesaar has unlocked a new dimension for Arizona. He scored 19 points off the bench tonight. Per BPR, he's become the most valuable per-possession player for the Wildcats. His big-man skill profile is awesome:

Baylor loses by 2 to Texas Tech, but going from giving up 52 points in the first half to 24 in the 2nd half is astounding. This game really showed the floor and ceiling for Baylor.

If Cooper Flagg is out for Duke, the injury adjustment at EvanMiya.com is worth 3.7 points. That may not seem big, but often injuries to really important players aren't worth as many points as you think. Full injury reports in the Matchup Preview tool on the site 🧵

This graph compares each team's expected wins based on current team strength at EvanMiya.com to their actual wins. Gonzaga and VCU are stronger than their record, while Drake, Memphis, and Oregon headline teams who have a much better record than expected 👇

JT Toppin will be one of the biggest stars in March Madness and a huge reason why Texas Tech is ranked 6th right now at EvanMiya.com. His player skill grades are insane. He's an A- or better in Scoring, 2PT Shooting, Off + Def Rebounds, Blocks, and Court Impact 👇

Some notable resumes as of Wednesday morning according to Resume Quality at EvanMiya.com. Deserves to be IN with an RQ > 0: North Carolina (+0.5) Wake Forest (+0.4) Xavier (+0.3 RQ) Deserve to be OUT: Ohio State (-1.1) Right on the line: Indiana (+0.0)

The best tool I can recommend for filling out your bracket is the Matchup Preview Tool at EvanMiya.com, which lets you analyze any hypothetical matchup between two teams. Here's a potential 1-seed Auburn vs 2-seed St. John's matchup 👇

Bracket sim of the day at EvanMiya.com! National champ: Auburn Final Four: Auburn, Duke, Houston, Louisville Other notables: BYU and Michigan in the Elite 8, Troy beats Iowa State, High Point > Purdue

Which CBB teams have the best rotation depth? This graph shows the difference between each team's most impactful player and 8th most impactful player, according to BPR at EvanMiya.com (for top 40 teams). Duke's entire rotation is absurd ⬇️

Bracket sim of the day at EvanMiya.com! National champ: Florida Final Four: Florida, Illinois, Creighton, Saint Mary's

Top Freshmen in the Country at EvanMiya.com (minimum 900 possessions played). Duke has the top 3 most impactful freshmen in the country.

Here are the teams who have lost the most production due to injuries this year, using metrics at EvanMiya.com. Mighty impressive that Louisville and West Virginia will make the tournament given what they have lost.

First three teams in the Big Dance are: SIUE (OVC) Omaha (Summit League) High Point (Big South) They are the 333rd, 334th and 335th schools to ever play in the NCAA Tournament. All going for the first time. Is this sport the best or what?

Final: Houston 65, Baylor 61 Houston has had several of these trademark second half runs on the road to take control of games. They were down 7 early in the 2nd but outscored Baylor 33-21 after that. This team is absolutely a national title contender. Ranked 2nd right now at EvanMiya.com.

Final: Duke 82, North Carolina 69 Duke completely took over late, closing on a 29-10 run. A healthy Maliq Brown for Duke is huge: Brown was +20 in just 16 minutes tonight.

Hunter Dickinson was phenomenal today in Kansas's win over Arizona, tallying 33 points, 10 boards, with just 1 turnover. He's the only Big 12 player to hit those marks in a game in at least 15 years.

Final: Indiana 66, Ohio State 60 This win should move IU comfortably in the tournament. Both teams entered today in the last four in according to Bracket Matrix. Absolutely astounding turnaround from Mike Woodson in the last month, winning 5 of the last 7. We need IU in!

Final (OT): No. 7 Alabama 93, No. 1 Auburn 91 What a brilliant game. Both teams had so many standout players, but it was Mark Sears who had the final say with the buzzer beater. Bama has so many reliable players. Sears, Philon, Nelson, and Omoruyi all were incredible.

Final (OT): No. 6 St. John's 86, No. 20 Marquette 84 An incredible sequence at the end, with Marquette seemingly securing a rebound only for Ejiofor to put in a buzzer-beating layup to win it. Is there a tougher team in the country than the Johnnies?

Kentucky beats Missouri on the road and is now 8-4 against opponents in the top 25 at EvanMiya.com. They are incredible against these high-caliber opponents. Kentucky is also 2-6 against opponents between 26th and 50th, so there's that.