Geofutures
@geofutures.bsky.social
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📥 350
📝 922
Foresight in geopolitics and social issues, with an eye on science fiction
Futurist at the movies microreview: "Superintelligence," which came out 5 years ago today.
2 days ago
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"AI-enabled power concentration would mean the political disempowerment of almost all humans. For the vast majority of people, this would mean having no meaningful say in decisions that shape their lives and futures."
80000hours.org/problem-prof...
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Extreme power concentration
Advanced AI technology may enable its creators, or others who control it, to attempt and achieve unprecedented societal power grabs. Under certain circumstances, they could use these systems to take c...
https://80000hours.org/problem-profiles/extreme-power-concentration/
7 days ago
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"A majority of Americans (53%) now think artificial intelligence is likely to “destroy humanity” someday"
www.yahoo.com/news/article...
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Poll: Most Americans think AI will 'destroy humanity' someday
A new Yahoo/YouGov survey finds that real people are much more pessimistic about artificial intelligence — and its potential impact on their lives — than Silicon Valley and Wall Street.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/article/poll-most-americans-think-ai-will-destroy-humanity-someday-212132958.html
7 days ago
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"Emigration rises as countries approach around $5,000 in income per person, peaks at around $10,000 and declines thereafter." "Meanwhile 94% of sub-Saharan Africans—1.1bn people—live in countries with a GDP per person of less than $10,000."
www.economist.com/briefing/202...
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Emigration from Africa will change the world
As other countries age, they will need African youth
https://www.economist.com/briefing/2025/04/24/emigration-from-africa-will-change-the-world?giftId=MGMxYmU4NjAtNzg2OS00OWIzLTgyMWUtMmMzNjM5NjIyODlh&utm_campaign=gifted_article
7 days ago
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Futurist at the movies microreview: "Mockingjay II," which came out today in 2015. This Hunger Games sequel was another in the standout crop of 2015 futurist films.
8 days ago
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Futurist at the movies microreview: "Ghost in the Shell," which came out 30 years ago today, and is the best of 1995's futurist films, and one of the best of the decade.
10 days ago
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"China is helping governments not only combat crime, but also control their citizens and stay in power—and that is proving stunningly popular."
www.economist.com/internationa...
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China’s creepiest export surge
Countries are queuing to buy the tools and techniques of the CCP’s security state
https://www.economist.com/international/2025/11/13/chinas-creepiest-export-surge?giftId=MjQwNmU0YzYtNDM4MC00M2U1LWEyMjAtZGFhNjZmY2I4NjZl&utm_campaign=gifted_article
10 days ago
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Futurist at the movies microreview: "The 6th Day," which came out 25 years ago today. Even regular human cloning has (probably) not happened yet, much less this adult insta-cloning. But we do now have self-driving cars.
11 days ago
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"To understand the task before them, Democrats must trace how the terms “liberalism” and “conservatism” have diminished profoundly in their capacity to reflect the preferences, aspirations, and fears shaping the post-Great Recession electorate."
www.liberalpatriot.com/p/liberalism...
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Liberalism Failed to Stop the Trump Realignment. Is There A Way Back?
It is a common assumption of the Trump era that America is undergoing a turbulent and protracted political realignment that could reverberate for decades.
https://www.liberalpatriot.com/p/liberalism-failed-to-stop-the-trump
11 days ago
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Futurist at the movies microreview: "The Running Man" (1987). Let's hope the new version is better than this shoddy Schwarzenegger vehicle.
14 days ago
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The 1982 Stephen King novel The Running Man was set in 2025.
14 days ago
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I guess my plan -- to fire grappling hooks onto the roof of the US Mint in Philadelphia (seen here) and steal 50 pounds of pennies -- has been foiled.
15 days ago
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A neighbor has political thoughts involving the game The Oregon Trail
16 days ago
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A soldier who died November 11, 1918, the last day of WW I, commemorated in a local DC church.
17 days ago
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Futurist at the movies microreview: "Skyline," which came out 15 years ago today --
17 days ago
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Futurist at the movies microreview: "Red Planet," which came out 25 years ago today -- and we still aren't a great deal closer to humans landing on Mars.
18 days ago
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"The correlation between inequality and state failure often rests on whether its institutions are inclusive, involving democratic decision-making ..., or extractive: 'designed to extract incomes and wealth from one subset of society to benefit a different subset.'”
www.noemamag.com/humanitys-en...
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Humanity’s Endgame | NOEMA
A new history of societal collapse by an expert in existential risk argues that our globalized society is edging toward the precipice.
https://www.noemamag.com/humanitys-endgame/
21 days ago
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reposted by
Geofutures
Nils Gilman
22 days ago
Destroying the scientific research capacity of universities just because you hate the Middle East Studies department is definitely going to help the U.S. beat China in the race for technological dominance.
www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/1...
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Why Trump’s cuts to scientific research are a big win for China
China is attracting American scientific talent, especially in STEM fields, partly due to funding cuts and immigration restrictions under President Donald Trump.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/11/05/china-brain-gain-united-states-scientists/
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"In Silicon Valley, such reasoning has generated a peculiarly dystopian variant of hustle culture: Make your fortune in the next five years, and you’ll claim a place in the perpetual aristocracy of AI owners — fail, and you’ll forever be at their mercy."
archive.is/oAYM7
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https://archive.is/oAYM7
22 days ago
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Futurist at the movies microreview: "Annihilation," one of the better futurist movies of 2018
23 days ago
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The meaningful aspect of this polling is that independents are much more aligned with Democrats in their views of Trump's treatment of rights and the law --
wapo.st/49ypWx6
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Poll finds most Americans doubt Trump’s commitment to free speech, fair justice
The American people also don’t seem to know quite what to make of the criminal cases against two of Trump’s perceived opponents.
https://wapo.st/49ypWx6
23 days ago
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The sandwich-thrower (now on trial) has provided Washington DC with a new protest symbol.
23 days ago
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Four scenarios for American democracy. We are currently in the first scenario, but with many precursors of the second occurring.
24 days ago
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Nigeria: "A U.S. military intervention will be disastrous. It would sow distrust, exacerbate divisions, fuel conspiracy theories, and would not end the insurgency in the northeast"
foreignpolicy.com/2025/11/03/t...
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Why Is Trump Suddenly Talking About Invading Nigeria?
A U.S. military intervention would be a disaster in an already divided country.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/11/03/trump-nigeria-war-invasion-christians/
24 days ago
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Futurist at the movies: "Don't Worry Darling," an interesting 2022 film, is arriving on Netflix today. Here's my microreview.
27 days ago
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reposted by
Geofutures
Scientific American
29 days ago
“The only countries that will really learn more if [U.S. nuclear] testing resumes are Russia and, to a much greater extent, China,” says Jeffrey Lewis, an expert on the geopolitics of nuclear weaponry
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Resuming U.S. Nuclear Tests Would Only Help China, One Expert Says
“The only countries that will really learn more if [U.S. nuclear] testing resumes are Russia and, to a much greater extent, China,” says Jeffrey Lewis, an expert on the geopolitics of nuclear weaponry
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/trumps-baffling-call-for-resuming-u-s-nuclear-tests/
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The futurist movies from this horror movie list that viewers are most fond of: - "28 Days Later" - "Alien" - "A Quiet Place" - "The Thing" - "The Birds" - "The Fly" - "The Purge"
today.yougov.com/entertainmen...
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The horror divide: Americans' love-hate relationship with scary movies | YouGov
Among people who watch horror movies, slightly more say they prefer classic horror movies (28%) to newly released ones (18%).
https://today.yougov.com/entertainment/articles/53195-the-horror-divide-americans-love-hate-relationship-with-scary-movies
29 days ago
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"If Trump is not careful, unilateral U.S. military action in Venezuela could see the country collapse into chaos, potentially fueling a Libya-style meltdown just a three-hour flight from Miami."
archive.is/aUvJF
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https://archive.is/aUvJF
29 days ago
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Futurist at the movies microreview: "Beyond the Time Barrier," which came out 65 years ago. A pilot travels from 1960 to 2024, finding that humanity is on the brink of extinction due to a sterility-inducing plague.
about 1 month ago
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A company is planning a constellation of sunlight-beaming satellites that could be environmentally disastrous --
www.space.com/space-explor...
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Company's plan to launch 4,000 space mirrors alarms scientists
Reflect Orbital says their light-on-demand idea has generated significant interest from commercial and government customers.
https://www.space.com/space-exploration/satellites/this-companys-plan-to-launch-4-000-massive-space-mirrors-has-scientists-alarmed-from-an-astronomical-perspective-thats-pretty-catastrophic
about 1 month ago
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The global reputation of the United States plummeted from 2024 to 2025 --
www.visualcapitalist.com/ranked-count...
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Ranked: Countries With the Best Reputations in 2025
Discover which countries have the best reputations in 2025. Switzerland and Canada lead, while the U.S. sees a sharp decline.
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/ranked-countries-with-the-best-reputations-in-2025/
about 1 month ago
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An A.I. told me how to suppress that phantom notification on Teams, so that trillions of dollars of A.I. spending was totally worth it.
about 1 month ago
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Futurist at the movies microreview: "Megamind," which came out 15 years ago today. Of the relevant supervillain technologies, only drones and brain-linked tech have advanced much in the interim.
about 1 month ago
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Bill Gates -- “Although climate change will have serious consequences — particularly for people in the poorest countries — it will not lead to humanity’s demise. People will be able to live and thrive in most places on Earth for the foreseeable future.”
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/28/c...
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Bill Gates Says Climate Change ‘Will Not Lead to Humanity’s Demise’
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/28/climate/bill-gates-climate-change-humanity.html
about 1 month ago
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reposted by
Geofutures
Nils Gilman
about 1 month ago
To repeat: the purpose of Trump opposing vote-by-mail is NOT to change the law about voting; it is to create a political pretext for rejecting the results of elections whose outcomes he doesn't like.
www.latimes.com/california/s...
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Trump, contradicting the California GOP, opposes early and mail-in voting in Prop. 50 election
President Trump, repeating the false claim that he lost the 2020 election because it was rigged, argued that the same would occur in the November special election as he urged GOP voters to not vote ea...
https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2025-10-27/trump-contradicts-california-gop-opposes-early-and-mail-in-voting-prop-50
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"Perhaps the most terrifying aspect of Mr. Farage in power is peculiar to Britain. Unlike Mr. Trump, he would have no formal constitution — no rigorous system of checks and balances — to stand in his way. He does not even have a political party to constrain him."
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/27/o...
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Opinion | Could This Unserious, Mischievous, Frightening Man Be Britain’s Next Prime Minister?
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/27/opinion/nigel-farage-britain-reform.html
about 1 month ago
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Futurist at the movies microreview: "A House of Dynamite." This is the second-best futurist film of 2025 so far, despite the present-day focus and some problems I spell out in this thread.
about 1 month ago
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Futurist at the movies microreview: "Coherence" (2013).
about 1 month ago
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The world-ending disaster in "Paradise" isn't really possible --
www.yahoo.com/entertainmen...
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How realistic is the mega disaster in the latest episode of Hulu's 'Paradise'?
Scientists provide real-life examples of global tsunamis and supervolcanic eruptions that could devastate Earth, inspired by Hulu's show "Paradise."
https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/realistic-mega-disaster-latest-episode-231512180.html
about 1 month ago
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Venezuela -- "In the absence of a land invasion of the sort that few in the White House seem ready to back, the current operation could end by strengthening Maduro’s grip on office, just as the pressure campaign six years ago did."
www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...
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Beware the Slide Toward Regime Change in Venezuela | International Crisis Group
The Trump administration is dispatching military assets to the Caribbean and sinking boats it claims ferry drugs. While it appears the deployment is part of a plan to depose Venezuelan President Nicol...
https://www.crisisgroup.org/latin-america-caribbean/venezuela/beware-slide-toward-regime-change-venezuela
about 1 month ago
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A cheap plan to fight catastrophic pandemics (including engineered ones) --
80000hours.org/podcast/epis...
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The Low-tech Plan to Patch Humanity's Greatest Weakness | Andrew Snyder-Beattie
Conventional wisdom is that safeguarding humanity from the worst biological risks — microbes optimised to kill as many as possible — is difficult bordering on impossible, making bioweapons humanity’s ...
https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/andrew-snyder-beattie-four-pillars-biosecurity-pandemic/
about 1 month ago
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Futurist at the movies microreview: “The Quiet Earth,” a New Zealand film that came out 40 years ago, in which an exotic energy project appears to eliminate everyone who was not dying at the moment of activation.
about 1 month ago
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The new White House Christmas snow globe just dropped.
about 1 month ago
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Futurist at the movies microreview: "The Angry Red Planet" (1959). A woman scientist is harassed by a hairy creature on the first voyage to Mars -- but that's just her commander. Then they get to Mars and encounter aliens etc.
about 1 month ago
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The long history of dystopian futures set in NYC.
#future
#scifi
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/20/a...
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Why Is New York’s Fictional Future So Often Dystopian?
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/20/arts/new-york-movies-books-future-dystopia.html?unlocked_article_code=1.vE8.OTrk.QixxygHqxGh8&smid=url-share
about 1 month ago
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Burning up satellites on an ever-larger scale threatens unknown consequences for the atmosphere --
www.economist.com/science-and-...
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Satellites are polluting the stratosphere
And forthcoming mega-constellations will exacerbate the problem
https://www.economist.com/science-and-technology/2025/03/05/satellites-are-polluting-the-stratosphere?giftId=67c08ece-5a56-4188-aa07-b1d476a282fe&utm_campaign=gifted_article
about 1 month ago
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Global public opinion on AI -- "More are concerned than excited about its use, and more trust their own country and the EU to regulate it than trust the U.S. or China"
www.pewresearch.org/global/2025/...
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How People Around the World View AI
Most adults across 25 countries are aware of AI, and people are generally more concerned than excited about its effects on daily life.
https://www.pewresearch.org/global/2025/10/15/how-people-around-the-world-view-ai/
about 1 month ago
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I would like to see this unavailable 1968 pandemic comedy in which Mary Tyler Moore stars as "a hippie, but lovely."
www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1et...
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WHAT'S SO BAD ABOUT FEELING GOOD? (1968) ♦RARE♦ Theatrical Trailer
YouTube video by Rob's Dream Theater
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1et-3pwPHc
about 1 month ago
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Gen Z activism: "Demonstrators in Nepal used Discord to sift through candidates to replace the ousted prime minister. An online vote on the platform ultimately picked ... the interim prime minister."
foreignpolicy.com/2025/10/17/g...
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Gen Z Is Taking to the Barricades
Here’s why you should be paying attention.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/10/17/gen-z-protests-global-revolution-youth/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=Z2VuLXotcHJvdGVzdHMtZ2xvYmFsLXJldm9sdXRpb24teW91dGg=&pid=CW2719942
about 1 month ago
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Perhaps all our salad greens are rotting so fast because there aren’t enough immigrant farm workers to pick them in time?
about 1 month ago
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