Adrian Monck
@amonck.bsky.social
📤 2163
📥 338
📝 3412
Weekly geopolitical intelligence • Former WEF MD
https://7thin.gs/
Another chance to laugh at this absolute rib-smasher from the New Yorker.
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2 days ago
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What will remain of us is data.
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2 days ago
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In case you are looking for a pre-press conference read…
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2 days ago
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Strategic autonomy vs unreliable hegemony
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2 days ago
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The Trump Opportunity: A Grand Strategy for Europe
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
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The Trump Opportunity: A Grand Strategy for Europe
Trump wants to leave NATO and Iran. The allies should let him make their case.
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/trump-nato-iran-opportunity?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
2 days ago
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reposted by
Adrian Monck
Reuters
3 days ago
Exclusive: Renewables grew to almost 50% of global electricity capacity in 2025 after solar boost
reut.rs/4dmFDJJ
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Exclusive: Renewables grew to almost 50% of global electricity capacity in 2025 after solar boost
Renewable power made up almost 50% of the world’s electricity capacity last year after a record increase in solar installations, data from the International Renewable Energy Agency shared exclusively with Reuters showed on Tuesday.
https://reut.rs/4dmFDJJ
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North Sea oil gets sold on world markets at world prices. It doesn’t create a ringfenced UK supply. Renewables actually do – and the Strait of Hormuz can’t touch them. The energy security case for renewables is stronger, but it takes 30 secs to explain…
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3 days ago
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Memories of interviewing single mums on a northern council estate
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
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What The Manosphere Doesn’t Say
Violence has nowhere to go. And that’s a problem.
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/ratchet-manosphere-male-violence?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
5 days ago
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reposted by
Adrian Monck
Dmitry Grozoubinski
10 days ago
Wondering what leverage in negotiations looks like? Australia's new FTA with the EU provides 16,830 tonnes of tariff free access for beef. Australia's FTA with the UK, completed with a desperate Johnson administration, provided 35,000 tonnes tariff free, rising to unlimited over 15 years.
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At last the future we were promised.
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14 days ago
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The coup de théâtre that set fire to the stage
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
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The Dire Strait: Why the US Went from Nuclear Negotiations to War on Iran in Five Days
How secret intelligence sold Trump on a spectacular strike that set the global economy on fire.
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/five-days-geneva-to-ground-zero-iran-war?r=zw96&utm_medium=ios
15 days ago
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Why India’s not cooking on gas
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
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India’s Kitchen Crisis: How the Hormuz Closure Has Turned Into an Energy Nightmare
From cooking gas shortages to stranded solar power, the war on Iran has exposed every vulnerability in India’s multi-alignment bet
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/india-hormuz-energy-crisis-lpg-cooking-gas?r=zw96&utm_medium=ios
17 days ago
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This
@theguardian.com
piece from
@jonathanliew.bsky.social
is getting a lot of flak. I have an AI project on fairness and I ran it through. Results below.
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
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A corner of north London where food has become a battleground in the Israel-Gaza war | Jonathan Liew
A smashed window here, a provocative sticker there. In an age when protest feels increasingly meaningless, it’s no wonder that acts of petty symbolism are on the rise, says Guardian columnist Jonathan...
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/mar/14/food-israel-gaza-war-london-protest
19 days ago
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The Button. Thinking about the unthinkable
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
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The Button: America’s Nuclear Weapons and Iran
Three new warheads, each designed to make use more thinkable. A target that no conventional weapon can reach. A president at 37% with sole authority to launch – and no system to stop him.
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/the-button?r=zw96&utm_medium=ios
21 days ago
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The Trillion-Dollar War Machine: What Is American Armed Power For? Epic Fury turns America’s military welfare state, industrial policy, and global enforcement mission against itself
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
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The Trillion-Dollar War Machine: What Is American Military Power For?
Epic Fury turns America’s military welfare state, industrial policy, and global enforcement mission against itself
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/what-american-military-power-is-for?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
22 days ago
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David Ignatius: “I’m not sure it’s in our interest to fight until the regime is toppled,” said the Israeli official. “Nobody wants a never-ending story.”
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
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Opinion | Israeli officials are growing concerned
A bombing campaign nearing its military goals in Iran leaves the hardest questions unanswered.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2026/03/09/israel-us-iran-war-trump-netanyahu-endgame/?media_id=3849234152994670229_63140885019&media_author_id=63140885019&utm_source=ig_text_post_permalink
25 days ago
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America Is Burning Through Its Best Weapons Faster Than It Can Build Them
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
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America Is Burning Through Its Best Weapons Faster Than It Can Build Them
The war on Iran, interceptor economics, and the unravelling of US alliance credibility
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/us-thaad-interceptor-shortage-iran-war-alliance?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
25 days ago
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The Machine That Watched Epstein For a Decade Did Nothing. Now That It Could Provide Answers – It’s Being Taken Apart.
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
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The Machine That Watched Epstein For a Decade Did Nothing. Now It Could Provide Answers – It’s Being Taken Apart.
A secret DEA investigation, billions in suspicious transactions, eight agencies — and the dismantling of the unit that could have provided the answers
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/the-epstein-machine?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
26 days ago
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The Country That’s Winning Everything Except Its Future
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
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The Country That’s Winning Everything Except Its Future
Israel’s military power has never been greater. Its strategic options have never been narrower.
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/israel-winning-everything-except-its-future?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
27 days ago
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The Strait Truth. How the Hormuz crisis exposed Europe’s energy dependency – again.
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
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The Strait Truth
How the Hormuz crisis exposed Europe’s energy dependency – again
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/hormuz-energy-crisis-europe-lng-dependency?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
29 days ago
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Fragmentation … as hinted at this morning
about 1 month ago
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Why No One Wants Democracy in Iran
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
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Why No One Wants Democracy in Iran
A nation of 90 million choosing its own government is the one outcome that serves nobody’s interests – except Iran’s.
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/the-democracy-nobody-wants-iran?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
about 1 month ago
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The AI in Citrini’s Doomsday Scenario Stands For American Institutions
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
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The AI in Citrini’s Doomsday Scenario Stands For American Institutions
And what that means for their analysis
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/citrini-ai-crisis-wont-happen?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
about 1 month ago
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How to avoid paying Trumpgeld
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
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What To Buy With Four Trillion Euros
Europe knows it needs to spend on defence. It hasn’t decided what to spend it on.
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/europe-defence-spending-who-gets-the-money?r=zw96&utm_medium=ios
about 1 month ago
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Ted has not been won over by the Olympics.
about 1 month ago
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It is not just Trump. The ugliness is a feature, not a bug…
www.berlingske.dk/internationa...
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Trump’s Man in Munich Completely Lashed Out at Mette Frederiksen: »Little Lady«
Trump’s close ally Lindsey Graham completely lost his temper in Munich. During a meeting with Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, he yawned loudly and called her »little lady«, Berlingske has lea...
https://www.berlingske.dk/internationalt/trumps-man-in-munich-completely-lashed-out-at-mette-frederiksen-little-lady
about 1 month ago
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Not happening. The relationship is so hard-baked into the psyche, dependencies and ecosystems…
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about 2 months ago
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Agenda? European strategic autonomy. Reality? Bowing to US demands for AfD representation.
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about 2 months ago
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One thing to remember about these dinners. Everyone attending will probably have got bios, asked who they were sitting next to or sitting opposite, etc.
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about 2 months ago
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reposted by
Adrian Monck
Sony Kapoor
about 2 months ago
The most interesting story in global markets right now isn’t “Sell America.” It’s that reallocating capital toward faster-growing, less-correlated economies could raise returns and reduce risk at the same time. My Essay for
#Bloomberg
on why this is good news!
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
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Global Capital’s Break With the US Is Long Overdue
Trump’s policies have accelerated an overdue shift, as US market advantages fade and investors reassess their heavy exposure to American assets.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-06/trump-s-policies-cause-investors-to-leave-us-rebalance-world-economy
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Someone who rose without trace…
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about 2 months ago
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Who could have guessed that the answer to the question of how to deal with a sleazy, greedy regime would not be to find a sleazy, greedy representative.
about 2 months ago
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reposted by
Adrian Monck
BeijingPalmer
about 2 months ago
college application help is my go-to example for how American guanxi works - in its most powerful form, it can't be a simple market transaction, but still grows out of business and power relationships
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The Dirty Secrets. What we actually know about the Epstein network.
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
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The Dirty Secrets
What we actually know about the Epstein network
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/the-dirty-secrets?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
about 2 months ago
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Bad news from BIS. High-debt countries might find themselves unable to fight inflation or stimulate growth effectively.
www.bis.org/publ/work132...
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The perils of narrowing fiscal spaces
When public debt is elevated, the fiscal cost of fighting inflation rises sharply, as interest rate hikes increase government interest expenditures. We formalize this mechanism in a nonlinear New Keyn...
https://www.bis.org/publ/work1328.htm
about 2 months ago
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Like Jesus Ochoa and Raymundo Gutierrez leaving south Texas.
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about 2 months ago
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“Brexit, just the beginning”
about 2 months ago
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Who might stop an attack on Iran? The regionally resentful.
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
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The Regionally Resentful
Everyone‘s watching for war with Iran. But something deeper is shifting in the Middle East.
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/regionally-resentful-iran-israel-war
about 2 months ago
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Who goes Nazi? (Aug 1941) by Dorothy Thompson “Mr. C is a brilliant and embittered intellectual. He was a poor white-trash Southern boy, a scholarship student at two universities where he took all the scholastic honors but was never invited to join a fraternity.
harpers.org/archive/1941...
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Who Goes Nazi?, by Dorothy Thompson
https://harpers.org/archive/1941/08/who-goes-nazi/
2 months ago
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The End of China’s Central Military Commission
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The End of China’s Central Military Commission
What the Zhang Youxia purge tells us about Xi Jinping’s China
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/china-military-purge?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
2 months ago
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North American Death Squads
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2 months ago
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Having seen Mark Carney operate around the edges of WEF for 15 years I can only be grateful that decency and intelligence and realism still have a place in democratic public life. This is a speech that any Western leader could have given. You might be asking why yours didn’t…
2 months ago
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Holed up in Davos with the last mulitlateralists – scientists!
www.linkedin.com/posts/monck_...
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The Last Multilateralists: Why Science May Be the Only Refuge for International Cooperation | Adrian Monck
An early edition from Davos, where I am holed up with the last multilaterists – Scientists! Best, Adrian
https://www.linkedin.com/posts/monck_an-early-edition-from-davos-where-i-am-holed-activity-7419321590024228864-UtJH?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_ios&rcm=ACoAAACBdiIB6O6xCSK2hNkExq1agD7pqgFrI3w
2 months ago
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Risks in the age of WhatsApp diplomacy. Trump attempts to humiliate Macron. Macron’s message reveals how easy it is to divide Europe – as if that needed saying – and that Russia is on the way back in.
2 months ago
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2 months ago
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Claire Atkinson let me share some pre-Davos thoughts
open.substack.com/pub/themedia...
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Guest Column: AI oligarchs meet Wall St and Washington in the Swiss Alps.
Adrian Monck, a World Economic Forum board member and former head of communications, shares what he's watching in Davos this week.
https://open.substack.com/pub/themediamix/p/guest-column-ai-oligarchs-meet-wall?r=zw96&utm_medium=ios&shareImageVariant=overlay
2 months ago
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Bored of peace 🕊️
www.theatlantic.com/national-sec...
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Trump’s Billion-Dollar Board of Peace
The new entity has a global remit and a steep price for a permanent seat.
https://www.theatlantic.com/national-security/2026/01/trump-billion-dollar-board-of-peace/685671/
2 months ago
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The flaw of democracy was always that failure to deliver would not produce regeneration but revenge.
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3 months ago
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Russia’s peace negotiator writes:
3 months ago
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Journal’s only running 2.0.0
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3 months ago
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