Adrian Monck
@amonck.bsky.social
📤 2132
📥 338
📝 3370
Weekly geopolitical intelligence • Former WEF MD
https://7thin.gs/
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The Dirty Secrets. What we actually know about the Epstein network.
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
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The Dirty Secrets
What we actually know about the Epstein network
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/the-dirty-secrets?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
10 days ago
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Not happening. The relationship is so hard-baked into the psyche, dependencies and ecosystems…
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2 days ago
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Agenda? European strategic autonomy. Reality? Bowing to US demands for AfD representation.
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4 days ago
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One thing to remember about these dinners. Everyone attending will probably have got bios, asked who they were sitting next to or sitting opposite, etc.
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6 days ago
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reposted by
Adrian Monck
Sony Kapoor
9 days ago
The most interesting story in global markets right now isn’t “Sell America.” It’s that reallocating capital toward faster-growing, less-correlated economies could raise returns and reduce risk at the same time. My Essay for
#Bloomberg
on why this is good news!
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
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Global Capital’s Break With the US Is Long Overdue
Trump’s policies have accelerated an overdue shift, as US market advantages fade and investors reassess their heavy exposure to American assets.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-06/trump-s-policies-cause-investors-to-leave-us-rebalance-world-economy
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Someone who rose without trace…
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8 days ago
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Who could have guessed that the answer to the question of how to deal with a sleazy, greedy regime would not be to find a sleazy, greedy representative.
9 days ago
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reposted by
Adrian Monck
BeijingPalmer
10 days ago
college application help is my go-to example for how American guanxi works - in its most powerful form, it can't be a simple market transaction, but still grows out of business and power relationships
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The Dirty Secrets. What we actually know about the Epstein network.
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
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The Dirty Secrets
What we actually know about the Epstein network
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/the-dirty-secrets?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
10 days ago
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Bad news from BIS. High-debt countries might find themselves unable to fight inflation or stimulate growth effectively.
www.bis.org/publ/work132...
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The perils of narrowing fiscal spaces
When public debt is elevated, the fiscal cost of fighting inflation rises sharply, as interest rate hikes increase government interest expenditures. We formalize this mechanism in a nonlinear New Keyn...
https://www.bis.org/publ/work1328.htm
11 days ago
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Like Jesus Ochoa and Raymundo Gutierrez leaving south Texas.
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11 days ago
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“Brexit, just the beginning”
12 days ago
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Who might stop an attack on Iran? The regionally resentful.
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
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The Regionally Resentful
Everyone‘s watching for war with Iran. But something deeper is shifting in the Middle East.
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/regionally-resentful-iran-israel-war
12 days ago
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Who goes Nazi? (Aug 1941) by Dorothy Thompson “Mr. C is a brilliant and embittered intellectual. He was a poor white-trash Southern boy, a scholarship student at two universities where he took all the scholastic honors but was never invited to join a fraternity.
harpers.org/archive/1941...
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Who Goes Nazi?, by Dorothy Thompson
https://harpers.org/archive/1941/08/who-goes-nazi/
13 days ago
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The End of China’s Central Military Commission
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
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The End of China’s Central Military Commission
What the Zhang Youxia purge tells us about Xi Jinping’s China
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/china-military-purge?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
19 days ago
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North American Death Squads
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21 days ago
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Having seen Mark Carney operate around the edges of WEF for 15 years I can only be grateful that decency and intelligence and realism still have a place in democratic public life. This is a speech that any Western leader could have given. You might be asking why yours didn’t…
25 days ago
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Holed up in Davos with the last mulitlateralists – scientists!
www.linkedin.com/posts/monck_...
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The Last Multilateralists: Why Science May Be the Only Refuge for International Cooperation | Adrian Monck
An early edition from Davos, where I am holed up with the last multilaterists – Scientists! Best, Adrian
https://www.linkedin.com/posts/monck_an-early-edition-from-davos-where-i-am-holed-activity-7419321590024228864-UtJH?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_ios&rcm=ACoAAACBdiIB6O6xCSK2hNkExq1agD7pqgFrI3w
26 days ago
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Risks in the age of WhatsApp diplomacy. Trump attempts to humiliate Macron. Macron’s message reveals how easy it is to divide Europe – as if that needed saying – and that Russia is on the way back in.
26 days ago
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26 days ago
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Claire Atkinson let me share some pre-Davos thoughts
open.substack.com/pub/themedia...
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Guest Column: AI oligarchs meet Wall St and Washington in the Swiss Alps.
Adrian Monck, a World Economic Forum board member and former head of communications, shares what he's watching in Davos this week.
https://open.substack.com/pub/themediamix/p/guest-column-ai-oligarchs-meet-wall?r=zw96&utm_medium=ios&shareImageVariant=overlay
26 days ago
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Bored of peace 🕊️
www.theatlantic.com/national-sec...
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Trump’s Billion-Dollar Board of Peace
The new entity has a global remit and a steep price for a permanent seat.
https://www.theatlantic.com/national-security/2026/01/trump-billion-dollar-board-of-peace/685671/
27 days ago
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The flaw of democracy was always that failure to deliver would not produce regeneration but revenge.
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28 days ago
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Russia’s peace negotiator writes:
28 days ago
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Journal’s only running 2.0.0
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28 days ago
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🏔️21C Capitalism’s Quriltai. My lookahead to Davos, and what it tells us about the ways of the world.
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
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Capitalism’s Quriltai
Davos meets to confirm a new khan. The world may not oblige.
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/davos-2025-world-economic-forum?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
28 days ago
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US foreign policy redux. - Venezuela. We’ll take it. - Greenland. We want it so 🇷🇺 and 🇨🇳 can’t - Ukraine. We’ll spilt with 🇷🇺 - Taiwan… who knows?
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30 days ago
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“The ‘Donroe’ doctrine taking shape is simpler than Monroe’s ever was. It’s easier to bully your friends than confront your adversaries.”https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/rushmore-revenge?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
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Rushmore Revenge
Why Trump wants Greenland – and what it reveals about his second term
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/rushmore-revenge?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
about 1 month ago
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Anti-European “satire” on X.
about 1 month ago
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More of a delegation. And yes. A single Brit will join.
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about 1 month ago
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Watch Iran’s Praetorians, Not Its Protesters
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
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Watch Iran’s Praetorians, Not Its Protests
Why autocrats fear their generals more than the mob
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/iran-praetorians-not-protests?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email
about 1 month ago
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🤔
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about 1 month ago
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reposted by
Adrian Monck
Charlie Thomas
about 1 month ago
This is the sort of statement that was expected from every university president and law firm partner over the last year. That those statements weren’t made played a huge part in where we are now and people will remember.
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The Telegraph gives voice to a range of views reflecting strands of the British establishment on Greenland. They foreground the peculiar British conviction that surrendering before you’re asked constitutes diplomatic cunning.
about 1 month ago
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Sadly the same tone of distant, amused observation informs much political commentary. There’s a time for seriousness and it passed a long time ago.
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about 1 month ago
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England’s Glorious Revolution wasn’t a vote. It was seven men signing a letter inviting a foreign army to invade. Newsletter on why America will need its own elite rescue operation. 👇
7thin.gs/p/americas-n...
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America’s Next Project
The elite rescue that saved England – and why the US will need one too
https://7thin.gs/p/americas-next-project
about 1 month ago
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This is the “diplomatic” explanation, remember.
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about 1 month ago
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reposted by
Adrian Monck
Charlie Beckett
about 1 month ago
An enjoyable historic romp across historic civilisational collapses with a knowing nod towards current events from Adrian...
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The Last Shipment – From Sutton Hoo to Caracas – on great power exhaustion and the places no one is watching
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
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The Last Shipment
From Sutton Hoo to Caracas – on great power exhaustion and the places no one is watching
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/last-shipment?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
about 1 month ago
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🇩🇰 Danish PM responds to US threats: “It makes absolutely no sense to talk about the need for the United States to take over Greenland… Denmark - and thus Greenland - is part of NATO and is therefore covered by the alliance's security guarantee.”
about 1 month ago
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The MA War Studies programme at King's College London is led by someone who predicts race-based civil war driven by multiculturalism, guests on far-right podcasts, loves Orbán's Hungary, and echoes the Kremlin's talking points. And they say academia is woke...
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about 1 month ago
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A reminder of Fiona Hill’s 2019 testimony on Venezuela and Ukraine.
about 1 month ago
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Von Hammerstein-Equord: “Anyone who is both clever and lazy is qualified for the highest leadership duties, because he possesses the mental clarity and strength of nerve necessary for difficult decisions.”
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about 1 month ago
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🧵🇻🇪 THREAD: Venezuela and the Westphalian Exception I watched the Panama invasion from the foreign desk at CBS News. Everyone's asking if Maduro is the new Noriega. Wrong question. The right one? Why do we pretend sovereignty ever applied south of the Rio Grande?
www.nytimes.com/live/2026/01...
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Live Updates: U.S. Captures Venezuelan Leader, Trump Says
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/01/03/world/trump-united-states-strikes-venezuela
about 1 month ago
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“Misinformation isn’t universal or a general condition of our media ecosystem. Instead, it's specifically associated with radical-right populist parties that spread misinformation as a political strategy.”👇
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about 1 month ago
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Happy New Year folks. Here’s what 2026 already has figured out.
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
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What 2026 Already Knows
Seven structural trends the forecasts won’t touch
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/what-2026-already-knows?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
about 1 month ago
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RIP
about 2 months ago
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A writer becomes a day labourer and learns something about the fentanyl crisis… which is really, of course, a “no social safety net” crisis
about 2 months ago
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1/ Remarkable scoop from Amwaj: Iran and Israel have been exchanging messages through Russia to prevent escalation. Not a ceasefire or a deal. Just “mutual announcements to a mutual friend” that neither side will strike first. That mutual friend is Vladimir Putin.
amwaj.media/en/article/e...
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Exclusive: Russia opens path for Iran-Israel de-escalation
Amid concern over a renewed military confrontation, Iran and Israel have recently exchanged messages through a “mutual friend,” Amwaj.media has learned. According to an informed source in the region f...
https://amwaj.media/en/article/exclusive-russia-opens-path-for-iran-israel-de-escalation
about 2 months ago
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Estonia’s spy chief on Russia and Europe re-arming: “Russia clearly sees value in … promot[ing] the idea that an arms race is pointless – that it diverts money away from other areas like social welfare and that, ultimately, it's harmful to Europe itself.
about 2 months ago
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Syria: Ground Zero For The Imploding World Order
open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p...
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Ground Zero For The Imploding World Order
In Syria, Russia mediates, Turkey builds and America shrugs.
https://open.substack.com/pub/7thing/p/new-world-disorder-syria?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web
about 2 months ago
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