How is AI a person? How could that be half of the people on a planet when they aren't people? Are autonomous cars people?

While I haven't done annual updates on the "state of public NFL analytics" I still keep track of things and I think this is going to be the first year that no provider launched anything new or an enhancement? At least, haven't seen anything from anywhere. Somebody drop something neat!

Ended up reading both The Road and No Country in a week. Road was just okay, but No Country is probably now my favorite book of all time (tied with White Noise). On to Blood Meridian first then Suttree.

October Sky. Like 50 times.

Pretty neat to see a scatterplot this clean. It's barrel% and xwOBACON for every batter since 2015 (min. 300 PA season) (and yes all five of the top right bubbles are Aaron Judge)

I think this is my ballot if I'm considering the best (not just my favorites)

Caglianone has a 16 wRC+ including tonight, 4th lowest for a Royals rookie (min. 40 PA). But on a positive spin, the best player in Royals franchise history had the worst rookie hitting season in franchise history.

Daniel Murphy when he sees the Mets pride shirts:

This is actually a funny point raised here: the Royals catchers are so good at preventing steals when they happen, it prevents them from having opportunities to throw out runners (and turn a hit/walk into an out) and thus, not add the value other teams have with lower rates!

Am I crazy or did NFL Pro add new split filters?

No joke, Rich Hill is only 4 degrees of separation from Babe Ruth. Rich Hill -> Greg Maddux -> Goose Gossage -> Hank Sauer -> Billy Werber -> Babe Ruth

Here is the what I would do mock draft, based off team needs (per PFF), the consensus big board rankings, and how I think about positional value mostly in the draft

Called out, challenge not given

Nugget from Dane Brugler's AMA. Looking at some various trackers, Ruben Hyppolite has had a top 30 visit to the Lions and a private workout with the Patriots.

DK thinks Jalen Milroe is more likely to go in the first round than Luther Burden

How can that be profitable for 7Up?

Royals lineup every night is Bob Witt Jr turning a single into a double and then a prayer that the rest of the lineup can put together four consecutive singles off of 80 MPH exit velo batted balls

Basically the easiest way to know if a player is good or not is how quickly they get extended. Getting an 8-year extension 20 plate appearances into your career pretty much is star level talent.

The PFF Draft Guide is out. Last year it sadly was only really half finished, but this year it's the full thing. Full of scouting profiles, traditional stats, advanced stats, and the always necessary player comps.

Obviously a comically small sample size, but here is the reported list of torpedo bat users and their hitting so far. Combined for a .284/.365/.537 (148 wRC+) line

People say "what for the guarantees" when an NFL contract gets announced, but I'm proposing we say "wait for Jason's breakdown at OTC" instead overthecap.com/thoughts-on-...

Here is my mock drafted based off *what I would do* in each spot, balancing team need, aggregate boards, and just my personal preference for some positional value/players.

Watched some Tyler Warren last night and...he's just insane? Likely comically big and dominant. Give me him over Loveland. (note: I'm consistently wrong on these things so ignore me))

Chiefs playing Joe Thuney at left tackle somehow made it into a bit on Last Week Tonight...

Nets to be something like a mid-6th pickup for Buffao plus they get the $2.6M cap savings when they are pretty tight against the cap. Doesn't quite recoup what they net paid for Elam but it's not that far off (ignoring the value they lost with the pick itself)

Looking at Joey Bosa's numbers, his get off time has stayed the same, but his time to pressure, pressure rate, and sack rate have all gone down. Could it be his reaction skill has stayed the same, but his physical movements have been reduced due to injury?

Here are the teams that roughly have done well in free agency so far

Seen some valid chatter that the Chiefs signing Fulton allows McDuffie to play in the slot more, which makes me think that when it comes time to extend McDuffie, you can't pay him like an elite outside corner ($25M APY)? Maybe closer to nickel DB or free safety?

Love a good stock pump scheme from the sitting president folks

I'd be tempted to say the Chargers should be in the Trey Hendrickson business but I'm not sure the roster is there just yet. You make the move for Hendrickson as a final piece rather than a long term building block.

Honestly still sorta surprised that the Chiefs, as cap thirsty as they sorta are (yes yes levers to pull), are actually going to roll with Kelce at $19.8M. 11th highest 2025 cap number for a WR/TE (after Kupp gets cut).

Jets should throw the contract behind his head before he signs just to make sure he's able to turn around and look for it in the air

*Troy Aikman voice* Paulson Adebo

I kinda think I'd rather have Darnold at 3/$100Mish than Geno + a 3rd rounder for the same? But at the same time, you need to also spend on the line too, so there is more investment needed for Darnold (though Geno would have been nice to have a better line for too).

And still has a forward P/E of like 80x

Rap on NFL Network saying "you haven't heard of Dan Moore because he's so good that you don't hear his name called on the broadcast". The check from the sports agency must have been good for that press release.

Dog, WHAT? PFF projected him at 3/$45M, $28m gtd and OTC was at 3/$36M with $19M gtd.

Yeah, it's a good deal if what Moore showed filling in for Williams can be replicated over 17 games, but it's definitely a risky bet, even if it's structured as a 1 year

lmaaooo Adams can't escape the Jimmy G hospital balls

Just because you have the cap doesn't mean you have to spend it all

Seems like the worst kept secret finally was revealed

Decent deal, maybe a tad rich but depends on how they arrive at $30M. OTC didn't have him as a top 75 FA. PFF had him at 155th, with an estimate of 3 yrs/$27M, $16.5m guaranteed

Folks it's time to legally tamper!

I'm sure it's due to the globalist and woke mob

*Twitter is down skeet*

Low, low point for our country. A barrage of world leaders (and this is just the most I could fit in 4 pictures) tweeting out support of Ukrane after the WH meeting today in the face of what happened.

Alright here is a really mean example from them...this article has a screenshot of PFF Ultimate and shows a dashboard you can't even access and then has a link to subscribe to PFF+, which doesn't get you PFF Ultimate. This one was cruel.

Love the NFL Draft subreddit...but them all following along to a Google doc manually being updated by one guy when the NFL site has all this data updated in real time is a little funny. God bless them.