Kindness is not weakness. Kindness is strength. Strength is intentional - it is firm, controlled, and restrained. It takes strength to override impulse. Weakness is the default. Being kind when it's not deserved is a flex - a show of strength. Being unkind reveals weakness.

One of the laziest colloquial phrases is: "Numbers don't lie" The opposite is mostly true. Except in cases where data sets are enormous or data is collected in a very standardized and thoughtful manner (impossible in many cases), numbers can tell us easily believable lies

Dynasty is a game of not being wrong more than it is a game of being right. You don't have to outrun the bear, you just have to outrun your market liquidity.

Actually understanding QB variance and leveraging it is one of the most simple edges you will find. A lot of dynasty strategy is the equivalent of stepping over dollars to pick up pennies. We like to deny or ignore simple and obvious stuff because it's not new or exciting.

There is a "goldilocks zone" for being in the right number of leagues - right for you. Too many, and you're leaving good opportunities to act on the table. Too few, and you're prone to acting when you should hold. It's harder to be patient when each league is more prominent.

"The combination of some data and an aching desire for an answer does not ensure that a reasonable answer can be extracted from a given body of data." -Tukey On NFL analytics, probably..

Early April pre-NFL rookie draft steals: Jarquez Hunter (4th/5th) Terrence Ferguson (4th) Mason Taylor (late 3rd) Kyle Williams (4th) Jaydon Blue (4th) Jack Bech (late 3rd/4th) They all have a better shot at draft capital than price indicates.

I don't know if this is the great running back class it's supposed to be, but if it is... Its probably not going to result in the fantasy Running Back landscape being better. It's more likely to fill up the NFL with RB committees, doing more harm than good to most fantasy RBs

One of the best reasons for even good teams who can afford the luxury to avoid picking RBs in the early first is there will likely be elite vet RBs available for cheap. That bad org from 4-5 drafts ago has to sign their elite RB to a contract that makes no sense for a bad team and he's available.

Dynasty is 80% waiting and 20% doing stuff. Maybe 80% is low. This one angle provides a large percentage of the psychological challenge. Waiting is very hard.

When prospecting, one must "hold" two important but slightly contradictory truths in the mind at the same time. 1️⃣Prospect development is not linear 2️⃣Comparing an older (23) prospect to a younger (20) prospect is not an apples to apples comparison

Zierlein has 7 RBs above a "good backup with potential to develop into starter" grade. Jeremiah has 4 RBs in his top 50. Brugler has 8 RBs in his top 100 (4 in top 50). ESPN (Kiper/Mcshay?) have 8 RBs in their top 100

Win the race to acquiring those newly minted post-rollover firsts from the owners who don't value distant future firsts highly enough! Now is the time!

Here is the list of running back invites for the Combine. Incredibly deep class and this doesn't even have 2 guys I think should be on NFL rosters Ja'Cory Croskey Merritt and Tre Stewart.

In preparation for Dynasty season - it's time to pre-stash players for next year. Free stashes: Isaiah Davis (if you still can) Ruckert Eli Mitchell Cowing Dav Martin-Robinson Stone Smartt Tremble Haskins Holker Moreau Who else should we be stashing?

@fftommyb.bsky.social Rico Dowdle hive!

Fantasy football fam, I've added more to FF Community Pack 3. It's now over 100 fantasy peeps strong. We still have room for about 40 more. Keeping my DMs open so folks can alert me to new accounts or folks who've slipped past me somehow. Packs 1 & 2 are attached. Share 'em! go.bsky.app/83kaGKo

Don't "buy high" in the literal sense. Instead, take note of players who are worth buying high on, and put them on a list. Sit back and wait for one of the players on this list to experience negative variance, and take advantage of those buy windows when they open.