Ryan Decker
@ryandecker.bsky.social
📤 1678
📥 302
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Macroeconomist from western Colorado. Views are my own.
https://rdecker.net
It's been a few years since I've come home to Colorado for the holidays, and I had forgotten how many people in the CO airports are carrying little dogs around in purses this time of year
1 day ago
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reposted by
Ryan Decker
Short note with Robin Braun and
@fkamal.bsky.social
on tariffs and spare capacity in manufacturing
add a skeleton here at some point
about 2 months ago
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Advancing economic measurement conference happening soon and streaming on YouTube:
www.nber.org/conferences/...
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Advancing Economic Measurement, Fall 2025
https://www.nber.org/conferences/advancing-economic-measurement-fall-2025
about 1 month ago
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reposted by
Ryan Decker
Jason Faberman and I presented "everything you ever wanted to know about firm and worker dynamics" at a conference in honor of the great John Haltiwanger. Slides here:
rdeckernet.github.io/website/deck...
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https://rdeckernet.github.io/website/decker_faberman_dynamics_20251107.pdf
about 2 months ago
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Jason Faberman and I presented "everything you ever wanted to know about firm and worker dynamics" at a conference in honor of the great John Haltiwanger. Slides here:
rdeckernet.github.io/website/deck...
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https://rdeckernet.github.io/website/decker_faberman_dynamics_20251107.pdf
about 2 months ago
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Short note with Robin Braun and
@fkamal.bsky.social
on tariffs and spare capacity in manufacturing
add a skeleton here at some point
about 2 months ago
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reposted by
Ryan Decker
FedResearch
about 2 months ago
The authors show reasons might include soft demand (orders), insufficient labor supply, and lags in the production process (average period of production or APP). (3/3)
www.federalreserve.gov/econres/note...
#FEDSNote
#EconSky
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reposted by
Ryan Decker
FedResearch
about 2 months ago
But looking across industries, this spare capacity is not particularly concentrated in industries gaining new tariff protection. In 2025 so far, capacity utilization has not risen more in industries receiving more new import protection. (2/3)
www.federalreserve.gov/econres/note...
#FEDSNote
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reposted by
Ryan Decker
FedResearch
about 2 months ago
Capacity utilization in manufacturing has been subdued, suggesting potential for tariffs to boost production in existing factories. (1/3)
www.federalreserve.gov/econres/note...
#FEDSNote
#EconSky
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Glad to see folks here talking about the recent surge in entrepreneurship. While much is still unknown, we already have a lot of color on this striking development. Short thread of joint work w/
@jchaltiwangerum.bsky.social
add a skeleton here at some point
about 1 year ago
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reposted by
Ryan Decker
John Haltiwanger
about 1 year ago
We have updated our findings from the BPEA paper recently. See:
rdeckernet.github.io/website/DH_b...
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https://rdeckernet.github.io/website/DH_businessformation_update.pdf
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reposted by
Ryan Decker
John Haltiwanger
about 1 year ago
Ryan Decker and I have studied the surge in new business applications finding that it has led to a surge in new employer businesses. See:
www.brookings.edu/articles/sur...
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Surging business formation in the pandemic: Causes and consequences?
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/surging-business-formation-in-the-pandemic-causes-and-consequences/
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