Big week in Canadian politics, Carney’s first budget and a surprise defection shaking up Parliament. I joined Hub Politics to talk it all through with @sean_speer and @agalbraith. Catch the full conversation 👇 🎧 www.youtube.com/watch?v=HPP...

A dramatic floor-crossing, a (bold?) first budget, and big questions about Carney’s governing strategy. All that and more on this week’s Hub Politics with Sean Speer, Amanda Galbraith, and me. 🎥 www.youtube.com/watch?v=HPP...

Last one. You'll need to wait for the full report for more and breakouts. Overall, would you say this budget will make people like you better off or worse off? Better off - 17% Worse off - 39% No impact - 24% Don't know - 20%

Reaction to: Boosting military and defence spending by $81 billion over five years (2025-26 to 2029-30) to meet NATO targets and modernize the Armed Forces Good idea - 54% Neither - 20% Bad idea - 19% Unsure - 7%

Just finished the Abacus Data post-budget survey ✅No change in vote intention ✅Carney net favourable +12 (largely unchanged) ✅28% unaware there was a federal budget ✅52% right direction, 48% wrong direction Details will be out this weekend on the Abacus Data website.

Macroeconomic growth or household relief, which should come first? We debated that (and more) on this week’s Hub Politics, where Sean Speer, Amanda Galbraith, and I unpack the first Carney budget. 🎙️ Watch now: www.youtube.com/watch?v=HPP...

A budget launch upstaged by a political bombshell. I joined Sean Speer and Amanda Galbraith on Hub Politics to break down Chris d’Entremont’s floor-crossing and what it means for Carney and Poilievre. 👉 www.youtube.com/watch?v=HPP...

The first Carney budget is here, and it’s sparking big debates. I joined Sean Speer and Amanda Galbraith on Hub Politics to unpack its focus on growth over relief and the floor-crossing that stole the spotlight. 🎧 Watch here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=HPP...

The latest Hub Politics podcast on the budget and floor crossing youtu.be/HPPonhj7Ijw?...

Me on Frontburner, with @davidcoletto.bsky.social www.cbc.ca/radio/frontb...

On the Carney government's climate competitiveness strategy, a lot of initial attention will go the oil and gas emissions cap, but worth noting how conditional its demise is...

Was on the Front Burner podcast breaking down yeaterday’s budget www.cbc.ca/listen/cbc-p...

The first 24 hours after a budget are all noise. The next few days reveal what actually sticks. Here’s what I’ll be watching to see how Canadians really respond to #Budget2025. 🔗 davidcoletto.substack.com/p/what-ill-...

Will Canadians see this as a bold, generational plan or more of the same? As a pollster, I’ll be tracking how the budget story lands and whether confidence beats cynicism. Read more 👇 🔗 davidcoletto.substack.com/p/what-ill-...

Federal budget: A 78 billion $ deficit for 2025-2026.

The Carney government now has the herculean task of explaining to Canadians how it's focus on macroeconomic policy will make people feel better about their microeconomic experience. This is a macro budget.

70% of Canadians say they’d accept slower economic growth if it meant more economic independence from the U.S. That sentiment cuts across age, region, and party lines — a rare point of unity. More: abacusdata.ca/canadians-se...

Abacus Data Poll: Tight Race Continues as Trump’s Trade Talk Cancellation Adds Tension Ahead of Budget abacusdata.ca/abacus-data-...

Few see the deficit as an urgent crisis, and most want the government to steer a steady course, reducing the deficit gradually, without drastic cuts or new taxes that would hit their wallets. abacusdata.ca/canadians-wa...

If you want to understand Canada in 2025, don’t look up — look down. Most Canadians aren’t chasing dreams; they’re focused on staying steady in an age of uncertainty. What does this mean for you, #cdnpoli, and business? Read here: www.thestar.com/opinion/cont...

On Hub Politics, I discuss why Prime Minister Carney’s Ottawa speech failed to connect with the audience it was meant for, and what Doug Ford’s enduring popularity reveals about the power of retail politics in Canada today. Full episode: www.youtube.com/watch?v=0vZR...

I joined the latest episode of Hub Politics to talk about Prime Minister Carney’s recent speech at the University of Ottawa + what Doug Ford’s lasting political appeal tells us about the current mood in Canada. Watch here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=0vZR...

Ahead of Prime Minister Carney's speech tonight, Hub Politics podcast anticipated this as I, along with asean and Amanda, discuss the case for a prime ministerial address that sets out the government’s economic plan in the lead up to next month’s budget and the ongoing Canada-U.S. trade talks.

10 years of feelings toward Justin Trudeau by asking one question: Do you have a positive or negative impression of Justin Trudeau? All in a single chart

How Canadians watched Trump and Carney in the Oval Office

Abacus Data Poll: Political Deadlock Persists as Carney Navigates Trump and Trade Pressure abacusdata.ca/abacus-data-...

Canada’s politics and economy are shifting fast. In this episode of Hub Politics, we break down: ⚖️ Carney’s surprising law-and-order turn 🚗 Stellantis’ decision to move Jeep production to the U.S. 💡 The political & economic fallout. Watch here 👉 youtu.be/rkK91xMVRqA?...

This week’s politics podcast: 1️⃣ Bail reform, crime and Carney 2️⃣ Stelantis and the future of the auto sector 3️⃣ Plus, Ronald Reagan’s voice delivers a message to Americans from the Ford provincial government youtube.com/watch?v=rkK9...

“Imagine a general election where Ashton stands at the podium between Carney and Poilievre. One the establishment banker; the other the career politician. Between them, a dockworker who says both have failed the working class.” More: open.substack.com/pub/davidcol...

🚨 New from Abacus Data: 9 in 10 Canadians are concerned about the state of housing in Canada today. This is one of the few issues that cuts across every generation, region, and party line. Read the full report → abacusdata.ca/9-in-10-cana...

I joined the latest episode of Hub Politics to talk about Prime Minister Mark Carney’s trip to Washington — and what his diplomatic approach with President Trump tells us about his leadership style. You can watch the full episode here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=m0j5...

I was thrilled to join Steve Paikin’s Everything Political podcast for the first time. We talked about my recent Toronto Star column exploring the tension at the heart of Canadian politics — between reassurance and disruption. You can watch the full conversation here: youtu.be/dNZaTzDNjD8?...

Why does Mark Carney suffer from a slight dip in his favourable impressions? It's that Canadians are becoming a little bit more unsure if he's the right person to lead the country, says @davidcoletto.bsky.social Full interview: youtu.be/Ixwja1bphd4?...

📊 NEW: Conservatives lead by 1, but the big story is underneath. Cost-of-living concerns are rising again, Carney’s approval is slipping, and Trudeau’s shadow still looms. abacusdata.ca/abacus-data-...

The Risk in Raising Alarm: Could Poilievre’s Deficit Attacks Backfire? open.substack.com/pub/davidcol...

The federal budget is just over a month away. I was on CTV News Question Period with Vassy Kapelos yesterday to share some thoughts on the political implications and some alternative scenarios of it can all play out. www.youtube.com/watch?v=zdKz...

Why did Mark Carney become PM while Pierre Poilievre fell short? Because Canadians wanted reassurance, not disruption. I explain in my latest op-ed for the Toronto Star t.co/7V8U8t3cyM

Is Carney setting a political trap for Poilievre on the budget? Tune into CTV’s Question Period on Sunday to hear my thoughts. Writing something for my newsletter too #cdnpoli

Abacus Nova Scotia Poll: Houston’s PCs Maintain Commanding Lead as Fall Session Opens abacusdata.ca/abacus-nova-...

Abacus Data Poll: Crime and Safety Rise as Top Issue as Parliament Resumes. Liberals and Conservatives tied. abacusdata.ca/abacus-data-...

This stack is a worthy post for fellow #GCComms professionals to consider as our ministers get ready for their return to Parliament. Connecting with our audiences is more challenging than ever, especially at a critical time for the government we serve.

Is it time for the federal government to invest more in communicating with those it governs? Some thoughts and comparative examples open.substack.com/pub/davidcol...

The lesson from Starmer 🇬🇧 for Carney 🇨🇦: managerial centrism without a philosophy is not the middle ground; it’s no man’s land.

📊 New Abacus Data Poll: Carney’s Liberals edge back into the lead as Canadians grow more uneasy about the economy. Affordability, housing, & healthcare remain top concerns. Full results 👉 abacusdata.ca/abacus-data-...

Precarity, Collective Bargaining, and Why Member Research Matters More Than Ever: abacusdata.ca/precarity-mi... www.cbc.ca/news/canada/...

Mark Carney appears to be threading that needle effectively. His posture and approach is widely seen as the right fit for the moment. open.substack.com/pub/davidcol...

In the next two years, what is the bigger threat? 60% say issues like housing affordability, healthcare, and rising costs pose the greatest risk to the country. 40% believe Trump’s policies and unpredictability are the larger danger abacusdata.ca/canadians-se...

The Psychology of Political Endings: When Support Turns to Disillusionment What psychological research and polling tells us about when people go from supporters to opponents in politics. open.substack.com/pub/davidcol...

The Psychology of Political Endings: When Support Turns to Disillusionment open.substack.com/pub/davidcol...