Here is a paywall free link to my new Foreign Affairs article, "America's New Age of Political Violence: What Happens when the Threat comes from Both the Left and Right": www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...

Just engaged in a profound discussion on American political violence on one of Europe's most watched programs. The topic of whether US political debate can rebound from Charlie Kirk's killing was explored on DW News Desk. I come in at min 18:05 www.youtube.com/watch?v=34vG...

Fox's Bill Hemmer and I discuss the new era of violent populism in America: video.foxnews.com/v/6379504110...

On “Chicago Tonight,” I discuss how Pres Trump is taking us down a dark road and why it is not too late to reverse course: news.wttw.com/2025/09/09/t... #ICEoperations #NationalGuardThreats

On "The Chicago Report," I engage in discussion with former Chief of Chicago Police and prominent ACLU leader on ICE operations and potential threats posed by National Guard. Watch the insightful conversation: www.fox32chicago.com/video/1705024 #ChicagoReport #ICEoperations #NationalGuardThreats

NPR All Things Considered's Scott Detrow and I had a thought-provoking discussion on What happens when democracies use military force to occupy their own territory You can listen here: www.npr.org/2025/09/07/n...

The world is closely following how Chicago is bracing for federal troops. Watch my BBC interview: youtu.be/rcBiBIN0B0Q

As expected in my NYT oped, Chicago is now beginning to mobilize protests vs the federal forces. The story confirms 150k+ undoc immigrants in Chicago, ~10% of city. President Trump, please reconsider your plan to "liberate" Chicago, as you recently called this. www.nytimes.com/2025/09/05/u...

Fred Wellman and I discuss Chicago's Dark Road on his important podcast. Already has 100k views. You can watch it here: www.youtube.com/live/bn5ECRw...

As highlighted in my recent NYT op-ed and exemplified in this article, U.S. cities appreciate federal assistance in combating crime. But, they are wary of excessive military presence due to its potential political ramifications. Read more about this nuanced issue: www.nytimes.com/2025/09/06/u...

Surging federal troops into Chicago would be a dangerous mistake, but it is not too late for cooler heads to prevail. Explore the reasons why in my new New York Times piece: www.nytimes.com/2025/09/05/o...

Is Trump interested in "law and order"? See the Surprisingly Violent “Non-Violent” Offenders in the Capitol Hill Siege who Trump Pardoned: cpost.uchicago.edu/publications...

Meet the violent offenders against police that Trump pardoned: cpost.uchicago.edu/publications...

NYT has my extensive commentary on how Trump is siding with law and order so long as it supports his political agenda. www.nytimes.com/2025/08/12/u...

(2 of 2) I had an lengthy discussion on why political violence is rising in America with CNN's Michael Smerconish. Here is my commentary: The rise in Political Violence with Robert Pape Professor of Political Science, University of Chicago Robert Pape: f.io/QvMIb2x4

(1 of 2) I had an lengthy discussion on why political violence is rising in America with CNN's Michael Smerconish. Here is his excellent opening commentary: Smerconish: Civility in Crisis – Running for office shouldn’t require a flak jacket. Commentary: f.io/hYP1CMbm

We are witnessing a significant moment in history. Israel’s campaign in Gaza is the most lethal case of a Western democracy using the punishment of civilians as a tactic of war. Israel must reverse course or face the world's growing wrath. www.foreignaffairs.com/israel/unpar...

In the midst of mounting tensions across the United States, Texas lawmakers have sought sanctuary in Illinois. Divisions in the US continue to escalate from words to actions. Check out my recent interview with ABC News to gain more insights: (abc7chicago.com/videoClip/17...)

What are the lasting consequences of bombing Iran? Regime change? More War? Enduring cease-fire? I was part of deep conversation with highly knowledgeable experts hosted by the Chicago Council on Global Affairs. To learn more, watch here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=mCi4...

To delve deeper into the analysis, my original Foreign Affairs article is here: www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...

It's evident that the outcomes predicted in my Foreign Affairs article about the strategic consequences of bombing Iran have materialized. The bombing bolstered support for the Iranian regime and failed to eradicate its enriched uranium. www.nytimes.com/2025/07/22/w...

The Middle East is edging closer to a potentially catastrophic nuclear conflict, with unprecedented challenges. To avert these looming dangers, a transformative shift in America's nuclear policy is imperative. Read more about this critical issue: www.chicagotribune.com/2025/07/20/o...

A short version of Postol's excellent technical analysis showing how elbow air shafts almost certainly prevented US bombs from destroying Fordo: www.youtube.com/watch?v=TriA...

The best technical analysis so far showing how easy it was for Iran to move the 60% HEU and hard for US bombs to destroy the key chambers at Fordo, esp min 25-29 and 40-46: www.google.com/search?sca_e...

Now clear Israel and US attacks on Iran's nuclear program were all high risk, no meaningful reward. We are not stopping nuclear breakout, but creating an Iran with nuclear teeth: www.nytimes.com/2025/06/24/u...

The main problem with Israel/US air strikes on Frodo is now clear: No way to assess damage to Iran's nuclear stockpile, just as I explained would happen week ago in detail: www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/israels...

On CBS Evening News, I discuss why it is too late for US air power alone to knock out Iran's nuclear program, and turn Iran into an angry beast with nuclear teeth: cbsnews.com/video/what-a...

See why Israel and now the US are falling into the "smart bomb trap" -- overconfidence in air power leading to another "forever" war: www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/israels...

Why America is on the brink of an extremely violent era in politics and what we can do about it: www.nytimes.com/2025/06/16/o...

NYT, CNN report Israel hitting residential buildings in Tehran, w 100+ civilians killed. If a mistake, Israel should express deep regret for killing civilians, as US did in Kosovo. Crucial to limit escalation, esp as Iran gets closer to nuclear weapons: www.nytimes.com/live/2025/06...

Israeli strikes predictably hitting Tehran residential areas. But as Iran-Iraq “war of the cities” and many Western bombing campaigns show, punishing civilians won’t cause Iran to back down. Iran nuclear weapons getting closer by the day: www.cnn.com/world/live-n...

Pres Trump’s statement condemning political violence in Minnesota is strong. A joint video statement by Trump and Newsom would be best! In everyone’s interest to avoid 3rd act of pol violence in a week, esp w/ shooter on loose. #PoliticalViolence #Trump #GovNewsom: www.fox9.com/news/donald-...

Crucial for Pres Trump, Speaker Johnson and Republican political leaders to stand up loudly against the politically motivated assassination of Democratic lawmakers: www.nytimes.com/live/2025/06...

Last evening, I was on Meidas Touch's large podcast discussing the next phase of the protests and the crucial positive program going forward. 5 million subscribers, 200k views so far, 6,000 live: www.youtube.com/live/jbcG8TI...

The big question: Why would Iran abandon nuclear weapons if Israel can attack the country and its leaders for any reason Israel wants? Unless the US answers this question, any future negotiations with Iran are unlikely to produce meaningful results.

A big risk: Isreal strikes Iran's nuclear reactor at Bushehr, Iran retaliates vs Israel's nuclear plant at Dimona. Radiation spreads in both countries. Trump's goal should be to de-escalate this now, not threaten more as he is now

In 100 years of trying, air power alone has never toppled a government. Israel's leadership decapitation strikes are likely to be just another data point. www.fdd.org/analysis/202...

US has 40k troops and bases within easy range of Iran's missiles and proxies: www.americansecurityproject.org/national-sec...

Israel's military chief of staff promises costs, not success: “People of Israel, I can’t promise absolute success. The Iranian regime will attempt to attack us in response. The expected cost will be different from what we are used to.” www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_ent...

While world watches Iran, Israel may well escalate further in Gaza. www.youtube.com/watch?v=iScc...

The strikes show gross incompetence by the Trump admin on national security. The US has allowed Israel to create a hornet's nest in the Middle East At risk: US troops, oil, and terrorism. Trump is now a pro-war president -- the opposite of what he promised just months ago.

Israeli strikes have wider implications, entangling the US in the conflict. Without decisive victory, Iran is likely to rebound, becoming even more radical. Greater challenges for the US coming and won't end soon.

Israeli strikes on Iran are falling into that I call the "smart bomb trap" - overconfidence in precision air strikes that ignores powerful nationalist reactions of defiance leading to a costly quigmire. The US fell into the trap vs Iraq in 2003. Iran is more dangerous.

Israeli air strikes are unlikely to knock out Iran's nuclear program. Fordow is the key, deeply buried under a mountain: isis-online.org/isis-reports...

As LA tensions rise, escalation beyond the city looms large. Our CPOST national survey shows 40% of Dems believe force is justified to oust Trump from office, while 25% of Rs back Trump's deployment of military forces vs protests Gov Newsom and Pres Trump should end this now.

With 1 million illegal migrants near LA, escalation from Trump's deploying National Guard is a genuine concern. With 60% of country favoring deportation, a spectacle could backlash, with public backing for stricter actions. Prime time for cooler heads: www.migrationpolicy.org/data/unautho...

Ukraine drone attack signals protracted Russian vulnerability. Like Israel’s pager attack vs 4000 Hamas fighters, the strategic effect of an intelligence network inside the enemy may be even more important than the 1000 fold tactical cost benefit ratio: www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrain...

I had a fascinating conversation with Fred Wellman on his On Democracy podcast on the danger of protest movements falling into violence and how we can avoid the trap. #Democracy #PoliticalViolence youtu.be/lTcfYRAlljc