There is some confusion about whether or not we understand LLMs. The answer is yes and no, but mostly no. It's a complicated enough question that it seemed like it needed an article. www.verysane.ai/p/do-we-unde...

"AI 2027" argues that AI will reach roughly human level in roughly 2027. This just happens to be right about when OpenAI would expect to start to run out of money. I argue that this is not a coincidence at all, and its predictions are all wrong. www.verysane.ai/p/agi-probab...

What Makes AI "Generative"? It's Not What You Think I can just tell you actually: it's how large the output space is, or equivalently, how many possible outputs there are. Bigger output spaces are just fundamentally different. www.verysane.ai/p/what-makes...

Some Thoughts On The Platonic Representation Hypothesis, or, How We're Rediscovering Platonism By Doing Statistics or, How AI Training Is Actually Chaining Up Some Guy In A Cave, or, Bait for Philosophy Majors www.verysane.ai/p/some-thoug...

The most well-known statistic about AI water use is a lie. This makes it frustrating to talk about AI and the environment, and this is a long deep dive on that specific point. www.verysane.ai/p/the-bigges...

Pushed previously as a notes file, this is a short list of ideas which have, or are, setting the agenda for AI, presented entirely by quoting the relevant person. www.verysane.ai/p/ai-history...

Pushed previously as a notes file, this is a short list of ideas which have, or are, setting the agenda for AI, presented entirely by quoting the relevant person. www.verysane.ai/p/ai-history...

I couldn't find a high-level overview of what AI is and how we got where we are, so I wrote one. www.verysane.ai/p/what-is-ai