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Early Billboard Hot 100 Predictions (chart dated February 15th, 2025)

Travis Scott’s “4X4” is currently on pace to depart from the top 50 of the Billboard Hot 100 second week. If the song debuts atop the chart as projected, it could post the biggest decline from #1 in Hot 100 history.

The Weeknd’s “Cry For Me” is challenging for a top 15 debut on the Billboard Hot 100 based on early projections (chart dated Feb. 15th, 2025).

The Weeknd & Playboi Carti’s “Timeless” is on pace to re-enter the top 10 of the Hot 100 at around #7 based on early projections (chart dated Feb. 15th, 2025).

Morgan Wallen’s “I’m The Problem” is on pace for a #2 debut on the Billboard Hot 100 based on early projections (chart dated Feb. 15th, 2025), could challenge for #1 based on performance throughout the week.

Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars’ “Die With A Smile” is on pace to return to #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 for a 5th week based on early projections (chart dated Feb. 15th, 2025).

Kendrick Lamar becomes the third rapper ever to win 20 awards at the #GRAMMYs , joining Jay-Z and Kanye West.

Kendrick Lamar is now a 20x winner at the #GRAMMYs . He now ranks among the 20 most awarded artists of all time.

Sierra Ferrell sweeps all four of her categories at the 2025 #GRAMMYs .

Beyoncé extends her record as the most awarded artist in #GRAMMYs  history (33 awards won).

Charli xcx becomes the fifth female artist ever to win Best Dance/Electronic Album at the #GRAMMYs .

Female artists have won Best Pop Solo Performance at the #GRAMMYs  in each of the last four years. 2022: Drivers License 2023: Easy On Me 2024: Flowers 2025: Espresso

Travis Scott’s single “4X4” sold more CDs first week in the US than any rap album released this decade has (160K).

Final Billboard Hot 100 Predictions (chart dated February 8th, 2025)

Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars’ “Die With A Smile” is predicted to return to #1 on Billboard’s Streaming Songs chart with over 28 million streams in the US—leading by over 5 million streams.

Chris Brown’s “Residuals” is predicted to re-enter the Billboard Hot 100 at around #40, reaching a new peak with the release of a music video.

Tate McRae’s “Sports Car” is challenging for a top 20 debut on the Billboard Hot 100, predicted to debut at around #21.

Bruno Mars & Sexyy Red’s “Fat Juicy & Wet” is predicted to debut inside the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 at around #17.

Travis Scott’s “4X4” is predicted to earn the biggest US pure sales week of any rap song released this decade (160K), surpassing WAP (125K).

Travis Scott’s “4X4” is predicted to debut at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 with the biggest US physical sales week of any single this decade (over 150K sold). It would be his 5th Hot 100 #1.

Artists nominated for Best New Artist at the 2025 #GRAMMYs , ranked from most to least likely to win the award based off of Gold Derby: Chappell Roan Sabrina Carpenter RAYE Shaboozey Benson Boone Doechii Teddy Swims Khruangbin

Singles nominated for Song of the Year at the 2025 #GRAMMYs  , ranked from most to least likely to win based off of Gold Derby’s combined odds: Birds of a Feather Good Luck, Babe! Die With a Smile Not Like Us Texas Hold ‘Em Please Please Please Fortnight A Bar Song (Tipsy)

Singles nominated for Record of the Year at the 2025 #GRAMMYs , ranked from most to least likely to win based off of Gold Derby’s combined odds: Espresso Birds of a Feather Not Like Us Now And Then Good Luck, Babe! Texas Hold ‘Em Fortnight 360

Albums nominated for Album of the Year at the 2025 #GRAMMYs  , ranked from most to least likely to win the award according to Gold Derby’s combined odds. Hit Me Hard and Soft Cowboy Carter The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess Short n’ Sweet Brat New Blue Sun TTPD Djesse Vol. 4

Jimin’s “Who” is expected to spend a 26th week on the Billboard Hot 100, up 22% in points, the biggest gainer on this week’s chart.

This week's Billboard 200 top 10: #1. (=) DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS [2nd week at #1] #2. (+1) SOS #3. (NEW) Balloonerism #4. (=) GNX #5. (+5) The Secret of Us #6. (=) Short n’ Sweet #7. (-2) WHAM #8. (+1) One Thing at a Time #9. (-2) Hit Me Hard and Soft #10. (+2) The Tortured Poets Department

Sexyy Red & Bruno Mars’ “Fat Juicy & Wet” has entered the top 10 of US Apple Music.

ROSÉ & Bruno Mars’ “APT.” becomes the second fastest song in history to surpass 1 billion streams on Spotify (100 days). Bruno Mars now holds the top 2 fastest songs to this milestone (#1 is “Die With A Smile").

Early Billboard Hot 100 Predictions (chart dated February 8th, 2025)

Travis Scott’s “4X4” is challenging for a top 10 debut on the Billboard Hot 100 (@trvisXX).

Sexyy Red & Bruno Mars’ “Fat Juicy & Wet” is pacing for a top 20 debut on the Billboard Hot 100.

ROSÉ & Bruno Mars’ “APT.” is challenging for a new peak of #2 on next week’s Billboard Hot 100 (dated Feb. 8th) based on early projections.

Teddy Swims’ “Lose Control” is on track to spend a milestone 50th week inside the top 10 of the Billboard Hot 100 (dated Feb. 8th). It will be 7 weeks away from tying the all-time record (“Blinding Lights”).

Tyla’s “PUSH 2 START” is expected to debut on the Billboard Hot 100 around #93.

Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars’ “Die With A Smile” is expected to remain at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 for a 5th consecutive week with its biggest lead ahead of #2 yet, according to early projections (chart dated Feb. 8th).

Shaboozey’s “A Bar Song (Tipsy)” is predicted to tie The Weeknd’s “Blinding Lights” as the longest running #1 US radio hit in history, with 26 weeks atop Billboard's Radio Songs chart.

Final Billboard Hot 100 Predictions (chart dated February 1st, 2025)

Central Cee’s ‘CAN’T RUSH GREATNESS’ has entered the top 5 of US Apple Music, currently at #4.

Teddy Swims’ ‘I’ve Tried Everything But Therapy (Part 2)’ has reached #1 on US iTunes.

SZA & Kendrick Lamar’s “30 For 30” has returned to #1 on US Apple Music.

Tate McRae’s “Sports car” debuts at #24 on the Global Spotify chart with 3.24 million streams on January 24th.

Travis Scott’s “4X4” debuts at #15 on the Global Spotify chart with 4.13 million streams on January 24th, the biggest debut of the day.

Mac Miller’s ‘Balloonerism’ is expected to debut at #3 on the Billboard 200 with over 80K opening week units (via @HITSDD).

Bad Bunny’s ‘DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS’ is expected to hold for a second week at #1 on the Billboard 200 with over 150K units (via @HITSDD).

Taylor Swift’s “Blank Space” has surpassed 2 billion streams on Spotify. It becomes her second song to reach this milestone.

JENNIE’s debut studio album ‘Ruby’ will be released Friday, March 7th.

This week's Billboard Hot 100 top 10: #1. (=) Die With A Smile [third week at #1] #2. (+36) DtMF #3. (+25) BAILE INoLVIDABLE #4. (-2) A Bar Song (Tipsy) #5. (=) APT. #6. (+1) Luther #7. (-4) Birds of a Feather #8. (+19) NUEVAYoL #9. (-3) Lose Control #10. (-2) That’s So True

Taylor Swift ties Mariah Carey for the third-most top 10 entries among women in Billboard 200 history (18 each).

Sabrina Carpenter's “Espresso” is now the biggest Billboard Hot 100 hit to peak at #3 this decade, surpassing Doja Cat & SZA's “Kiss Me More”.