loading . . . Ad Infinitum At Google I/O this week, the company announced the biggest change to Search in 25 years. The ten blue links? Gone. Instead, you get “generative UI” – custom interactive widgets, built on the fly by Gemini. You get “information agents” that monitor the web for you around the clock. You get mini-apps you can build right inside the search box, using natural language. And with Gemini Spark, you get a personal AI agent that runs 24/7, connected to your Gmail, your Drive, your calendar, your photos, and soon your local files and third-party services.
It’s ambitious and also impressive at times, no question. It’s also a staggering gamble. Google is dismantling the very product that built its empire – and rebuilding it into something entirely different. Watching the demos, I kept asking myself two questions. First: what if people don’t actually want to use search this way? And second:
_Where did the ads go?_
Google made $295 billion in advertising revenue last year, out of $403 billion in total. And yet, across all these announcements – the new search box, the generative UI, Spark, the agents – there wasn’t a single mention of how any of this will be monetized. Not one word about ads.
That seemed odd. I mentioned this on Mastodon, and Sijmen replied with a link that sent me down a rabbit hole.
It turns out there’s a small but growing body of research – some of it from Google’s own researchers – exploring exactly how ads could work inside LLM-generated output. And the ideas are as fascinating as they are unsettling.
One approach, proposed by Google Research, is what you might call a “token auction.” In this model, advertisers don’t buy ad slots on a page. Instead, they bid, token by token, on the actual text the model generates. Each advertiser brings their own LLM, and an auction mechanism decides whose model gets to influence the next word. The output is a weighted blend of competing interests, shaped by who’s willing to pay more.
Another approach – also from Google researchers – fits the new “Search” much more precisely. It’s called “prominence allocation.” Here, when a user submits a query with commercial intent, the system runs an auction that doesn’t just decide _which_ ads appear, but _how prominently_ the LLM writes about each one. The auction outputs a prominence score for each advertiser, essentially telling the model: give this product 35 words, that one 20, and this one zero. The ad isn’t _next to_ the answer. The ad _is_ the answer. Or rather, it shapes how much space and enthusiasm each product gets within the answer.
Now think about what Google just announced. Generative UI means there are no more discrete ad slots. The search result is a dynamically generated experience – a synthesized narrative, an interactive widget, a curated set of recommendations. In that world, you can’t place a banner ad next to the output. The only thing you can auction is prominence _within_ it.
But it’s not just the ads that disappeared from the keynote. The links did, too.
For 25 years, Google Search was built on a contract. The web provided the content – billions of pages, freely linked, freely crawled. In return, Google sent people back. The link was the unit of exchange. It’s what made the Web thrive as an information system: you publish, Google indexes, users click through, and value flows back to the source. Win-win.
That contract is now broken. Generative UI doesn’t link to your article. It absorbs your article, synthesizes it into a widget, and presents it as Google’s own answer. Information agents don’t send users to websites. They deliver “synthesized updates” with maybe a link or two buried at the bottom. The web was the scaffolding Google needed to build its index, to train its models, to accumulate the world’s information, and put ads next to it to get filthy rich. Now that the content is _inside_ the system, the scaffolding is no longer needed. Google is creating its own context.
Google thinks it no longer needs the Web to deliver answers. And it no longer needs ad slots to deliver ads. What it needs is _you_. Your emails, your files, your calendar, your purchase history, your travel plans – all flowing into Spark, all building the richest possible picture of who you are and what you’re likely to click on. That’s exactly the kind of personal context those auction models need to work. The prediction module in the prominence allocation framework doesn’t run on keywords. It runs on _knowing you_.
None of this was mentioned at I/O. The entire keynote was framed as a story about usefulness and possibility and trust. Will you opt in to sharing your data? Will you let Spark read your inbox? The pitch is productivity. But the infrastructure being built – a deeply personalized agent, connected to commercial services, generating natural-language recommendations with no visible boundary between organic and paid content – is a monetization engine.
Then, one day later, Google held Marketing Live, its annual keynote for advertisers. Same campus, same week, different audience. And there, the language changed completely. Vidhya Srinivasan, VP of Google Ads, put it plainly: “The best ads must be answers.” Ads are already running inside AI Mode. They’re not banners next to the output. They’re generated by Gemini to read as part of the conversation. And advertisers who want to appear in the new AI search? They must hand over creative and targeting control to Google’s system. “You can’t choose keywords anymore,” Srinivasan said.
So yes, Google didn’t talk about ads in the I/O keynote. Everything they announced _is_ the new ad system. One that, in the eyes of Google, no longer needs the open web as an intermediary. And now, they’re gradually turning it on.
But there’s still that first question. The one about whether people actually want any of this. The people building these systems seem so deep inside their own world that they sometimes forget to check. You might have heard that, over the past few days, commencement speakers across the US, including former Google CEO Eric Schmidt, have been booed off stage the moment they mentioned AI. Not just politely ignored. Booed.
Google is betting its entire future on a world where people eagerly hand over their emails, their files, their habits, and their trust – to an AI system that will quietly auction off their attention, word by word, to the highest bidder. The ad infrastructure is ready. The question is whether the audience is.
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