#EpiSky #IDSky

The speed with which everything we’ve taken for granted simply… goes away… will be mind-blowing. #Collapse

This period between Election Day and Inauguration Day, as we watch the next administration take shape, is so surreal… like we’ve just run off the cliff and are are in suspended animation, waiting for gravity to send us plummeting.

This is coming everywhere, whether we want it or not. The incoming administration has promised to tank the economy. Collapse now and avoid the rush. Spend the winter planning a garden if you have the ability.

New post on some preliminary – but troubling – signals about the direction H5N1 might be taking: kucharski.substack.com/p/h5n1-influ...

A ridiculously simple, systems model of the world (5 variables!!!) that was never intended to be predictive is probably the most telling history of the future there is, 52 years later. Everything else is just noise.

Wheeee! 🤣 #collapse

Corollary: half of all oil burned in the entirety of human history has been since 1997. For those on my feed familiar with pandemic growth rates (of which there are many), I invite you to consider this concept as it pertains to our energy situation.

The richest men have grown tired from collecting giant piles of wealth, for they realized money can't buy people. For that they need power, lots of it.

Likely unpopular opinion: all that we’re up against can still be traced to the fact that conventional oil production peaked in 2005.

The preliminary sequence from the H5N1 human case in British Columbia has been posted and it is not good news. The virus potentially has a quasispecies at HA residue 226 (H3 numbering). This is bad news because we know that mutations at residue 226 can increase binding to human receptors. 1/

Just in time for the launch of my large respiratory illness study on Monday. 🫣

"The captivation of your attention is an exertion of power over you. It requires your cooperation, and you can withhold that cooperation."

"If you allow yourself to become totally outraged every time there's something that under normal circumstances would be worth being totally outraged about, you'll never make it. Because these aren't normal circumstances. Slow down. Take a deep breath." Very much agree with @dereklowe.bsky.social

This moment feels to me like Jan-Feb 2020. With experience in pandemic planning, I saw what was coming - not just with viral epidemiology, but about the the ensuing societal disruption that was to be expected. I spent time warning incredulous colleagues, friends, and family that they were... (1/3)

This is a perceptive analysis and practical guide to action under American authoritarianism.

I don't think people understand just how bad things are about to get. We're sleepwalking into a full blown dictatorship. Normalcy bias and denial are keeping people deluded that it's not happening.

Trump isn't so much "building his cabinet" as he is "filling his junk drawer".

Just so we're clear on where we are: -The President: an authoritarian who attempted a coup -A Secretary of Defense who defends war crimes -A Attorney General credibly accused of sex crimes -A Director of National Intelligence who defends Putin and Assad -An HHS director who opposes vaccines

I've spent the past few days with science colleagues who've shared similar naive optimism: we've made it through the Bush years and recessions... scientific research may struggle in the near term, but we'll self-correct and make it through in the end... (1/3)

👋 another newbie from the hellsite here. Looking forward to joining the great online communities of other epidemiologists, doomers, and doomer epidemiologists. #collapse youtu.be/frAEmhqdLFs?...