Jalen Hurts Week 5 vs DEN EPA/dropback… vs. Man : +0.38 vs. Zone : -0.31 After a heavy dose of man coverage in the 1st half, Vance Joseph called zone coverages on 13 straight #Eagles dropbacks in the 2nd half and did not give up a single first down during that stretch.

The #Eagles snapped the ball with 5 or fewer seconds on the play clock (Quarters 1-3 only and excluding no huddle plays) against Denver at a higher than any team in any NFL game in the last 3 seasons. And it wasn't even an outlier for them: 4 of their 5 games have been similar.

Success rates… Denver 1st Half : 10/33 (30%) 2nd Half : 26/41 (63%) #Eagles 1st Half : 14/32 (44%) 2nd Half : 10/28 (36%)

#Eagles game by game advanced team stats.

Swooper! @ej-smith.bsky.social and @fduffy.bsky.social shared the spoils last week, with each of them and @bowulf.bsky.social all grabbing 4 items for Sunday.

Game day depth charts and advanced team stats for Broncos - #Eagles.

Class is in session at 2 with @denizselman33.bsky.social and @ej-smith.bsky.social, if he can bothered to join us. www.youtube.com/watch?v=RY6d...

One last Broncos-#Eagles preview with @bowulf.bsky.social & @ej-smith.bsky.social on a loopier than usual fun Friday. Full episode: www.youtube.com/live/RY6dXNP...

The #Eagles had some issues facing a heavy dose of 4-man exchange ("sim") pressures in each of the last 3 games. FWIW, the Broncos' defense has not run a single such exchange pressure this season--one of just four defenses in the NFL to not have run one through 4 weeks.

Charting the #Eagles defensive film... On the dropbacks with no blitzing linebackers, there are a few too many snaps on which the pass rush looks like this.

Advanced team stats ahead of Broncos - #Eagles.

73% of the #Eagles' drives have ended in either a 3 & out or a touchdown. As a result, the #Eagles are... 29th in yards/drive (24.3) 6th in points/drive (2.84) Obviously a very efficient use of yards and first downs, but probably not sustainable...

We've talked a lot about how the #Eagles don't throw deep, but the biggest change/issue with the passing game this year is the lack of YAC. Jalen Hurts YAC/completion 2021 : 5.5 (6th) 2022 : 5.8 (6th) 2023 : 4.8 (27th) 2024 : 5.5 (12th) 2025 : 3.7 (32nd) thru Week 4 ⬅️⬅️⬅️

Cooper DeJean is ridiculous. Tampa Bay runs a flea flicker max protect post/cross against a 2-high zone. Cooper first carries the post to the safeties, then comes back to nearly pick off the cross--thereby somehow covering both routes on a 2-route concept. #Eagles

Saquon Barkley Run% w/ 1+ yards before contact 2021 (NYG) : 52.5% (19th of 30 RBs*) 2022 (NYG) : 60.3% (8th of 33) 2023 (NYG) : 46.6% (33rd of 35) 2024 (PHI) : 58.0% (10th of 31) 2025 (PHI) : 50.6% (17th of 32, min 36 carries thru Week 4) * min 150 carries

A Saquon Barkley thread. So far in 2025, Saquon Barkley ranks... 20th in EPA/Rush 31st in Rush Success Rate (out of 32 running backs w/36+ carries)

In case it feels like the #Eagles are getting killed by penalties when the defense is on the field, well...

#Eagles are still getting blitzed a lot--second most in the league--but their excellent 82% success rate against it in Tampa has them near league average for the year against it.

You won't believe who the best blitzing defense in the NFL is. Uncle Vic, old dog up to new tricks. #Eagles

Denver will bring a lot of man coverage and blitzing to the Linc on Sunday...

The #Eagles' 3rd play of the season was a 7 yard scramble on an under center play action. That is still their only "successful" under center play action play all year.

Jalen Hurts continues to lead all quarterbacks in non-target rate.

Quarterback EPA/Dropback and Success%, as well as EPA/Dropback vs. Man and Zone.

Deep passes and success rate on them (offense and defense)...

Don't expect to see an aerial attack from either team on Sunday at the Linc.

The #Eagles conservative approach on offense really shows here: just 25th in EPA/game from big plays, but 3rd in limiting EPA/game lost from turnovers.

#Eagles are 3rd at limiting lost EPA from turnovers and 5th at generating EPA from turnovers on defense.

#Eagles are just 25th on offense in generating EPA from big plays (20+ yards), and 21st on defense at allowing EPA from big plays. They are also dead last in the NFL at rate of 10+ yard plays on offense.

Denver's defense has been awesome on late downs, resulting in them being 4th in overall series conversion rate allowed.

#Eagles offense is 25th at "not needing 3rd down" to convert series but improves to 12th overall due to late down conversions.

#Eagles defense is... 5th in EPA/Dropback allowed 12th in EPA/Rush allowed

#Eagles offense is... 22nd in EPA/Dropback 7th in EPA/Rush <-boosted a lot by QB sneaks

By EPA/Drive through Week 4, the #Eagles are... 17th on Offense 9th on Defense

1st & 10. 1:17 left in half. #Eagles go empty & motion Saquon, leaving AJ Brown iso vs. rookie Benjamin Morrison w/no safety help. Would be nice to give him a chance to win on a real route here. Eagles seemed more concerned w/running clock out than scoring a TD. They did neither.

The #Eagles had an 82% success rate on dropbacks against the blitz in Tampa Bay while being blitzed on 36% of dropbacks. It's the best performance against the blitz by any team this season in a game in which they were blitzed over 25% of the time.

Vic Fangio stole some edge snaps by playing 5 snaps of nickel with 3 DTs & 1 Edge, essentially using Jihaad Campbell as the second Edge in a 5-1 Penny front. This was the first time Fangio used this grouping this year. (He used it 51 times in 2024 including playoffs.) #Eagles

Drew Mukuba played every defensive snap for the #Eagles in Tampa Bay, including all 13 in base personnel, while Sydney Brown only played on the 0-3-8 personnel prevent snap at the end of the half.

#Eagles offense against Tampa Bay when in… 11 personnel (34 snaps): -.02 EPA/play, 50% success anything else (23 snaps) : -.17 EPA/play, 35% success

#Eagles game by game player & personnel grouping snap counts.

4-0 starts (2022-2025) 3x : PHI 2x : 1x : SF, KC, MIN, BUF 0x : 27 teams #Eagles

Zack Baun rushed the passer on 12 Tampa Bay dropbacks on Sunday. Those 12 plays resulted in... 0 first downs 2 sacks -2 total yards #Eagles

Best career HC win% (NFL history, minimum 40 games) 1) Guy Chamberlin (1922-27): 58-16-7 (.759) 2) John Madden (1969-78): 103-32-7 (.750) 3) Vince Lombardi (1959-69): 96-34-6 (.728)
4) Nick Sirianni (2021-25): 52-20 (.722) 5) George Allen (1966-77): 116-47-5 (.705)

Two individual mistakes by rookies shouldn't mask what a masterclass this was from Uncle Vic and the defense, playing 71 snaps in that Tampa heat because the offense kept insisting on putting them back out there.

#Eagles game by game advanced team stats.

Completing passes in the second half is for losers. 4-0 as usual. 20-1 in the last 21 games. #Eagles

#Eagles success rates at Tampa Bay 1st Half dropbacks : 14/20 (70%) rushes : 4/8 (50%) total : 18/28 (64%) 2nd Half dropbacks : 1/11 (9%) (1 success on scramble) rushes : 5/19 (26%) total : 6/30 (20%)

Would be nice to sprinkle in some of this “everyone stand to one side and pretend to do something while we throw the ball to A.J.” offense from 2023, the only time A.J. Brown played against Tampa Bay with the #Eagles. He had 9 catches for 131 yards on 14 targets in the 25-11 win.

Swooper! @bowulf.bsky.social got on the board last week, and @ej-smith.bsky.social went bargain hunting this week in response, while we await to see what @fduffy.bsky.social's next grievance will be.

Game day depth charts and advanced team stats for #Eagles - Bucs. Neither team elevated any practice squad players for the game.

Here are the same charts for the Defensive side of the ball. In 2024, the #Eagles were decent at forcing turnovers (got much better as the year went along), but they were awesome at avoiding explosive plays.