Swooper! @bowulf.bsky.social has drawn even with rookie @ej-smith.bsky.social for the top spot, as @fduffy.bsky.social's sophomore slump and soul searching continues into a wild Week 12 with props galore.

ICYMI: A Fun Friday talking about the #Eagles, hitches, and cracks on Dallas week with @bowulf.bsky.social, @ej-smith.bsky.social, and me. Full show: youtube.com/live/ODfYDtuuf…

Game by game EPA/drive for #Eagles and Cowboys. It will be good on good when Dallas has the ball Sunday. - Dallas has 8 of the top 11 offensive outings. - Eagles have 8 of the top 11 defensive outings.

Advanced team stats for #Eagles - Dallas.

#Eagles offense is... - not consistent like 2024 (suffering most zero or negative yard plays of Sirianni/Hurts era) - not explosive like 2022 (producing fewest 10+ yard plays of era) Is it just the tough schedule? We will begin to see in the next few weeks, against bad defenses.

On the topic of crossers vs. hitches...guess which of these red zone plays is the Lions' 4th & goal play and which is the #Eagles 3rd & 8 from the 9...

#Eagles were always likely to regress towards some sort of normalcy by either moving right (fewer 3 & outs) or down (fewer touchdowns) on this graph. Unfortunately, the movement since the bye has basically just been straight down.

#Eagles used their lowest rate of 11 personnel in the Sirianni era Sunday vs Detroit, continuing a recent trend. @zberm.bsky.social asked Kevin Patullo what the thinking was behind playing less 11 personnel against the Lions that often stays big (matches 11 w/base defense).... (1/3)

EaglesEric on [other site] made an observation about the #Eagles running hitch routes. To follow up: Eagles are running more hitch routes than any team in the TruMedia database (since 2012). Here is every team since 2021 with crossers on the other axis (to provide a stylistic contrast to hitches).

The last two #Eagles offensive performances have reset the boundaries of this graph...in the wrong directions. Surely it won't get worse?

#Eagles linebacker usage vs. Detroit - 2 snaps of base : Baun & Dean LB, Campbell Edge - 1 snap of dime : Baun only LB - 56 snaps of nickel (51 normal, 5 w/3 DTs): 38 snaps : Baun & Dean 18 snaps : Baun & Campbell

#Eagles chose to go extremely heavy personnel on offense against Detroit on Sunday, playing just 31% of their snaps in 11 personnel, the lowest in any game in the Nick Sirianni era. It didn't work.

#Eagles game by game player & personnel snap counts.

#Eagles game by game advanced team stats.

#Eagles Offense Worst Games by EPA/Drive 2021-2025 including playoffs (87 games) 1) -2.14, ’23 w14 @ DAL 2) -1.70, ’22 w17 vs NO 3) -1.55, ’21 w5 @ CAR 4) -1.48, ’23 w18 @ NYG 5) -1.40, ’25 w11 vs DET ⬅️

Another Uncle Vic masterpiece. #Eagles

Narrator: It did not go very well for Mr. Goff. #Eagles

The last time the #Eagles scored 26 or fewer points over two games and won them both was 28 years ago: Weeks 8 and 9 in 1997.

Jared Goff is in his 10th NFL season--all in the NFC--and yet tonight will be the first time he has played at the Linc in front of actual fans. (He started and won for the Rams against the #Eagles in Week 2 of 2020 in an empty stadium.)

Swooper! A three-way stalemate means we have annoying win totals, as season leader @ej-smith.bsky.social, defending champion @bowulf.bsky.social, and the soul searching @fduffy.bsky.social enter the great unknown of the Eli Ricks Card era.

Lions normally play a lot of man coverage, but as usual Jalen Hurts has been better against man than zone. Look for Kelvin Sheppard to disguise zone coverages & drop 8 in coverage: Lions play 3-3-nickel on pass downs and drop 8 on a wildly high 18%(!!) of all opponent dropbacks.

Blitz graphs

One similarity between the #Eagles and Lions is that they have both been keeping extra blockers in on pass plays at a very high rate. One of the keys on Sunday night for both defenses will be to induce the opposing RBs to stay in rather than release on routes. (1/3)

It will be a contrast in styles in terms of the passing games on Sunday night at the Linc. The #Eagles have been airing it out with a decent amount of success bu generating very little YAC, while nobody throws fewer deep passes than the Lions, who generate a lot of YAC. (1/2)

We've been over how the #Eagles are going 3 & out at a higher rate than any offense since 2014... (1/2)

Main EPA and SCR graphs going into Week 11...

Game day advanced team stats and depth charts for Lions - #Eagles.

Final Lions - #Eagles #SNF preview with @bowulf.bsky.social, @ej-smith.bsky.social fresh from the NovaCare, and me. Come for the football analysis, stay for the bean talk and EJ’s fascinating fear of rings. Full episode: youtube.com/live/a4S2SJuq6…

#Eagles are still going 3 & out more often than any offense in the NFL since 2014...and somehow getting away with it.

2nd & 6 just before #Eagles give up at end of half. Cover 6. AJ is open in the turkey hole to boundary but Jalen only reads quarters side & throws a tough out to DeVonta (gets bulled into on throw). (1/2)

Jaelan Phillips played more snaps (53) last night than any #Eagles edge had played in any game this season, despite the Eagles having 6 edges dressed and using Jihaad Campbell as one of the edges on every base snap. Uncle Vic got his guy.

#Eagles linebacker usage at Green Bay - All 9 snaps of base : Baun & Dean LB, Campbell Edge - 1 snap of 0-3-8 prevent : Baun/Dean/Campbell all on - 58 snaps of nickel: 34 snaps : Baun & Dean 24 snaps : Baun & Campbell (Were rotating 2 drives at a time in nickel.)

#Eagles game by game player and personnel grouping snap counts.

#Eagles record (including playoffs) under Nick Sirianni 4-0 vs LAR,GB 3-0 vs MIN 2-0 vs DET,CAR,JAC,PIT 1-0 vs CHI,CIN,BAL,CLE,MIA,NE,BUF,HOU,TEN,IND 7-2 vs WAS 8-3 vs NYG 2-1 vs NO 3-2 vs KC 5-4 vs DAL 1-1 vs ATL,ARI,NYJ,DEN 1-2 vs SF 2-4 vs TB 0-1 vs SEA,LAC,LV 61-25 (.709) total

Wow, I just can't believe it...my eyes...

#Eagles record vs. each division (including playoffs) under Nick Sirianni: 10-0 vs NFC North 👀 5-0 vs AFC North 5-0 vs AFC South 4-1 vs AFC East 20-9 vs NFC East 6-4 vs NFC West 7-6 vs NFC South 4-5 vs AFC West

One game after posting their best offensive EPA/drive (+2.84) since Super Bowl LII, the #Eagles posted their worst offensive EPA/drive (-0.71) since the 2023 Wild Card loss in Tampa. But the defense's best game of the year was enough to win it anyway.

#Eagles game by game advanced team stats.

Guessing the #Eagles inactives will be Jurgens, Dillon, Alexander, Uche, and McWilliams. (There are 6 edges and 7 CBs on the roster.)

Game day depth charts and advanced team stats for #Eagles - Packers #MNF.

Nolan Smith the only activation from IR, so no Jakorian Bennett for the #Eagles tonight. Bennett's 21-day practice window was opened on 10/22 (19 days ago) so they have 2 more days to either promote him to the 53 or officially end his season.

We will know within 45 minutes how the #Eagles will fill out the roster for tonight. There is room for two of Brandon Graham, Nolan Smith, Jakorian Bennett, and Willie Lampkin to be added to the 53. Adding more than two of those guys requires them to cut/IR somebody.

Swooper! Rookie @ej-smith.bsky.social has the solo season lead back and spends big to extend it against @bowulf.bsky.social and @fduffy.bsky.social.

The Packers don't blitz a lot (18%, ranks 29th), but when they do they almost always play man behind it. Here, Carolina forces linebacker Edgerrin Cooper to cover the RB out of the backfield on a man blitz. The #Eagles turned a page last week getting Saquon on routes vs. blitz.

One thing we discussed: #Eagles have the worst 3 & out rate on offense of any team since 2014, and one big reason is how awful they’ve been when backed up. Series conversion rate… inside own 20 : 53.8% everywhere else : 76.3%

ICYMI: Everything you need to know for #Eagles - Packers #MNF, plus Swooper with @bowulf.bsky.social, @fduffy.bsky.social, @ej-smith.bsky.social, and me. Full show: youtube.com/live/mbM6IW7j7…

Advanced team stats for #Eagles at Packers.

For those interested in the top of this list… 1) Guy Chamberlin (1922-27): 58-16-7 (.759) 2) John Madden (1969-78): 103-32-7 (.750) 3) Vince Lombardi (1959-69): 96-34-6 (.728) 4) Nick Sirianni (2021-25): 54-22 (.711) 5) George Allen (1966-77): 116-47-5 (.705) #Eagles

Saquon was asked by @jeff-mclane.bsky.social about how he's pass blocking more this year. He said they're getting blitzed more (true) & he wouldn't be blocking vs a 4-man rush. (1/3)

Saquon Barkley pass block rate 2024 vs... 0-4 rushers : 23/244 (9.4%) 5 rushers : 24/91 (26.4%) 6+ rushers : 11/17 (64.7%) total : 58/352 (16.5%) 2025 (thru Week 9) vs… 0-4 rushers : 27/134 (20.1%) 5 rushers : 24/52 (46.2%) 6+ rushers : 16/35 (64.0%) total : 67/211 (31.8%)